Wednesday Forecast

139 Comments

7:43AM

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 12-16)
Warm air tries to hang on but a cold front heading across the region will put an end to that and bring the risk of showers and a few thunderstorms in the process today. Dry and cooler weather arrives for Thursday and Friday, into Saturday, but a warm front will bring the risk of some wet weather by Saturday night and should push through to allow a warm day for Easter Sunday.
TODAY: Sun starts, then clouds arrive. Episodes of showers and possible thunderstorms midday to late afternoon west, afternoon to early evening east. Highs 60-68 South Coast to 68-75 elsewhere. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Clearing. Lows 40-48. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 55-62. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 33-40. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 56-63. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY: Sunny start, cloudy finish. Chance of rain at night. Lows 35-45. Highs 55-65.
SUNDAY: Partly cloudy. Chance of showers/thunderstorms at night. Lows 45-55. Highs 65-75.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 17-21)
Fair, cooler April 17-18, milder April 19. Some unsettled weather possible later in the period.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 22-26)
Cooler and unsettled start then may moderate again later in the period.

139 thoughts on “Wednesday Forecast”

  5. Thanks Tk. It still may be to early but could I get an extended forecast for Washington Tuesday – Saturday. Thanks.

    1. Clearly I am not TK but just thought I would try to help. You can choose any city on the weather app that comes on the iPhone and it will give you a 7 day forecast. I happen to have DC in my phone as we just traveled there. It only goes out until next Wednesday but Tuesday is forecast to be sunny and 67 and Wednesday is showers and 69.

      1. Be careful of those apps.

        They are all different and get their 7 day forecasts from different sources. Some come from the Weather channel, some from Acu Weather and some from other sources.

        Your best bet is right here. 😀

        AND, if you need a forecast for another location, TK has ALWAYS been most gracious and supplied whoever here needed one.

        1. Agreed, however if you are just looking to what to pack for a trip to that area then those apps work fine. Certainly did for me.

      1. Yes my son & wife both are going I did not get picked . Seeing all the landmark stuff as well as some fun stuff . Fancy dinner cruise Tuesday night , Camden yds ball game Friday night ( first time during trip it’s the Red Sox there ) and on the way home on Saturday six flags. The day they go to White House pats will be there .

        2. They’re letting tourists near the White House now? When I went we only caught some glimpses of it through a far away fence.

          1. I was just there a couple of weeks ago and you can walk by the front but there is the fence and then some more barriers in front of the fence.

    3. I made this for you:

      http://i.imgur.com/fo7iGfV.jpg

      This is info from their various news stations. Hope this helps. Obviously since we’re so far out only a ten day forecast would cover the entirety of the time. Fortunately two of the stations have a ten day. I included the two days the seven day forecasts on other stations mentioned.

  6. Good morning and thank you TK.

    Before weather, I wanted to thank those who posted about J. Geils.
    One of my favorite bands during the late 60s. Another great passes and leaves
    us.

    re: weather
    I walked out to my car this morning and it smelled differently than yesterday and felt differently. It had that sea breeze feel to it. Same here at the office. Latest obs from
    Logan, the wind was East.

    IF the sea breeze maintains, say good-bye to storm chances near the coast.

    SPC has in just a general thunderstorm area. In short, as of now, NO big deal.

    http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

  7. Thanks TK.
    Maybe a rumble of thunder with the frontal passage today. Easter Sunday GFS indicating a little bit of instability so may have a few rumbles that day.

  9. 9AM

    Logan 52 with East wind
    Bedford 63 with East wind
    Norwood 60 with NorthEast Wind
    Fitchburg 65 with South Wind

    I guess today, the East wind penetrates a fair distance inland, like 15-20 miles or so if not a bit more.

    Will showers go poof in the area between 495 and 128????

  10. I was wondering this morning of the Sea Surface temperature responded at all to
    the recent warmer weather.

    Indeed, it has. previously it was 40 now it is:

    Water Temperature (WTMP): 42.3 °F

  12. Good Morning, Thank you, TK.

    63.5 here with a 53 DP.

    Not much breeze so unlike JPD’s area still has the smell of spring with the promise of summer breathing down its back.

  13. Not weather related but we have been talking about birds here recently….

    There is a photographer in Sutton that continues to amaze me with her photos from around the area. I have a good number of her photos decorating my house and have only been here a year 🙂 But this picture of a Cooper’s Hawk with a red winged blackbird is amazing so I wanted to share. Sad to see but nature to be sure.

    http://i.imgur.com/UwawOj5.jpg

  14. More temperature musing from the 10Am observations:

    Fitchburg 68
    Bedford 65
    Norwood 64

    LOGAN on an island by itself: 51

    Once again I detest where Boston’s weather records are kept.

    In NYC (Yes I know it is a monstrous city compared to Boston, both in population and area) there are 3 reporting stations: Laguardia, Kennedy and Central Park.

  15. Central Park is the one they use for what NYC when it comes to things such as snowfall for the winter record highs and lows.

    1. AND that makes PERFECT SENSE to me.

      Keeping Boston’s records at LOGAN is pure LUNACY.
      They should be kept at the Boston Common or perhaps Copley Square.

      Yes I KNOW, it is NOT going to change, but I cannot accept that.
      It just makes No Sense at all. There are certain times that it just
      drives me INSANE. For example, the rest of the City is in the 70s and logan is in the 50s OR it is snowing in the rest of the City yet Logan has RAIN to just give a couple of examples. I’ll add one more. The rest of the city is below Zero and Logan sits at +5 or some such number.

      1. Yes I know, at least once a year I bitch about this. Once in awhile someone else joins in.

        Then we are told that’s the way it is and it is not going to change
        OR we are told the observations are for aviation and thus will
        stay at the airport yadda yadda yadda. Doesn’t make it right.

        1. On this I completely agree. More precisely, if I may expand a tad; it does not make it an accurate representation of the area.

          2. At least Logan with within the city limits of Boston. PVD is 6 miles from the city of Providence. How is that representative of the city?

            ORH is built at the highest point in the city of Worcester, more than 500 feet elevation above downtown. Again, is that representative?

            Springfield, the 3rd largest city in the state of Massachusetts has no official observations within the city.

            I can play this game from the other side too with lots more examples.

            1. You make an excellent point.

              Then I say rectify it all. Make multiple reporting stations if necessary.

              Yeah I know, all of that costs money, therefore, it ain’t happening. I know, I know, I know.

              Still, from time to time I like to complain. It is in my nature. 😀

              You may hear from me again on this subject. Sorry.

            2. Nah. I have never subscribed to basing one error (perceived certainly) on other errors. At the moment, we were focusing on what would represent Boston as fairly as possible. Logan doesn’t do that.

              If we want to expand the focus and move outside of Boston, I would agree there should be more reporting stations. I don’t need a station where I am since I can observe on my own so will not pursue. If others want a station, then have at it.

              1. Bradley is also not within the limits of Hartford. It has been pointed out that there is good reason for reporting stations at airports. Makes sense to me also. But if they are going to represent the city where records are kept, they should be in a “logical” place….allowing for the fact that there is little logic left in government.

                2. There IS a station in Hartford though – Brainard Field. BDL is the larger airport, and is the one used for the records, but you can actually get observations from within Connecticut’s largest city.

                3. re: Showers heading Eastward

                  I checked one of the lightning display sites and so far it is not showing
                  any lightning. Also, the Wunderground Boston Nexrad site is also
                  not showing any lightning.

    2. Think about how many tourists from across the country, visiting Boston and planning their packing based on Logan’s averages, have probably been rather unprepared for the weather they experienced.

      Take today, Logan’s average of low to mid 50s is being cemented further by the 52F at the airport. Meanwhile, just inland, it’s 10 to 15F warmer. Logan is its own localized climate and taken to represent Boston and its immediate suburbs is ridiculous.

        1. This is why I teach math and not English, lol !!

          I meant to say that Logan’s average high this time of year is somewhere in the low to mid 50s and that’s what it is today. Meanwhile, not too far inland it’s 10F warmer and I figure tourists who visit Boston are also perhaps visiting concord, Lexington, etc

          1. The numbers do not support this argument.

            Using data from the Co-op stations here are the normal Highs for April 12

            Blue Hill 52
            Beverly 53
            Boston 54
            Hingham 54
            Reading 54
            Lowell 55
            Middleboro 55
            Brockton 56
            Walpole 56
            Bedford 57
            Jamaica Plain 57

            1. I like the 3 degree difference between Logan and Jp and Logan and Bedford.

              We could argue whether or not that is significant, but that sounds about right to me. That is “about” a 5% difference.

              1. You also failed to point out that Boston is in the middle of that group, the same as Reading (well inland) and Hingham (also on the coast). There’s another coastal location that is cooler (Beverly), while one 30 miles inland (Lowell) is only 1 degree warmer.

                In other words, this whole argument that it’s “so much warmer away from the coast” is rubbish. Over time, it all balances out. All those warm days that get negated by a seabreeze are offset by all those cold days where proximity to the water keeps temperatures much higher.

                Perception is not reality. One more great example using weather. Mention the city of Seattle, and all people think of is that it’s cloudy and raining all the time. The average annual rainfall for Seattle is a little over 36 inches. For Boston, the average is over 43 inches. That’s 20% higher than Seattle. Meanwhile, Miami, where everyone thinks of sunshine, has an average annual rainfall of just under 62 inches. Does anyone think of Miami as being THAT much wetter than Boston?

                Again, perception does not always equal reality.

                1. Ok whatever.

                  I live in the City and I see it all of the time.

                  My son works in East Boston and he tells me all of the time what a difference in temperature between East Boston and home in Jp.

                  Nothing you can say will make me change my mind.

                  😀

                2. Perception is an impression. JPD, you are using facts. I’ll stick with you if that is all right.

                  SAK, I would question anyone here who does not believe JPD is very literal and would be basing comments on reality and not perception.

                  For what it is worth which is not a plug nickle, daughter drives from our house to Sutton center daily. The temp is consistently an average of 2.5 degrees lower in the center. Several times it has meant the difference between rain and snow. A few degrees certainly an matter.

                3. Actually Vicki, he is using anecdotal evidence not facts. I have been posting statistical facts that can be verified quite easily.

                4. mmmmhmmmm If your facts show me that it is consistently the same temp at the coast and inland, I’m gonna question your facts.

            2. I’ll agree with JPD. If there is a 5 percent difference and the numbers skew due to it, it does make a difference. It is difficult to have one area be representative of an entire state. If visitors are basing visits on Boston, it also makes sense to not skew it to the lower numbers.

              Truth is, we all know based on reporting from Logan vs reporting from our own WHW family, that Logan does not represent Boston accurately.

              As far as the state, SAK makes a good point that there should be other reporting areas. I see a lot of reports from Bedford but never know why it focuses in there because I don’t have the expertise.

            3. However, Logan and other coastal communities hit their high temp at 10 or 11am most spring days then the seabreeze has it in the mid 40s most afternoons, while inland locations hit their highs mid or late afternoon and at that point, are usually 10F to 12F warmer. Checkmate 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

              1. Actually, on days with a seabreeze, Boston usually hits their max around 6 pm when the seabreeze quits and warmer air moves back in.

                In the end though, the high temperatures all look the same.

          2. There ya go. Yes, indeed.

            Boston’s average highs in April are skewed to the low side, compared to even other parts of the city
            due to that stinken East wind.

            Even in the Summer, seriously it’s been 90 Degrees at my house in JP and in the upper 60s to lower 70s at the airport. That’s insane!

            And of course in Winter there have been many many times it has been snowing at my house and raining at Logan. I remember one instance where we got 5 inches of snow while Logan rained and got zero snow. 😀

            Oh well, what are we to do.

            Slow day at WHW when we have to resort to this.

            On another note: the Sox won and Pomegranate
            pitched really well. He looked awesome which bodes well for the sox. (Of course I mean Drew Pomeranz)

            1. Slow day – but fun and interesting conversation that is certainly weather related.

              On the local front, clouds are thickening out this way.

    1. Not true. They were taken at the Court House in Post Office Square from 1884 until 1929. They were then moved to the City Hall Annex until 1936 when they officially moved to what is now Logan Airport. Charles Orloff wrote a small book about Boston weather observation history for the Blue Hill Observatory a few years ago.

  17. Noon, 53 at Logan.

    65 at home in JP
    67 at Blue Hill
    70 at Norwood
    68 at Bedford
    68 at Worcester
    71 at Fitchburg
    58 at Beverly (that’s at beverly airport, 3 miles back from the Water)

    1. Thanks, JPD. Huge differences. But I truly believe everyone knows the coast is going to be different.

  18. Temporary downage for WHW main account.

    SAK, I always think it’s funny that the info we taught ourselves at school comes in more handy than much of what we learned in classes. 😉

  19. Boston and San Francisco share a few things in common, including the fact that they are coastal cities, but also some pretty significant differentials in temperature across a relatively small area. Logan is definitely in the `cool’ zone in springtime compared to virtually all Boston neighborhoods except East Boston. SFO is actually more inland than most of SF, which means that it is in the `warm’ zone most of the time compared to, say, the area near the Golden Gate Bridge, or downtown, or North Beach, etc .. Of course, the differentials in the Bay Area are even more pronounced, especially in July when it’s often in the 50s in SF, in the 70s in Berkeley, 80s in Oakland, and 90s a little further inland. This has happened to me on numerous occasions.

    1. Indeed, the temps swing interestingly in the San Francisco area. One of my favorite areas to visit.

    2. Yes, indeed. I have always been well aware of that one.
      San Fran’s warmest weather actually falls around Sept-Oct. 😀

  21. Where else do you find discussions like this other than WHW.

    FWIW, the East wind is freshening and coupled with no sunshine anymore
    has resulted in tumbling temperatures even where they were much higher an hour ago.
    I was home at lunch and it was down to 59 already. In fact it was 63 when I arrived
    and 59 when I left. I just checked with my mobile app. It has now dropped to 58 at home.

  22. 12z GFS showing just enough instability for possible thunderstorms on Easter Sunday. If that were to happen it would be a first in my life having a thunderstorm on Easter Sunday. I remember times it has snowed, been cold or warm on Easter.

    1. It snowed on Easter Sunday, 1970, and it was 94 degrees on Easter Sunday, 1976.

      Easter Monday was also Marathon Monday in 1976 and, if I remember correctly, running the Boston Marathon was brutal that year.

      1. I did not mean to imply that I ran the Marathon in 1976. It would take me 2 hours just to find and tie my running shoes and probably injure myself warming up!

  23. The talk of perception vs reality reminded me of something else that TK brought up the other day:

    “Folks act like they have not been in any air 70 or higher for months on a day like this, when they spent 90% of their winter (in most cases) in heated air of 70 or higher inside a house, building, or car.”

    Related to this: If the temperature is 60 degrees in the middle of the afternoon in January, everyone is outside in short sleeves and no jackets (and maybe shorts). If the temperature is 60 degrees in the middle of the afternoon in July, people are wearing long sleeves, jackets, and all bundled up when they head outside. The temperature is exactly the same in both cases, but it doesn’t feel the same. Again, perception is not the same as reality.

    1. Isn’t there some scientific effect on your body that makes you more tolerant of cold temperatures in a cold climate, and more tolerant of warm temperatures in a warm climate?

      1. There must be! My daughter was a figure skater–she routinely skated in a tank top and shorts. She NEVER turned the heat up. She lives in Michigan now, and her rent includes heat (very unusual). She is her landlord’s favorite tenant. Meanwhile, my son hates the cold; went to school in New Orleans and is routinely wrapped in a blanket. When my daughter visited him down south, you could literally see her fading in the heat.

      2. bostbliz, I’d be interested in that. Is it scientific or is it by an individual’s makeup? I have never minded cold, even when I was a skinny thing……..far too long ago. Both of my girls had sweaters on last evening. I don’t even wear a sweater in the dead of winter.

    2. Reminds me of when I was in Bermuda during Valentines week in February.
      We had one really nice day where the temperature was into the 70s. Don’t remember exactly what the temp was, but it was in the 70s. We were there
      with another couple and the 4 of us were at the beach.

      I was the ONLY person in the ocean swimming around having a grand old time. (water temp was in the mid 60s)
      Some Bermudians came by with coats and Ski hats one. Just goes to show you.
      😀

      1. Reminds me: A number of years ago, we were in Orlando, Fl in February. It was in the upper 70s, sunny and we went swimming, in a heated pool, I may add. My sister lives in Tampa and came to see us. She kept saying “You swam?” like I told her we were snorkeling in the Arctic.

        1. When we visited my in laws each April or March, as vacations were changed, my inlaws would ask the condo complex to open the pool. The community would laugh and say “Jean and Bill’s grandkids are here again.” For the life of me, I could never understand why they were not enjoying the entire season rather than nearly the same season we have here.

          In that case it was majority choice.

    3. And that is a perfect example of reality. And also a comment I make on a regular basis to my kids. But then, the reason I understand the difference is I am pathetically literal and as such deal in reality. The error here is generalizing. I already shared my lesson on perception and reality so will save my lesson generalizing for another day. I do believe I heard a collective sigh.

      1. Also, 70 inside (which is rarely reached in my house) is different from 70 outside….not the temperature of course but that you can be outside, have windows open and enjoy nature.

      2. That was a remarkably badly written comment. It is in truth an example of reality and perception. Reality is the temp is 60. Perception is 60 is colder in winter than summer. Sorry about that sak. Although, it does not relate to the fact that temps at the coast are More than often cooler than inland due to the east wind. Not saying they cannot be equally warm but too many variables so sticking with that.

      1. Not sure where the third yes is but I’ll give you two….just don’t understand the comparison between 70 in and out. Apples and oranges to me.

  24. Cold front just came through here in Brockton. Wind shifted to the north, temperatures should start tumbling rather quickly. It was 76 a little while ago, down to 72 now.

    1. Got really dark here in the city and spit a few rain showers. That’s about it.
      Oddly, the temperature actually might go up here now. 😀

  27. Well, I think I’m gaining some optimism for Tuesday – Thursday of next week that we won’t freeze down the cape.

    I sense the 12z runs want to take that wed/thurs system slightly north of southern New England. Coolish Tuesday (40s) and maybe 50s down there Wednesday and Thursday ? Not looking to be greedy, just hoping to avoid upper 30s to low 40s, E and NE winds and fog/drizzle. We are hoping to get outside on the bike trails, walk the beaches, etc. We’ll happily do that if its in the 50s.

  28. Well thousands of Herring returned to Weymouth this morning on the outgoing tide. It looks like a good year so far. I heard that the Gloucester fish counter has already recorded twice as many Herring as there were the whole of last years totals as of today. It is 55 and getting colder here in Hingham.

      1. There were at least 10 trucks parked by water at end of my street by the wanter yesterday, OS. I thought of you.

          1. haha – fisherman trucks! Excellent question. See how perfectly literal you are!! I’m in sutton. Everyone has a truck. They were fishing.

    1. hmmmmmmm – pandemonium I get. Last two days were just short of it. But today is the world seems to have righted itself….at least my world….and for now. Discussion here is fun for me. Well, discussion anywhere is fun for me. A way to learn and understand others. Although you are vague so what you allude to may not be how it is taken…..so expect the unexpected. 😉

        1. Thank you, sir. I did know that….it is part of the cause for the pendemonium I mentioned. That’s why I mentioned discussion a few times. But you and I are assuming that is what he is referring to. Perhaps it is on a larger scale of ….let’s say, the lack of clarity of a person who shall not be named yesterday.

          I actually thought today’s conversation here was more on than off and fun. When my credit card company tells me that over $1000 in false charges appeared on my statement….not so fun. And that was far from the worse in the past two days 😉

  32. I would be curious if snow has ever been accumulated more than once during the month of April, in Boston especially. I can’t recall more than one snow event in the month whether it was major, moderate or very minor. It seems that once we get the “one”, then we were done for the month, and obviously for the season. Maybe my imagination?

    1. Oh sure, it certainly has accumulated more than once during the month.
      I cannot quote you the exact dates, but it has. not sure more than one Major event has ever occurred in April, but I am not prepared
      to make that statement. 😀

    1. Good article, Matt. I buy a lot of the theory of perception in this case. I just tell myself I’m not cold

      I think some has to do with adaptation also. We see that in the animal kingdom.

  35. My “mercury in retrograde” remark is referring to the first few days of this week for me… It was just a venting moment.

    By the way to clarify on the 70 degree commentary. SAK provides perfectly accurate information and I echo that 70 inside and outside are indeed identical by definition. We’re all aware that the perception of 70 inside versus outside is altogether different in the minds of the vast majority of us because of how variable the outside is.

    However, bringing it back, our reasons for recognizing both are essentially the same – in regards to comfort, which puts a bit more irony on the irony. 😉

    1. I’d say the week began for many as yours did. I said that yesterday but blamed the full moon. No wonder it hid behind the clouds last night. It is afraid of mercury also

      Of course 70 in and out are the same. I’m not sure the excitement indicates an lack of understanding that it is the same as much as excitement at getting outside. Folks act excited because they enjoy the outdoors in a different way. Not to mention that, like some of us, they enjoy seeing the world come alive after winters sleep.

  36. I really do not like the Montreal Canadians much but the pre game ceremony tonight against the Rangers pumped me up. If you get a chance … Watch it

  44. No shots on net in the 2nd period for Bruins. None. Nada. Zip. ZERO. Somehow, they’re only losing 1-0. I won’t even discuss what’s going on at Fenway this evening.

    1. I’m with 100%. WaTx he’d part of 1sr period before we went out. It wasn’t too bad. I guess they took a turn for the worse.

  45. Bruins tied. I guess they got off a shot in period 3.

    Sox somehow scored 5 runs, now down 9-5.

  50. Pre-series prediction (can be verified on Facebook) was:
    Bruins in 6, winning games 1, 3, 4, and of course, 6.

    Last time the Bruins had a shotless period before tonight was April 6 1939.

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