Sunday Forecast

73 Comments

7:27AM

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 28-MAY 2)
Weak low pressure moves rapidly across the region today, with its track suppressed slightly to the south which will limit rainfall in areas north of the Mass Pike, although to the south it won’t be too significant a rain event either. A similar system comes along with the rain timed for the first 12 hours of Tuesday. High pressure tries to build in for a break on May 1 but the boundary nearby again by the end of the period means additional risk of cool and unsettled weather.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Clouding over. Rain arrives west to east midday through afternoon. Highs 50-57. Wind light variable.
TONIGHT: Cloudy evening with rain ending west to east. Clearing overnight. Lows 35-42. Patchy frost. Wind variable 5-15 MPH becoming N.
MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 55-60 coast, 60-65 interior. Wind NW 5-15 MPH becoming light variable with sea breezes.
MONDAY NIGHT: Clouding over evening. Cloudy overnight with a chance of rain. Lows 40-47. Wind light variable.
TUESDAY: Cloudy. Chance of rain morning. Highs 48-55. Wind E 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 40-47. Wind light NE.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 55-62, coolest South Coast. Wind S 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 45-52. Wind light variable.
THURSDAY: Cloudy. Chance of rain. Highs 48-55. Wind light NE.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 3-7)
Wave of low pressure passes just to the south with a wet/cool day possible May 3 then low pressure departs for a dry but cooler May 4-5 weekend. More wet/cool weather possible about May 6 before it warms up a little at the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 8-12)
Overall pattern doesn’t change much, temperatures cooler than average overall with a risk of a few episodes of wet weather.

73 thoughts on “Sunday Forecast”

    1. I was pleasantly surprised myself. Getting up this morning I was expecting the usual gloom ahead of the afternoon drenching which I assume we cannot avoid. Anyway it was wonderful to go to work in total sunshine from beginning to end for the first time in a long time. 🙂

      1. Sorry. Philip. I was being facetious. I asked TK Friday which morning would be better for our Easter Hunt. I suggested this morning because it’s been in TKs forecast for a while.

        I was outvoted by my girls because their weather apps said yesterday am would be rain free. While it worked out and the kids got a kick out of hunting in the showers….kids are remarkably resilient…..please note that I said MY GIRLS preferred their apps over what I had told them was the choice of TK and WHW.

          1. That was another reason I was thinking today. I’m busy resting from chasing six grands yesterday 😉

  6. Good morning and thank you TK.

    There looks to be a 50-50 shot rain stays South of Boston.
    We shall see. Channel 4 had a nice video of SNOW falling on blooming tulips
    in Chicago.
    As it stands snow, sure does not look like any chance for even a mix here

    Too bad for the Bruins. That game could easily have gone either way.
    Goalies were awesome. Unless I am missing something, these teams sure
    appear to be evenly matched. Should go 7 games and the winner is a toss up.

  8. Logan recorded 1.40 inches total for the last event.

    JPD – Just curious, what did your gauge say?

    1. Note sure as it was split over 2 days.
      But from what I remember it was somewhere right around that 1.4 from Logan
      give or take a bit.

  9. Boston runs 4F above normal with below normal precipitation through April 21 and (almost) everybody thinks it’s the worst month ever. Nope!

    Now from April 22 to the end of the month it’s certainly a “less agreeable” pattern if you don’t like cool and frequent wet weather. And I acknowledge that the amount of days with rain at least for part of them was way up, no denying that, but it was not a horrendous month either. Even now with rainfall in the 6 inch area, that’s wet, but most of it fell in 2 days and that’s not astronomically above average either. This has been kind of a neat weather pattern from a weather geek’s perspective to have so many systems that happened to occur late one calendar day to early the next, making it seem wetter than it actually was, when you look at how many days it precipitated on. But it didn’t actually precipitate on us for that many hours, total. 😉 We’ve had it a lot worse.

    1. Hi TK,

      Do you see a pattern transition from damp/cooler to drier and warmer sometime in May or is there no end in sight of this progressive pattern? Thanks as always.

      1. 21 out of 30 days of rainfall is an awful lot imo. That means only 9 days of at least partial sunshine and off the top of my head, only 2 or 3 were mostly sunny/totally clear.

        If my math is correct, April had only 30% of the possible sunshine for the month. 🙁

        21/30 = 70% clouds/precip

  10. Thanks TK!
    I saw alisonsrod post and immediately I thought of the possibility of frozen precip in the forecast.
    Btw: Happy Easter (pascha) to you too Vicki!!

  11. AccuWeather Trivia Quizzes.

    1) On average, how many flashes of lightning occur worldwide each day?

    A. 8,600
    B. 86,000
    C. 860,000
    D. 8,600,000

    2) On average, Boston’s high temperature in May starts at 60 degrees and ends at …

    A. 64
    B. 68
    C. 72
    D.76

    Answers later today.

  13. Thank you, TK.

    It’s been a gloomy April. That’s why this morning’s sun perked up all of our spirits. We’ve become accustomed to the grays, although last Thursday was a gem.

    I agree with TK that there hasn’t been much that has been out of the ordinary this April. But, I do agree with Philip that sunshine has been a relatively rare occurrence.

    On hockey, Columbus is a very good team. They disrupt the Bruins’ flow, hit as hard as the Bruins, have an excellent goalie, and take advantage of mistakes (there were several egregious ones by the Bruins last night). It’s going to be a long series and a tough one for Boston to win. I think they can, but their `big three’ has to show up. Otherwise, Columbus wins.

  14. Philip you are greatly misrepresenting April. I have not denied the fact that we have had plenty of days with precipitation. but many of those days it only precipitated for a relatively short period of time which does not equate to 20 wet days.

    Regarding the percentage of sunshine I do not have the exact calculation yet but I have a partial calculation and a partial approximation saying that we are running in the 60 to 65% of possible sunshine range through yesterday.

    1. Thanks TK for clearing that up for me. As far as the possible sun, I was afraid that you were saying that it was actually even lower. 🙂

      My basement, however, says otherwise. More water came in overnight yesterday. 😉

      1. I can definitely sympathize with the water in the basement thing. Doesn’t happen here like it did in the 1970s but I’ve had a couple other leaking issues more recently (semi-flat roof over my den, the only part of the house like that). They are coming this week to fix it.

  15. By the way, Northern and even parts of Central Quebec are firmly in the grip of winter. Schefferville, for example:

    https://weather.gc.ca/city/pages/qc-115_metric_e.html

    Quebec City is still cold at times as well. I wonder when people up there can start gardening. I know their season ends in September, about a month before ours. But it also starts a month later. Of course, in places like Schefferville the gardening season is about 6-8 weeks.

  16. IDK. I seem to recall a fair amount of days with brilliant sunshine. I also recall JPD had said a couple of times that we are having a wonderful (May not be exact word but close) spring. Didn’t everyone have sun yesterday? Or was it just Sutton. After all life is better in Sutton 🙂

    1. Yes I did. And I’ll repeat it. It has been great. I am not complaining in the slightest and you know I am not afraid to bitch. 🙂

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    1. I am wondering IF I could develop my own interface from the sensors to my
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      BUT the sensors communicate wirelessly with the desktop display, so theoretically it is possible.

  18. Vicki, I like your optimism, and JPDave’s, too. But I must say that in my humble opinion April has been a drag. A few beauties mixed in, but it was mostly gray and often rainy. I thought March was magnificent. I liked the cold start, but also all the sunny and dry stretches throughout the month.

    Weather is probably the number one topic of conversation between strangers, or as an ice breaker at a dinner party. Well, maybe in San Diego people don’t talk about it. But certainly in many parts of this country and others people do. And different people have different preferences. I think that for a weather expert this April has been fascinating. It’s offered a smorgasbord casserole of pretty much everything spring has to offer in New England.

    1. Perhaps it is age for me.
      The older I get, I just appreciate still being here, so sunshine or rain, who gives a rat’s ass. Just enjoy each day while you can. 🙂

  20. Not a fan of basketball, but the C’s pulled off an impressive win against a good team.

    The doldrums continue for the Sox. A sleep-walking team. They need someone in the locker room to shut off the hot water. Ice cold showers for everyone. Maybe they’d wake up. However much I like JBJ the Sox should option him to Pawtucket – they have one option left for him – to have him work on his swing. His head is moving and he overswings all the time. I believe Rusney Castillo could be called up. Undoubtedly he’d be better than JBJ at this point.

  21. The day I complain about the weather just because “I don’t like it” is the day I walk away from it.

    P.S. Not happening. 😉

  22. So, I’ve been unable to convince the mass majority of people that despite the fact we had many days that included some precipitation, the fact we only had 2 big rain events and that the rain is only 2 to 3 inches above normal with temperatures running above normal, we haven’t had the “worst April ever”. Social media has everybody convinced we’ve never had it this bad (incorrectly). So for now I give up trying to have most people understand the actual facts about this month. Social media and weather apps 1, TK 0.

    But one thing we can’t dispute is the fact that RAIN events indeed do under-perform and the majority of the precipitation misses to the south. Happening right now. 😉 See? It’s NOT just SNOW events! BAHAHA! 😀

      1. Yes, but that’s deceiving. A lot of the rain was light, and a lot of it fell at night. And we did not have astronomical rain totals. Above normal, yes, because of two events, otherwise despite the above average number of days with precipitation, take away those 2 bigger days and it was a dry and warm month!

  23. Answers to AccuWeather Trivia Quizzes.

    1) On average, how many flashes of lightning occur worldwide each day?

    A. 8,600
    B. 86,000
    C. 860,000
    D. 8,600,000

    The correct answer is D.

    2) On average, Boston’s high temperature in May starts at 60 degrees and ends at …

    A. 64
    B. 68
    C. 72
    D.76

    The correct answer is C.

  25. Boston’s April Precip (to-date)…

    1: 0
    2: 0.05
    3: 0.40
    4: 0
    5: 0.13
    6: 0.09
    7: 0
    8: 0.31
    9: 0.06
    10: 0.01
    11: 0
    12: 0.11
    13: 0.28
    14: 0.04
    15: 0.72
    16: 0
    17: 0
    18: T
    19: 0.02
    20: 0.17
    21: 0.03
    22: 2.30
    23: 0.21
    24: 0.04
    25: 0
    26: 0.74
    27: 0.66
    28: T (so far)

    And the majority of these fell at night, calendar-day crossing, so that skewed the calendar day #’s up, not a great representation for a record, especially since most of these amounts were not that high. And the 2 bigger rain events, majority of those fell at night.

    #’s don’t lie. April may be frequently unsettled, but this is far from the worst month we’ve ever had.

  26. I view people’s take on New England spring weather differently.

    Clearly, the facts do show that this has been a milder, much milder April than average and as stated, the majority of rain events have been light.

    I believe that what people are really frustrated with is what New England has to offer in its climate from late March through early to mid May.

    I think a majority of folks after a long late autumn and winter are ready to have warmer, comfortable weather than the local climate affords. I really do believe that is it.

    To a majority, I don’t think 45 to 60F is warm. I think most crave for 70 to 80F and it requires a lot of patience for that to arrive.

    Again, though the factual argument supports a milder recent 30 days, I suspect a majority of folks would still say that they wish there could be even more sunshine and warmer temps.

    It’s one of those cases where facts and people’s views don’t necessarily overlap.

  27. Big Job in Scituate needed to be done today & it was finished thanks to Tk working with me since Friday advising me to keep all 3 jobs in place this weekend . He gave me a rain arriving time this morning & he was spot on. Very grateful to you Tk & I just wanted to share it here . It wasn’t just this weekend you & I privately discuss weekends where rain is a threat and I am tremendously grateful for that. Thank you so much Tk .

    2. Glad to be of help and glad the jobs were able to be done around the rainfall. 🙂

  28. After going outside briefly to take out the trash, I would say Logan received 0.1 inch as Barry predicted for day #20. This is assuming their rain gauge is accurate and my eyeball observation is correct. There are puddles out there.

    1. 28 and 29 …it was awesome. Somewhere I have a pic of daffodils with just their heads above the snow.

        1. Easy to remember….my baby brothers 40th wedding anniversary would have been today. His 67th birthday would be tomorrow.

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