DAYS 1-5 (DECEMBER 28 – JANUARY 1)
A very cold start to your Sunday as a clear sky and light wind over new snow cover promoted ideal conditions for the temperature to drop significantly. As the sun was about to rise this morning, low temps of around 0 were observed in some of the suburbs and rural areas especially well west and northwest of Boston, and in a few normally colder pockets to the southwest too. The majority of the region saw low temperatures in the upper single digits to teens, while urban areas and Outer Cape Cod to Nantucket were in the 20s. This was a good morning to see an example of Martha’s Vineyard being a better radiator than Nantucket, with 7 a.m. temperatures of 11 and 24, respectively. It will be a cold day today though a notable recovery off the morning lows will occur, and we’ll see sun starting to become filtered and eventually fading behind increasing cloudiness ahead of the next storm system coming to impact the region. This one is different from the many clipper type systems we’ve seen. This one is a Great Lakes cutter which travels east northeastward through the Great Lakes with rapid intensification, eventually redeveloping and passing well to our north through southeastern Canada during Monday. This storm’s warm front will bring a surge of rain into our region later this evening into the overnight hours. The issue is at the onset the temperature in a good portion of our region will be below freezing, promoting icing. The icing threat includes all but coastal RI and far southeastern MA (Plymouth County, Cape Cod, Islands) where the temperature should climb above freezing prior to the rain’s arrival and stay there. Where it starts as freezing rain, a transition to non-freezing rain will take place as we see a gradual temperature rise, generally from southeast to northwest across the region, but this means that slippery untreated surfaces will exist into commute time Monday for many areas, so caution is warranted if walking and/or driving. Ice accretion of 0.10 to 0.25 inch can be expected, with highest amounts from north central MA to southwestern NH. It is in these areas were we could see a few weakened tree limbs come down. Elsewhere, I’m not expecting any impact such as that, other than the slippery surfaces. A taper-off of the rainfall will occur as the warm front goes by, but the front may never quite get far enough north to completely allow the rain to end in parts of far northern MA and southern NH. Either way, the system’s cold front will charge eastward across the region during the afternoon with additional rain showers but no more icing, as temperature will finally have climbed above to well above freezing (mildest to the south). The front’s passing will put an end to the rain showers but will introduce another cold air mass along with increasing wind which will have shifted to the west. A secondary front will move through later Monday night and early Tuesday morning with a snow shower chance. This sets the stage for a cold episode Tuesday and midweek – which includes New Year’s Eve and New Year’s Day. While mainly dry weather is expected Tuesday during the day through early Thursday, I’ll be watching a disturbance to come along with a snow shower chance during the afternoon on the first day of 2026.
TODAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 32-39. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: Cloudy with freezing rain arriving except non-freezing rain southeastern MA and coastal RI, then a slow transition to non-freezing rain from southeast to northwest during the overnight hours. Lows 27-34 evening, then a slow temperature rise from southeast to northwest. Wind N under 10 MPH, eventually shifting to SE 5-15 MPH from southeast to northwest.
MONDAY: Cloudy through mid afternoon with any icy patches melting to the north and west, periodic rain northern MA and southern NH, a few rain showers to the south initially, then widespread rain showers west to east early to mid afternoon. Clouds start to break from west to east at end of day. Highs 35-42 in southeastern NH and north central MA and 43-50 elsewhere. Wind SE to S increasing to 10-20 MPH with higher gusts, shifting to W from west to east later in the day.
MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. A passing snow shower possible. Lows 15-22. Wind W 15-25 MPH.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 25-32. Wind W 15-25 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 13-20. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 27-34. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 13-20. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY (NEW YEAR’S DAY): Variably cloudy. Afternoon snow showers. Highs 25-32. Wind W to NW 10-20 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (JANUARY 2-6)
Passing disturbance may bring a few snow showers to the region early January 2. Larger low pressure system may threaten with some precipitation by later in the period – January 5 and/or 6. Temperatures near to below normal.
DAYS 11-15 (JANUARY 7-11)
Drier weather returns, then another system with a precipitation threat again later in the period, based on current trends. Temperatures variable, but averaging near normal.
Good morning and thank you TK.
18 NOW after overnight low of 14.
Ocean: 44
Wordle: 3
Overnight was 13, not 14.
Great Wordle performance!
I got it in 4.
4 for me too. I’ll take it. Nice to share a car with you again today
Awesome 3!!
Excellent JpDave and all !!
Thank you all re: Wordle. Actually thought I had it in 2, but NOPE. It wanted another word. 🙂
Your 4’s are very good.
Thank you TK. I was wondering how this upcoming event tonight was going to unfold.
Not liking it. Hope the rain hold off in NJ for Pats game, but I fear rain will start sometime during the game. I Don’t think it will be rain at the start.
Should have checked nyc forecast 1st. Rain may not start till 6PM or later? I still wonder if that is a bit late?????
The game will be played with rain-free conditions with the possible exception of the final quarter, at which time it may be sprinkling lightly.
The weather favors nobody. The team the plays best is favored. 🙂
That is true, however, there is no denying the fact that some teams perform better than others in adverse conditions. Just the way it is.
More like individual players, and not entire teams. I think that “team” effect is very over-stated through the years. You might be able to make a case for a team from Denver having a home field boost due to training environment. Definitely stronger than sensible weather impacts.
That may be, but depending upon the player(s) that could then give the edge to the entire team.
We think a bit differently in this regard and that is allowed. 🙂
Thanks TK.
Thanks, TK!
The overnight low here was 1.2! It’s 7 now.
Thank you TK!
Wordle: 4
Nice job on the 3 JPD!
Yay. On 4. Now we have 3 in the second car. Please come back and visit JPD.
What is the second car anyway??
I think we’ll be doing a lot of shoveling 🙂
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tender_(rail)
I was afraid of that. Hmmm.
Nope, as your engineer for today, I had a automatic coal conveyor installed. It just delivers the coal as necessary.
No need for shovels anymore. Relax and enjoy the ride.
Now watch, there will be a new engineer.
Nice
Thank you.
Thanks TK.
1,392 ❄️
Thanks Tk
Thanks TK !
Wordle: 5
you got it. Will send refreshments your way!
Very nice Tom.
Thank you, TK. Up to a balmy 10 from
A 6 degree low.
If you want to warm up, go to the top of Mt. Washington where it’s currently 28 F!
Thanks TK
Verizon message
https://ibb.co/Fq3z8mNR
Was thinking happily about the winter of 2014-15 this morning. At some point I know we will actually get a series of real snow storms again. It’s gotta happen.
Our weather regimes have always been like this – active periods, less active periods, in terms of bigger storms.
People still seem to not connect to the fact the snow drought period from the end of the 1970s to the beginning of the 1990s was much more significant than the current one, which is not only of shorter duration so far but much more limited in area.
I believe media plays a big role in over-inflating the “impact” of it.
Oh yeah, and between the two “snow droughts” came the snowiest 20 year period on record at Boston.
I found local TV+ and it seems to want to work. No charge
What is local TV+? And where is it?
It’s an app. Let me see if I can find the link. BRB
Hopefully this works. I was just watching the pregame discussion so fingers crossed I can see the game
https://apps.apple.com/us/app/localtv/id6471592697
Thank you! It’s at least on my phone now.
This is awesome! It’s working beautifully on my AppleTV. Assuming it holds us during the game I’ll cancel FoxOnw within the free trial and pocket the $20 from Verizon
Good plan and good luck
I was just out to the store to pick up a few things before the game.
It is now 31 here and it feels like 55! REALLY NICE OUT!!!!
I went out to clear my car and was thinking the same thing Lovely Sunday.
Best walk along the shore I’ve had.
*In a while.
Vicki, Ihave it on my phone thanks to you. My rabbit ears arrived so I have it on my TV. The local sports has it so I am covered.
Awesome. I’m used to watching on my iPad although would prefer the tv. Still far better than nothing.
Thanks, TK.
Blizzards with gale force winds across Northern Sweden and Finland. Atlantic storms have been forced northward due to blocking – their usual path is across the British Isles – and so a major snowstorm with lots of wind has caused large-scale damage and some loss of life across Northern parts of Sweden and Finland.
Weather has a direct impact on flight times, as I’m sure you all know. My daughter’s flight departed Logan early – before the scheduled time – but will arrive 35 minutes late at Heathrow. Why? Jet stream anomaly, blocking and an easterly wind. As a reminder, a gentle easterly wind in Southeast England is unusual. Their dominant wind direction (like ours, but even more so) is from the west, over ocean and sea. And that tail wind is often quite powerful, obviously at heights above 2,500 feet but also often at the surface in winter.
I realize the Jets team , management, and owner are all pathetic but this is unreal!
Mate is 9 for 9.
*Maye
It’s fun to watch. But I’m not counting on anything yet. 😉
3 TD passes already for Maye!!!
35-3. YAWN
Everything is on track to retire the NAM / HREF and officially replace it with the RRFS in January 2026.
More to come when I have the info…
I have absolutely ZERO knowledge about weather models but is that a good thing?
In my opinion, yes. It’s time.