DAYS 1-5 (DECEMBER 19-23)
A strong low pressure area will track from the Great Lakes through southeastern Canada today and tonight. A surge of warm air has made it into our region ahead of this storm’s trailing cold front, and rain showers will move in and become numerous to widespread today ahead of this front, with one final cluster or line of moderate to heavy rain showers – slight chance of embedded thunder – as the front move through there region from west to east during this afternoon. A moderate to strong southerly wind will blow ahead of the front, with some local damage and resultant power outages possible. The wind shifts to west behind the front, a little less strong, at which time colder air will return, with a possible additional rain/mix/snow shower this evening as the temperature drops. Any standing water can freeze by early Saturday morning, so watch for icy patches on untreated surfaces that cannot fully dry out by then. Our weekend will be mainly dry, although a weaker, fast-moving low pressure area will be passing to our north. Its warm front goes by late Saturday and its cold front whistles through the region on Sunday. The former can produce a brief period of very light snow in southern NH and northern MA, and the latter can produce a rain or snow shower again favoring northern portions of the WHW forecast area, but more than likely the vast majority of if not all of the region will stay precipitation-free as this features passes by. What it will do is introduce another shot of colder air for Monday. This will be followed by yet another clipper-type system Tuesday that brings the chance of light snow/mix in the morning and a potential mix/snow shower in the afternoon, details to be determined by the exact track of the low pressure area. The winter solstice occurs on Sunday morning at 10:03 a.m. EST.
TODAY: Overcast with widespread rain showers including the slight chance of thunder, then a clearing trend begins west to east mid to late afternoon. Highs 55-62 but starting to fall later in the day. Wind S increasing to 15-25 MPH, gusts 40-50 MPH inland and 50-60 MPH coastal areas and some higher elevations, shifting to W from west to east later in the day and diminishing slightly. 10-20 MPH except 20-30 MPH South Coast, gusts as high as 45-55 MPH, strongest coastal areas and higher elevations, shifting to W from west to east midday on.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. A passing mix / snow shower possible. Lows 22-29. Wind W 10-20 MPH, gusts 25-35 MPH.
SATURDAY: Sun followed by clouds. Highs 35-42. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. A brief period of very light snow possible mainly north of Route 2. Lows 22-29. Wind SW 5-15 MPH,.
SUNDAY: Partly sunny. A brief rain shower possible. Highs 41-48. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. A brief snow flurry possible. Lows 21-28. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 30-37. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, diminishing.
MONDAY NIGHT: Clear early, clouds return later. Lows 23-30. Wind S up to 10 MPH.
TUESDAY: Cloudy with a chance of light snow/mix morning. Variably cloudy with a rain/mix/snow shower possible afternoon. Highs 35-42. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (DECEMBER 24-28)
Up-and-down temperature pattern, leaning toward slightly below normal with a couple disturbances potentially bringing mostly minor precipitation events, timing TBD. A little more detailed outlook for this holiday period coming soon.
DAYS 11-15 (DECEMBER 29 – JANUARY 2)
A similar pattern – a couple smaller low pressure systems with mostly minor impact, but causing variable temperatures, leaning slightly colder than normal.
Thanks Tk
Thanks TK
Thanks TK !
55F in Marshfield, after the 1st half of the month, it feels like 80F !
I love it, but don’t want to see it rise any more because the warmer it gets, the better the winds can mix down to the boundary layer. Norton does do a nice job explaining this and mentions a temperature and what the could create for wind gusts per soundings.
Wordle: 2 day streak of fail. But, I just didn’t have any experience with this word, so, I couldn’t come up with it, but now, I have a new word in my vocabulary, which, I will NEVER use again. 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂
Me either!!! This was insane!!!!
Good morning and thank you TK.
54 here
Ocean: 46
WORDLE: 6
Crap!! What was that. Never in a million years heard of that word. I finally got it down to having the first 3 letters in position, but it made no sense at all. Letter substitution final yielded this crazy unknown word. Hardest word yet for sure. Very curious to see other scores.
Awesome getting it, JpDave !!
Thanks. I just looked up the word. Now I KNOW what the word is. Just had NO IDEA it was spelled that way.
Some others will get it in under 6 for sure. I am confident in our crew.
Agreed !!!! 🙂
Awesome to get it but can see why it can easily be a fail too.. I’m still struggling after 4 guesses, three letters in correct position and absolutely no clue.
Oh …..
So, Eversource has been working the gas lines within a mile of our campus and we have, 2 days in a row now, all left the school because of an odor that has smelled like natural gas.
Turns out, it is some chemical they use near the lines, that is safe, smells like natural gas, but it isn’t dangerous. But still, because it smells somewhat similar, we have cleared the building to let the fire dept come in, they must have a way to measure what is in the air and confirm it is the other chemical and not natural gas.
It would be interesting if we have to go outside today, especially btwn say 10am and 1pm. Never a dull day 🙂
I saw on the wonderful world of FB that you evacuated at least once. I always thought a smell was added to natural gas because it has no odor. And if you smell it, get out.
Thanks TK.
1,383 ❄️
Hopefully that Clipper system next week can save Christmas! Those type of systems usually disappoint SNE. So moisture starved as they are.
57F in Marshfield
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rrfs_a&p=850wh&rh=2025121906&fh=6&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
From the 6z RRFS A. That dark brown area around the Maryland, southern NJ coastal area. That is the low level jet that is developing and strengthening and will lift north northeastward across southern New England 3-5 hrs from now.
The wind is gusting, under that to 48 mph at Assateague, in Maryland (camped there, awesome state park) and 47 mph just east of Cape May, NJ
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rrfs_a&p=850wh&rh=2025121906&fh=9&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rrfs_a&p=850wh&rh=2025121906&fh=12&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
These last 2 links show the simulation of the low level jet 3 hrs from now and 6 hours from now.
In the FWIW dept, those wind gusts above 48 mph and 47 mph are happening under a simulated 850 mb low level jet of 85-88 knots.
The expected 850 mb low level jet simulates to 95-98 knots passing overhead of our area.
Of course, in theory, it should be a little milder in MD and southern NJ than it would be here, so they are probably achieving better mixing than we will along our coastline.
But that is early in the day down there. Certainly just as warm if not warmer by the time the winds get here.
I have to go out this morning around 930 and have to go out again around 130. Should be fun.
https://radar.weather.gov/station/KOKX/standard
Decent slug of rain, maybe likely to cross western and central southern New England?
Wordle in 4. Don’t want to spoil it for those still playing- but those who say they’ve never heard of the word, you have, just probably not seen it written, but you’ve heard it, especially around this time of year.
Outstanding Job!!!
You are exactly right. I just never realized it was spelled like that!
Still, A pretty insane word for Wordle!!
Yep, definitely not easy. I got squareword in 7 today too (yesterday it was 9) so I’m feeling good on my word games today, haha 🙂
And btw, I knew that one or more of the crew WOULD get it in less than 6. Way to go.
I know you’re right Julie and yet, it’s not ringing a bell for me.
The 5 letter word I’ve heard a lot this time of year is Santa and the word was not that ! 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂
Think Three Wise Men. 🙂
Wordlers, do NOT LOOK AT THIS until you have completed today’s word game.
This is mainly for Tom
https://ibb.co/nN17b3t1
Awesome !!
Thanks, JpDave !!
Awesome Julie.
Thanks TK
Wordle was a hoot for me today! That word is a big part of the story of the first time I met my future wife’s family on Thanksgiving Day, 1982.
I had the opportunity to use it as my second guess today. It seemed like a wasted guess. But I knew that if I didn’t try it and it was the word, I would be bummed. So I tried it and got it in 2.
🙂
WOW!!!! Fantastic!!!!
According to 12Z HRRR, strongest winds should be around NOONISH.
Thank you, TK.
Up to 56 here. 0.14 in the bucket and growing. No wind to speak of……. Yet
58 here.
I was just out and the wind is picking up here.
As of a little bit ago, wind was gusting to 33 at Logan.
59 mph gust at Farmingdale Airport, elevation 72 ft and at nearby at Nearby NY Kennedy Airport, 55 mph gust.
I see another 56 mph and 49 mph gust on the southern coast of central Long Island at 2 different obs
This is nicely overlapped with where the 850 mb jet was projected to be centered at this hour.
10 mins later, seeing gusts of 61, 60 and 59 mph from 3 different obs along the south coast of Long Island.
This might be interesting for an hour or 2, in about 3 hrs locally.
Thanks, TK!
The HRRR is as bullish with the winds in my area as it was last night. The latest run,that’s cranking right now, brings 63-knot winds (72.4 mph) at noonish as Dave mentioned earlier.
Good luck, Tom! Here’s hoping there are no unexpected interruptions in your school day, gas lines or power outages! Is today your last day before Break, or do you go to Tuesday?
Julie, congrats on making it to the end of the semester! I think you had mentioned that today is the last day of exams. Enjoy your vacation and holidays! 🙂
Hi Captain !!
Thanks and Tuesday at 11 ish is our release !!
Hope all has been and is well !!!!
12Z NAM wind gusts in MPH
https://ibb.co/ZR8vdD19
14Z HRRR wind gusts in KNOTS
https://ibb.co/0VrvtDxT
50-60 knots and one small area of 60-70 knots
57-69 mph and one small area of 69-80 mph!!!!!
Happy birthday to North!!! Hope you have a fun day!!
Oops. I have the incorrect date. Sorry, North!!!! Hope you have a great non birthday day
Wordle 5. Finally. Took me the longest recall
5 was with a lot of luck.
Nice. I am the ONLY one in the caboose and extending a line to Tom.
Up to 0.34 and climbing. I’m hearing some rainy gusts.
Strongest wind gusts I see via MESO WEST is 55
at a station on Long Island.