DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 13-17)

Large scale blocking, driven by high pressure in the North Atlantic, will be the major player in our somewhat different but still dry weather pattern during the next several days. Surface high pressure builds in today and lingers Thursday as the next approaching low gets shunted far to our southwest. The energy from that system will be absorbed by a large ocean storm to our east which will do some retrograding, enough to throw some of its cloud shield into our region Friday into Saturday, but not likely enough to throw any of its precipitation this far west. The system will the pull away later in the weekend, and we’ll be in a dry, cool weather regime. Fire danger remains and will remain high throughout this period, especially during times when winds are stronger. Some splash can occur Friday into the weekend in eastern coastal areas, due to the offshore storm.

TODAY: Sunny. Highs 45-52. Wind N to variable up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 27-34. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 46-53. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 35-42. Wind variable to N 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 43-50. Wind N 10-20 MPH inland, 20-30 MPH coast, higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 35-42. Wind N 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 45-52. Wind N-NW 10-20 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 28-35. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 47-54. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 18-22)

The large scale pattern will feature blocking continuing but some readjustment of the features gives us a more westerly flow next week. Minor disturbances bring nothing more than minor passing rain shower threats, otherwise generally dry weather will prevail.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 23-27)

Hints of a little more troughing in the Northeast, but not really in a way that turns our pattern too wet or stormy, more like chilly and slightly less settled.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 12-16)

A little more confident we evolve a blocking pattern, driven by the emergence of a negative North Atlantic Oscillation. But don’t let that fool you into thinking that we’re about to break the drought and/or we’re about to start snowing. It’s mid November, the ocean waters are still relatively warm (running above normal) and the orientation of feature as the block evolves actually is a dry set-up for New England. First though, a windy Tuesday as cooler air continues to flow into the region, and fire danger remains high, with easy spread of existing fires and any new fires too. Avoid outdoor open flames! High pressure builds over the region and tonight the wind drops off and it gets quite cold, and this leads to a chilly but more tranquil Wednesday. The first real evidence of the developing block will be a low pressure system that medium range guidance once had giving our region a swath of rain Thursday, which will dive southeast and miss the region – just some clouds here. This system will aid in the development of a large ocean storm which will do a little retrograding Thursday night through Friday, throwing its shield of clouds back into New England. If its precipitation shield expands this far back, it will likely be light and patchy, so that will be of little help with the ongoing dryness, and increased wind will aid in the ability of any remaining fires to be hard to contain and put out. It looks like the ocean storm will begin a slow drift back to the east by early in the weekend, but we’ll likely remain it the brisk northerly air flow on its back side, with dry and cool weather here.

TODAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 51-58. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, gusts 25-35 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 31-38. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sunny. Highs 45-52. Wind N to variable up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 27-34. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 46-53. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 35-42. Wind variable to N 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Cloudy. A few showers of rain and/or mixed rain/snow possible. Highs 43-50. Wind N 10-20 MPH inland, 20-30 MPH coast, higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. A passing rain shower possible evening. Lows 35-42. Wind N 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 45-52. Wind N-NW 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 17-21)

Large scale blocking pattern with our region in a general northerly air flow with dry weather and near to below normal temperatures during this period.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 22-26)

Continued leaning toward a dry pattern with variable temperatures averaging fairly close to normal.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 11-15)

Low pressure passes to our north today. Last night, its warm front delivered some rain – enough to wet the ground but not to but a dent in the drought. While a cold front sweeps through this morning, its early-day timing and a clearing trend, drying air, and west wind means a mild daytime for today. It won’t be until a secondary cold front moves through our area from northwest to southeast early Tuesday that a genuinely colder air mass will arrive. While that front moves through without any precipitation, its notable wind shift, gusty wind, and very dry air incoming will push the fire danger right back up across our region again during the day Tuesday. Fortunately, the wind portion of this won’t last too long, and while we remain dry it will be more tranquil and quite chilly as high pressure builds in Wednesday, allowing fire fighting crews to again gain more control on the many brush / leaf fires burning in the region due to ongoing drought. Going through this week, we’re going to see the evolution of a large scale blocking pattern, driven by a developing negative NAO (high pressure north / low pressure south in the North Atlantic). This will drive the next low pressure area southwest of our region on Thursday when we’ll just have some clouds, but continued dry weather. By Friday, high pressure to the west and low pressure to the east – a larger ocean storm – will drive a cool north wind at us, and we’ll have to keep an eye on some retrogression of that low for tossing a lobe or two of moisture back toward the coast, but right now it appears the wet weather will stay offshore in favor of dry, chilly weather here to end the week.

TODAY (VETERANS DAY): Cloudy start with rain showers ending west to east, then a sun/cloud mix. Highs 61-68. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Clearing. Lows 37-44. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY: Sunny. Highs 51-58. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, gusts 25-35 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 32-39. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sunny. Highs 45-52. Wind N to variable up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 27-34. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 46-53. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 35-42. Wind variable to N 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 45-52. Wind N 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 16-20)

Minor precipitation threats are limited to mainly disturbances in a northwesterly air flow with an otherwise mainly dry, variable but mostly seasonable pattern.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 21-25)

Not going for bigger changes, only more of the same, but will monitor trends in medium range guidance for additional blocking to take place. Leaning dry, near to below normal temperatures.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 10-14)

High pressure moved overhead last evening, shutting down the winds of yesterday but setting up a night of radiational cooling under a clear sky, with very low dew points. Except for urban centers and some immediate oceanside locations in the 30s, the region saw temperatures fall to the 20s. Today will be a cool but tranquil day as high pressure overhead gradually slides to the east, keeping the pressure gradient weak, which keeps winds light. You’ll notice an irregular increase in high and patchy middle clouds in response to the approach of a low pressure area and its warm front. This front will bring the chance of some rain to our area tonight, but amounts look meager, and a cold front that quickly follows it as low pressure passes to our north early Monday puts an end to the rainfall threat before mid morning. Despite the second boundary being a “cold front”, as is often the case, it actually ends up warmer for the daytime tomorrow than it will be today due to differences in the current air mass vs. the air mass behind that front, which will be modified from warmer conditions to our west and supported by a down slope influence of a westerly wind off hills / mountains to our west. So while breezy, much of Veterans Day turns out quite nice. It won’t be until early Tuesday when a trailing disturbance sends another cold front through our region that we’ll have a legitimate shot of colder air arrive, along with plenty of wind. This will be a dry frontal passage, and the continuation of overall dry weather, low dew points, and frequently active wind will keep fire danger high again especially this day. High pressure builds into the region Wednesday with another chilly but more tranquil day as winds relax significantly. I’ve been eyeing an unsettled weather threat for Thursday, and it should come as no surprise that trends in reliable guidance are for this system to be smaller, weaker, and further south, and dry weather here.

TODAY: Sun becoming interrupted at times by more clouds during the day. Highs 46-53. Wind calm to SE under 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clouds consolidate. A period of rain likely, with some fog patches. Temperatures steady evening, rising slightly overnight. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY (VETERANS DAY): Cloudy with a chance of rain showers early, then a sun/cloud mix. Highs 60-67. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 37-44. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY: Sunny. Highs 51-58. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, gusts 25-35 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 32-39. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sunny. Highs 45-52. Wind N to variable up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 27-34. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 46-53. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 15-19)

Minor precipitation threats are limited to mainly disturbances in a northwesterly air flow with an otherwise mainly dry, seasonable pattern.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 20-24)

While longer range guidance hints at some high latitude blocking, I don’t see this as a flip to a stormy pattern, but a continued fairly dry one with a tendency for more chilly weather. Will monitor potential pattern evolution, of course.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 9-13)

As was expected, a series of cold fronts has knocked us down our temperature staircase to a lower platform – a more seasonable chill – that will now be ours for today and tomorrow, as high pressure dominates today and slides off to our east tomorrow. The front that moved through last night was not as “dry” as I had forecast. While not widespread, there were some ground-wetting rain showers with it, but not enough to do anything for the drought or quell many of the brush fires burning in the region. The former will continue to build, and the latter will continue to burn with only human intervention available – an effort thwarted by a gusty wind during today. Finally, the wind leaves us later today as the center of high pressure crosses. This sets up a cold night tonight. Clouds fan into the region and thicken up Sunday as a warm front approaches. Low pressure passes to our north Sunday night and early Monday with a period of rain with the warm front’s passage, and some rain showers with a cold front trailing the low early Monday. This should clear out in time for most of the outdoor Veterans Day parades and ceremonies scheduled for Monday, and while it will be breezy, it looks fairly mild that day. A secondary cold front will deliver cooler air and dry weather for Tuesday and Wednesday.

TODAY: Sunny. Highs 48-55. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, gusts to 30 MPH, but gradually diminishing during the afternoon.

TONIGHT: Clear followed by high clouds. Lows 25-32. Wind calm.

SUNDAY: Thickening clouds. Highs 46-53. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. A period of rain. Areas of fog. Temperatures steady or rising slightly. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY (VETERANS DAY): Cloudy with a chance of rain showers early, then a sun/cloud mix. Highs 60-67. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 37-44. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY: Sunny. Highs 51-58. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 32-39. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sunny. Highs 45-52. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, diminishing.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 14-18)

Potential low pressure impacts with rain chances around November 14 & 18, but neither look like they can produce soaking beneficial rainfall here. Overall pattern remains dry with temperatures variable but near to above normal.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 19-23)

First hints on some reliable guidance of a shift toward a more blocked pattern at high latitudes, which would potentially lead to a shot of colder air arriving during this period of time, but still looks like a fairly dry pattern overall.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 8-12)

Dry, cooler weather will be with us today and into the extended weekend, but we won’t get through the entire weekend with an unsettled interruption. First, high pressure provides plenty of sun and dry air today. A cold front passes with no fanfare other than a gusty breeze this evening, setting us back to seasonably chilly levels for Saturday and Sunday. Saturday’s sky will be blue with passing fair weather clouds popping up, while Sunday’s will feature an increase in high to middle clouds west to east. This will be as the next trough and frontal system approaches from the west, but like many of its predecessors, it is not likely to produce significant rain, which we need to quell ongoing high fire danger and expanding drought. I just expect a period of rain Sunday night and an additional rain shower early Monday (Veterans Day), with dry air arriving quickly enough so that outdoor ceremonies for the holiday won’t likely be rained on. In fact, Monday looks fairly mild, albeit breezy, as the fair weather returns. High pressure builds in with fair, dry weather for Tuesday as the pattern goes on.

TODAY: Sunshine. Highs 55-62. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusts 20-25 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 28-35 southern NH and central MA, 35-42 Boston area to South Coast. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 48-55. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusts up to 20 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clear followed by high clouds. Lows 25-32. Wind calm.

SUNDAY: Thickening clouds. Highs 46-53. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. A period of rain. Areas of fog. Temperatures steady or rising slightly. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY (VETERANS DAY): Cloudy with a chance of rain showers early, then a sun/cloud mix. Highs 60-67. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 37-44. Wind W 5-15 MPH, diminishing late.

TUESDAY: Sunny. Highs 48-55. Wind NW5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 13-17)

There’s been a lot of difference between two major medium range models of late, and I don’t often mention models by name on my discussion, but here I will. GFS (US model) has had a tendency to over-amplify and over-block the pattern beyond 5 days recently, while the ECMWF (European model) has done a better overall job with the pattern, even if missing some details. We see this again on the most recent runs with the GFS hinting toward a more amplified northern stream creating a slower-moving storm to impact our region late next week. Run-to-run variation has been significant, with little ensemble support (many runs of the same model with minor adjustments). This indicates to me that the guidance is struggling with the pattern. The ECMWF paints a picture of “more of the same”. While the most recent run does indicate a “stronger” system there, it doesn’t slow it down, and doesn’t consolidate it in such a way to deliver beneficial precipitation to our region. Granted, this is still far enough away that many solutions are technically “on the table”, but given recent performance and the current / ongoing pattern, I remain with the same outlook of a brief unsettled interruption around the middle of this period and otherwise mainly dry weather and variable temperatures.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 17-21)

Still nothing that screams big pattern change to me – more of the same.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 7-11)

The next 3 days feature dry weather and a cooling trend as a west to northwest flow dominates with a couple of cold fronts passing by too. Outdoor open flames are discouraged as fire danger will remain quite high. The weather on Sunday and Veterans Day will be impacted by low pressure traveling to our north – a warm front approaching Sunday, passing through at night, followed quickly by a cold front and a return a gusty westerly breeze during Veterans Day Monday. The greatest opportunity for rain will be with the warm front on Sunday evening, with a rain shower threat into Monday morning with the cold front, but this system looks like a modest rain producer, not really doing any significant help for our expanding drought.

TODAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 63-70. Wind W to NW 5-15 MPH, gusting around 20 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 35-42. Wind NW up to 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 55-62. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusts up to 20 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 35-42. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 48-55. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusts up to 20 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clear followed by high clouds. Lows 25-32. Wind calm.

SUNDAY: Thickening clouds. Highs 46-53. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. A period of rain. Areas of fog. Temperatures steady or rising slightly. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY (VETERANS DAY): Cloudy with a chance of rain showers early, then a sun/cloud mix. Highs 60-67. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 12-16)

No changes to the outlook. Pattern dominated by westerly flow. Best shot at briefly wet weather around mid period, otherwise mostly dry, up-and-down temps averaging a little above normal.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 16-20)

“Carbon-copy” days 6-10 for days 11-15, basically. Brief unsettled weather amidst a dry, variable but overall mild temperature pattern.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 6-10)

A warm & windy Wednesday is what we have today in the warm sector ahead of an approaching cold front. This front, and a couple secondary boundaries following it, will stair-step us back toward seasonably cool as we head toward the weekend. A gusty breeze will often be with us during this transition, and with the lack of rainfall, fire danger will remain high. During Sunday, clouds return ahead of an approaching warm front, but I’m skeptical of how much rainfall some of the guidance paints for our area. Chance of rain: Yes. Chance of significant rain: Low. More to come on this…

TODAY: Lots of sun. Highs 71-78. Wind SW to W 10-20 MPH, gusts 25-35 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 51-58. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 58-65. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusts up to 20 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 33-40. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 50-57. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusts up to 20 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 35-42. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 48-55. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusts up to 20 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clear followed by high clouds. Lows 25-32. Wind calm.

SUNDAY: Thickening clouds. Chance of rain at night. Highs 46-53. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 11-15)

Overall pattern is dry, up and down temps but mild for the 5-day stretch. Brief interruption of unsettled weather most likely around November 14.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 15-19)

Stronger evidence of a continuation of the same pattern from days 6-10. Mostly dry, up and down temps, brief interruption of unsettled weather most likely around November 17.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 5-9)

A warm front goes by early today and introduces another mild air mass, along with breezy conditions, for today and Wednesday. Along with this will come elevated fire danger as the dry spell continues with only some limited warm frontal rainfall having passed mostly to our north last night. A cold front comes along late Wednesday, but outside of a brief rain shower chance, the dry weather continues as we trend cooler and stay breeze later in the week – a west to northwest flow taking over, while a series of fronts knock the temps back down to seasonable.

TODAY: Clouds give way to sun. Highs 66-73. Wind S to SW increasing to 10-20 MPH, gusts up to 25 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 53-60. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 68-75. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, gusts up to 30 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 51-58. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 58-65. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusts up to 20 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 33-40. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 50-57. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusts up to 20 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 35-42. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 48-55. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusts up to 20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 10-14)

Next trough and frontal system passing through in the November 10-11 window doesn’t look like a big precipitation producer, and focuses on late November 10, but November 11 (Veterans Day) may end up breezy but quite mild. A cool-down mid to late period with more dry weather expected.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 15-19)

A front that goes by early in the period may hang up near enough to the coast so that we can get some additional low pressure to bring more rain, but don’t hold your breath this far in advance. Beyond that more dry weather in the cards. No major temperature extremes.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 4-8)

This week, we remain in the dry, temperature roller-coaster pattern, with a cold start, a warm middle, and a cooler finish. High pressure slides off to our east today and a warm front approaches with an increase in clouds. Rainfall from this front, save for a possible brief few drops, travels to our north tonight. The front passes and opens the door for breezy, mild weather for Election Day and Wednesday, with only a slight rain shower chance by Wednesday evening as a cold front sails into and across the region, parented by low pressure passing to our north. The dry, windy conditions will stoke additional brush fire chances. Existing fires can spread and new fires can start easily in these conditions. The late week cool-down comes with continued dry conditions that will allow fire danger to continue and drought to expand further.

TODAY: Lots of clouds / limited sun. Highs 48-55. Wind calm to SE under 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 40-47 early, then a slow temperature rise. Wind SE to S up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Clouds give way to sun. Highs 66-73. Wind S to SW increasing to 10-20 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 53-60. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 68-75. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 51-58. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 58-65. Wind NW 5-15 MPH

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 33-40. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 50-57. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 9-13)

Next trough and frontal system passing through sometime during the November 9-11 period, but not looking like a significant precipitation producer as the dry pattern rolls on with variable temperatures.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 14-18)

A couple hints at maybe some rainfall chances early in this period, but still no real strong indication of major pattern change in the cards as of yet. Monitoring…

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 3-7)

We left Daylight Saving Time and returned to Standard Time early this morning (2:00 a.m. EDT became 1:00 a.m. EST). If you haven’t changed your non-auto-changing clocks, make sure you do so! As we get ready for the first before 5:00 p.m. sunset today, we’ll enjoy more sun than we saw yesterday, and it will be dry and seasonably cool with high pressure in control. Heading into the new week, we look at a pattern similar to the previous week, with a warm front approaching later Monday and moving through Tuesday, leading to a midweek warm-up, starting to get knocked in the other direction Thursday when a cold front goes through. You might think we have a shot at some beneficial precipitation with temperature changes and frontal systems, but this is not going to be the case, as our dry spell rolls on.

TODAY: Sunshine – patchy high clouds. Highs 48-55. wind NW up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Variable high clouds. Patchy ground fog. Lows 33-40. Wind calm.

MONDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 52-59. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 44-51. Wind SE to S up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 65-72. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 48-55. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 68-75. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 52-59. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 61-68. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 8-13)

More up and down temperatures in a continued mainly dry weather pattern heading into mid month, including the long weekend November 9-11).

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 14-18)

Leaning drier over wetter. If blocking evolves, should be strong enough to hold wet weather mostly to the south. Favoring westerly air flow domination and up-and-down temperatures mid month.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 2-6)

Our dry spell continues along with an up-and-down temperature pattern. This first weekend of November will feature cooler weather thanks to Canadian high pressure. A warm front will approach from the southwest after the high moves off to the east on Monday. As is often the case during droughts, low pressure systems and fronts can struggle to deliver significant rain, and the upcoming system that sends a warm front through here early Tuesday and a cold front later Wednesday as low pressure travels to our north will struggle. Very little rainfall seems likely from it. Temperatures will go up in the “warm sector” during Tuesday and Wednesday, however, with a nice mild spell following the cooler one.

TODAY: Cloud/sun mix. Highs 52-59. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clear. Radiation fog patches interior lower elevation locations. Lows 30-37. Wind NW under 10 MPH becoming calm.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny but patchy high clouds during the afternoon hours. Highs 52-59. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: High clouds increase. Lows 35-42. Wind variable to SE under 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 52-59. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 44-51. Wind SE to S up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 65-72. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 48-55. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 68-75. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 7-11)

Cooler trend November 7-9 with a couple of cold fronts moving through and a generally dry west to northwest flow. Moderation briefly later in the period before the next front passes again likely without much fanfare as the dry pattern rolls on.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 12-16)

Still not a lot of indication of any switch in the pattern to one with wetter weather, but will watch as there had been some signs of blocking with some storminess to the south. But at the moment I see nothing that screams to me “big pattern change”, just mostly more of the same dry, non-stormy pattern with up and down temperatures.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 1-5)

Some brief light showers moved quickly across parts of southern NH around dawn today associated with the first of 2 boundaries to move through. This first one shifts the wind but allows today to remain mild with dry weather, though lots of clouds will dominate the sky during the morning before sun returns. The more significant cool air sits behind the second boundary which will swing through this evening with a few more passing clouds. High pressure builds in for the weekend with fair, chilly early November weather, and this is the weekend that is one hour longer than usual since we do the clock-flip back to standard time at 2:00 a.m. Sunday, which becomes 1:00 a.m. Sunday. High pressure slides out of our area early next week and a warm front approaches Monday, returning clouds to the region, and eventually a rain chance, though that looks limited. It does look, at this point, that the front will make its way through here on Tuesday but it may be a slow process. We probably will have a day dominated by clouds, and slow to warm up, but also largely rain-free. Fine-tuning to come.

TODAY: Lots of clouds A.M. / Lots of sun P.M. Highs 70-77. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts, shifting to W.

TONIGHT: A few clouds – mostly clear. Lows 33-40. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts, shifting to NW.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 52-59. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clear. Fog patches lower elevations especially over ponds, swamps, and bogs. Lows 30-37. Wind calm.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny but patchy high clouds during the afternoon hours. Highs 52-59. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: High clouds increase. Lows 35-42. Wind variable to SE under 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Clouds thicken. Chance of rain in the afternoon. Highs 52-59. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of rain. Areas of fog. Lows 44-51. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Areas of fog and a chance of drizzle early in the day. Highs 63-70. Wind SE up to 10 MPH shifting to SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 6-10)

Mild with a low rain shower chance November 6 as a cold front moves into and eventually through the region. A couple secondary frontal boundaries knock the temperatures back to cooler levels with mainly dry weather for the balance of next week.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 11-15)

Large scale pattern indications continues for some blocking with high pressure to our north strongest and unsettled weather held off to our south most of the time. That’s a continued dry pattern here.

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 31 – NOVEMBER 4)

Some higher dew point air has made its way into southeastern New England ahead of a cold front, and with winds having been fairly light overnight, some areas of fog formed, dense in spots, with an otherwise mostly clear sky above. Any fog will dissipate early this morning and we’ll see plenty of sun albeit filtered by a lot of high clouds during the day today, and a fair evening for Halloween activities but increasing clouds later on. The most notable aspect of today’s weather will be the warm air in place, with high temperatures making runs at records for the date (from 1946) but probably falling short of reaching them in general. A cold front will cross the region Friday morning with lots of clouds, but any rain shower activity will be very limited, with many areas seeing nothing of any note. It will still be a mild day Friday as we have to wait for a secondary front to cross the region in the evening bringing a cooler surge of air in to start the weekend. High pressure will build in Saturday and stay in place Sunday with dry weather for the first weekend of November. After the high moves away, a warm front will approach on Monday, bringing clouds back along with a rain chance, although as seems to be the case with many of our systems during our current dry regime, that rain chance does not look too significant.

TODAY: Early fog patches dissipate. Sun/cloud mix. Highs 65-72 South Coast, 72-79 elsewhere. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

HALLOWEEN EVENING: Partly cloudy. Temperatures 65-75, coolest South Coast, mildest inland valley areas. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

OVENIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Lows 53-60. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Lots of clouds early morning including a rain shower chance near the South Coast, then sun and passing clouds. Highs 70-77. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts, shifting to W.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 33-40. Wind W 5-15 MPH, shifting to NW.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 52-59. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clear. Fog patches lower elevations especially over ponds, swamps, and bogs. Lows 30-37. Wind calm.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny but patchy high clouds during the afternoon hours. Highs 52-59. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: High clouds increase. Lows 35-42. Wind variable to SE under 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Clouds thicken. Chance of rain in the afternoon. Highs 52-59. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 5-9)

Low pressure passes north of our region early to mid period. Warm front struggles initially to go through with clouds, a rain/drizzle chance, and a cool start then eventually warming later November 5. A very mild November 6 with mainly dry weather and a minimal rain shower threat. A series of cold fronts knocks the temperature back down mid to late period but with mainly dry weather. More details to come.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 11-15)

Large scale pattern indications are for some blocking with high pressure to our north strongest and unsettled weather held off to our south most of the time.

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 30 – NOVEMBER 3)

A slug of rainfall moved across the region last night, associated with a passing warm front. While this rain may not have extinguished the brush fires, it certainly helped with their control, and crews should have them largely out by day’s end today in the areas they were most concentrated, particularly Essex County MA. And this is a good thing, because the wind comes up today as we enter a brief but notable warm spell, and continues Thursday, Halloween, where a few record high temps may be threatened, but I do not think beaten. We’ll contend with a lot of cloud cover today which will limit the temperature rise. While more sun will allow a warmer day Thursday, I do think this particular push of warm air and associated atmospheric set-up is not enough to push us to the notoriously warm 1946 Halloween level. This will be in sharp contrast to last Halloween however, when the high was just 50 at Boston. For towns and cities that do trick or treat on Thursday evening, expect a notable but not bothersome breeze, dry weather, and temperatures which ease back from the lower 70s to the middle 60s during the early evening. A cold front waits until Friday morning to pass through the region. While this front brings a rain shower chance, any that do occur will not be beneficial for helping with any remaining fires or aiding in our ongoing precipitation deficit. While Friday will be a mild day, the passing front will lead a cooler air mass into the region for the weekend, which will feature dry weather as high pressure builds in.

TODAY: I-95 belt eastward starts the day with low overcast, patchy fog and drizzle. Abundant clouds / limited sun. Highs 65-72. Wind SW increasing to 10-20 MPH including some higher gusts especially South Coast and hills.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 51-58. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Passing clouds / in-and-out sun. Highs 65-72 South Coast, 72-79 elsewhere. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

HALLOWEEN EVENING: Partly cloudy. Temperatures 65-75, coolest South Coast, mildest inland valley areas. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers overnight. Lows 53-60. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Lots of clouds early morning including a rain shower chance near the South Coast, then sun and passing clouds. Highs 65-72 by midday, but turning cooler from northwest to southeast during midday and afternoon. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 33-40. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, diminishing.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 52-59. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clear. Fog patches lower elevations especially over ponds, swamps, and bogs. Lows 30-37. Wind calm.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny but patchy high clouds during the afternoon hours. Highs 52-59. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 4-8)

Low pressure heads from the Midwest to the Great Lakes early next week – its warm front approaching but struggling initially to move through, some cool/wet weather is a potential November 4-5. May break briefly into warmth midweek before a cold front sends it back to dry and chilly here. Will work out the details and timing as we get closer.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 10-14)

Large scale pattern indications are for some blocking with high pressure to our north strongest and unsettled weather held off to our south most of the time.