DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 31 – NOVEMBER 4)
Halloween Weather: Low pressure departs, any wet weather ends early, and we end up with a mild but breezy day featuring a cloud/sun mix, and a pleasant trick-or-treat evening with temperatures coming off highs in the 60s to fall into the 50s, which is definitely not too bad for the end of October. The first several days of November will feature a cooling trend. It’ll still be fairly mild Monday but we trend downward from there through midweek. Still looking at a rain shower threat later Tuesday from a cold front, and the jury is out on whether or not we get that brief precipitation threat on Thursday. The guidance has trended away from it for now, but I’ve seen it do this only to have it return. So for now I’ll leave that part of the forecast as is. One thing we do know is that it we’ll have our coolest air mass so far this autumn in place by then.
TODAY: Lots of clouds and a couple lingering rain showers around early, then a sun/cloud mix with brief passing rain showers possible late-day. Highs 60-67. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, gusting around 20 MPH.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Evening temps (trick-or-treat time) falling into 50s. Lows 43-50. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 54-61. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 38-45. Wind WNW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 52-59. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Lows 41-48. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 48-55. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 28-35. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Clouding up. A chance of rain (possible inland or higher elevation mix briefly). Highs 46-53. Wind N up to 10 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 5-9)
There are now significant differences in medium range guidance. They range from developing a coastal storm and bringing it up into this region on the November 6-7 weekend to keeping a storm system far south of the region. At this time I’m leaning toward the drier scenario for most of if not all of this period with temperatures averaging below normal. But the dry part of this forecast is not high confidence.
DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 10-14)
We transition toward a milder pattern with a couple bouts of unsettled weather possible during this time frame.