Sunday Forecast Update

69 Comments

8:21AM

DAYS 1-5…
One change in the short term, and that is even though high pressure remains in control for today, there will be more high cloudiness than I had indicated, so even though the sun will shine, it will be filtered and dimmed at times. A period of wet weather is quite likely during the first half of Monday as a warm front approaches, and some additional patches of showers may occur later Monday as it takes all day to get that front through the region. A cold front will slowly push through the region on Tuesday, a day which will feature higher humidity and a risk of showers and thunderstorms. By Wednesday, high pressure will bring a pleasant June air mass to the region. This will be quickly followed by a disturbance bringing some cloudiness and a chance of showers for at least part of Thursday.
TODAY: Variably cloudy including sunshine, filtered to dimmed at times. Highs in the 70s but some upper 60s coast. Wind light variable with developing sea breezes.
TONIGHT: Clouding up. Chance of rain by dawn. Lows 55-60. Wind light E.
MONDAY: Cloudy. Periods of rain, especially morning to midday. Highs in the 60s, coolest coast. Wind E to SE 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 60-65. Highs 70-75 coast, 75-80 interior.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows 55-60. Highs in the 70-75 coast, 75-80 interior.
THURSDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 60-65. Highs in the 70s.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 19-23)…
A few weak disturbances around the region will provide a couple of shower threats during this time, including for part of the weekend of June 20-21. Ocean influence will continue on temperatures especially closer to the coast but overall seasonable temperatures are expected with rainfall near to below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 24-28)…
The first part of the period may feature cooler and showery weather, followed by a return to the pattern of weak disturbances and seasonable temperatures with near to below normal precipitation overall.

69 thoughts on “Sunday Forecast Update”

  1. Thanks TK.
    For Tuesday from SPC. Marginal risk for a good part of SNE. Slight Risk western MA part of northwest CT
    …THE MIDWEST AND NORTHEAST STATES…
    RISK FOR ISOLATED STRONG/SEVERE STORMS — MAINLY DURING THE
    AFTERNOON AND EVENING — WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE OH VALLEY AND
    MID-ATLANTIC STATES THIS PERIOD…WITH THE RISK EXTENDING NWD TO
    INCLUDE PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND AS A CANADIAN COLD FRONT MOVES EWD
    ACROSS THE NORTHEAST WHILE SAGGING SLOWLY SWD ACROSS THE MIDWEST.
    ONGOING CONVECTION EARLY IN THE PERIOD SHOULD — YET AGAIN — HINDER
    DIURNAL DESTABILIZATION…BUT THE PERSISTENT/MODERATELY STRONG WLYS
    THROUGH A DEEP LAYER WILL PROMOTE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED STRONGER
    STORMS/STORM CLUSTERS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.

  4. Thank you TK. Gonna be hard to blast me off of porch….haven’t even gotten around to breakfast. Just coffee, music and a spectacular weather morning.

    1. Do you have any particular music selection today or just randomizing? 🙂

      I’ve spent the morning listening to Spyro Gyra here at home and in the car with Mom. A whole lot of diversity upcoming this afternoon.

      1. Spyro Gyra…..very nice. Good Station to add to Pandora. Thank you

        Here …CCR and Ferante & Teicher and lobo pandora radio stations

        Now Streisand’s partners. I love her voice.

  5. A good dose of rain tomorrow 🙂

    Only 34 days till the beginning of Patriots mini camp. There are so many different buildings and additions going on down here, adding seats,adding restaurants, expanding Patriot Place, a brand new pavilion that seats 800 now. There adding another 5 story hotel and more practice fields. 🙂 enjoy!!!

      1. Saw a graphic from NWS this morning for 0.5″ for boston and up to 1.25″ to the west but it seems too good to be true

  6. Good morning and thank you TK for the update.

    Up to 75 here.

    73 at the airport with NE wind. We shall see how high that one goes. 😀

  8. Sea surface temps are warm-bubbled off to the SE of New England, and have actually risen above normal there. Some of this warmer water may circulate closer to the coast in the next few weeks, lessening the impact of the ocean winds and helping warm the water up a little more for beach visits.

    1. so that is it. We were talking about how bad it is. And believe me I do know it has always been here. I never had a summer without it growing up. We got rid of our poison Ivy two years ago thanks to Mrs North and now it is back in spades. Uxbridge daughter never had any and all of a sudden it is everywhere in her yard.

    2. the environmentalist in me is fuming and wants to capture those humans and put them on an isolated sand island, with no tools, not guns, nothing and let them starve there and die a slow death.

      all of those made me very mad and sick in the stomach, i feel strongly against those idiots that think that is ok to do.

  13. Dew point is 45 at Logan as of Noon. WOW! That is really Dry!!
    Can feel it for sure. Ahhhhh Nice!
    Dew point 46 at Blue Hill and 47 at Norwood, so it is all over Eastern Sections
    for sure.

    71 at the airport wind 070 at 12 knots.

  14. Barry says Logan likely not reach 60 tomorrow so for me it is probably back to closing some windows around my house and getting out a long sleeve shirt to wear tomorrow. I hope I don’t have to turn up the heat again, even for just an hour or so.

    This has been a very strange June in terms of temps…too many ups-and-downs. 🙁

    1. Agree. We actually just closed ALL of our Windows as the house was
      just getting too cool. Want to keep whatever warmth is left for tomorrow. 😀

    2. Logan has its own built in refrigerator. Pay no attention to temperatures out
      there in no mans land!

    3. Hmmm

      Looking at the WPC surface maps for tomorrow, it looks like
      a S to SE wind tomorrow. Seems it should reach 70 easily enough.
      What am I missing?????

  17. 72.7 here. I was outside a bit awhile ago. It is nice out, but can feel the East wind.
    At least it isn’t 57!!!!

  18. Thanks TK, love the format! Quite a bit of model divergence on rainfall potential tomorrow. The Euro looks most bullish with about 1-1.5″ of rain, with the NAM least so, only about .25″ (although the higher 4km resolution NAM shows more. GFS and CMC are in the middle. It’ll be interesting to watch, I’m inclined to join TK in the lower end camp, probably around 0.5″ for most, more west, less east.

    Also, there are some signs we could get a good soaking around next weekend, with enhancement from the tropical disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico, but that’s pretty uncertain. The Euro shows it. Would be interested in your thoughts TK.

    1. Thanks!

      I’m not buying significant rain, as in widespread over 1 inch, tomorrow. Though I think some areas may come in above 0.30 inch, I think most will come in below that.

      I’m also not in “Camp H2O” for next weekend either. Too much westerly flow.

  19. Hanging in at 73 here.

    Welcome to the Big Leagues Mr. Rodriguez!

    Too bad, but the poor guy got hammered for 8 runs today.
    He has been doing so well. It was going to happen sooner or later.
    Now that it has, I hope he learns and performs well the rest of the way
    and the Sox keep him up here.

    1. Oops, I guess he left a runner on when he left the game and of course he
      scored.

      Rookie Eduardo Rodriguez endured his first rocky outing in the Majors, surrendering 9 runs in 4 2/3 innings against the streaking Jays.

  24. Mac’s brother and family are visiting in July from San francisco. They have tickets to fenway. Mac pointed out they are the most expensive ballpark and the sox are not playing well. He said it didn’t matter. It is fenway and there is no park like it. he also said most outside of Boston envy us the history of this park

    Always nice to hear….

  26. Kids were at Humarock today and said the water wasn’t bad at all. They were in and out for about 1.5 hours.

    1. Thank the sea breeze for that. 😀 That’s about the only thing that is good about it. And when it arrives when it is 95 out.

        1. That may be the first bubbles of warmer water nearing the coast. Onshore winds keep the surface water warmer anyway. I’ll be at the beach in Maine next Saturday. That may be some cold water!

          1. Other daughter was there with family sat and said water was numbing. What a difference a day makes

  28. A great example of mid level dry air has been seen today as you could see visually if you were in the area and otherwise on satellite loop the cloudiness just being gobbled up by dry air about 1/2 to 2/3 of the way across southern New England.

  29. this stinks, can it just stay in the freakin 80s for more than 7 days with no rain besides for a spotty thunderstorm/shower. I need this week to be a warm one and hopefully saturday is the best day of the week. its freakin june for crying out loud.

    1. So far the only rainy/cool days are tomorrow and Thursday. I have outdoor activities this week as well.

      1. After that wet and chilly first 2 days and a cool/dry remainder of week 1, week 2 has been warmer than normal with essentially dry weather. Week 2 would be considered quite nice for June. 🙂

          1. I loved it. It was neat having 2 days that felt like early April to start June. Not like we haven’t had days in late March and April that felt like June/July, right? 😀

  30. Barry says Boston gets up to 0.75″ for tomorrow and tropical rains for sometime next weekend from the remnants of a tropical storm TBD in the Gulf of Mexico.

  31. Next Sunday, 6/21 ….. Here are the Boston TV Stations opinions ……

    Ch 4 : wet AM, 68F

    Ch 5 : showers, 80F

    Ch 7 : partly sunny, 87F.

      1. At 7 days out it should come as no surprise. And that’s one of the reasons I trimmed back to a 5-day detailed forecast.

    1. Not a good sign for beneficial rains for us in eastern sections in MA especially… if that drying trend continues.

  34. Moderate rain, .05 so far, ik I asked this yesterday, but are we still thinking less than .30?

  35. Starting to increase a bit from light rain to not so light here in West Newton. It would be nice to get a day or two of this.
    This kind of rain can be beautiful.

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