Wednesday Forecast

83 Comments

7:40AM

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 13-17)…
Fair weather the next 5 days as high pressure dominates. We’ll be on the cooler side of this high as it’s centered more to our north through Friday. The high then sinks to the south this weekend and allows a significant warm up by Sunday.
TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s to middle 50s, coolest coast. Wind N to NE 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s to middle 50s, coolest at the coast. Wind NE 10-20 MPH.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 30s. Highs in the upper 40s to middle 50s, coolest at the coast.
SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s. Highs in the upper 40s to middle 50s, coolest at the coast.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 40s. Highs 50s South Coast and Cape Cod ranging to 60s and lower 70s elsewhere.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 18-22)…
Watching a cold front for April 18 (Patriots Day / Boston Marathon) that may cause a significant temperature drop for at least part of the region. Not sure of the timing of this as of yet. Generally dry weather April 19-21 with a cool start then moderating. A weak system may bring a few rain showers by April 22.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 23-27)…
A rain risk early to mid period then a return to fair weather. Temperatures near to below normal.

83 thoughts on “Wednesday Forecast”

  4. Good morning and thank you TK.

    It is a beautiful morning, albeit on the cool side. As long as that sun is out, it’s fine.

    Boston Buoy water temperature is 42.8 as of this morning. That is chilly and I’m guessing it has gotten back to pretty close to average for this time of year. With 5 days of sun at this sun angle, I am hoping that water temperature will creep up a degree or 2. Every single Degree at this time of year is most helpful in mitigating the cooling
    effects of that damn East wind. Nothing warms up the water better than bright sunshine.

    1. 43.9 current Boston ocean temp checked as of 4/13, average is 45 at this period so just slightly below average.

      1. No, that is the inner harbor temperature. Boston buoy is 16 mile Due East of Boston. That is the temperature one should use.
        If we get a stiff East wind it will reflect the temperature from out
        there and not the inner harbor. 😀

        1. So average is 44 there? Still only a minor departure from average. I would agree a bump up a degree or two is in the works, probably by Tuesday.

          1. Something like that. Agree, we are close to average, while being way above average most of the Winter.

  5. Oh and Before I forget, Suckholz did not disappoint last night.

    2 games pitched, 9 innings total, 10 runs given up for a nice ripe ERA of 10.0.

    Way to go Clay. Just what we need out of you, you BUM!

    Ship him to Hoboken fast!!!!

    1. I can’t believe he is still on the team and not sure why they still have faith in this guy. There has to be a pitcher from the minors who can replace his role and pitch better.

      1. Totally and completely agree. He should have been gone long ago while we “may” have gotten something for him. Not all we will receive back is a bag of balls.

  6. Hey all just checking in…haven’t been following for a bit. Any snow chances still on the radar?

      2. HA OK. Wasn’t confident in calling off snow but now I am. Thanks for the info! That snow pile in your brothers driveway must be gone by now.

  7. 0z Euro drops 2-3 feet of snow on the Denver area with a slow moving storm later this week. We’ll see if it implodes out there as badly as it did out here. GFS gives a healthy dumping as well. Could be a pretty major late season storm for the folks out there.

  8. We’re not just fighting the wind of off the ocean, but this is a pretty damn chilly airmass as well. A double whammy until it modifies a bit with abundant sunshine.

  11. My weather station says 55, so about a 5 degree difference from where I am in Cambridge at work.

    1. Closest sutton station says just shy of 50. Just went to Divine Thai in your town, BlackstoneWX. Not bad at all. Saw a house close by there with an anemometer on the roof.

  12. So, now that we have finally sealed the deal on this winter, it’s never too early to start talking about what next winter might bring, right? Most forecasts I have seen continue to project the return of La Nina and some of the latest model runs would suggest it gets to moderate strength.

    http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2016/04/08/la_nina_2016_2017_what_it_means_for_you.html

    And historically speaking, almost every year we have had a strong El Nino, it has been followed by at least a moderate La Nina the next year:

    http://ggweather.com/enso/oni.htm

    What it means for us remains to be seen as it is dependent on many other factors, but historically it’s colder than average in the Northeast. Article above also indicates that we typically see less major east coast storms which would be consistent with TK’s comments about a potentially colder and drier than normal winter upcoming. That said, we have had some pretty big La Nina winters in the past, 95-96 and 2010-2011 come to mind.

  13. Nominees for this year’s New England Emmy Awards for Anchor Weatherman:

    Adam Epstein, Meteorologist WGME
    Bob Maxon, Anchor-Weather NBC Connecticut
    Danielle Vollmar, Weather Talent WCVB
    Ryan Hanrahan, Anchor NBC Connecticut
    Todd Gutner, Anchor-Weather WCSH

        1. They like it better when people have trouble communicating on-air, so that is rewarded. It makes it easier to make stuff up and make it believable. 😛

          Think I’m disenchanted with that business much? Naaaahhhhh.

  14. Come on man. Let’s get thru spring, summer and at least half of fall before the snow talk commences again. 😉
    Lots of warm days ahead before that white stuff falls again.

    1. I’ll be speculating on Winter 2016-2017 often, just as I did for Summer 2016 during this past Winter. 🙂

        1. Of course, we should know if we have a white Christmas by September 25th by just checking AccuWeather’s new and improved 90 day forecast.

      1. It doesn’t mean we’re going to not talk about it, so don’t get your hopes up dude.

  15. I would hesitate on saying that winter would be dry. If we have cold air, but the ocean being so warm, we could have a very active winter next season.

  16. 1Pm 46 at the Airport with a decent Easterly breeze at 15 mph.
    51 at Bedford with a North wind.

    The spread commences. 😀

  17. I agree with enough winter talk. Can we talk about the next 8 months? I’m hoping for sunny and dry with 80+ everyday. Maybe a 1 hour tstorm during afternoon.

    1. Sunny and 80 every day? That will generate some interesting talk!

      190 days and counting to the next snow season………… 🙂

          1. 😀 😀 😀 😀 😀 😀 😀
            I could never wish away time. You don’t get it back.

    2. So, you’re deciding what I and others can talk about on MY weather blog?
      Ok. Keep dreaming. 😛

  19. I have to say as much as snow is NOT my thing…the warmth doesn’t have the excitement it did last year. With no huge snow pack and no really sustained cold, it doesn’t feel like we really came out of the dark.

    1. It’s definitely not as dramatic.
      That said, any warm weather is exciting to me. July is my favorite month, with August a close second.

    1. This will be the story thru Saturday, and now I’m starting to think Logan may sea breeze on Sunday too. I don’t see enough westerly gradient to keep it out of there, unless things are modeled incorrectly.

  21. “Summertime, when the living is easy …” My mother used to hum and sing that during summer. I loved all seasons as a child, but summer was special because it meant no school (I didn’t like grade school – K through 8). I also was able to manage in the heat. Didn’t bother me. That changed when I hit my 30s. I could and can adapt to cold, but no longer to heat. I do love the in-between weather we occasionally get in spring and often in fall: 60s and low 70s, little or no humidity.

    Everyone’s preferences are different, which is great. It would be boring if we all loved winter or any other particular season for that matter.

    I do not wish time away, but just like Vicki I’m always aware of how many days there are until Christmas, and as we approach August I get excited about my favorite 4-month period of the year, from late August through late December.

    1. I absolutely loved Summers, mainly for the reason you stated.
      NO SCHOOL! I HATED school with a passion. I mean I HATED it.
      I spent ALL day staring at the clock waiting for closing. When I got home it
      was play time until bed time. Home work? Screw that!! I couldn’t stand home work. How dare they take away from my play time! How dare they!!
      Somehow, I still managed excellent grades so I could go onto to College.

      In the fall it was football after school. In the Winter it was Hockey and or basketball and in the Spring and Summer it Was baseball, baseball, baseball with plenty of fishing excursions thrown in for good measure.

      How I obtained my Bachelor’s Degree in Mathematics is a miracle, because I didn’t like College much better. 😀

      1. I didn’t hate school. I thought it was a social experience. Drove my parents nuts. I couldn’t wait to get out into the real world though where there wasn’t any homework to argue about completing or make excuses for why it wasn’t complete 🙂

    2. As everyone knows, I love every day and every type of weather. However, as you have said, there is something about the feeling of August through December that just cannot be beaten.

      1. That is my favorite time of year and it’s not really even close. Of course bc of many many reasons….. Football season, Beautiful weather mostly between 60-80 for highs. Doesn’t get cold yet. However the short daylight specifically after thanksgiving not a fan.

        1. 60-80 for highs I can buy through September, even early October in a warm year, but November and December? Not quite all the time, especially the 70-80 part. 😉

  22. Jury’s out with several days go to but right now I’m leaning toward a slightly slower timing for Monday’s front (more evening than afternoon). That may bring our only chance of precipitation in the next 7+ days too, however we will have to see how much cyclonic flow we get on a briefly amplified pattern in which we will be on the western side of a trough next Tuesday/Wednesday. Any time you have that, you can back stuff in from the ocean if the trough is positive tilt enough and the flow drives the stuff southwestward. So we’ll have to watch that. Also expect that it may be colder than currently modeled, of forecast by the NWS, next Tuesday/Wednesday.

    As we head for the late stages of the month, after this dry spell I see a wet spell (though not tons of rain), then a transition toward warmer, but not consistently warmer as we’re going to then be dealing with ocean temperatures that will be near to BELOW normal (remember I said it’s not always about how the weather’s been, but ocean currents too) and still some lingering bubbles of high pressure in eastern Canada that can fire back door cold fronts down this way periodically. Very typical Spring pattern.

    1. I hope, as always, the weather on Monday is good for rhe marathon. I know they can compete in all weather types but never hurts to be conducive

    1. Wow!!! What a comeback!!! At legal C Bar watching the post game. Unbelievable!! Down 26 at half

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