Friday Forecast

106 Comments

7:33AM

DAYS 1-5 (SEPTEMBER 9-13)…
A cold front is moving through early today and will slow down and come to a stop near the South Coast during the day. It is there that the humidity will hang on highest while elsewhere it drops off gradually during the day. The trade-off will be that it will turn out on the hot side this afternoon. After some early-day showers depart, another pop up shower or thunderstorm may occur closer to the front near the South Coast this afternoon or evening. This front will then push northward across the region overnight and Saturday morning as a warm front, and may trigger a few additional showers. The front pushes back to the north during Saturday and a cold front approaches from the west at night then passes by Sunday morning with yet another shower threat. You’d think with all these shower threats we’d be getting some decent drought relief, but outside of a few downpours in isolated locations, it’s not likely to happen regionwide anytime soon. And this will be solidified by the fact high pressure builds in later Sunday through Tuesday with more dry weather.
TODAY: Mainly cloudy with scattered showers and patchy fog through mid morning. Partial clearing South Coast, sunnier elsewhere, midday and afternoon, but an additional late-day shower or thunderstorm is possible near the South Coast. Remaining humid South Coast, lowering humidity elsewhere. Highs from 78-85 South Coast, 86-92 elsewhere. Wind W up to 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Risk of a few showers. Patchy fog. More humid. Lows 64-71, warmest urban areas. Wind light variable.
SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers morning. Partly sunny afternoon. Humid. Highs 76-84, coolest South Coast. Wind SE to S 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Risk of a few showers overnight. Patchy fog. Humid. Lows 62-68, warmest urban areas. Wind S to SW 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers morning. Mostly sunny afternoon. Less humid. Highs 74-82. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows 52-60. Highs 75-82.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows 50-58. Highs 78-85.

DAYS 6-10 (SEPTEMBER 14-18)…
Very warm September 14 with a passing shower or thunderstorm possible with a cold front approaching. Fair, cooler/drier September 15-16. Fair, warming up September 17-18.

DAYS 11-15 (SEPTEMBER 19-23)…
Brief threat of showers early or mid period, otherwise mainly dry. Temperatures generally above normal.

106 thoughts on “Friday Forecast”

  4. Good morning and thank you TK.

    Can we please get this humidity OUT of here????

    DP 72 this morning at my house.

    IF a front passed, one would never know it. NO push of dry air for sure. Hardly any wind. NOT much of a front at all.

    Rained last night, sort of. NOT enough to trip the rain gauge. I can’t tell you how many times that has happened.

    Big story about Worcester on the news last night. EMERGENCY water restrictions.
    Their main reservoir is basically bone dry. Pretty pathetic.

    1. Whatever we had in night also didn’t trip gauge. Four mornings in a row I’ve wakened to sort of wet ground. 0.04 for three and nada for fourth

      I heard Worcester buying quabbin water. Not good all around.

      Im surprised we do not have an all out ban. I believe we are still allowed every other day at night

        1. Funny two people on my street ignore it…they water their lawns everyday twice a day. Drives me nuts…

          1. We have a lot of watering on our street that doesn’t comply either. I just turned the system off but may have to water some this weekend – within compliance.

      2. We best be careful with Quabbin which as of a week ago
        was at 85% of capacity. I’m sure it’s down some more in
        that week.

        2016 QUABBIN RESERVOIR LEVELS

        Date Elevation (ft) Volume (mg) Capacity (%)
        09/01/16 521.89 350,775 85.1

        Link to operational status and communities served.
        Note: they call it normal operations until it gets to 80% of
        capacity.

        http://www.mwra.state.ma.us/monthly/watersupplystatus.htm

      1. Yes, I knew it was going to be slow, but I least expected a little
        bit of wind from the NW or W. Practically still air when I left
        the house this morning. Unless it picks up quickly, we are wide
        open for sea breezes today, which would actually be a GOOD thing. 😀

  8. Thank you, TK.

    Below is a link to a bad article in many ways in that it is inaccurate. It reports “heavy rains” following drought. We certainly did not have heavy rains, unless 0.4 inch is “heavy.” And, it says the bacteria came after the rain. No, they were there long before. I’ve observed and smelled the bacteria for many weeks now, and have WHW posts to prove it. But, it is now official that there is a cyanobacteria outbreak in the Charles River. I think it does have to do with the drought. Rain does many things including cleansing and refreshing waterways. None of that has been happening in recent months.

    http://www.boston.com/news/local-news/2016/09/09/cyanobacteria-detected-in-portions-of-the-charles-river

    1. I wonder where it starts? Waltham? Watertown? Newton?

      I sure didn’t see it in Dedham and Needham. There are several Dams In Newton,Waltham and Watertown. I suspect the problem is from the
      Waltham Dam and points down stream.

      1. Don’t know. I’m seeing it in and around Boston. The article does not say it’s in and around Boston. Yet, it’s obvious to the naked eye, and it smells.

  9. Very interesting game last night. A rematch of sorts, I guess, although the 1st game of a season in no way has the same import as a Superbowl. But, is it me or are there even more ads (prolonging games and reducing the amount of real action seen) this year? I find the game unwatchable as a result. As recently as a few years ago you didn’t have ads after the 2-minute warning. Now it’s a cascade of mind-numbing, inane, horrible ads at all times throughout the game.

  14. AS of 10:55 AM, Logan’s Dew Point STILL at 72.

    I have a DP reading of 75 at home! YIKES!!!

    This may kill any chances of us making a wedding in Plymouth tomorrow.
    I know it will be cooler along the shore tomorrow, but we have to get
    to that point.

    This is BRUTAL)(!@&#*!@*(#^&*(!@^#*(!&@*#&*(!@&#*&!*@#&

  16. I don’t understand these very dark mid-mornings looking like a huge downpour any second followed by bright blue skies. This summer has been “beyond” strange. Some afternoons as well.

    1. I agree. My daughter made the comment yesterday that she had never seen so many times that it seemed as if it were certain to rain and nothing happened. I suspect it is, in part, because we are all very aware of the drought but it is definitely odd.

    2. Perhaps the lower morning sun angle, lasting towards 8 or even 9am now that its September. Its just not as strong or high as in mid summer to cast as bright a light through the cloud cover …….

  17. Thanks TK !

    Dear goodness, its too hot and humid !!

    Someone create an arctic front, please !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    1. I’m with you. My wife is sick already from this bullshit!

      She’s worried about being able to make the wedding tomorrow in Plymouth.
      She’s trying to hide in the AC all day, but it’s not always possible.

      DP all the way down to 70 at Logan! 😀 😀 😀 😀 More bullshit!

      Logan has reached 90 today for what, the 21st time this year?
      Makes 25 or 26 times at my house.

      2. Thinking of your wife Jp Dave, it surely is draining. I’m spent from today alone in the 90F hallways. Thankfully, our rooms are closer to 80F with the window unit.

        Thanks Vicki !! 🙂 🙂

        1. 🙂

          Did you ever make it to the rockport wedding? I feel so badly that Mrs OS is so affected by the weather

          1. No, we got as far as KenneyBunkPort and had
            to turn around and come home. My wife laid on the bed and cried.

  18. im loving this, weather, keep it coming till october 🙂 Humidity hold the heat at night which in turns holds the heat in the pool 🙂

  19. Will see if I am woken up tomorrow night. This tweet from Ryan Hanrahan
    I wouldn’t be surprised if we saw a strong thunderstorm Saturday night/Sunday AM. Mid level lapse rates steeped, decent shear.

  22. One thing I feel more confident about Saturday Night …..

    Another overnight hold or even rise in temperatures.

    It happened last night and at least a few other times this summer.

    The warmest core of the airmass will pass through Saturday night, setting us up for a pretty warm Sunday, even as some cold air advection takes over.

  25. Earlier this morning I felt a drop or two of rain on my long walk to work. The sky looked threatening. The air felt like it was heavy and ready to discharge some H2O. But, of course the atmosphere only produced a rather pathetic display of water production. I had my umbrella ready just in case, but naturally it remained unopened.

    Across the pond our northern European friends have been experiencing record-setting heat (and humidity). After a cool and very damp summer, an unusually warm cycle of weather has hit countries like the Netherlands. I can tell you definitively that they are not accustomed to 85 degree weather in September, but they’ve had several days in the mid 80s and are expecting that trend to continue next week. There may be a few spots that reach 90 or above. Records will likely fall in some places.

  28. DP may be crashing, but so is the DJ. Down more than 300 points today. The easy money policies of the Fed and other central banks can’t continue forever. Investors realize this.

  29. The EURO stays consistent the last few runs for a decent cool down in about a week.

    I’m just worried that by Monday or 48 to 72 hrs prior, the EURO will back off a bit on the cool down. I don’t think the GFS is as strong with the cool shot.

    1. I am so in the moment right now that I have not even looked at models for future dates in days. So unlike me, but I’ve been extremely busy. BIG project at
      work. I have to do all of the software for 837 billing submissions.

  30. We are probably going to have to wait until October for any persistent cooling and even then, who knows? The last few fall seasons have been overall on the warm side. I wouldn’t be surprised if November is above normal as well the way things have been going.

    1. There won’t likely be persistent anything temperature-wise, only persistent dryness, for many weeks to come.

  31. LOGAN has made 93 and tied the record, UNLESS there is another round issue
    and it was only 92. But on the site with the 5 minute updates, it is reading 93.

    09 Sep 3:00 pm 93 70 47 W 8 10.00 FEW045 29.79 29.81

    1. When you see a flare of storms that moves basically the opposite direction from the low level circulation that appears there virtually cloud-free, that’s usually a sign that no development will be occurring there.

    2. Almost identical in all respects to pre-Hermine a couple weeks ago. Only difference, as carefully noted by the NHC, is that upper level conditions will not become more favorable for this one as they did for Hermine.

  34. I’m not sure if anyone mentioned this, but for several hours on Tuesday of this week there were ZERO tropical cyclones on the entire planet. That’s a rare occurrence in September. 🙂

  35. Both models show a cooler day for Monday behind the front that moves through Sunday night. Short lived.
    Another front moves through Wednesday night
    EURO shows it lasting through Saturday Afterwards, red takes over most of North America escept for parts of the southern and Central plains.

    GFS shows it Thursday and friday with warmer temps moving in later Saturday.
    Again red takes over most of North America Except below normal temperatures also move into the rockies as well as parts of the plains.

    Just looks warm. Sorry guys but summer is sticking a while a bit 😛

  37. dp down to 65 here. Finally able to feel the difference. Still a little sticky, but better than the 74 it was earlier.

      1. 67 here but air seemed to have promise of less humidity
        Being a person who lives by the sea, I wonder if you know why there are seagulls at all targets….Marlboro, framingham, and even millbury.

  38. Beautiful night at the football field at Woburn High School for the season opener. If you are friends with me on Facebook I’ll be posting a few pics of the sky etc in a while.

  39. Hey we tied 93 from last year. Normal high 75. Has anyone considered the seasons are shifting? I think I heard that somewhere …..for several years running 😈

  41. Did someone forget to tell Sutton it was supposed to drop the DP? Still 67 here.

    I woke up, threw up window to smell the crisp dry air and almost choked.

    2. We never had a shot at getting into the crisp air. My wording of “less humid” should have been described as “low impact”. 😛

      The humidity is creeping back up slowly today and peaking again tonight and tomorrow morning.

      Crisper air arrives Sunday night.

  42. At 2AM dP was back up to 67 here, but this morning it dropped back to 62 which
    is more tolerable.

    Porcello won his 20th, something I certainly NEVER thought was possible. That is awesome. I am so happy he turned it around. I watched him pitch last night and he
    is really good. He mixing up his pitches and has a nasty sinker and curve to go with
    a FB in the low 90s that has much movement on it. Even the runs scored last night
    were dinky tweaners and bloopers.

    re: Pats
    Gronk did not make the trip to Arizona (Well he was not on the team plane) and presumably is NOT playing. News said he was not playing. I hope it is a Bellichek
    ploy and Gronk took another flight and will be there. Not likely for sure.

    Pats will have a VERY VERY difficult time winning this one. Here’s hoping they
    pull it off.

      2. Oh I do as well, Just NOT the Pats for tomorrow night.
        They CAN win the game, but it is NOT likely. Much would have
        to fall into place just so. One thing in the Pat’s favor is their defense and Palmer is prone to Stupid mistakes, so sure there
        is a chance the Pat’s could pull it off. I’ll be watching.

  44. Taunton radar is back on line, but it looks a little funky. It’s showing too much clutter.
    Yes, I know there is a remove clutter option, but often that also removes real echoes
    so I don’t like using that.

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