46 thoughts on “Monday Forecast”

1. Thanks TK. Some Wind Advisories for Cape and Islands and I think some Frost / Freeze Advisories/Watches all over the state tonight.

2. The NWS BOX totals are in though not that many towns actually reported.

   http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=PNS&issuedby=BOX

   1. Thanks, Longshot. Good amount of rain.

      1. You’re welcome!

3. Thank you, TK. Lovely morning.

4. Thanks TK !

   Sun has returned after plenty of rain yesterday. Can’t believe how much of Matthews moisture made it into New England, but that is a good thing. We pushed through it yesterday and had a great time.

   Have a good day all !

5. Thanks TK! Hope you are feeling much better today. 🙂

   Rainfall for Logan yesterday = 1.84″ (most daily since 2015)

   New deficit = -8.98″

6. Looking at those rainfall totals, my 1.87 inches is extremely reasonable given that Logan
   came in at 1.84 and Blue Hill at 1.88. I am most pleased with the accuracy of my
   new rain gauge. 😀

   Good morning and thank you TK.

   Looks like we are back to “boring” weather, but we have a baseball game this evening
   and we are still relishing the Pat’s win.

7. We camped in lumberton on a return trip from Orlando. Not near the ocean. Would think this would be from flash flooding.

   http://www.cnn.com/2016/10/10/us/weather-matthew/index.html

   1. 12-18 inches of rain through that area.

8. Thanks TK.
   Snow lovers like me I hope this tweet that meteorologist Ben Noll pans out. All than likely won’t but lets see what happens.
   https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/784895380265795584?lang=en

9. Thanks JJ

10. That map that goes with the tweet I posted looks like a clipper track and possibly making that turn and come up to the right spot to get us.

11. Here’s one for JPDave that I stumbled across this morning: http://www.bwsc.org/COMMUNITY/rainfall/telog_rainfall/rf_daily.asp

    More ways for you to verify your numbers.

    1. Nice and thank you. I book marked for future comparisons.

       Either the rain was more variable than I thought OR some of those figures
       are suspect. Roslindale is next door and it had 1.72. Likewise Hydepark is as well only in a different direction and it was 1.85. Logan was 1.84 while Blue Hill was 1.88.

       I most suspect of the Longwood reading which is only a couple of miles from me. That reading was 1.49.

       If it has Martin Walsh name on it, it means well, but does not mean it
       is accurate.

       I feel very comfortable with the 1.87 I was reading.

12. Today’s sky is typical of October’s bright blue weather. I remember the poem from Elementary School. 🙂

13. Hi all,
    Great job Tk, SAK, et al on Matthew. I actually have 2 grandsons and a son in law named Matthew. I am full up to here on Matthews… didn’t need any more.

    Now for the social part. The Museum of Science is showing a 50 minute movie on wild weather starting October 15th. I was thinking that it would be great if we all went as a group and then off for coffee afterwards to discuss what we just saw with TK leading the discussion. Would love to hear your thoughts on this.

    1. Love the idea! Not sure I’ll be around for it yet, but we will see…

    2. depending on classes and stuff, I could go and get discount tickets 😉

    3. I agree that is a wonderful idea. I am having a very minor surgical procedure on the 19th and Was cautioned to avoid groups just prior so I do not get sick because it would have to be postponed. Wish I could go as it is something I would love.

14. TK your thoughts on the tweet I posted from meteorologist Ben Noll.
    Many Thanks.

    1. Based on what I’ve been looking at lately, I can’t argue it much. It will probably be clipper-dominated. Doesn’t look like a lot of energy from the south. Just lots of cold and light snow events.

       1. Thanks TK…all we need is just “one” of those clippers to get some southern energy and give us a quick decent snow. 🙂

15. “Extreme Weather” will run from October 15 to December 1.
    Let’s see how many are interested and hen find out when TK will be available.

    1. Ahhhh I should have read down now that may work.

16. Oops…and THEN find out. Lol

17. I would say Bermuda is in the path of a direct hit from Nicole.

    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?5-daynl#contents

    1. I find it interesting that unlike Haiti, Bermuda seems to deal with hurricanes well. I can’t recall hearing about much building damage or loss of life. Even their power outages aren’t very long lasting even compared to the U.S.

18. Question for JPDave, if you don’t mind:

    What brand and model is your new rain gauge?

19. Hi from sunny San Diego. 5:04 pm here. 75 degrees, light breeze off the pacific, palm trees swaying lightly.

    1. Love love San Diego. Have fun

20. The Bruins season starts in 3 days. At least we’ll have another professional team to follow besides the Pats this week.

21. JJ. I remember December 1995. I also remember December 1992. It wss first time I remember schools being closed for more than one day. Was that a Dec 9? And wasn’t 1993 snowy also? Would be fun if your tweet pans out.

22. Red Sox season OVER! 🙁 Francona gets his revenge.

    Once they clinched, they pretty much pissed away their entire postseason.

    1. Papi’s last at….do wish he’d had a ball to hit.

23. When they celebrated prematurely, I had a bad feeling and they proved me 100% correct…like TK’s forecasts and long term outlooks.

24. SAK – that was a good call a week ago on the PRE event yesterday. Sure enough the models didn’t really pick up on it, even up to 24 hours in advance. The storm not looping back to the southeast helped for sure.

    Ended up with 1.5″ in Coventry, CT which was a pleasant surprise. Sharp drop off in totals not too far to the NW though with BDL and western MA getting much less.

    My condolences to all the Sox fans out there…

25. Recently issued 2016-2017 Winter Weather Outlook from Hudson Valley Weather:
    http://www.hudsonvalleyweather.com/2016-2017-hvw-winter-outlook/

    Favoring a colder and snowier than average winter for much of the Northeast with a slower start to the winter in December and then ramping up in Jan and Feb (they probably didn’t see the Euro monthlies before writing this)

26. As JJ posted above, the Euro monthlies would imply a quick start to the winter for the Northeast. Strong -NAO and -EPO in December….cold air in place and good pattern for an active east coast storm track. -NAO continues into January and February but EPO turns more neutral in January and positive in February.

27. Switching gears, I wrote a blog post for my employer tonight – the 1st significant storm of the fall is about to move into the West Coast.

    http://www.hometownforecastservice.com/the-rainy-season-is-about-to-start-in-the-west/

    I mentioned at the end of the post something that we should keep an eye on – behind this storm is another one. That one is what is currently Typhoon Songda, passing south and east of Japan. It will race across the Pacific, and move into the west coast this weekend. Keep an eye on that one. Sometimes these recurving typhoons have a tendency to alter the upper-air pattern as they move into the West. We’ll see if this one does.

    1. You and TK are always thinking way ahead. Keep us posted and thanks for the heads up! 😀

       1. This is something that has been researched quite a bit in the last few years. at the very least, because they can alter the pattern, the model performance in the long-range is not as good as normal. So, take those GFS forecasts beyond Day 7 with a grain or salt for the next several days.

          Don’t be surprised if we end up with a fairly potent storm moving across the Midwest with a strong cold shot behind it moving into our area about 7-10 days from now. It might not last long, but this is the kind of thing we typically see when you get one of these recurving typhoons..

28. I have not had a big snow producer in my area since the blizzard of 2013 dumped 30 inches of snow.

    1. What about winter 2014-15? I would think that you got tons of snow like we all did in SNE.

29. The blizzard in January of that winter ended up tracking further east and my area only got 7 inches of snow. Eastern parts of CT had the big totals with that one. We got snow where I was but it was always eastern areas that winter would be the jackpot areas for the snow.

30. New post!

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