Friday Forecast

53 Comments

7:22AM

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 22-26)
Today will be the mildest day of the week as a warm front is passing through to start the day, putting southeastern New England into a warm sector between it and an approaching cold front for several hours, but this cold front won’t waste much time coming through, and after producing a round of rain showers will introduce a chilly wind to the region, which will continue tonight and into Saturday with the return of fair weather. Weather systems moving right along means the next low pressure area will be pouncing upon our area by early Sunday, making that a mostly wet day, except some mix or snow possible near the start and end of the event favoring higher elevations of the interior. Exit, stage east for that low Sunday night, and in comes dry and pleasant weather by November standards for Monday and Tuesday as a sprawling high pressure exerts its control.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Mostly cloudy. Afternoon rain showers possible. Highs 48-53 southern NH and central MA, 54-59 southeastern MA and RI. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
TONIGHT: Clearing. Lows 25-32. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 36-43. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, diminishing gradually.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Clouding over. Lows 25-32. Wind N under 10 MPH.
SUNDAY: Cloudy. Rain likely, except mix/snow possible for a while interior higher elevations mainly morning. Highs 38-45 south. Wind NE 5-15 MPH interior, 10-20 MPH coast, higher gusts possible.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Cloudy evening with rain except interior higher elevation mix/snow possible evening. Clearing overnight. Black ice formation likely. Lows 27-34. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 45-52. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 25-32. Wind W up to 10 MPH.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 46-53. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 27-DECEMBER 1)
West to east flow pattern with a general ridge of high pressure US Southeast and varying amplitude polar jet stream domination northern US. For us this is a pattern of fast-moving systems and it’s always hard to pin down timing and strength of each system as it moves along. Current indications are for a low passing north of the region November 27 with a few rain showers, a shot of colder air with gusty wind for November 28 (Thanksgiving) into November 29, a weak system moving through with a few rain/snow showers November 30, and a broader low pressure system approaching from the west with a precipitation threat about December 1. Will monitor the evolution of the pattern.

DAYS 11-15 (DECEMBER 2-6)
Much the same type of pattern continues. Up and down temperatures, but shots of cold air can be rather sharp. Unsettled weather is most likely very early and again later in the period but low confidence on any timing and scope of systems this far in advance.

53 thoughts on “Friday Forecast”

        1. Well after your time Vicki. I bet your kids had seen SHR though at one time or another on Saturday mornings.

          Thanks CF for the memories! I would say the 1970’s had the best Saturday morning tv. 🙂

    1. Thank you Philip. I was about to post the same but read to see if anyone had already

      I’m thinking many of us remember exactly where we were and the horrific sadness we felt.

    1. LOL, that looks like the lift line at the Bluebird “Express” lift at Mount Snow every weekend of the winter!

      2. Yep, too early in the season for a rant like that. Rant is acceptable if we are still talking about a pattern like that in mid January (a la last season). I don’t think we will be this year.

    1. A lot of drying will take place this evening but there will be patchy ice where drying cannot be completed.

      I believe Sunday night / Monday morning may have more widespread black ice.

  15. Thank you, TK.

    It’s been a while since we’ve had this dismal a stretch of weather. Yesterday was great. But, my goodness, today is awful, as were Monday and Wednesday. Tuesday was very gray. Looks like more grays and rain coming Sunday. I look forward to a calmer stretch, even if it’s just overcast. The cold rains (well, today’s not so cold) are getting old fast.

    1. Today was dry most of the time and quite mild, especially Boston Metro southeast! A few places were nearing 60. We’ll get our share of halcyon days. 🙂

  17. A large fireball was sighted around 5:30 from NYC to Boston. I hope that is not an ominous sign of things to come. 🙁

  18. TK, you’re right. Today was mostly dry. But, when I went out this afternoon for errands it rained the entire time and sadly my good English umbrella broke. Wind gusts in downtown Boston were strong (vortices, I guess).

    I’ll roll with the punches. But, I am looking forward to a calmer period.

    Philip, my guess is the fireball was a meteor. There were several seen over New York state this past summer.

    1. Hayley’s Comet was sighted in 1910, then WW I began in 1914. I would say a correlation…a precursor of what was eventually to come.

      Having said all that, there was a most spectacular sunset. “Red sky at night”…you know the rest. 🙂

      1. That proves very true for today. Nice day. But fast moving stuff, so next storm is in tomorrow. Funny thing is we have a west-to-east flow but it’s actually going to “stop-up” temporarily later next week, but only for a short time.

        1. Does that mean NW flow with chilly air? I noticed high temps from the tv mets well below normal Thanksgiving and beyond.

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