Friday Forecast

85 Comments

7:34AM

DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 3-7)…
Cold front pushes through today with scattered showers. A split weekend with high pressure bringing nice late spring / early summer weather Saturday then a progressive but potent low pressure system bringing a good chance of rain and possible thunderstorms Sunday. The rain is badly needed by the timing is not great as many graduations are scheduled for Sunday around the area, so if you are involved in or attending one, be ready for whatever “Plan B” is for that school because it may very likely happen. Drier weather arrives for Monday behind this system but another disturbance will bring more cloudiness and the threat of a few showers again during Tuesday.
TODAY: Mostly cloudy. A few episodes of scattered showers. Highs from the middle 60s South Coast and Cape Cod to the lower and middle 70s elsewhere. Wind S to SW 10-20 MPH.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 50s. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs from the upper 60s to middle 70s Cape Cod and coastal areas, upper 70s to middle 80s interior locations. Wind W to variable 5-15 MPH with developing sea breezes.
SUNDAY: Cloudy. Increasing chance of rain. Lows upper 50s to lower 60s. Highs middle to upper 60s.
MONDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers. Slight risk of thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Highs upper 60s to middle 70s.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Slight risk of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to middle 60s. Highs in the 70s.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 8-12)…
Fair weather June 8-9. Risk of showers returns June 10 into June 11 before fair weather returns later June 11 into June 12. Temperatures mostly below normal to start then moderating to closer to normal.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 13-17)…
No major changes. A continued progressive pattern dominated by a broad trough Great Lakes to Northeast will bring a couple of disturbances through the region with uncertain timing this far in advance. Episodes of wet weather would likely be brief and on the lighter side. Temperatures near to below normal.

85 thoughts on “Friday Forecast”

    1. Little early. What should be applied now, or even last week, should have been higher nitrogen stuff like 25-0-0 with broadleaf control. The grub stuff goes down in early July when the beetles actually lay the eggs.

      1. Thanks, I was wondering what to put down now. We are planning to use nematodes for grub, tick, etc. And yes, too early for grub.

        1. Sorry John, cant agree with you. You’re just wasting product by putting it down now. I know there are many websites that say put it down in spring and early summer, but that’s for areas of the country that have been in the 80’s since April and have very warm soil. Beetles don’t start to lay eggs around here for at least 3-4 weeks. Right now is step 2 for fert; high nitrogen, and weed control. And I know it says the treatment lasts 4 months, but that’s not realistic. But to each his own. 🙂

        2. I think of Spring/early Summer as mid-june – early July. I usually apply grub-ex just before the 4th of july holiday.

        3. John, I was going to put down this time last year and I thought you were one of folks who told me it was too soon. I know many did advise me to wait.

        1. 4th of July or thereabouts is perfect. The Grubex doesn’t kill the beetle or the eggs, it kills the larvae. The eggs wont hatch here until really late June or early July. So if you put it down too early, it just sits there and starts to lose potency. That said, the chemical will last for a 2-3 months, but theres no reason to put it down until the eggs are actually laid. Really the best way to do it is to put down the stuff separate from the early July fert, but that separate product is usually only available to professional landscaper/lawn guys. Hardware stores/HD/Lowes sell the grubex mixed with the fert.

          1. We can agree to disagree but I’m a groundskeeper/ laborer who has been in the field a long time . I will be putting mine down Sunday morning with the rain coming in that day as grubex needs to be watered in. Again we can agree to disagree . Have a great day and happy Friday

            1. I’m in the public works field and we are all told to not apply GrubX type treatments until the end of June, beginning of July. As Blackstone says, the treatment only affects the larvae. If there are no larvae present, then you are putting chemicals on your lawn that won’t do anything.

  5. Good morning and thank you TK.

    You have to STOP with this near to BELOW normal temperature crap! 😀

    2. It can’t always be above you know. 😛

      Near to even slightly below normal temps in June are quite comfortable. We’re not talking about raw ocean 40s anymore. 😉

      1. For what it’s worth, I love it. I’m like Mrs. JPD – I can’t tolerate heat and humidity, so if was a constant 72-82 all summer with low humidity, I’d be happy. My vegetable garden probably wouldn’t be though 🙂

      2. You think for 1 second I don’t know that? 😀 😀 😀

        It’s my nature to BITCH about things, that is all.

        I suppose I should stop bitching all together, but this is a great
        forum to vent about the weather, so I do.

        And actually, I should not be Complaining at all as this weather makes my wife much more comfortable. She actually gets
        physically sick with the HHH weather.

        I am placing my order for consistently DRY weather with temperatures in the low to mid 80s for the Entire Summer.

        Think that you could fill that order?

        1. That would be wonderous, JPD. If I may ask, does your wife get a bad tummy with the HHH weather? I do, it’s BAD… 🙁

          1. Yes, among many other symptoms.
            It’s awful, I mean she is really sick almost like
            having the full-blown Flu. Even when we have 3 or 4 window AC units going, the second she leaves one of those rooms, Wham and then it doesn’t go away when in the cooler rooms. She is basically out of commission until the air mass changes and gets into the house.

            I can tolerate the heat no matter what. I can sleep in it, doesn’t matter. I don’t particularly like the HHH weather, but I can manage. My wife cannot.

            1. I feel so badly for her – I really just get the bad tummy, but also get lightheaded 🙁 I keep hydrated, but still, it’s too much. I find popsicles help a LOT!

      3. Average….made up of high and low which give average or “normal”.

        Vicki’s dictionary 101. Without lows and highs, how would we have a normal 🙂

  7. Wind still EAST at the Airport.

    IS there any other wind direction over there????????????????????????

        1. It’s been a theme for a while. I don’t think it’s going to change anytime soon.

          To me what’s a bit odd – and I’m sure TK will correct me on this – is that with the persistent easterly we haven’t seen much rainfall. So, we’re in a water deficit situation without a prolonged southwesterly flow, and without much heat of any kind.

          2. A lot of the east wind has been during episodes of high pressure with the high center north of here but close enough to keep us dry.

    1. I only briefly caught Harvey last night and also read TK and I don’t think either of them mentioned much other than a chance at a brief or scattered shower, which did especially come through Connecticut.

      I don’t know what other forecasters said though.

        1. Thanks, I am. Down a bunch of weight, eating healthier and exercising. Just trying to get through the very very very busy last couple weeks of school. June 17th 🙂 🙂 :). Hope all is well with you.

    2. Pssstttt, John. Let me point you to the top of the page and the only weather source you need 😉

    3. We all had scattered showers, which meant some areas would see nothing. Verified exactly as expected.

  9. Their timing and positioning appear to be a bit different, but in general, the GFS and EURO kind of suggest a disturbance riding over the central US ridge and sliding from NW to SE somewhere in the vicinity of New England around June 11th.

    I think we’d be on the more stable side, but perhaps southwestern NY State, PA and the mid Atlantic could be in for convection in that scenario ??????

  11. To show you how anomalous the weather pattern is in Europe, the western flank of Ireland (normally a place that sees a perpetual onslaught of Atlantic lows) is tranquil, sunny, and near 70F. Been that way for awhile, and looks to stay that way a few more days. Meanwhile, the atmosphere in Central Europe in particular is extremely unstable, producing flooding rains, destructive thunderstorms, and significant fluctuations in temperature. The nearly stationary low sitting atop Europe is expected to depart eastward, allowing the prevailing summer weather profile of (weakening as opposed to strengthening) Atlantic lows and periodic Scandinavian highs to dominate.

  13. Could anyone out there venture thoughts on Southern NH (Keene) area for Monday? Planning an outdoor late afternoon event and dinner for a large group and it feels like a tough call…rain ending in the AM or will it linger? Thanks for any help you can provide!?

    1. Not the resident Met, but looking at the Euro, it appears the rain will
      be all done by early to mid afternoon. Mostly done by mid-morning, but perhaps
      a few light showers until early to mid afternoon. Later afternoon and evening
      look OK. Now please understand, it is strictly looking at the 12Z Euro
      and nothing else.

      I have been so tied up on other things, I have not been model watching
      like I am accustomed to doing.

      TK is the ULTIMATE source around these parts, the rest of us will
      give our best, but we’re not Mets.

      2. Sorry, forgot, except our newest member, SDK. He is also
        a Met and from what TK says, a really fine one at that.

        1. You mean SAK. 😀
          And yes he’s one of the best, in my opinion. We also share a fairly similar, no-hype, just the facts style with the ability to dress it up a bit when it’s appropriate for the occasion.

          1. Thank you for the kind words good sir.

            As for the original question, I agree that the rain should be mostly over in Keene Monday morning. My concern would be for popup stuff in the afternoon, especially if we get any sunshine. With an upper-level trough in the neighborhood, I think that will be a common theme for the 1st half of next week.

    2. you should become dry by noon time Monday. Heaviest rain is done by 9am for your area

  14. Vicki’s view on the east wind.

    What??? You didn’t think I have a view? Silly people. I have a view in everything

    Front of new house faces east…a tad to south but mostly east. FR couch is opposite one of two windows. When the east wind blows, it is natural AC. What more could I ask for?

    And yes, you all know it takes very little to make me happy 🙂

  15. I still see no evidence of any sustained warm weather. Just the opposite. It’s doing everything it can to drape a trough over us for the next 10 days. Polar jet is relentless. GFS shows maybe some warmer weather in here toward the end of the run, buts what’s new. That never pans out. Long range I see NOTHING that gives me any hope of a semblance of summer. I know it’s 7 days out and it’s probably a rip and read Euro forecast from ‘BZ, but they have a high of 64 end of next week. Probably change 4 times in the next 3 days, but it shows you that the euro wants nothing to do with bringing any warm air in here.

    1. I feel like JPDave ranting about no snow and cold showing up 🙂 As much as he likes his snow, and Joshua likes his cold, I loves my heat and humidity.

    2. There isn’t really any evidence of sustained cool weather either, just shots of it. Temps today are going to end up above normal, then below Sunday before rebounding to near normal Monday-Tuesday. The cooler than normal period comes middle to end of next week, followed by a a rebound to seasonable, one more cool down before going above normal around the June 18-19 weekend. We may get a shot of serious heat around June 20-22.

  17. Thanks TK. Had a great week in Silver Spring. Came home today. Learned a lot about NOAA. Concluded things yesterday with a tour of the Center for Weather and Climate Prediction, which houses the WPC, CPC, and OPC, among others. I’d love to work there someday.

    Looks pretty dry around here, and I get the feeling that Sunday’s event may under-perform.

  19. This is a test of the comment posting system. In the event a real comment was posted, you would have just read it. This concludes the test of the comment posting system. We now return you to your regularly scheduled programming already in progress.

        1. Actually, I spent most of my life with a guy who had your sense of humor 🙂

          Keep it coming !!

  20. WordPress was having an issue sending some non spam postings to thensure spam folder. Will fix those and keep an eye on it.

  21. Whoa TK he has pictures and they move!!

    Seriously though, very nice blog SAK. You had me the moment I saw the graphic at the top.

    As an aside….why name a hurricane Bonnie and not have Clyde follow

      1. Most definitely a he.

        And I hadn’t even thought of the Bonnie/Clyde again for names. Someone clearly dropped the ball there.

          1. You are always thinking Vicki. I never would have thought of it, as much as I am a fan of the Bonnie & Clyde mystique. I believe PBS had an American Experience episode about them just last year. 🙂

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