Sunday Forecast

70 Comments

7:21AM

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 10-14)…
No significant changes so just going to the forecast update today and will expand in comments section later.
TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower to middle 40s. Wind N to NW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
TONIGHT: Increasing clouds. Lows in the 30s. Wind light N shifting to E.
MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Spotty light snow/sleet/rain possible in the morning then scattered rain showers mainly northwest of Boston in the afternoon. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. Wind light E to SE morning, shifting to S increasing to 10-20 MPH in the afternoon.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely. Lows around 40. Highs in the 50s.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 30s. Highs in the middle 40s to lower 50s, coolest coast.
THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s. Highs in the upper 40s to middle 50s, coolest coast.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 15-19)…
Fair April 15. Upper level low pressure area may back westward toward the region for the weekend of April 16-17 with more cloudiness and some risk of spotty rain. High pressure builds back eastward with fair weather April 18-19. Temperatures near to slightly below normal then moderating late in the period.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 20-24)…
Dry to start the period then wet weather may arrive toward the end of the period. Temperatures near to below normal.

70 thoughts on “Sunday Forecast”

  1. Thanks TK !

    Weather wise, this is turning into the April to forget. And now, the models are trending towards ending up on the wrong side of blocking in mid April.

  3. Good morning and thank you TK.

    Sometime the weather will improve. Who knows when. Typical Spring
    in NE. 😀

  5. Looks blocky and cuttoff’y this week. Yuck! Figures that negative NAO would bite us at some point. All week looks cool and showery.
    Looks to maybe be a little more progressive after next week end, at least from what I could see this morning. The NAO looks to cross to neutral next weekend. The GFS and CMC seem to speed things up around then. We’ll see if it’s rushing that bit. I can only see the GFS out thru the 24th, but it appears a little more progressive, but several low’s spin thru. But then again that’s an eternity. All that could change.
    Marathon Monday looks dry, maybe 60.
    Typical wretched April continues.

    1. That’s the optimistic view of patriots day. Could be cloudy and 54-ish. Better for the runners I gues.

  6. I remember some June’s that were cold and drizzly. TK, I’ll ask for your help again….was 2011 one of them? I know that 1981 was one but that was before the time most will remember. I think I’d prefer a cold, rainy April to June.

    To me April is a transition month….similar to November. While Novembee tends to have bare trees, brown grass, etc, April has blooming flowers, budding trees, and the start of green grass (as long as you have Charlie’s service). It is the month of rebirth where the world comes Alive after a winter nap. It needs the rain, as well as the sun, to do this.

    Maybe it helps to look past the rain and cold at the promise of things to come.

    Vicki’s Sunday morning pep talk as she looks out the windows at a glorious April morning.

    2. I actually don’t mind the rain. We need it and come late spring and summer we may not get much. It’s the cool to cold temps I find objectionable.

  7. It’s just annoying, that’s all. You think maybe, just maybe we dodge it. But no, like clockwork, cut off low’s, hung up fronts, days and days of showers and gloom. Classic omega block incoming for at least a week. Enjoy the sun today, it’s the last you’ll see of it for at least a week.

    Hopefully the NAO relaxes a little as shown. That would get things moving again. A little atmospheric Metamucil would help.

    1. We have dodged the negative NAO a few times lately when it hasn’t panned out in the end. Maybe the block won’t be as strong and the models will snap out of it just like the snapped us in it over the past 24 hours.

      1. I think this week is locked in. It’s not going anywhere. As I said above, it looks to last about 7-8 days. GFS ensembles show the NAO starting to rise later this week, and maybe be in neutral territory by next Saturday. The omega block looks to break down by Sunday/Monday of next week. Hopefully that will hold up over the next couple days of runs. I’m still hopeful for the last week April will start to pull out of it. At the very least, climo temps rise every day so below normal temps won’t be as bad, if you want to look at the positive side of things.

  8. All 3 major models depicts Barry’s famous WHEEL OF MISFORTUNE

    Loop a model. It’s almost comical, yet set. More like Pathetic!!!

    1. I’ve always said that if I could exit the area for a 3 month respite like so many retired people do, it wouldn’t be Jan thru March, it would be February thru April.

      2. I’m a pessimist by nature. That way when things stink, you’re prepared and there’s no let down. When things are better then expected, it’s a lift. I dunno, it’s served me well. Others have a different perspective.

        1. I’m an optimist so basically things do not stink. With rare exception of course when some things are beyond my control and then I have to learn to let it go and let it be and trust there is a reason.

          Pollyanna perhaps.

  10. AccuWeather Trivia quizzes.

    1. Only 2 states have a record high temperature no greater than 100 degrees. What are they?

    A. Alaska and Hawaii
    B. Washington and Maine
    C. North Dakota and New Hampshire
    D. Minnesota and Vermont

    2. “Rainbow in the east, sailors at peace. Rainbow in the west, sailors__________”

    A. Best
    B. Distress
    C. Test
    D. Nest

    Answers later today.

  11. AccuWeather Trivia quizzes, #3 & #4.

    3. The sky is blue because the white light shines through the atmosphere and the blue light scatters.

    A. True
    B. False

    4. The farmers Almanac says New England will have what kind of summer?

    A. More hot and dry
    B. More dry and cold.
    C. More cold and rainy
    D. More hot and rainy

    Answers later today.

    3. Also A and A

      I believe, more often than not children will not identify the sky as blue until told it is blue. I listened to a study on NPR a while ago and will have to see if I can find it. Although I do not think the reason given above is exactly correct.

  12. I’m neither pessimist optimistic. I just call it the way I see it. But there’s a reason why mid January/February is on average the most depressing months by doctors magazine. And July and Aug are on average the happiest months.

    As always thank you tk 🙂

  13. 12z backed off touch. Let’s see if that has legs. First part of the week of the 18th looks better, but then it wants to put another omega block on us later in that week. But it’s more east and doesn’t look as bad. Ensembles look better then the operational.
    Let’s see what the euro shows for marathon Monday.
    The NAO looks better by then, maybe the operational hasn’t caught up to that idea yet.

  15. The 12z EURO at 216 hrs …… a low east of Massachusetts and 850 temps 0C or colder. Is it showing snow potential ?

    I’m glad the EURO hasn’t been on its game lately. I hope this would be wrong too.

    1. That’s a huge height drill down in 24 hours from Monday the 18th to Tuesday the 19th. GFS operation, GEFS, and even the EPS doesn’t show that all out violence. Hopefully an amplified euro shenanigans going on there.

  16. I’m going to hold before I jump on the doom and gloom bandwagon and keep what I have for now regarding the next week.

    GFS is interested in some pretty cold air later in the month including some mix/snow in the vicinity of SNE around the weekend of the 23rd/24th and a system that brings some mix/snow all the way to the northern Mid Atlantic around the same time. Not sure if it even comes close to verifying but it would signify a mighty chill for the time of year.

    2. I saw that and tried to ignore it. 🙂
      Verbatim, that’s low 40’s with a high 30’s mixed in somewhere. 850 and 2 m anomalies are brutal.

  17. How is the marathon looking? Here’s hopping for a south westerly wind with temps in the 50’s.

  18. Said this before, and I know Blackstone did, too. This April is almost a facsimile of 1907 thus far. And ,just like 1907 I think the remainder of the month will be chilly to very chilly for the time of year, and there will be precious little sun. Today looks beautiful outside, but this morning was particularly cold, even for a `hardy’ soul like me. Biking into the wind was a chore. I do partly agree with Blackstone’s assessment of the best months to avoid Boston. I think March and April are usually forgettable and quite often dismal. May can be raw, too at time, but usually has quite a number of really nice days, too. January and February are cold and of course there are fewer daylight hours. But, there’s often ample sun. That is generally not the case in March and April where grays tend to dominate.

    My impressions of Boston are somewhat filtered by what foreign visitors have told me over the years. My mother used to run an international homestay program, so I met quite a few international visitors. Almost all liked Boston’s climate most of the year. You can’t imagine how often people would tell my mother how “real” our seasons were. I didn’t understand what they meant until I moved to Holland and England where several seasons were just not real at all (winter and summer stood out as blah, meh months). But, many guests were disappointed in our spring or an extended version of winter-lite.

    1. I like May. More good days that bad. Leaf out, grass gets green, flowers pop, last freeze. I think I said on another blog, April is my least favorite month, followed a close second by November, but at least you know what you’re getting in November. But spring is rarely good start to finish. I think over all, and I could be wrong, but start to finish New England has some of the worst early spring weather in the CONUS. And for the record, I don’t consider March spring.

  20. A pleasant 51.3 here at the moment. A tad higher than I expect and I am grateful for that.

    Hey, no more gloom and doom talk, OK?

    1. I will say today did exceed my expectations. I hit 51 today with wall to wall sun and we got in 2 hours of baseball practice.

  21. That Euro run you were discussing…shows no snow for boston with a touch inland, but
    absolutely clobbers central and northern Maine.

  22. Answers to Today’s AccuWeather Trivia quizzes.

    1. Only 2 states have a record high temperature no greater than 100 degrees. What are they?

    A. Alaska and Hawaii
    B. Washington and Maine
    C. North Dakota and New Hampshire
    D. Minnesota and Vermont

    The answer is A

    2. “Rainbow in the east, sailors at peace. Rainbow in the west, sailors__________”

    A. Best
    B. Distress
    C. Test
    D. Nest

    The answer is B.

    3. The sky is blue because the white light shines through the atmosphere and the blue light scatters.

    A. True
    B. False

    The answer is A.

    4. The farmers Almanac says New England will have what kind of summer?

    A. More hot and dry
    B. More dry and cold.
    C. More cold and rainy
    D. More hot and rainy

    The answer is D (I think).

    1. 1: Makes sense. Alaska too far north. Hawaii too water-modified.
      2: This is only true if weather is moving from some component of westerly to some component of easterly during the time of observation, but is based on the general idea that most weather moves west to east.
      3: As simple as this is, it has always fascinated me.
      4: It does say “hot and rainy”, but it should say “hot and dry”. I mean, how did their “cold and snowy” winter work out? 😉

      1. I find the blue sky fascinating also. As I recall, all colors scatter…blue just scatters in more directions. My memory is stretching but I think it has to do with wave length.

        1. It depends on wavelength and the size of the objects that do the scattering. Blue light is scattered by oxygen and nitrogen in the atmosphere since those atoms are small and the blue light has a short wavelength. Longer greens and reds aren’t scattered by the small atoms as much. At sunrise or sunset, the light angle is longer as it reaches our eyes so the blue and violet “disappear” and the red and orange dominate.

  23. Joshua mine opinion may be bias by living in Cali, Texas, North Carolina And Florida. I don’t butter things over. They actually hate the climate and ask us why do we live here? Now there are postives. Weather is not for the majority. Europeans are different and I understand. However when I was in Antigua, many many man London/U.K. Folks said the weathers is awful.

    1. I think people worry too much about things they cannot control. That’s unfortunate. So much energy expended on asking someone why they live somewhere because they don’t happen to like the weather there? What a waste of time. Pay attention to what you can control in your world and make the most of what you cannot.

  24. An interesting fact: My brother’s snow pile melted sooner last year than it has this year.

    1. Not possible!!! 🙂 I’ve been in places where I’ve had to wait to now for 1st visits. This year there done. Was it gone? Then appeared? Only way?

      2. You may not want to doubt what my brother built in his own driveway. I’ve explained how he does this. The pile shrunk down to almost nothing and then the snowfalls in April allowed him to rebuild it pretty significantly, and given that his yard slopes to the north and is sheltered by woods, it’s not too surprising.

        It’s also interesting that I figured you’d say it was impossible. That was an easy forecast. 😛

  25. I’m guessing the pile TK is/was talking about was made from the April snow. So yea, that pile probably melted after the big one from last year since the snow from last year melted off in early April.

    1. And yes, though this spot gets very little sun (you can see it just misses), it’s on pavement, not grass.

  27. For what is is worth Charlie, I actually consider the weather a positive for living here. I have always said I would never live in a place that doesn’t experience the four seasons as we do here. It is all a matter of opinion but I honestly couldn’t care less about what surveys and magazines say. As the song says “Boston, you’re my home”.

  28. Having travelled the world and lived all over the world I can tell you without a doubt how many compliment Boston as an overall great city. I never hear people complain about the weather. All I hear is how beautiful of a city we live in etc..

Comments are closed.