DAYS 1-5 (DECEMBER 24-28)
Today we’re on the back side of redeveloped low pressure exiting via the Gulf of Maine, but an inverted trough behind this low will pivot southward and result in some snow shower activity from northeastern MA to Metro Boston to the MA South Shore to Cape Cod (where rain or snow showers are possible) from late morning to mid afternoon. Where snow showers are strong enough, accumulations of a coating to 1 inch can occur, but I am not expecting any significant travel impact from these. We’ll also see some strong wind gusts today in association with the offshore storm system, but these will start to settle down later on. Christmas Eve tonight will be fairly quiet with just some clouds around but no precipitation expected. A trough and cold front will move through from northwest to southeast during Christmas Day and again brings the chance of some snow shower activity (rain or snow showers South Coast if it occurs that far south), but again I’m not expecting any travel issues other than perhaps some briefly lower visibilities. This system will also create some gusty winds, and more notably introduce a much colder air mass for Thursday night and Friday, but with dry weather. The next low pressure system upstream dives southeastward via the Great Lakes and passes to our south. Guidance once depicted this as a fairly robust snow/mix producer for our region, but as is often the case, it can be overdone, and what this system is going to do for us is produce a light snowfall, favoring areas southwest of Boston, during Saturday morning and midday. I’m expecting minor snow accumulation from this system at best, but it will be a snowfall with no mix as cold air will remain in control. The next low approaches on Sunday but currently the timing looks slow enough that we won’t see anything precipitation during the daylight hours from it, just increased cloud cover, with a variety of precipitation possible at night – details of that TBD.
TODAY: Variably cloudy. Possible snow showers eastern MA, favoring Cape Ann to South Shore, and rain or snow showers Cape Cod. Highs 33-40. Wind N to NE 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
TONIGHT (CHRISTMAS EVE): Partly cloudy. Lows 20-27. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
THURSDAY (CHRISTMAS DAY): Variably cloudy. Chance of a passing snow shower in the morning except mix/rain shower Cape Cod midday. An additional passing snow flurry is possible in the afternoon mainly north of I-90. Highs 35-42. W to NW 10-20 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Clouds decrease. Lows 12-19. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Clouds increase. Highs 22-29. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Light snow develops. Lows 15-22 evening, rising slowly overnight. Wind variable to NE under 10 MPH.
SATURDAY: Cloudy with some light snow in the morning, favoring Boston south and west. Partial clearing afternoon. Highs 24-31. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 16-23. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
SUNDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 32-39. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (DECEMBER 29 – JANUARY 2)
Rain/mix/snow event ends December 29, followed by a cold pattern with another 1 or 2 disturbances bringing light snow or snow shower chances heading from the end of 2025 to the start of 2026.
DAYS 11-15 (JANUARY 3-7)
Variable but overall near normal temperatures with a couple disturbances to bring some unsettled weather, but no indication of major storms at this time.
Thank you TK. I was wondering about that wind today … looked like more of a travel hazard (mildly so) than any precipitation we might get.
Thanks TK
Thanks TK !
Wordle: 3
Wow! Great! 4 for me.
Awesome Tom and JPD. 4 here also.
Nice 4!
Good morning and thank you TK.
36 here this morning, was down to 34 shortly after midnight.
Ocean: 46
Light coating of snow last evening, some of which is still here.
Wordle: 4
Thanks TK. 5 inches of snow in South Portland, Maine where my brother lives but 17 inches in Freeport where Norlun trough set up. Fascinating
My parents live in Poland Maine
Thanks Tk
I’m all alone back here in the caboose with 6. My luck ran out trying to get the last letter:
https://ibb.co/HLxWgSkS
We got a little over 2″ of snow yesterday.
You made the train, so no worries!!!
Doesn’t it just suck when the 1st guess yields nothing but a pile of crap???
Choices are frustrating. Well done to get it.
Thanks, TK!
Happy Christmas Eve!
Three somewhat significant weather events on Christmas Day come to mind:
1974: After Channel 4’s Bruce Schwoegler said that there would not be a White Christmas during the 11 pm Christmas Eve newscast, we woke up to 3″ of unexpected snow on Christmas Morning.
1980: A sharp cold front came through the area on Christmas Day and the temperature dropped to -7º on Christmas Night.
2017 (I think): Snow squalls and winds on Christmas Morning knocked power out for some, especially on the Cape.
2010: Although not Christmas Day, the Boxing Day Blizzard dropped 17″ here in the Silver City.
38º at 9 am with dark clouds to the northeast.
To all who celebrate the holiday in the WHW family, wishing a special and blessed Christmas season! 🙂
This is a fun read. Thank you. I wish you and yours a blessed holiday Also
I remember 1974, 2010, 2017 but not 1980.
Merry Christmas to you Captain!
Portland, ME radar showing snow coming down the coast.
https://radar.weather.gov/station/KGYX/standard
How much, IF ANY, makes it into the Boston Area?
imho, more likely South Shore, but we shall see.
Local radar
https://radar.weather.gov/station/KBOX/standard
Thank you TK. 36 from 32. And about .5 snow. Just enough.
I copied this from my FB page. For children of all ages, have fun following Santa today.
This is a wonderful history of NORADs Santa tracker.
I love her last paragraph
“For one night a year, the hard-edged world of international alliances, intelligence, radar, satellites, and fighter jets turns into a night for adults to create a magical world for children.”
https://www.facebook.com/share/p/1P2cKX8U3J/?mibextid=wwXIfr
Hint. He looks to be using Rudolph again this year.
Wordle in 4 (squareword in 9, after bragging about all my 7s and 8s yesterday :). Ah hubris
Excellent. I looked at square. Sure isn’t easy. How many guesses are you allowed
https://www.weather.gov/gyx/EventSnowfallReports
From Grey, ME NWS …..
Some major amts in those expected areas.
Knowing not to trust anything past 4 days out, both gfs and euro really, really, really cold January 2nd, FWIW.
Festive flakes just started showing up.
Nice, enjoy !!!!!!
Thank you. I am not going to get the required 1″ but I got a small festive feel. Might be short-lived.
Headed this way. Will they make it??????
Yes headed towards JP now!
I “think” I may slide “just” to my East. Can see the cloud deck. I am betting a MISS for me.
1,388 ❄️
Thank you, TK.
Plenty of fresh snow in parts of Maine from last night. Some snow in Northern Massachusetts (vicinity of SClarke), too. Nothing here in Boston.
The city is in a long-term Charlie hole. If the trend is an indicator, Boston may miss out Friday night while NYC gets a healthy dose.
I might be up to 1/256th of an inch now. 🙂
lol !
First snowfall map from WABC in NYC has 3-6 inch snowfall.
I would not be surprised later today or tomorrow morning the NYC metro area is placed under a winter storm watch. I read this stat a few weeks ago NYC has not had a 4 plus inch snowfall since late January 2022.
Beginning to look like a big swing and a miss for Saturday around these parts. Then it will RAIN for the next one. See a pattern here?
I think you are right with that assessment for the Friday night Saturday system. My area might get a couple inches. Southwestern CT NYC area look to be the jackpot for this system.
The backlash flurries pushing through here.
I have had to pick up our trash 4 times now.
I actually have a big rock now on the recycle bin as the wind gusts are pretty strong.
🙂 🙂 🙂
It’s windy here, but not too bad.
Random:
I’ll want to see Fairbanks, AK snow totals at seasons end.
That one a week to 10 days ago dumped a record 10+ inches of snow for the date.
Another storm coming in from the west, sending comparatively ‘milder’ and moist air overrunning absolutely arctic air over central AK has to have dumped at least another 6” overnight.
They had been around -30F for HIGH temps the past 2 days.
You could really see the sharp cutoff with the snowfall amounts shown by the 12z GFS. I am right on the edge. But not far away in Fairfield county a solid 5-10 inch snowfall and this includes NYC area. If I get 5 inches from this as the GFS is showing I will be happy.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=snku_024h-imp&rh=2025122412&fh=72&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Boston can’t buy a snow event anymore. 🙁
Go West Young Man if you want decent snow with the upcoming system.
Snows do not like to come east at all anymore.
If this holds NY is going to widen their lead in the snow standings
They’ll challenge Worcester, maybe even go ahead of them. THAT would be a gut punch!
Worcester will more than make it up.
Pretty decent graupel shower ongoing.
Nothing here yet. Getting very close.
The wind is crazy here along the South Coast – deriving around the village as branches are falling and recycle containers and contents blowing all around
Very gusty here too 🙂
Little deja vu on the backlash compared to the system several days ago.
It’s just several degrees milder today.
It is nice to see snow in the air today.
🙂 🙂
Pretty strong burst of snow for the last 15 minutes. looks like I’ll get more. grass is almost covered. looks like a White Xmas Eve.
Some flakes starting here. 🙂
Well it made it here as a nice steady light snow if falling.
Thank you TK!
Wordle: 4
Windy and festive flakes in Halifax.
Festive flakes winding down here. Came down pretty good for awhile. Never stuck though.
Festive flakes have returned! ❄️
So close as a Winter Storm Watch is up southwest of me for Fairfield County for the upcoming system.
Still snowing. Collecting on grass but not sticking to pavement or rooftops … too warm.
TK – what are your thoughts on NYC and the snow? I have to head to that area and am curious if your thinking is in line with NWS. They have issued a winter storm watch for that area
The watch is warranted. Whether it ends up being a warning magnitude event or an advisory event .. we’ll see. I’d go with 4-6 inches for them right now.
Last of the flakes.