DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 25-29)
Major winter storm incoming. This one is not going to be one that produces big wind and coastal flooding issues. It’s a “mostly” snow event. As previously mentioned there is a decent shot at a swath of sleet along the South Coast, possibly as far north as Plymouth MA briefly, and if that scenario plays out the sleet can even go to rain on Nantucket. That part of the forecast really has not changed going into it. Timing is similar with snow overspreading the region from southwest to northeast late morning to early afternoon, peaking with highest rate of accumulation from the end of the afternoon to around midnight. It’s in this later evening time frame that the sleet potential would be realized to the south. After this, at least a partial dry slot will put a limit on precipitation to the south while the snow intensity diminishes to the north. But as elongated and redeveloping low pressure passes south of New England, probably just inside 40N/70W, it is going to take until Monday evening for the precipitation to completely taper off. The Monday portion of the storm will be somewhat complex in that any non-snow to the south will go back to snow, and there will be some features on the back side of the storm, and the wrap-around moisture behind the remains of the original low pressure area, all to cause additional episodes of snow. While the vast majority of the snowfall accumulation occurs this evening, there can still be additional accumulation of varying rates until the entire thing wraps up, and this is what will be taken into account for the updated snowfall total forecast, which is as follows: 12-18 inches in general regionwide, with the following potential exceptions – the first being an area of 8-12 inches where sleet is involved, and bands or splotches of 18-24 inches that are west of a coastal front feature that probably sets up near or east of I-95, as well as with the help of some enhancement from Atlantic moisture being transported in by the northeast wind, with these higher amounts most likely to occur in southeastern NH and northeastern MA, but also not impossible in other locations. Behind this system comes some solid winter cold but with mostly dry weather Tuesday through Thursday. There is a disturbance to pass by that may cause a few snow showers in the region during Wednesday.
TODAY: Overcast. Snow arrives southwest to northeast between late morning and early afternoon. Temperatures slowly rise to 18-25. Wind N to NE 5-15 MPH except 15-25 MPH Cape Cod by late-day.
TONIGHT: Overcast. Snow, heavy at times through midnight, tapering off in intensity overnight. Snow may mix with or change to sleet near the South Coast especially Cape Cod and a slight chance of a period of rain at Nantucket. Temperatures steady 18-25 but can rise to 26-33 South Coast / Cape Cod and potentially as far north as the MA South Shore. Wind NE 15-25 MPH Cape Cod / Islands, NE to N 5-15 MPH elsewhere.
MONDAY: Cloudy. Periods of snow – with sleet changing back to snow South Coast. (See discussion for total accumulation expectation.) Temperatures remain generally steady or fall slightly. Wind N to NW 10-20 MPH, a few higher gusts.
MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. A lingering snow flurry possible. Lows 12-18. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.
TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 21-28. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 5-12. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of snow showers. Highs 22-29. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 4-11. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 20-27. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (JANUARY 30 – FEBRUARY 3)
Storm potential exists in the January 31 to February 2 time frame and will keep an eye on that, otherwise continued below normal temperatures with dry weather to start and to end the period.
DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 4-8)
Another potential winter weather threat around February 5-6. Quieter pattern develops thereafter but temperature remain below normal.
Thanks TK.
Looks like a near historic storm for Boston snow wise if they can get over 20 inches. Put this is rarefied air storm wise if we can eclipse 20.
Boston goes over 20. Lock it in.
9z rrfsa has ligtning from Noon to 10 PM. looks extremely juicy as does the hrrr. Hrrr does not show as much ligthning and only for a few hours.
My updated snowfall for event (independent of my short term snow contest guess): 18-24 inches.
Snow only a few hours away. 🙂
https://radar.weather.gov/station/KBOX/standard
Thanks TK
Snow has been falling where I am for about half an hour and sticking right away to the pavement.
🙂 🙂 🙂
Thanks TK !
Wordle: 5
Great discussion as always !
Have not played yet. In a bit.
Nice 5. Am I in trouble before I start?
You’ll do great !! I’m predicting under 5
Thanks, but we’ll see. Depending upon which starting word I use. If I don’t get letters, I don’t fare so well. 🙂
Same
Thanks TK.
1,430 ❄️
Final count????
Say it IS so! 🙂
🙂 🙂 🙂
The question is, are you starting over again at 1 tomorrow or Tuesday? 🙂
I think he’s probably happy to just stop counting. 🙂
No more. I’ve had enough. Glad to have done it though. 🙂
https://weather.us/radar-us/massachusetts/reflectivity/KBOX.html#play-0-0-5
Credit to weather.us/radar
Little ocean stuff to the east too.
Thanks TK! For the record Phillip I predicted the streak would end at 1,430, #winning. Now will the blog get to 500 comments today? Patriots fans hit the jackpot – Broncos starting QB out, best running back remains on IR (he hoped to play today), and snow day tomorrow. So jealous!
Hi Brian,
Now that you have the storm narrowed done. I’m in the part of Melrose of a valley. This from your post (18-24 inches that are west of a coastal front feature that probably sets up near or east of I-95,) we are east of I-95. And channel 5 had us on the pink/purple line of where the splot may come. So what is your prediction on this?
Where you are, I would expect somewhere right around 20 for a storm total. Keep in mind that this predicted total not only includes the fast-accumulating snow that falls from late afternoon through evening, but the more occasional bursts of snow that take place during the day Monday, ending Monday evening, and with the fluffy nature of the snow, some “settling” can occur, so let’s say you get exactly 20 inches of snow. There may never be exactly 20 inches of new snow on the ground. It may stay a little under that because some of it settled before new snow fell on top of it. Bottom line: You going to get quite a bit of snow no matter what the final number is. 🙂
I don’t think that area will ever really get into the “non-fluffy” snow, so the fluff factor will be present throughout just about the entire event. Your lower elevation will not make any real difference in a larger event such as this one.
Tell your mom I said hi!
Ok thanks for the information.
She says hi, and wants to know if your coming to work tomorrow?
I’ll be there!!
Phillip –
Sorry, but I think we need to keep you in the watchtower and have you reset the odometer to “1” on Tuesday. The community has appointed you.
Majority agree?
I’m good with it. 🙂 🙂
He can take a break 🙂
I’ll start a new count tomorrow, days at Logan since it’s hit 90F !
That will be 162 tomorrow.
If that gets to 1400+, I’ll be unhappy !!
90F (with very low humidity for Mrs JpDave), but we do need real beach day temps ! 🙂 🙂 🙂
I’d be thrilled if we NEVER saw 90 degrees again!!
But, that ain’t happening.
Agree and agree
9Z RRFSA Lightning flash desnsity for 4PM today as an example
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rrfs_a&p=lgtden&rh=2026012509&fh=12&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Wow (the amt of area that has a signal for a chance)
NWS snow map updated 7:09 this morning.
https://www.weather.gov/images/box/winter/StormTotalSnow.jpg
Thank you TK!
WBZ had the count at 1429 on the news this morning.
Thanks TK. Does Natick fall into the coastal front area?
West of it.
12z HRRR
Nearly at the end of the event radar simulation.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=refcmp&rh=2026012512&fh=38&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Almost seeing a mini circulation/vortex in the simulation just off the coast
As if the first 98% of the event wasn’t enough, I really think someone inside 128 tomorrow evening is going to be additionally surprised by one more brief burst of moderate, maybe even heavy snow.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=qpf_012h-imp&rh=2026012512&fh=42&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
12 hr melted QPF, ending 6z Tuesday, so perhaps 1pm to 1am Monday to past midnight into Tuesday.
I see .2 and maybe even .3 on the south shore.
You think we go well ton part one & two
Cancel I saw comment
NWS Maps. Possibly designed to create confusion.
Event Total Snow Accumulation (7 AM Sunday to 7 AM Tuesday)
https://www.weather.gov/images/box/winter/StormTotalSnow.jpg
Expected Snowfall: Official NWS Forecast (7 AM Sunday to 7 AM Wednesday)
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/Prob_Precip/idss-map/mapgen.php?office=BOX&ptype=prob_sn&summary=true&state=MA&pointpreferences=MA&product=expected&2025020905
Most Likely Snowfall (Sunday to Monday PM)
https://www.facebook.com/photo/?fbid=1209023181402676&set=a.237876368517367
Most Likely Snowfall and Confidence (7 AM Sunday to 7 PM Monday)
https://x.com/NWSBoston
I didn’t even want to post the Event Total Ice Accumulation map simply because the last time I saw the map it was ludicrous.
Ocean effect already falling here !!!!!
A little more than flurries too, a modest light snow.
Nice!
Good morning and thanks TK. Cloudy and -5F here in Bretton Woods, NH this AM. Getting ready to head back CT and prepared for a very shitty last third of the trip.
If not too late, here are my snow guesses:
Boston 22.7”
Worcester 22.5”
Coventry 17.5”
I like your guesses Mark. Safe travels home this morning.
Thanks Dave.
Thanks TK. Great discussion.
For a winter storm, this system has a shit-ton of qpf!!!!
Up to 10 here after being down to 8 overnight.
Ocean: 41
Wordle: 4
Bring on the snow and GO Pats!!!!
Going to bake some brownies for the game. Yum yum
I may be expecting too much h, but I expected the radar to be more solid. Lots of blotches of much lighter precip even down the coast. Hope these blotches fill in some more.
I would hate to see an inch or 2 of more intense snow only for it to go light for a period of time before becoming intense again. I Want steady intense for the duration. I guess that’s not going to happen.
We shall see. Plenty of time for storm to intensify some and fill in those blotches.
It’s still intensifying, radar will definitely fill in!
Yeah, that’s what I was hoping. Thanks.
Noaa point forecast for Billerica
6 to 10 inches today
10 to 16 inches tonight
2-4 inches tomorrow
thats 18 to 30 inches!!
Sounds right to me. Likely in the middle, ie 24.
Snowing back home in Coventry CT now as well and a coating on the ground. It’s coming in hot.
The hotter, the better!
Have a 1Pm meeting for work to discuss storm and what to do for tomorrow. My recommendation is to close the office and have staff work from home. Should be interesting. I’ll just share the NWS map or perhaps the surface Kutcher snow map. 🙂
Thoughts? Thanks
I am the one that has to prepare and send out the robo call. We have a service for that. I just type theater and it converts to voice. I just have to listen and make adjustment till it sounds right. Asign a file of staff and press the button and away it goes.
Thank you TK!
Just started here at 9:00 on the dot, light at first but seems like it will ramp up quickly.
Started here as well in last 20 mins.
One thing one of our meteorologist here in CT was saying how the snow quickly over came the dry air and started right away. Looking at some of the short range models that mix area comes very close to my area.
Thank you, TK
Wordle 3
Mark I have your numbers. Please have a safe trip home.
Wow! Awesome job.
Superb Vicki !!
Nice!
I will be riding out the storm with you in the 3-car. Do you think we’ll be responsible for controlling the train today? Is the Wordle train ever canceled due to weather conditions? If we’re the engineers, can we make that call? How about if we just sit still and enjoy the storm and the company?
So many questions 🙂
Light snow is just getting started here.
Well done. Everyone is welcome in the 3 car.
Answers.
I hope not
And not sure of next two
But love the last question
Great 3!!!
Based on radar and reports, I expect first flakes here any time now, most certainly within the hour if not sooner. None just yet.
BINGO!!!
Here is the 12Z HRRR Kuchera Snow. This one gets me to the snow contest guess!!!! 🙂 🙂 🙂
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2026012512&fh=48&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Not that this is a guarantee, but gives me hope. 🙂 🙂 🙂
NAM, quite similar
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2026012512&fh=51&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
3K NAM, ditto
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam4km&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2026012512&fh=60&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Snowing here in Holden. It’s been a minute since I’ve seen it snow at 3F and -13DP. I’m sure it’s happened plenty with WAA but can’t recall last time.
🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂
Quite dark here – no snow yet. Will go to 11am Mass and then hunker down by 1pm
I think Boston is going to have a big lead in the snowfall standings over New York after this storm.
Before the storm
BOS 10.9
NY 9.7
It won’t have a lead over Worcester. We’ll see how close they can get.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rrfs_a&p=ref1km_ptype&rh=2026012512&fh=38&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc
Not as much as the HRRR, but like it, the RRFS A is slightly solidifying that back edge as it passes through tomorrow evening, after sunset.
12Z HRWNSSL kuchera Snow
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrwnssl&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2026012512&fh=60&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
12Z ICON has the lowest numbers so far in the 12Z suite, but still very substantial
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=icon&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2026012512&fh=48&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Wow, the snow went from light and maybe 2-3 miles visibility to moderate and probably .5 mile visibility.
Very fine and very thick !!!
🙂 🙂
Feels and smells like snow out there. A lot of clean up ahead of us, ready to go.
Temp is 9.5 currently.
Flakes showing up here.
Must be OE.
Wait til that green band gets to those it hasn’t gotten to yet, it escalates so fast !
Thanks, TK!
The snow started at 9:10 and it did not take long at all for it to start to accumulate on the roads and cars. I went out to grab a coffee and the subs for the game and the roads quickly got slippery.
Still only 8 degrees.
And we have a new low model projection for snow, the 12Z RDPS
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rdps&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2026012512&fh=45&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
BOO!!!!
TOO LOW imho. Waiting on HRDPS
Here is the 6Z HRDPS to show you what I mean. HUGE differennce here!!!!!
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrdps&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2026012512&fh=45&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Expecting flakes here at any moment. I have been straining my eyes in the hope I catch a lonely flake coming down. NO such luck. Not yet anyway. 🙂
Enjoy the storm, JPD! 🙂
Will do!!! thanks
It’s mostly sunny in Denver. Just cold like us.
Flakes here officially started at 10:19 AM.
According to Cindy, an additional 3-6” for tomorrow. 🙂
Flakes literally just started here. 🙂
AND the SNOW has officially started here in JP and in the city of Boston!!!!
https://radar.weather.gov/station/KBOX/standard
Nowcasting a first heavy band along the south coast, which, if it hangs there for some time, can help them get to 12+ even if they do turn to sleet before the lull arrives.
Click the Hi Rez button on that radar and then Play Button at bottom, you get a bigger picture.
Cool, thanks !!
On that hi res play back, I could see a hefty OE band coming into your area and also Boston. 🙂
12Z HRDPS is now running. We’ll see what it has to say.
Everything already sticking & it’s not even coming down hard , when this starts it’s lights out !!! With all these past little events this winter they have all overachieved down here so let’s see if this one does . Neighbor just delivered food , wife is comfortable & I got plenty of dry wood & fridge is stacked !!! Bring it on . And Go PATS !!! I’m so excited !!!!!
Indeed it is. All whitened anew!!!
Coastal front in infancy.
Ptown, Orleans, Chatham up to 23F with a light east wind.
Marshfield is 16F with a very light NNW wind.
11 here. Brrr
Snow intensity has picked up quite quickly.
And the 12Z GFS Kuchera.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2026012512&fh=48&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
We’re close to an inch already.
For sure. Everything just whitened here. dusting to thin coating is all so far.
I find it interesting that Quincy has yet to cancel school for tomorrow. This storm is definitely a lock.
wimps! They’ll do so by this evening for sure!
12Z HRDPS has 11 inches in Boston by 6PM!!!!!!! That’s nearly 2 inches per hour!!!!!!
15 inches at 6PM. hmmm that is 4 inches in one hour!!!!!!!!!!!
17 inches at 7PM. another 2 inches!
Here’s the maps
22Z (5PM)
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrdps&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2026012512&fh=10&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
23Z (6PM)
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrdps&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2026012512&fh=11&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
7PM
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrdps&p=prateptype-imp&rh=2026012512&fh=12&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Another 2 inches in an hour.
That is some INTENSE snow
surface/precip maps
6PM
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrdps&p=prateptype-imp&rh=2026012512&fh=10&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
7PM
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrdps&p=prateptype-imp&rh=2026012512&fh=11&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
8PM
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrdps&p=prateptype-imp&rh=2026012512&fh=12&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
EPIC snowfall rates, IF it verifies!!!!!!!
https://ibb.co/zTqw3zdK
https://ibb.co/sdWGSHqq
Here we are. Final snowfall maps. The second image is infographics including snowfall maps for maine and NH, when to shovel, 10 day forecast.
We’re at over 100 posts on the day and it’s only just begun.
The ground is white and the temperature has dropped from 6 F to 4 F since it started.
IT’S FERN!!!!!!!!!!!
It’s FERNTASTIC!!!!!
My grandson told me the name yesterday. Cute.
I don’t understand how all schools are not automatically cancelled if the governor has asked people to stay home and off the road.
Agree 100%. The governor needs to declare a state of emergency!!!
She won’t if she has not by now .
I thought she came very close in her speech. I shared here on Friday. I think
Flakes getting a little bit bigger.
12Z HRDPS has 20 inches for Boston by 10PM.
That is 20 inches over a 12 hour period. Let me check my math…That is an AVERAGE of 1.67 inches per hour over a 12 hour span. That is mighty IMPRESSIVE
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrdps&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2026012512&fh=15&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Unbelievable!!!!!!
Boston could easily go over 2 feet!!!!
I am officially ready to declare a HOLY CRAP BATMAN warning!!!!!!!!
🙂 🙂 🙂
It’s about time!! LOL!
Snow is getting very close to MODERATE now, less than an hour from onset.
HRDPS finally starts to let up a bit by around 1AM. Still snowing moderately, but the heaviest snow is over. Still more accumulation, just not at the same rate.
I put the snow guesses for this storm at thr very end of the SNOWFALL CONTEST 2025-2026 tab. That way the are easier to find
Please let me know if I missed you or entered your guesses incorrectly.
Thank you. This is going to be interesting!!!
Boston: 27.1 inches (they break the record)
Worcester: 23.5
Providence: 25.3
Hey Arod, you going for an all out snow blitz like me!
Way to go!!!
This will overachieve 🙂
Oh and my guess for total blog messages today: 753
Nice!! I say 520 but all
Dependent on Pats game as well! LOL’
Got it. It’s not on the table I shared. I thought guesses had ended with start. Will update later today.
Don’t worry about it Vicki. All good!
All easily added. Will stop cooking and update table soon.
Martha’s Vineyard reporting .25 mile visibility.
Nantucket and many others on the south coast at 0.5 miles.
That’s a great first mod to heavy hand.
We’ve been a steady snow the last 45 mins, I’m guessing .75 miles visibility.
I see obs all over Ct and NY with Heavy snow, vis 0.25 miles.
I am betting we go BELOW that later on!!!!
Yes, looking forward to a thunder snow ob or 2, hopefully later on.
I need a refresher on how that’s written in an ob.
I know S+ is heavy snow. Is it TS+ ??? That doesn’t sound right though ….
I found this
Standard Meteorological Symbol: It is represented by the standard thunderstorm symbol (a stylized “R” shape with an arrow) with an asterisk (*) or snowflake placed directly above it.
And this. See circled
https://ibb.co/Hf59X0ym
Thanks !!
Tom you & I have both said we have overachieved down here this year . Do you think we can hit close to 2 feet possibly ??
Tom excuse numbers over two feet
Yes !
Especially if this late Monday afternoon/Monday evening 2-4 inch additional piece materializes.
1-5% chance we get to 30”
12Z GDPS Kuchera snow
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2026012512&fh=60&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
this and the RDPS are woefully low, else the geniuses of all models!!!!!!!!
Because QPF is lower, btwn .9 and 1.3
Everything else seems to be 1.4 to 1.7
I can’t believe in winter, with this kind of cold around, we can say .9 to 1.3 is the low simulated QPF
temp has dropped to 2F at Worcester airport.
It’s official! We got a HOLY CRAP BATMAN from Dave! 🙂
He said he is ready to declare… he did not say he declares it. So we wait.
No that WAS my declaration!!!!
Radar show a cool OE moving Westward.
https://radar.weather.gov/station/KBOX/standard
The french toast alert system has officially moved up to five slices: https://www.universalhub.com/french-toast
Also I believe the governor will be doing another briefing at 12:30.
5 degrees and snowing to beat the band.
that band coming up parallel from the Connecticut line is going to be insane.
Indeed, I just posted about it below.
Even though Logan is showing a NW wind, I have seen the wind shift here from NW to a light NE drift.
Snow bands to the SW seen to be intensifying. They are not yellow likely due to the low temperatures and the high snow ratio. Not enough water for the stronger looking echoes.
https://radar.weather.gov/station/KBOX/standard
Where I am I am not in the peak of the storm and the snow is coming down to beat the band. I can’t wait to see what the peak of this is this afternoon and this evening.
Still watching the 12Z HRDPS which is showing a pretty decent backside to this system dropping additional accumulation, however at a much lower rate. 🙂
I do believe when it is done, there will be some 30 inch totals showing!!!!!!!
I never posted the RRFSA Kuchera snow map.
Here it is:
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rrfs_a&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2026012512&fh=50&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
COWABUNGA!!!!!
15z runs of some of the short range models
HRRR
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2026012515&fh=18&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
RAP
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rap&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2026012515&fh=33&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
YIKES!!!! Look at the RAP!!@)(#*(!@*#(!@*(#(!@)*#@*#
Too many Models have 24+ inches to be ignored!
12Z UKMET 10:1 snow
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ukmo_global&p=sn10_acc-imp&rh=2026012512&fh=42&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
and we know the ratio will be high at through a decent portion of the storm!!!
JpDave your area looking like the bullseye.
Yes, it does. We’ll know soon enough.
At least we are in the area as depicted. 🙂
visibility here is “about” 1/2 mile or so.
12Z HRDPS Kuchera Snow.
Move the cursor around and you will see many 30 inch and I even saw a 31 inch total. Boston looks to be about 28 inches!!!!
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrdps&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2026012512&fh=44&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Did someone say Boston might break the single storm record????
Hmmmm This model says it is possible, not that it will be verified.
Hope it does verify. We shall see.
We were thinking alike.
🙂
2” at noon, I thought it wasn’t going to start til noon.
Real heavy band about to move in ahead of the evening clobber.
Even the GFS split out an additional .2 QPF near the south shore for tomorrow afternoon/evening.
I wouldn’t be shocked by a couple 30” totals locally for the entire event, ending tomorrow evening near 8-9 pm.
Absolutely! LOCK IT IN!!!
Hey TOM, it looks like a heavy ocean band is about to move in on you in addition to the synoptic. Should get interesting there in a little while. 🙂
Thinking the same thing !!
Ready for those to overlap.
2″ here, too.
It is getting dark.
9 degrees at noon.
🙂
we have about an inch here, but we started later than you. 🙂
OE is heading westward towards Boston.
Yellow radar echoes well to our SW. I Presume that is SLEET.
https://radar.weather.gov/station/KDIX/standard
Maybe not. Latest observation from Philadelphia is HEAVY SNOW with temperature of 12 degrees!!!!!
My daughter lives there and she just told me 10″ at her apartment. No mixing yet
🙂
All Market Basket stores are closing at 4:00 pm today.
They should close sooner.
It’s been snowing here for about 2 hours. It’s been steady but mostly light with a burst or two of moderate snow. Looks like about an inch so far. Just got done putting a tarp out that we can go out and shake it out periodically so the pup (all 45 pounds of her) can go out and do her business. Now for some early afternoon bacon and eggs and some weather watching (as well as monitoring the local public service radio bands). Can’t wait for the Pats game to start.
GO PATS!!!!
Snow getting heavier here! Not true heavy yet, but moderate for sure.
Yep same here now (just after I posted that it was steady light).
Very cold temps on the road is allowing the snow up here to accumalte but also be very fluffy snow easily moved by car movement
Still light snow here, maybe borderline moderate. Very very small flakes, maybe 1/2”
Snow hasn’t picked up in intensity yet. I smell a bust! LOL.
You still hail from Westwood?
Doesn’t get cranking till around 3
Just took a look at the NWS 11 am conditions down the coast. Here are a select few from Delaware and southwestward.
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
WILMINGTON SNOW 16 11 80 NE22G32 30.27F VSB 1/2 WCI -2
DOVER HVYSLEET 23 19 86 NE21 30.19F FOG WCI 8
BALTIMORE HVYSLEET 16 12 84 NE15 30.21F VSB 1 WCI 1
WASHINGTON DC HVYSLEET 17 13 84 N16 30.20F VSB 3/4 WCI 2
PATUXENT MIX PCPN 22 20 92 N21G31 30.13F VSB 1/2 WCI 6
OCEAN CITY RAIN 36 35 96 E17G28 30.13F FOG WCI 26
WALLOPS ISLAND RAIN 37 36 96 E20G29 30.07F FOG WCI 27
Most other stations down there are reporting heavy snow 🙂
Death band moving in. Let’s see what it delivers.
Big woof! Under it now and NO CHANGE. I said NO CHANGE
in intensity at all! I am in shock!!!!
Oh well. It is still accumulating. Looks like 2 inches here now.
Also reporting in from Hingham. It sure is coming down! Starbucks closed early at noon.
My son just got back from trip to Dunkin Donuts and Chipotle. Said the roads were getting slick.
12Z Euro AI 10:1 snow
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_aifs&p=sn10_acc-imp&rh=2026012512&fh=42&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
1” here. Watching for healy at 12:30
Mesoscale Discussion from SPC with the heavy snow
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0058.html
Suddenly puking snow in Westwood.
Same here.
Here too
https://x.com/Souza101Matt/status/2015477196219912238. 2 photos of my trip on i89 south trying to beat the worst of storm. Not bad yet if u know what your doing. Snow mainly blowing away
The Governor is on TV. Just started.
Healy speaking
She declared tomorrow as a work at home day for nonessential. No SOE
SNOWING decently here. I’d say around 1 inch per hour in moderate snow. IT IS NOT NOT NOT heavy snow at this time.
It will intensify.
The Taunton radar misleads at least on the initial part of that dark green band.
But now that I’m in the center of it, it’s moderate to heavy !!!!
Took my first measurement: .6 out here in my part of Hingham. We’ll get that first inch pretty soon!
Where are you in Hingham? I forgot. I’m on Newbridge not too far from Fort Hill Street. I’ll go out shortly and check on the depth.
Crow Point. Near the elementary school.
12Z EURO 10:1 snow
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=sn10_acc-imp&rh=2026012512&fh=60&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
2.5 to 3 In pembroke
Same here with moderate to heavy snow falling.
Very thick and rather fine flakes again !!! Got to be at a rate of 1-1.5 inches per hr at the moment.
And this is not even the heavy stuff Tom , hopefully we continue the overachiever trend
Yes
I’m making slow cooker kielbasa and sauerkraut in a beer/brown sugar sauce. It was a Mac go to for big games. I don’t drink beer. The house smells like beer. I’m trying to remember it reminds me of Mac ❤️
Also Mac’s prosciutto wrapped melon and my small charcuterie
My neighbor brought over meatloaf & potatoes & a chili/ cheese dip for the game
Good memory
❤️
At least 2 inches in Westwood.
16 degrees with a NNE wind currently – I like that. Any indication where the center of the low is currently?
Past 3 and closing in on 4 here
Just spoke to a friend down in Tabernacle NJ (about 25 miles ESE of Philly) and they just transitioned to sleet after getting about 8 inches of snow. It’s still 18 degrees at his location.
Well that’s terrible
I think Healy should have said all schools must close tomorrow … assuming she has the authority.
Official snow day tomorrow for Marshfield.
Tomorrow was set to be day 90
Just went out and measured here in 3 places and we have slightly over 2 inches.
Nice. You are catching up to here.
https://radar.weather.gov/station/KOKX/standard
Wonder if those yellow echos are ice pellets mixing in?
Even though it’s ice cold in most of the mid Atlantic, the radar definitely shows the snow in fuzzy echoes and then it looks a little less fuzzy where sleet should be encroaching
Rachel in case you didn’t see my reply way, way back in the comments. I will be at work tomorrow! 🙂
If the Patriots were playing at home today, would the game be postponed? I would think so.
Playoff games have been postponed because of snow:
https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/39299792/snowstorm-forces-bills-steelers-playoff-game-monday
Just passing the first inch here at Woburn. 🙂
A short while ago my son and I got back from a morning trip out to brunch at the Agawam Diner in Rowley, and a visit to Hampton Beach where, yes, we put feet in the water for January 2026!
Coldest day I have done that since I started the tradition in 2019. 🙂
Water temp was 40. Air temp was 8. And yes, it was snowing.
We made it back safely. Next time I venture out will be to do shovel round #1. 🙂
That is an accomplishment getting into the water in these temps, with snow falling and the ocean at 40F !!!!
I loved it! My face & fingers didn’t love it so much, but I really did. 🙂 My feet were fine, because I used a car-heated pair of well-worn sneakers with no socks. Walked down warm, got in, slipped them back on after I got out (didn’t care about wet feet at that point). Walked back in sneakers that were still “mild”. Feet were fine. Got back in car and blasted heat. All worked out!
Four hours in and we’re at 4″.
It’s 9.7 degrees.
I am going out now and use the snowblower before the game. I am going to try to stay up with the storm as best as I can.
2.5 here. 1.5 in thr last 45 minutes.
I started a table to keep an eye on total amounts and amount inbetween
Ha! I did the same thing. 1.75″ in an hour between 12 and 1.
Love it. Huge smile here.
We officially have our first inch in my part of Hingham. Kind of funny how Keith is only 2.5ish miles away and has a bit more. I’m very close to the water (about ten houses away.)
And we are a little higher over here My measurements could be off a little but without any wind to speak I think it’s pretty close. Just went out on the back deck and measured close to 3 there (earlier measurement was done in the front yard).
I only have a few spots in the backyard where I fully cleared the previous snow and ice to check but still only a little over an inch. I think the difference of being right on top of the ocean basically has an effect.
Between the pup and the sunlight the front yard was pretty bare. It’s seems to be darker here than it was about 20 or 30 minutes ago. Speaking of the pup she loves the snow and I’ll take her out shortly for a bit to get rid of some of that puppy energy.
I am surprised how much snow we already have.
I was thinking 2-4 headed into that frontogenesis thump later on.
It sure looks like we’re at 4 now.
It’s in the 80s in Florida with low 70s dps.
If I’m reading correctly, the Fl panhandle has tornado watch.
The amt of mild, humid air overrunning our arctic dome is impressive.
The other thing is how cold it is with this snowfall. 4 degrees right now where I am. I can’t remember the last snowstorm with temps in the single digits.
Daughter and granddaughter just drove from barn home…only a few miles. Roads are not touched, including Rt 16 which spins a state road. I get it. We are supposed to be off roads and the drivers will be working for well over a full day to clear them
Tom you were talking about a tornado watch down in the panhandle of Florida
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0004.html
3” on the nose here in Sharon
I grew up in Sharon. Went to Sharon High. Graduated in 93.
Small world! We love it, been here for 12 years.
Just about 5 here now.
Also still only at 9 degrees here.
Wow North! I think you’re in the lead so far
Wow it’s puking snow at this point. I thought we would barley have anything by 3 PM
Stacking up here on the south shore but waiting on that heavy stuff
Love it when Cindy mentions the south shore
I seem to remember a similiar storm with extreme cold and heavy snow 30 years ago in January, 1996. I recall driving home from school (I think we were released early from classes) and the car heater wasn’t warm enough to defrost the icing on the INSIDE of the windshield. I had to drive with my head outside the open driver’s side window to see the road.
4” on the dot here.
My son who lives in Manhattan just said it flipped to sleet after 8″. He lives near Battery Park.
My kids live all over the place. Philly, NYC, Boston
For a minute I thought you said Mattapan. I was like nooooo! But still, a little worried it slipped to sleet in NYC already.
it was modeled to do so.
Ah, ok, good to know! I was gonna ask if this thing is behaving as modeled so far.
Based on what I can see on windy app the low is centered just south of Delmarva Peninsula near Cape Charles where temps are between 44 and 46 degrees
Finally got to Wordle: 4
Looks to be at least 3 inches here in Halifax. The hubby already got called into work and will be staying in a hotel in Plymouth next door to the apartment complex he works at. He was not happy to be missing the game.
Good 4. Welcome aboard the 4 car!
Great 4. It’s perfect day for everyone to gather in the same car. Hot chocolate being served for all.
As of 1pm NY has 7.2 inches of snow. It’s first 6 inch snow total since January 29, 2022.
Snowfall Standings. I am sure BOS has more than the 10.9 now with this ongoing storm
NY 16.9
BOS 10.9
18Z HRRR Kuchera snow. Remember this is only snow from
1PM forward an ddoes not include any that fell prior to 1PM
and still look at these totals!!!
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2026012518&fh=26&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Boston had 2-3 inches as of 1 PM
I’ll have to go out at 1/2 time and check the snow totals.
Looks like about 4-5 inches now.
It snowing pretty good, at least 1 inch perhaps 1 1/2 inch per hour.
We have been 1.5 an hour for last two hours.
Temp has risen to 9 F. Expect to hit low 20’s today.
I have a reading of 10. It has been 10 the whole time it has been snowing,
Just had the first two plows come through the hood & they were pushing easily over 4 inches if not more
SNOWING really hard now. HEAVY SNOW!!! for sure.
At least 2 inches per hour. As Hadi would say, it’s PUKING SNOW!!!!! WOW!!
Out here with the dog and it’s puking for sure.
Just got in from a short trip out back with the dog who nearly pulled on butt down the hill (in addition to her trying to bite my boots). Snowing very hard here and like others have said I would say between 4 and 5 inches here. Will measure just before the game.
That should have read nearly pulled me on my butt down the hill.
Visually and by ob, the coastal front has pushed thru eastern Marshfield.
We jumped from 16F to 23F. Breezy now.
Moderate to heavy snow continues.
Yes…checked the latest obs map and it looks like it runs from about Scituate running south down to Kingston (basically along 3A) and then SSW to Wareham.
Heard from my sister in Dix Hills, Long Island – 6 inches and sleet starting to mix in.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=ref1km_ptype&rh=2026012518&fh=2&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Ok, this is not posted to cause alarm.
But, against the 18z HRRR, knowing there is some sleet in Manhattan and Long Island, against the HRRR’s simulation, the mix line is perhaps 15-20 miles north of where the HRRR projects it.
Not suddenly going to turn the snow to sleet here at 4pm, but it might get the sleet to Plymouth or even Marshfield to take an inch or a couple inches off the mammoth projections. 95% of what the HRRR projects should fall as snow on the south shore but maybe not 100% of it. That’s still a ton.
We will see what happens . I’m still waiting for this real heavy stuff . I mean it’s stacking here quick but it’s not heavy
It’s thick though and as you say, it’s piling up and we’re still headed for 15”+ on the first part.
We’ve got to be at 6+ already 🙂
Snowplow at our complex (which is small) having hard time keeping up. I suspect they will be here for a long time and then have to return very early AM.
Just did our street for first time. Large trucks working in tandem with smaller ones. Sooo much snow pushed up in front of that big plow. Wow. Ans street covered as soon as they left. Sure don’t envy these folks
Radar confirmed tornado on the ground per Tallahassee NWS in its coverage area.
To the game …….
Don’t be surprised if at the end, prior to midnight, some sleet occurs further north than projected.
This makes sense by just seeing how much quicker and further north the snow started this morning.
Clearly a stronger flow aloft, than modeled, from the SW getting that moderate to heavysnow in here much earlier this morning, so, probably also gets the mild nose a bit further north than the cold solutions show.
Still a snow clobbering all the way to the south coast.
20 degrees in Padanaram Village with a NE wind
At 15moh
Yuck for start of game, but snowing like crazy here. We must be at 6 or more and going uo rapidly!!
5.5 here. Consistently 1.5 an hour so far
It’s absolutely nuking snow here. Saw that Tom, clearly NAM still doing well with mid level warming.
Up to 23 here now – coastal front must have come through. Really windy now with a lot of blowing and heavy snow – looks like a blizzard
30+ isn’t out of the question for eastern mass. These bands are intense and snow is back in Pittsburgh. Also Pittsburg was forecasted to get 12-16 and are well over 16 at this point.
Pats not looking good in the first
Patriots look sluggish
I think they should go between lowel and cambell on that left side cambel is not doing well
Pats defense weakness is getting exposed. When pats pressure broncos seem to know where the opened areas are unlike the previous two teams
Not looking that good should have brought the qb and wrs at least to denver so Maye could practice throwing in the elevation
This isn’t an accuracy issue. It’s a combination of his nerves, O-line deficiencies and receivers not creating separation. He isn’t missing open guys.
I think we have 4.5 inches so far. A lot of blowing snow and drifting already. Surprised wind picked up so fast
6.5. Just an inch in last hour.
Neighborhood kids are out pulling a sled with a four wheeler. Fun to watch.
Thanks, TK.
Insane here.
Such a thick snow falling with very low visibility and now with the breeze it’s also blowing around.
Agree Ton but still where is the intense snow ban , is it not coming
Tom
You’ve been under it.
Trust me, that is super heavy snow !!
It’s not the traditional big flakes, but that snow is so thick, you can tell by the visibility, my neighbors tree several hundred yards away is hard to see.
It is. We are just passing 9 inches. Still 10 degrees here.
Wow! Jackpot
Logan jumped from 10 to 23 in the last hour.
17 degrees in pembroke
11.1 here in JP and whiteout conditions.
11.1”? Or degrees
We pretty much are at white out conditions here
Just measured 6.5”
Temp just jumped a whole degree to 10.
Pats: gotta get something going. They are lucky to be tied at the half.
Here’s hoping the Pats coaches saw what they needed to see to give information to the defense on Stidham and information on offense to score. Drake had been playing scared but he usually shakes it off by the fourth quarter. Here’s hoping he shakes it off before halftime ends instead.
6 inches here. White out conditions as well. One weather app says 24 degrees – another says 26. Split the difference and figure 25.
Where are u again?
He’s in Hingham.
I walked the shore at 6:30 AM and it was 5F and now it’s 22 F.
Halftime report from Taunton:
8″
13.5 degrees
Whiteout!
huh? no way here. No way.
Good for the Pats and the Broncos getting to this game.
As far as high level football, they had to be one of the poorest quality of football at a championship game level I’ve seen in a while.
But I’m absolutely thrilled the pats are tied with how outplayed the way they were.
My equipment is reading 12 degrees, with Logan at 23 some 6 miles away.
Snow is NOT as intense now. Still snowing good, but not quite as intense. I don’t see how we make those model projections at this rate of snowfall. We’re destined to come up short unless it really picks up in intensity. An inch an hour isn’t going to get it done. It’s simply not.
And where is the thunder? NO where to be seen.
Most snow here in 4 years.
I am going out in a second and take a measurement.
I am thinking about 7-8 inches or so. We shall see.
re: GAME We are LUCKY as hell to be tied. Thank the D.
This game is frustrating as hell to watch, it really is!!!!
This has been bonus snow. The intense snow was not forecasted to arrive until between now and midnight. Additionally, not all 24 inches are supposed to fall in part 1. Additional snow is expected albeit lighter that’ll still stack up all day tomorrow and into tomorrow night. The higher totals will be realized. We have over 8 inches already 🙂
Snow is very fine here right now but still heavy. A little more wind than earlier. Visibility is also a little better than say 30 minutes. Temp is up around 22 so it looks like we are on the east side of the coastal front as the observation map is showing a station by the Fore River bridge still at 16 with a Northerly wind. I would say about 9-10 inches here.
I just measured 6″ of squeaky snow.
Coastal front forming along far eastern MA. This is where the fun begins west of this front.
7 degrees here.
Just took my first measurement at half time. So far we have 9.75” in Sturbridge, and pounding snow.
Very nice
I just checked the 4pm obs down in the NYC/NJ area
LaGuardia and Kennedy are showing Heavy Sleet still and a temp of 18 while the Central Park OBS is showing Snow with 15 degrees. Islip has heavy sleet while the Hamptons have heavy snow.
Measure.
7 inches here in JP
Been snowing 6 hours, so that is averaging just a bit over 1 inch per hour NOT going to cut it for the big numbers.
So much snow on the street that the four wheeler is struggling to get traction.
I can see across the way but the snow is blowing everywhere. At this point, I’m not sure I could get a reliable measurement.
Measuring reliably will be hard. I put the stick in a few areas and take the average.
Temp just jumped to 2o. NE wind really picking io.
I hope this challenge fails.looks like1st down to me.
23F and windy!
8.6” here
https://radar.weather.gov/station/KBOX/standard
Don’t know if they are or anything about them, but looks like gravity waves in the echoes over Long Island.
That is the radar itself as those echoes are very near the radar.
That’s my opinion anyway.
So Captain Fantastic if Taunton is at 13 and Padanaram at 25 about 25 miles south of you the coastal front is somewhere over Acushnet of Lakeville area – you might be set up for jackpot although it is snowing very hard here
Agreed!
22F here in Boston. Happy it’s snowing. We’ll see what the totals turn out to be. Still plenty of time.
I don’t necessarily think in this very part of the storm, the coastal front has a big role in enhancing the snow.
Maybe a little, but right now, it’s tremendous vertical rising air that causing the heavy precip and that’s why it’s snowing heavily even east of the coastal front.
Now, a little later, when the lift subsides and the jet comes around to more easterly, then the models may be overestimating the lull to the west of the coastal front.
Left Bretton Woods, NH around 10:15AM and returned home around 3:30PM after a harrowing drive. Took 5 hours and 15 min with one stop which all things considered, wasn’t too bad. It was an absolute whiteout driving from Sturbridge to Coventry on I 84. As if the visibility want bad enough, the wipers kept icing over.
Just measured 11″ on the deck here in Coventry CT and temp still holding at 12F. I’d estimate we are snowing at about an inch an hour now, not nearly as hard as when we got home.
So glad to hear you are safely home
Yeah, it’s also on weather.us/radar
Looks like gravity wave echoes down on Long Island.
It’s still only 5F at my house. Wild
Wow! We are over ten inches – we just got 6 inches in last two hours!!
Yup ! Nice !!
Gusts to 33 and 36 last half hour here, so, going forward will be difficult to know what we have.
I mean, it was around 7 at the start of the game and with the intensity of the snow the last 2 hrs, we have to be near or just over 10”
For those who are concerned that the larger snow totals won’t be realized…This has been bonus snow. The intense snow was not forecasted to arrive until between now and midnight. Additionally, not all 24 inches are supposed to fall in part 1. Additional snow is expected albeit lighter that’ll still stack up all day tomorrow and into tomorrow night. The higher totals will be realized. We have over 9 inches already
We are pushing 11 down by Tom & I
8.8 so far for NY with this storm system
BOS was 1.3 but that was at 1pm
Snowfall Standings
NY 18.5
BOS 11.2
Ugh, sleet now being reported in Seymour, Ansonia, and Easton CT by posters on the American Weather forum and saw another poster from RI saying they had flipped to sleet. Let’s hope it doesnt advance much further north.
Puking snow here again….Visibility is really low…
13″ Southington CT and still all snow.
16″ White Plains, NY
Highest totals I have seen so far.
Westwood at 10.5 and the brunt of the storm is underway. I’d say most places got a good head start.
Just measured 12″ here in Coventry, CT. 12F.
I agree with arod. The increase in temp here has leveled off – we are at 25 and wind has increased to ENE at 20. Still snowing hard
Several of the posters in SW CT who reported sleet are saying it flipped back to snow. Good sign that the northern advancement of that mix line has halted.
Down here in Warwick near pvd airport 12+ inches here. Very heavy snow here .
Let’s go NE !!!!!!!!!!!
Mark looking at the short range guidance all day I felt it was so close whether there was a flip to sleet here. Good news there from what you posted about people in southwestern CT reporting a flip back to snow.
Super Bowl bound !!!!!
9.8 at 6:00 In SE sutton.
I am so so proud of our young QB and team and Vrabel.
It wasn’t pretty but man did the D step up in the second half and Drake’s running…WOW
Agree and agree.
And agree and agree and agree!!!!!
The Pats opponents do not understand what they are up against. They do not have the great talented players who played under Brady but they have a culture of belief in themselves and play under a blanket of unselfishness like no other team in the league.
When it comes to winning, I have said this before.
They can because they think they can!
Love this. Like the little engine that could.
What a gritty win. But a win is a win. The visibility is so bad in Foxboro if the game was there I’d be surprised if it wouldn’t be delayed because it’d be impossible for tv cameras to capture the action.
In the end it really did come down to the broncos deciding to not go for a field goal on 4th and 1. We’d be having an overtime game in that mess.
Sean Payton seemed to guarantee a win when he said the Broncos would have a 2 week rest after today’s game.
Arrogance.
Also going for it on 4th down instead of taking the sure 3 points.
Not a fan of Sean Payton, needless to say.
I haven’t watched much football all season. But the Patriots really impressed me today. Denver is a tough place to play and win.
An AFC title and a superbowl? We’ve been kissed by the gods.
And an epic snowstorm was supposed to be in there
Our last few inches of snow are definitely wetter than the powder earlier on.
I think we’re over a foot but it’s breezy and drifting around some.
Sean Payton did not understand what he was up against … the psyche of the NE Patriots.
The Patriots are the first NFL team to go 9-0 on the road.
Sean Peyton is pompous. I’m glad he’s forced to back track and swallow his words. He guaranteed a win on the record twice.
As for the snow, Westwood is now over a foot. Heavy snow will continue for the next four + hours. That should take us to 18 inches easily for part one. I think we see 2 feet region wide while other see up to 30 inches by the time the snow shuts off tomorrow night.
I would be curious if the 10 points is the most by the AFC Champion.
It’s definitely not the most. 🙂
But it is tied for the least with the AFC Championship game on January 12 1992 in which Buffalo defeated Denver by a score of 10-7.
I meant to say least. Doh! 🙂
9.75” here in Sharon. There is some variability out there.
Closing in on 13 here. Temp jumped from 13 to 21.
10.6”
Plowing our street for second time today. Not one car all day
A foot even in Westwood with many hours of 1-2 inch per hour snowfall rate.
Should close in around 20 inches by the time part one concludes. Two feet plus seems likely by the time snow ends in about 24 hours.
Temperature is up to 25 here, but still snowing decently and now blowing around.
YAY Patriots!!! The “D” and Maye’s legs!!!!
Agree! Maye’s arm was ineffective but because he’s a two player, he helped lead the Patriots to the victory. The Pats D was the MVP.
And no turnovers. That was key along with his legs as well as the D who has been underrated and under appreciated all year. I love being the underdog and proving the critics wrong. What happened to the win Peyton guaranteed?
Very heavy snow in Westwood. Snowing about two inches per hour. We’re in it.
We have about 9″ and the temperature is up to 8 F, the high so far for the day.
Is the count officially over?
Yup. 1,429 ❄️
Thank god. Was tired seeing that.
We have at least a foot but hard to
Measure – a couple of drifts of two feet. Wind is strong and now has shifted to NE from ENE which is a good sign. We have been stuck at 25 for a few hours now.
10.5” for Boston so far.
Sounds about right. 🙂
Just not snowing all that hard here. It just isn’t and the radar looks like the echoes are WEAKENING. Somethings up.
There are always waxes and wanes in these types of systems.
well, color me disappointed. Really disappointed. yeah, I know, I am a tough customer and want it all, but I can’t help it.
I mean a nice snowstorm, especially since we haven’t had one in 4 years, but it does NOT measure up in my book. Will it in the end? I doubt it, but we’ll see. 🙂
This is a remarkable system, especially given how cold it still was when the snow was already as heavy as it was WITH a northwest wind. That virtually never happens here.
Just about everybody gets double digit snow.
Yes, this is definitely impressive, especially compared to the rest of our events since 1/29/2022.
JPD. Storm is behaving per usual. It isn’t going to snow three inches an hour every hour for twelve straight hours. Enjoy the snow! It’s the most we’ve seen in quite some time! 🙂
Yes, I know that. I was expecting a bit more of a punch.
Re: Football.
Just before the playoffs started, at work we were talking about different teams and their chances, and my prediction was for a New England / LA Rams super bowl. Half way there. LA is working on doing their part now.
Do we have a better chance with LA?
I want to see a MAYE/Stafford matchup!!!!!
Just did a review of all MA, CT and CT reporting stations. Only Saw 1 report of heavy snow. (somewhere in CT, NONE in MA, not a one!) Most were moderate with vis 0.5 miles and many were light snow with vis 1 or 1.25 miles.
Where the hell is the HEAVY SNOW? it does NOT exist!!!
It is difficult to get true HEAVY SNOW, very difficult. We had it for a few hours this afternoon,but that was all she wrote. Unless something happens soon, we’re cooked.
Looks like TK’s numbers may win. 🙂
According to Waunkum, next weekend system stays south.
Would NOT be surprised one bit
Too soon to know that. It’s 7 days away.
Seven days ago this system was a MISS to the south, by a significant distance, according to “the models”.
JPD. Storm is behaving per usual. It isn’t going to snow three inches per hour every hour for twelve straight hours. Enjoy the snow! It’s the most we’ve seen in quite some time!
Duplicate. 🙂
It’s been pounding here, pretty much all day.
It’s been a fine snow, but such a thick snow.
I don’t know if heavy snow is associated with big flakes, but it’s been such a fine, but thick snow.
And the giveaway, that it’s very heavy, is that the visibility is so low.
I think if one was in their car for a while, had the inside real warm and the windshield warm, they’d be amazed at how much melted water equivalent would be on their windshield.
Like sometimes with other snow, you do that and there’s a lot of snow, but when it melts, it’s not a lot of water. Not this go around.
Good for the grass and vegetation, especially with the harsh cold this week.
I don’t know. In my opinion, this storm has behaved as expected thus far. We are closing in on 14 inches. It may not look like a blizzard at all times but the cold temps and high snow ratios helped bring us to where we are right now. It does not need to snow as hard with ratios like this to accumulate 1-2 inches per hour which is why it may appear deceptive to some.
I’m at 10” on the dot here. It started accumulating around 10:30am. That’s 1”/hr on average for the duration (so far). I thought it would be higher, unless that’s still to come?
The radar echoes off rhe coast are impressive – that low east north east of Atlantic City is strengthening. Impressive wind and snow falling moderately here
#1. 1,772 days (1978-1992) ❄️
#2. 1,429 days (2022-2026)
Correction:
#1. 1,772 days (1988-1992) ❄️
I just got in from snow removal & we are well over a foot here . But in saying that I am very disappointed that this so called major heavy snow fall by 3 ?? Where is it . I mean again we are getting the inches but not the heavy light out like holy crap it’s snowing hard , so happy but not living up to the hype for me anyways
I respectfully disagree.
I think it’s the fine nature to the flakes and I wonder if that is throwing perception off?
Actually, when the flakes are bigger, well, they are taking up more space and not as many are falling as it looks.
This stuff today has been fine, but it’s so thick. You go out in it for 2 minutes and you’re thickly coated. The visibilities are low and the amount that’s on the ground should confirm it’s been heavy.
Maybe you’re right Tom .
Maybe, but measurements confirm the visibility observations. 🙂
Sure.
I think Logan was at 10.5 an hour or hour and a half ago. They have to have added another 1 to 1.5
So let’s say they are at 12
I’ve got to think they are getting another 2-4 or 3-5 before part 1 ends, so that’s 15-18 or so.
And then from 7am to 9pm tomorrow, potentials there for another 3-5, so that would put them at 18-23 inches
Not bad. 🙂
Going exactly as I outlined it would based on today’s discussion.
No surprises whatsoever at this point.
12.1 for 8:00 resding
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=refcmp&rh=2026012600&fh=19&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=refcmp&rh=2026012600&fh=23&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Look at this early afternoon into evening. Also seeing simulated radars on weather casts for tomorrow.
I think after a potential morning til mid morning lull, we’ll have fun watching it snow again to the tune of 2-4, maybe a bit more.
26 degrees here now & does not look like to hit 32 until 6am & only briefly.
We’ve been getting pounded for hours here in Amesbury. Zero complaints. It’s awesome.
Bridgeport CT in the top 10 for heaviest snowfalls on record. Only a few more inches will get them into the top 5.
26 here and the snow has picked up some.
Quite windy
Yeah not sure what folks wanted, it’s behaving as predicted.
Came in from a 2 hour shovel and plow and around 13 inches when I just came in.
Getting there…..
Looks pretty deep out there. Will not go out tonight. manana!
At this point, I really want to see the Rams win this game.
Seahawks are playing a cocky game. Taunting penalty just turned the Rams 4th & 12 into a first down and they scored a TD on the next play.
Totally agree TK!
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=refcmp&rh=2026012600&fh=24&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
I know the 12z NAM isn’t great, with that said here’s its radar simulation at 8pm tomorrow night and it looks somewhat like this on other 3 hr panels earlier in the day.
Really cold obviously, I think delays at least may be needed Tuesday.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=qpf_012h-imp&rh=2026012600&fh=24&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
.1 to .2 melted QPF in that cooling column
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=snku_012h-imp&rh=2026012600&fh=24&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
12 hr, 7am to 7pm kuchera snowfall
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=snku_006h-imp&rh=2026012600&fh=30&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
And then 7pm to 1am as Monday turns to Tuesday.
So this is the part where I have to issue the reminder I often have to in a longer-duration event.
The total snowfall forecast is for the entire event, not just what falls through tonight. This forecast includes what falls through tomorrow evening, which is 24 hours from now, so we don’t want to go verifying this storm a full day before it ends. 😉
Trying to show that just above 🙂
I just enjoy the snow. I pay little attention to precisely how much has fallen or is going to fall. It’s great to see a nice chunk of snow again and to hear the plows on Beacon Street.
So far BOS has 10.5 inches of snow and NY has 10.6 inches of snow
Snowfall Standings
BOS 21.4
NY 20.3
RRFS has been depicting something that I am pretty sure is a gravity wave coming through this area around midnight.
That may pull a snow/sleet line about 25 miles further north briefly, and cause a quick hitting burst of intense precipitation.
After that goes by, a dry slot should be arriving.
Then we go through several episodes of snow (sleet to snow south) tomorrow, as discussed earlier.
Cool !!
Nantucket the first I can see, in southern New England, to hit 32F.
Testament to how cold the airmass was, an ENE wind for 12+ hrs and it finally got to 32F.
We’ve had a steady ENE wind for about 9-10 hrs and we are still at 28F.
Usually this steady a wind, from the direction, probably 070 or 080 and we’re in the mid 30s at least.
I called it. I knew some would call it a bust. Are you kidding me? Most of us are well over a foot already and we still have 24 hours to go. No one called for a blizzard and there were several hours since commencement where snowfall rates were 2+ per hour. Again, in a very good airmass, the snow doesn’t need to appear to be coming down heavily for it to stack up. It’s about perception. Yet, the depth of the snow tells the story. All systems go in my opinion and I’m typically not impressed. Let’s see how it all shakes out. Many areas will still fall within range while others will overachieve when all is said and done.
Someone on here?
Just stop. This is why I disappear.
I sure hope your not saying I said bust with my disappointment it was not coming down harder , we are getting pounded here with snow , I just thought it would be more heavily & thought we would have thunder snow , everyone here is on the Same page I think .
Did I say that?
100% agree Arod.
The snow is deep for sure, going exactly as I thought. This is not a bust and won’t be.
Precisely 🙂
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rrfs_a&p=refcmp&rh=2026012600&fh=5&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Gravity wave associated potential 25 mile brief jump to the north mentioned by TK early with the bright yellows reflecting off sleet pellets.
I agree – and there were times so far in this storm it felt and looked like a blizzard even though it wasn’t for three hours straight – bit pretty close. Currently 28 in Padanaram Village and some sleet mixing in with a steady snow. It’s blowing strong down here
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rrfs_a&p=sfct-imp&rh=2026012600&fh=14&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rrfs_a&p=sfct-imp&rh=2026012600&fh=14&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
RRFS A with an active coastal boundary mid morning tomorrow.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rrfs_a&p=refcmp&rh=2026012600&fh=14&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rrfs_a&p=refcmp&rh=2026012600&fh=16&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Just spent 2 hours outside clearing the driveway and front walk. Things were getting covered up as soon as I cleared them. Lots of wind and blowing snow too.
Still snowing moderately and up to 15” here in Coventry. Perhaps a few hours of accumulating snow left before we get dry slotted. Don’t expect much accumulation here tomorrow. So still feeling pretty good about my 17.5” snow guess for here.
I started mark & gave up half way through . I have a plow lined up tomorrow but figured I would try & do it .
Make that 15.5”
18z Euro for Saturday… 🙂
https://x.com/steveoweathaguy/status/2015576235678560762?s=46&t=cAAA4iBELkUhqYWBAiwAsw
Wouldn’t that be something…
Don’t put your shovel away after this one. Pattern supports something about one week from today.
Would that make it up here?
Sure looks like it’s in an ominous position.
According to Waunkum, it stays south.
Famous last words? We will see.
As I said earlier, 7 days ago, what was the forecast for today? A big miss. A huge Southeast and Mid Atlantic snow / ice event and a dry / cold weekend in New England.
How did that work out? 😉
7 days ago the forecast for Denver was sunny with highs in the 40s. How did that work out? 😉
See my point here?
Yup! 😉
12” so far here in Quincy according to Ch. 7
Providence, RI and south have been an unexpected jackpot zone so far
How much do you have about Ace
I had exactly 10” about an hour ago, so likely around 11” now. Like some others, I never saw “heavy” snow as I’ve averaged 1”/hr from the start.
00z RRFS model brings 2-4 inches of snow to Boston and the South Shore tomorrow morning-midday, and 1-3 inches of snow to most of eastern MA late in the day / early evening.
THIS is why we don’t declare this storm a disappointment TONIGHT. The accumulation forecast INCLUDES WHAT FALLS TOMORROW.
Yup !!
Mixing with some sleet.
Sleet has backed off and now back to all snow.
This is what I’m trying to impart. It doesn’t happen all at once. Still more to go.
Yes indeed.
All across social media I constantly see people verifying things in the early or mid stages as if they are done.
Like winter being over on December 28.
Or a 24 hour snowstorm being a dud about 3 hours into it because the full amount isn’t already on the ground before it occurs. 😉
No sleet here as of now
I think for the most part it stays just south of you. Your area was about the northern limit of potential for the main event. We’ll see what the gravity wave does, but that would be short-duration.
Now 13” here in Quincy.
Patriots will face Seattle Seahawks in SB LX.
2015
Did a first pass shovel about an hour ago. Massive snow drift on the roof that I’ll have to get a ladder in the morning for since my roof rake isn’t reaching it. Just absolutely breathtaking snowdrifts everywhere.
Next pass shoveling will be around 8am. Final pass shoveling hopefully around 6pm or sooner.
Gotta work remote tomorrow morning sadly.
FWIW ….. Logan ob has tallied 0.70 melted.
What is the forecasted total QPF?
Who would have thought Sam Darnold would get to a Super Bowl before Josh Allen? In fact he is the first QB from that draft class to get to SB.
Pembroke at 16 inches & Dorchester @ 13 inches now according to wankum .
Next NWS snowfall updates from Boston (Logan) and Worcester will be at 1:00 AM.
Dry slot coming in fast and furious with no fill in
Exactly TK. I knew some would comment on the lack of intensity; however, we are only half way done with the storm and most locations are already over a foot. We have no patience. Let’s allow things to play out.
16 inches currently in Amesbury and snowing to beat the band!
Not sure about the bust talk but I assumed that the final snowfall amounts won’t be known until tomorrow night.
If this is a bust, what would a non-bust look like?!
It is a virtual BLIZZARD in Government Center with high drifts all around that area. ❄️
Philip I think you were # 500 tonight.
Yay! 🙂
With the fairly low water content, the buildings/wind effect is quite evident.
Acemaster – the dry slot was forecasted for a few days now. Not a surprise. It’ll shut down the heavy snow by midnight. Then, a lull will ensue followed by periods of light to moderate bursts of snow between midnight and 24 hours from now.
I know, and I remain skeptical we get any meaningful accumulation from part 2. I’m happy with a foot assuming I get another inch before it shuts off for the night.
Makes sense. Let’s hope part two can generate another few to several inches.
Well all I can say is that Robert Kraft better make arrangements for Malcolm Butler to be in his box for the game!!
I’m as big a snow lover as anyone, and the last few years have been a bummer. But I can’t see how any snow lover can complain about this. We are likely going to end up with close to 20 inches in Amesbury. Just awesome.
I’m sure not complaining. ❄️ 🙂
about 14 inches here in Billerica, light to moderate snowfall very small flakes. I feel the mid levels are starting to dry out and snow rates will fall rather quickly, u see the dry slotting on the radar
14.6 here as of 10:15.
According to JR: An additional 3-6” for Greater Boston /eastern MA tomorrow/tomorrow night. 🙂
Might point exactly. This is by far not over.
Is the center going to go west of benchmark or right over it?
The secondary, which goes by first, looks like it travels mostly right over it. The primary remains somewhat intact and tracks just inside 40/70 early in the morning.
Thank you!
Look at these pics out of Mississippi: https://x.com/old_schooleddie/status/2015489089789702644?s=46&t=s4eVVdaEQyQ68YA8sxeH5w
Brutal!
Heartbreaking
Snow has shut off here in Coventry, CT with just shy of 16″. We’ll see if we can squeak out another inch or two here tomorrow to get into that 17-18″ range. Well forecasted event here in CT and pretty much the entire state came into the predicted 12-18″ range that most outlets had. No surprises (except I was disappointed the thundersnow never materialized).
Snow reports thus far in SNE from the NWS Boston:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=box&issuedby=BOX&product=pns
And reports for southern CT/NJ/NY metro area:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=OKX&product=PNS&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
That’s a lot of moisture
Lenny Macrina, Sports Physical Therapist
@LenMacPT
Last time the @Patriots faced the Seahawks in a Super Bowl we got 100+ inches of snow in Boston that winter.
Eric Fisher
@ericfisher
1h
Same kind of pattern ahead next few weeks, tbh
18z Euro AI Ensemble Mean Snow for next weekend:
https://x.com/BlediB7/status/2015582092076151102?s=20
To give you an idea of the expansiveness of this storm (if it wasnt already evident), even Toronto, ON picked up nearly two feet from it. One of their biggest storms in history.
https://x.com/RTNToronto/status/2015614001606996393?s=20
Wow. Impressive for sure
More meteorologist chatter about next weekend:
Mike Masco
@MikeMasco
1h
REPEAT PERFORMANCE NEXT WEEKEND?? ❄️
I’ll say this — the EURO AI Ensembles have been doing an excellent job lately identifying early storm signals well ahead of time.
And once again, I’m seeing some familiar ingredients showing up…
• Ridging building over the West
• Upstream blocking developing
• A favorable 50–50 low setup
• Storm track guidance beginning to align
That combination holds some potential for maybe another next weekend storm!
It’s early — and plenty can still change — but this is the type of large-scale pattern that supports repeat winter events in the Northeast.
When the pattern starts whispering this loudly a week out, it’s worth paying attention.
https://x.com/MikeMasco/status/2015614195023155245?s=20
Noah Bergren
@NbergWX
2h
It would appear somewhat clear we are locked into this pattern now of big cold and winter weather events in the eastern U.S. for a while yet. Euro AI holds, even strengthens this pattern once we get into the first 10 days of February.
This is the upper level pattern Feb 2. to Feb. 7.
Lots of cold in the east with this.
It may not be until the 2nd half of February until we finally get the persistent trough out of the east coast.
I hope you like cold.
https://x.com/NbergWX/status/2015607509038285167?s=20
At 11:35 in Amesbury, it is snowing harder than it has all day. Wow!
Gravity wave. Talked about it earlier. Expecting timing was 11 p.m. hour into midnight hour. You dry slot right after this with a cut off to very light snow that will eventually become occasional.
Tomorrow, a few more periods of accumulating snow, though you’ll have had the vast majority by about midnight tonight.
Thanks! It’s impressive.
0z operational models now all showing coastal storm development for next weekend:
0z UKMET:
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ukmo_global&p=prateptype_ukmo-imp&rh=2026012600&fh=150&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=
0z GFS:
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=prateptype_cat-imp&rh=2026012600&fh=165&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=
0Z Canadian and 0z ICON have ocean bombs as well but keep them just offshore.
Looks like we have another week of model watching ahead. But alas, I am getting ahead of myself… 🙂
Just finished my third cleanup, wow. Lost power in Andover while outside…. Hope it’s quick!
Good luck on getting back soon
2000 houses out, Andover / N. Andover… it’s the only big outage in the state with National Grid that I see. Estimated restoration 1:25, we’ll see….
It’s back!
It sounds as if some of precip is frozen. But we are at 13 degrees
15” and very light snow now.
Sweet dreams everyone
It’s almost 1 a.m. in Amesbury. We have picked up 4-5 inches in the last 3 hours and it is still puking snow here. Unreal. We are certainly going to clear 2 feet. My car is 100 percent buried. Going to be a long day.
Up until now, I thought a “gravity wave” was the work of science fiction on Star Trek. I had no idea it was weather related here on Earth.
Still snowing pretty good here.
Beverly MA has gone from 27F to 12F, coastal front is moving on the north shore towards the S and SE
Boston set a daily record for snowfall yesterday of 16.7” breaking the old record of 9.0” in 1905.
Total snowfall to date: 27.6” ❄️
Nice !!
This winter may have something left in it yet! 🙂
Whatever we got, it’s not going to compact much.
The top is wet, the middle is compact and our plow guy came and the pile is massive.
Where, when it’s powder snow, the plowed pile isn’t that much, really.
There’s a thin mist of light snow falling.
Is that snizzle?
Probably
I believe Dr. Fred Ward came up with that term himself.
It’s a cool term.
As simulating on the op runs, the next system would be a whole different animal at the coast with much more impactful wind and flooding. Right lined up st the full moon.
Let’s avoid those exact simulations. I’m goof for more snow, maybe a slightly different setup though hopefully.
Logan just crashed from 28F to 17F and a NNW wind.
Wow! That coastal front came back much sooner than I expected. We certainly won’t see 32F anytime soon.
Middleton, Newburyport and Holden have topped 20” on the latest NWS public info statement.
0z Euro with a MONSTER east coast storm next weekend:
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&rh=2026012600&fh=150&dpdt=&mc=
And then it follows it up with the blizzard of the century the next week. You gotta be kidding me…
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&rh=2026012600&fh=282&dpdt=&mc=
You’ll be hearing about this run on social media tomorrow, lol.
Delivers 15-20” for each system for a run total of 30-40” (and that’s at 10:1).
Get your roof rakes ready!
14.5″ at Woburn as of 1:30 a.m. when the snow stopped falling (for now). I had to shovel about 50% of a very large driveway (my son helped) and we got it done. Finished at 3:00 a.m. Going to take a 2 1/2 hour nap then get up for work. 🙂
I’ll get the blog updated sometime in the next few hours!
Good night / good morning!
Temp down to 15 and snowing lightly.
New post…