Wednesday February 4 2026 Forecast (7:27AM)

34 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 4-8)

Some quick changes will take place during this 5-day period but without having to deal with any major storms. We will have to deal with a potent shot of arctic air before we finish the weekend, however. But back to today first, we have a disturbance passing south of our region and some low and mid level moisture associated with it passing through with a fair amount of clouds the first part of the day. A few snow flurries can occur under these clouds, but if you see any, then will have no impact on your travel or plans. A weak area of high pressure moves in later today through Thursday and into Friday with fair weather. Late Friday, a frontal boundary approaches from the west while a stronger ocean storm stays well offshore and scoots out to sea. With an upper trough in place, the initial low pressure, separate from the ocean storm, parenting the cold front will be moving by to our north and redeveloping a little closer-by, near NY State, slowing and bending the frontal boundary, and then redeveloping again during Saturday offshore to our southeast. This system is also destined to become a strong ocean storm, but will do so far enough away from our region so that we will only see some snowfall from the transfer of the first redeveloped low to the offshore storm-to-be. This means the snowfall, which occurs from late Friday night into Saturday, will be relatively minor. What the offshore storm will do is help pull in the aforementioned arctic air mass for Saturday night and Sunday, with well below normal temperatures and gusty winds making it feel even colder to finish off the weekend.

TODAY: Lots of clouds and a possible snow flurry until mid morning, then a mix of sunshine and clouds. Highs 26-33. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 10-17. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 23-30. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 15-22. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 23-30. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of snow overnight. Lows 13-20. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Periods of snow with expected accumulation of a coating to 2 inches. Highs 20-27. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: A possible snow squall early, otherwise clearing. Lows 0-7. Wind NW 15-25 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill below zero.

SUNDAY: Sunny. Highs 10-17. Wind NW 15-25 MPH. Wind chill often below zero.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 9-13)

Fair weather and moderating temperatures February 9-11. Low pressure area from the west brings unsettled weather later in the period.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 14-18)

Up-and-down temperature pattern – near to below normal for the period, with a couple unsettled periods but no major storms expected.

34 thoughts on “Wednesday February 4 2026 Forecast (7:27AM)”

  1. Thanks TK !

    Wordle: 5

    Neat leading edge of the cloud shield this morning. Quite a straight line from north to south, with a very abrupt leading edge.

    Reply

    1. That edge was out in NY state at sunset last night. It never changed much at all on its trek eastward. That cloud deck is now encountering drier and will start to break up.

      Reply

      2. Thank you. Seems to be clicking a little better for me.
        I seem to have a different mind set lately while attacking this game.

        hey, 4 is good. 🙂

        Reply

  5. Thank you TK!

    Wordle: Barely made the caboose with a 6. Had 4 letters in the right place by guess number 3 and sh*t luck picking the last letter needed. Such is the life of a Wordler.

    Reply

  13. Watching the 12z stuff run.

    I think very close to the coast this weekend is really on the edge of at least an advisory level snowfall.

    Looking at how the 500 mb flow is developing and looking at the 700, 850 and 925 mb winds, its close to NE flow. Just simply another 5 or maybe 10 degrees of veering and the snow will linger along the coast a lot longer than being modeled. Its close !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    Reply

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