Friday Forecast

52 Comments

4:53PM

DAYS 1-5 (SEPTEMBER 15-19)
The remains of Irma continue their passage through the Northeast and will finish the journey and exit into the Atlantic by early Saturday. At the same time a weakening cold front dropping into the region will basically wash out. The tropical pop up showers will fade tonight but the humidity will take a while to depart, only easing gradually during the weekend. Weak high pressure will be in control by Sunday into Monday but cloudiness in advance of Jose will spread into the region as early as later Monday and definitely by Tuesday. Though the timing is still a little uncertain, Jose should get close enough to bring some wind/rain to the region, especially southern and eastern areas, during Tuesday, though its arrival may not be until later day or nighttime.
THROUGH EVENING: Variably cloudy. Scattered showers including some downpours and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Humid. Temperatures mainly in the 70s. Wind light variable.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Areas of fog. Humid. Lows 60-65. Wind light E.
SATURDAY: Variably cloudy. Areas of fog early. Slight chance of showers. Humid. Highs 68-75. Wind light E.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Areas of fog. Lows 60-65. Wind light variable.
SUNDAY: Partly cloudy. Slightly less humid. Highs 68-75 coast, 75-82 interior. Wind light variable.
MONDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows from the upper 50s to middle 60s. Highs in the 70s.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain, especially late. Lows from the lower to middle 60s. Highs from the upper 60s to middle 70s.

DAYS 6-10 (SEPTEMBER 20-24)
Jose may continue to impact the region with a rain/wind threat for at least southern and eastern areas September 20. After this it should become drier but mild to warm.

DAYS 11-15 (SEPTEMBER 25-29)
Will continue to watch the tropics for additional activity but overall a fairly dry and warm pattern is expected.

52 thoughts on “Friday Forecast”

  3. Repeat for Weatherbee2

    FOR: weatherbee2
    And anyone else with an Android Smart Phone

    Here is a link to the new and improved Woods Hill Weather app

    https://mega.nz/#!AboX2AaT!Kdmerl1WiquOlQEN3Epj8OmEoZtLuza0Zrxxz8wnFXg

    Because I copied that and AM not at home to retrieve link, you will have
    to type that link into your Android Browser. Good luck.

    As far as I know, this link simply downloads the install file to your device.
    Just check for an icon when you download in case
    it installs, but I did not see that happening when I downloaded it.
    If not, you may need “file manager” OR “APK Installer” to install.
    Both are available
    on the Google play store.

    1. Oh, it did come out as a link. Then simply open up WHW weather blog
      in your Android Browser and click on the above link. 😀

  9. Ace, I been watching the ENSO for a bit, deff been decreasing and is now below neutral for some time, I am not surprised at all that they have increased the chance for La-Nina. I have also noticed the warm waters off the pacific northwest with a blob of cold southeast of Alaska. Shall see how these areas of warm and cold move around. Interesting note, look at the area south of cape cod. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/ocean/cdas-sflux_ssta_global_1.png

  10. Interesting radar today. Weather outside was also pretty good even though I’m a hater of humidity. The reason being that it is always beautiful to me when you have showers falling with blue sky and even sunshine around.

    1. Predecessor Rain Event
      Basically an area of heavy rainfall that occurs out ahead of a landfalling tropical storm. We had one a few years ago ahead of a system (forgot which one) that dumped a fair amount of rain in portions of SNE. I recall a lot of discussion on this blog about the PRE leading up to that one

      1. Doesn’t a Pre involve some kind of interaction with a trough? In the case with Jose, there will be no such trough, or very weak front at best. One would think a pre even wouldn’t apply in this situation

        1. Thanks also, Ace. It was mentioned in previous blog but I didn’t know what it meant. Now you have me more curious

        2. No, I don’t think it needs to have interaction with a trough but the storm I am thinking of did have an approaching front from the west which I believe helped squeeze the moisture out ahead of the system.

  17. 0Z GFS even more intriguing. Comes straight North towards SNE and then slides East to ENE Just SOuth of SNE and just about over or just East of the Cape.
    Dumps plenty of rain on us.

    1. I really don’t understand this product. I get the overall idea, but it doesn’t tell you anything about timing.

    1. And with a dose of actual meteorological input from people who know what they are doing at the NHC. I doubt that chart is generated solely on model-ology.

      2. Ya think? Even so, I guarantee they have their own set of
        predjudices. ie like Barry Burbank often being married to the
        Euro.

  21. Good morning, everyone:
    JPD, I love your quote from yesterday afternoon,
    “Hurry up! (yelling at the European)…I have a 3PM meeting.”

    So funny! So true! Made my day!!!!

    I was thinking the same thing with a class coming into my room!
    I guess we’ve all been doing a lot of model watching the last couple of weeks!

    Wednesday’s tides in New Bedford harbor will be the highest of the month because of the new moon. High tide Wednesday morning will be 4.8′. High tide on September 20 is 8:37 am.

    Have a great weekend, y’all. It will be an interesting one, for sure.

    Go Pats! Go Sox!

  23. It’s very clear this morning that Jose is not going to be a major event for our area, not that there was ever much chance of that. The track still has to be ironed out, but we’re looking at anything from a low impact glancing blow to a more moderate impact associated with a direct landfall of a decaying storm. I think just offshore is more likely. What Jose has done is interesting, as such a storm normally would be a total non-factor going out to sea. But this is not a pattern that supports a true New England hurricane strike. Jose is also much too weak to begin with to be a serious hurricane threat. You need a Cat 2+ in the area where it is now to have a chance. Hopefully, we get some beneficial rain out of it.

    Some of my attention is already turning to Invest 96L in the Atlantic, which models suggest could become a powerful hurricane tracking similar to or a little south of Irma in the days ahead.

      1. With that track, a decent blow of wind/rain for the Cape and a glancing shot for the rest of us. Just my take..fwiw.

        Of course, I would rather see Jose miss us completely.

  25. So we have Hurricane Jose, Tropical Storm Lee, and TD 15 which should soon be TS Maria, and we also have a new post! See you there…

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