Staying On Track

50 Comments

3:17PM

See the previous discussion, because at this time I see no need to change anything. Just adding a couple days early next week to the forecast for eastern MA, RI, & southern NH…

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows from the middle 50s inland  to lower 60s coast. Wind light variable.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Highs from 75 east-facing coastal areas to 85 well inland. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy to mostly clear. Low 60-65, some 50s inland valleys. Wind light variable.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. High 75 coast to 85 inland. Wind variable around 10 MPH with sea breezes.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 64. High 88.

SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 68. High 88.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Low 68. High 86.

MONDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 66. High 88.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 65. High 87.

50 thoughts on “Staying On Track”

  4. TK, so far you are the only met including NWS keeping Sunday completely dry. In fact, Pete is the most bullish on rainfall. He is expecting heavy rains for the afternoon timeframe.

      1. Matt Noyes said tonight he is seeing a trend to the showers/thunderstorms coming later Sunday or even at night.

      2. I’m betting it was. And I’d say it’s a bit early 5 days in advance to pin the rain down to a 6 hour period with any real confidence. 🙂

    2. I know I’m repeating but Pete has been spot on with his long range forecasts – and as I also keep saying – he’s bound to be wrong one of these times !!

  8. Has the weather been this great for John in Bermuda and on his cruise to and from? Wow – what a week!!! Thanks TK for arranging this for us 🙂 No matter what season you prefer, I can’t imagine anyone not loving this week’s weather!!!!

  9. I think this could end up being the best week of the entire summer and if you picked this week for vacation you picked a winner!
    Yesterday I read Brett Anderson’s blog and his interpretation of the EURO model. It looks like another mild fall ahead and December and January look to have seasonable temps with stormy conditions for the Mid Atlantic. It also indicates a moderate El Nino was more of a positive NAO which is not good if you are a snowlover. My early call on the winter of 2012-13 temps will be above average but not like we saw last winter and snowfall still below normal but not as much as last winter.

    1. It seems like we can never have a hot and sunny summer and a cold and snowy winter following each other.

    2. I believe we have a similar winter to last yr, 5-15 inches of snow above average temps 🙂

      1. I read it sort of tongue in cheek but thought it was interesting too. Glad you enjoyed 🙂

  11. Thanks Jimmy for mentioning about Brett Anderson’s blog regarding his early thoughts for the winter. During the warmer months I don’t go over to the AccuWeather site that much. I agree with you that we should get more snow compared to last but still below normal. My early numbers are in the 25-35 inch range nowhere near normal, but we will see in the coming months.

    It will also be interesting though if the Mid-Atlantic ends up with more snow than us as it “could” end up being just cold enough here in the east with their stormier pattern.

  12. topkatt I see a few models saying cloudy skies with showers as a cold front moves through saturday then stalls off our coast with an upper level low for sunday through monday? and it has been constant with it? What are you seeing wrong with the gfs.

  13. 85 to 90F today in central New York State with loads of blazing sunshine. In spite of the warmth, we have hiked through some gorges with smoothed walls that seem sky high that tell the tale of unimaginable melt waters from retreating glaciers long ago. My wife and kids keep enjoying the swimming holes in the barely trickling creeks and I keep finding myself looking up and imagining the water at such heights.

    In the evening, it stays bright until 9:10pm, as the sunset is 8:40pm. Big diurnal temp ranges the first few days out here…low 50s in the very early morning with very warm afternoons.

    1. Thanks Tom. I was going to ask how your kids do with the hiking but you answered my question. I’d be looking up to and not only imaging the height of the water but what the first explorers thought when they found the area or how special it was to the native Americans who lived in the area.

      Enjoy. I’m envious

      1. Thanks Vicki. They do great, in fact, I can barely keep up with their pace, especially when climbing back up from the lower parts of the trails. 🙂

  16. Not that many of you care but places like Paris,Barcelona etc etc that usually don’t like tall buildings are all going through phases of building skyscrapers in the 700-800ft range, I think there building 3 in Paris and each tower is 800 ft, have a good night

      1. Charlie. We do care. At least I do. But we are Boston and they are……..well, they are not. I just like what we are. Doesn’t mean I don’t find your post interesting. 🙂

        1. I like what we are too but would like a few tall skyscrapers to be built, and I think Boston will get at least 2 new towers, Copley Place tower 646ft, and Millinenum place 606ft, Copley Place will break ground in a matter of months and Milleninum place will break ground before the end of the year 🙂

        2. The weird thing is anything under a 1,000ft is relatively short in comparison to the rest of the world, NYC has 800 skyscrapers taller than the Hancock, that’s amazing!! There building skyscrapers now in the 2,500ft -3,000ft range here and abroad, that’s like stacking 4 John Hancock skyscrapers on top of each other, there awesome looking, take it easy Vicki 😉

  17. I believe the winter of 2012-2013 will only be slightly colder and slightly snowier than last yr, 5-15 inches for entire winter with above average temps overall, let’s see if we can have a 3rd consecutive yr of a snowless March 🙂

  18. Just curious…when is the midpoint to summer? With HHH in full force all next week I need something to look forward to. Unfortunately our great summer weather ends soon. 🙁

    Pete is calling for daily gully washers Sunday-next Friday. I hope I can dodge the storms.

    2. We need the rain but I hope the storms are fast moving so as not to spoil anyone’s vacation.

      For those of you who participate in evening sports, they did find EEE in at least one mosquito in Easton.

      1. Yikes, way too close to home for me. I always try and coat myself with bug spray before golf and softball but that is still worrisome.

        1. I thought about you as soon as I heard the report – glad to hear you use the bug spray – my husband does too

  19. TK, what are your latest thoughts on how Sunday will pan out? It seems inevitable to me that there will be at least some scattered showers and storms about with the warm/humid airmass in place and increasing instability. Curious what the you think the aerial coverage of any convection will be and the best timeframe for any precip (the typical mid-late PM or will the threat be all day?). Still got a bunch of people coming over Sunday from 11-2 for an outdoor party and I’m crossing my fingers!

    1. Slight chance. May have a cap to overcome that holds things at bay until late evening or nighttime.

  20. I think were going to be heading into what I like to call a Florida forecast Sunday through early next week with a chance of showers and storms each afternoon and evening. It won’t rain all the time and not everyone gets wet but any storms that do form have the POTENTIAL to produce heavy rainfall and vivid lightning. I am not seeing a severe weather threat at this time so only going with level 1 thunderstorm activity.

  21. Your welcome. I would not cancel any outdoor plans for Sunday through early next week but have backup just in case storms do develop. This of course could change as is often the case with weather but that is my early thinking on the situation.

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