Monday February 23 2026 Forecast (1:52AM)

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 23-27)

Storm day. And it’s a decent winter storm with bands of heavy snow interspersed with lighter areas, typical for an intensifying storm, which is passing southeast of our region today. And as it does so, the bands of heavier snow with lulls of lighter snow will continue through the morning before a taper-off progresses west to east during the afternoon, with the result being heaviest amounts southwest of Boston, but still significant amounts in much of the remainder of the region, with relative low(er) spots in southeastern NH and far northeastern MA due to less time in heavier snow, and over Outer Cape Cod and especially Nantucket due to wetter snow. Minor to moderate coastal flooding occurs at east-facing and north-facing locations around high tide hours, limited by astronomical tides that are not that high, thankfully. Where heavy snow and strong wind combines there is a higher risk of power outages. The area most likely to experience blizzard conditions (3+ hours of visibility 1/4 mile or less due to falling and/or blowing snow, sustained wind or frequent wind gusts of 35 MPH or greater) will be from Cape Ann through Boston to southeastern MA. With intense bands of snow, thunder is possible, with highest chance of this occurring south of Boston until midday. The storm exits tonight and as clean-up and recovery progress on Tuesday it will do so with fair weather as high pressure moves in. But we are still in an active pattern and the next low pressure system is coming our way for Wednesday via the Great Lakes. This system is expected to be minor in comparison, bringing some snow, mix, and rain, with up to a few inches of snow favoring areas mostly north of I-90. Today I’m a little more optimistic about another break Thursday before the next storm system, passing just to the south based on current indications, brings a snow and mix chance back to us on Friday.

TODAY: Overcast. Snow, heavy at times morning, including the chance of thunder, especially south of I-90. Snow tapering off west to east afternoon. Accumulations of 10-18 inches in general, but some areas of under 10 inches can exist, favoring far northeastern MA and southeastern NH, as well as Outer Cape Cod and especially Nantucket. A band or two of accumulation of 18-25 inches is most likely from the Plymouth MA to Providence RI areas into parts of eastern CT. Highs 27-34, coldest well inland, mildest Cape Cod. Wind NE 20-35 MPH, gusts 45-65 MPH, strongest along the coast where some gusts in the 65-75 MPH range can occur.

TONIGHT: Clouds break. Lows 20-27. Wind N 15-25 MPH with higher gusts evening, diminishing overnight.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 30-37. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clouding up. Lows 21-28. Wind W under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Cloudy. Snow of 1 to 3 inches north of I-90, a mix of snow/sleet/rain to the south with less than 1 inch of snow. Highs 32-39. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Precipitation ends. Lows 25-32. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 35-42. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Lows 22-29. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Cloudy. Chance of mix/snow. Highs 31-38. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 28 – MARCH 4)

Watching March 1-2 for a threat of unsettled weather (rain/snow threat). Temperatures near to below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 5-9)

Watching March 5-7 for another potential stretch of unsettled weather (rain/mix/snow threat). Temperatures near to below normal.

222 thoughts on “Monday February 23 2026 Forecast (1:52AM)”

  1. Thanks TK.

    Snowing moderate to heavy at times with about 7” of accumulation so far here in Coventry CT. Temp down to 27F. It’s windy but nothing too extreme yet .

  2. Thank you TK.

    Lighter snow on north shore at the moment. Would not expect huge accumulations here. Plenty of wind.

  3. Thanks TK
    The snow is caking to everything. Watching another heavy band west of me and seeing if it holds together moving toward my area. Thankfully I still have power. I hope that remains the case.

    1. Not backing down are they.
      Models would beg to differ.
      We shall see.
      Snowing nicely here. Perhaps just barely heavy. Hard to tell with the wind. Vis about 1/4 mile which normally would be heavy snow but with wind, not sure it is actually heavy snow.
      Close enough as it is snowing good. Not all that much accumulation so far perhaps 3 or 4 inche eying out the window.

  4. These bands means business. I see the NWS haven’t changed their the yet.

    Looking at radar I see no problem achieving high end numbers in areas.

  5. Thanks TK !

    Trying to find a window that isn’t whitened out with snow.

    Heavy snow, gusting near to over 50 mph at times.

    I see Nantucket and Chatham, I think, have hit 70 and 72 mph gusts.

    The low or massive 500 mb center did seem to gain some latitude the last 5-6 hrs.

    1. Same here Tom. All windows caked in snow and heavy snow for the last three hours. Radar returns are lightening up a little bit over me. Hopefully that continues.

          1. You too, so far so good in our neighborhood.

            There’s one of those 50+ circles over town, but thankfully when I zoomed in, it’s hundreds and not thousands or tens of thousands that are out.

  6. 31 here. Wish it were colder.
    Don’t like this wet stuff.

    I can maybe see making a foot here , but much higher than that, I doubt it’s unless we can stay under this band for a longer period of time than I expect. I just don’t see it lasting that long.

    Caveat: it does appear that the heaviest band HAS pivoted farther NW than modeled so that is a wild card.

    We shall see.

    Interesting day none-th-less.

  7. Boston temperature has been holding steady at 33F but has now dropped to 30F.

    I suspect the coastal front is now moving back to the southeast?

  8. Per Boston tide guage, the tide did get to 12.4 ft, so it built to a 2 ft surge by 3am.

    Thank goodness the tide is ‘going out, the surge is at 3.3 ft, the depth should be 4.1 ft currently and it’s 7.4 ft

    And the eveesource outage map starting to light up from marshfield points south and east.

  9. Good morning! Nap is over. Thanks TK. We lost power for 15 minutes – our house is practically encased in snow as we can barely see outside our windows. It’s roaring now. This should be a fun 6-10 hours. Is this what it is like to feel cut off from the world? LOL!

  10. Watching Channel 5, Cindy mentioned it was a “bombcyclone noreaster blizzard” and Antionette almost fainted.

      1. EXACT wording from the SPC

        DISCUSSION…Classic bomb cyclone/nor’easter off the Northeast coast
        will slow its deepening over the next few hours as it tracks
        northeastward off the southern New England coast through midday.

  11. OK, now it is nearly a WHITE OUT here. Vis uner 1/8 maybe even under 1/16. Probably like 100 feet or so.
    WHITE WHITE WHITE WHITE!!!!!

      1. They don’t actually mention accumulations in that mesoscale discussion. They talk about the heaviest snowfall rates persisting into late morning before diminishing.

  12. Well, per the 11z HRRR, Marshfield is entering the 850 mb jet. Looks like it’s 60 knots overhead.

    We sit under this now the next 4-6 hrs and around 14z, it maxes to 75 knots overhead Marshfield.

    And we’ve gusted to 54 mph under 55 knots at 850 mb

    So, I’m not anticipating getting to near 70 mph, but I have to think in that 13 to 15z window, we’re going to hit 60-65 mph.

  13. JPD…

    https://photos.app.goo.gl/UAfQJ5NuavsjaLBM9

    That link should give you a radar loop. I also have it in the mode which will pick out the synoptic band better.

    In this loop, you can also see the development of the dry air band to the west of it. As the heavy band tries to move westward, watch it start drying up on its western edge as it reaches that area.

    It is this type of precipitation pattern that can yield very variable amounts.

    1. Most stations in Eastern MA are reporting HEAVY snow with vis 1/4 mile. Good chance most stations meet blizzard criteria. The wind is there as long as vis stay at 1/4 mile or less.

  14. Just came from outside! WOW! I almost got knocked over by the wind. It is roaring!! Snow drifts up
    To my waist. Snow pasting on my house. We have 14 inches (Spotter measurement up the road on Bliss Corner). Definitely dangerous out there. Stu home
    Folks

  15. Morning just getting up : Wow !! We are in it with the wind & snow . It sucks because I can’t see out any of my windows ( had to open door ) as tom said above all my screens are snow covered . I think it’s just a matter of time before I loose power. As I’m typing this I just stepped out onto my farmers porch & it’s really difficult to even judge what I have or ( you might laugh ) the intensity coming down . I have not read post yet are we still going to get the 2-4 inches per hour & this is going most of the day . I can’t imagine what it must look like outside my neighborhood as it must me nearly impossible to travel . Just had a major wind gust that shook the house & big front tree , I’m sure this will be an official blizzard

    1. I’m just a few towns over from you in Hingham and yep – absolutely plastered. I have a singular mission which is to clear the front step heading outside so the door never gets covered and I clear off the snow on the storm door so I can look outside… which is just blinding white snow anyway.

    1. Sounds about right as I look out the window.

      NO way we reach 20 for sure. 15? Doubtful, but possible.
      10-12 more likely. It ain’t over till it’s over!!!

  16. I looked at the few Box Totals there are and have no idea how Spotters are getting reliable measurements. I guess there is a way, but … reliable?!

  17. RadarScope Image shows Boston now OUT of the Death Band!!

    https://ibb.co/Qq3nMBR

    Might preclude Boston meeting Blizzard Criteria.

    Could also be a reflection of the snow “drying” out some with the temperature drop? I dunno. I just wanted to stay in those yellow echoes. Not to be, I guess.

  18. Excerpt from NWS discussion from a few minutes ago

    730 AM UPDATE:

    Mesoscale snow band starting to pivot as it becomes oriented
    more NE-SW across RI and SE MA. Impressive mid level
    frontogenesis producing 2-3 inches/hr snowfall rates. Expect
    these snowfall rates to continue within this band across RI and
    SE MA through the morning before rates start diminishing this
    afternoon. Given snowfall amounts of 10-17 inches in this area
    as of 12z, expecting total storm snowfall of 20-30 inches
    across RI and SE MA, and woudn`t be surprised to see a few
    reports exceeding 30 inches here.

    link

    https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=CI&glossary=1&highlight=off&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&site=NWS&version=1

  19. This radar Scop loop shows DRY AIR pushing South and at the same time, the northern edge of the “Death Band” approaching from the East. Will that yellow blob get to Boston before the dry slot moves in???

    https://ibb.co/Tqgy3768

    1. As I keep watching radar scope, it looks to me like the DEATH BAND is about to move back in. As hard as it is snowing now, soon to be snowing even harder!!!!

  20. Well someone has to be in the subsidence area , I guess that would be me this time. The heavy snow has been approaching all night but dissipates just before it gets here with only a few brief lobes of heavier snow, with about 8.5” so far. The wind is pretty strong though with some gusts around 45.

  21. I don’t know how anyone can get an accurate snow measurement. After the wet paste that initially came down, the snow is lighter and blowing everywhere. Just absolute madness out there right now.

    1. I posted above. When I called my numbers in to nws, I said I did my best. The woman who answered said everyone has said the same.

  22. Look at this additional band forming to the West

    https://ibb.co/994dQ8Mq

    Is that called a deformation band?

    A deformation band in meteorology is
    a narrow, elongated, and often intense band of clouds and precipitation formed within a region of atmospheric deformation, where opposing wind flows cause air to converge and stretch. These bands, frequently associated with winter weather (snow/sleet), occur in cols between cyclonic and anticyclonic systems, representing a 6-9 hour transition phase where clouds thin, elongate, and eventually dissipate.

  23. Zero chance to get an accurate measurement with this wind. All I know I was out with the dog and it was getting deep.

  24. It’s bad down here. Been under those bands for the better part of the last 4 hours. Temp down to 29 from 32 earlier.

  25. At Logan as of 8 AM

    Heavy Snow with wind gusting to 51.8 mph
    Vis 1/4 mile. That’s 2 hour’s worth. 1 more to go.

    Temp 30 with NORTH WIND already! NE winds didn’t last all that long!!!

  26. While it’s snowing nicely in downtown Boston, it is NOT 2-4 inches an hour. Not even close. I think I have 5 inches thus far, and I think ~10 will be the final tally. It’s not a big storm here. Nor is the wind a major factor.

    Please note, I know that this IS a big storm to our south and southwest.

    1. Why you doing that Joshua? It’s heavy snow being reported. Easily 2-3 inches per hour. I guarantee you it’s going to be over 10 inches and 59 mph. That a bad storm. Not sure what the goal is here.

  27. I’m down near TF GREENE sand yes we are in the death band I’m measuring about 21 inches. 8am wind gusting to 63mph.

  28. Watching the radar, I’m curious as to how much Mark has not too far south of me in Coventry, it seems we’ve been on the same snow axis.

  29. Just got in and measured about 10.5 inches. I won’t be in the jackpot area but will easily get over a foot. The snow I had to shovel was that heavy wet snow. Please be careful to anyone who has to shovel. I am hoping now with the temperatures in the mid 20s the snow will become lighter and easy to move later.

  30. So far as of 7am NY has 15.1 inches of snow and I see BOS has 5.2.
    Which city will get the most snow from the storm?

  31. The snow is very light and fluffy. I haven’t even tried to measure. Our driveway has large patches that are empty and dry. A crazy, wild guess is 4 or 5 inches.

    I got Wordle in 3.

  32. I am going with NYC
    Maybe Philip has where BOS is for the season.
    NY so far for the season is up to 37.4 for the season

  33. Another thing I just saw for NYC thanks to Meteorologist Lee Goldberg from WABC. He put a graphic called Blizzard on the 6s
    January 96 NY got 20.2
    February 06 NY got 26.9
    January 16 NY got 27.5 it’s biggest snowstorm on record
    February 26????

  34. No way to measure but by the looks of certain spots I am sure we are over 10 if not 12 at this point. It’s been intense for several hours.

  35. Thanks, TK!

    The snow stick in the backyard is measuring 22” as best as I can tell. It was 3” when I went to bed. The house is plastered in snow on all sides! We lost power at around 8:15 am.

    Can someone send over some coffee? 🙂

    1. Oh no Captain. This band has been relentless but is showing some signs of improvement if you want to call it that over my area with the temp drop,

    1. That’s for sure. Just missing out, but just enough to make it interesting. It ain’t over, but so far color me disappointed.

  36. I think the radar can help also identify the 850 mb jet.

    In other words, the western edge of the heaviest band is probably 60-65 kts at 850 mb.

    And is the echoes get darker or more yellow, it’s getting above 70 kts.

    Accordingly, we’ve ramped up even further in the wind dept. its 9 am and the next 2 hrs look even a little stronger for the jet above.

    There’s an orange dot on eversource for 1200 customers alone on the western part of town and then many other circles on the eastern side, 10 here, 100 there, etc.

    It’s not going to be pretty what the outcome is after the next 2 hrs.

    Wherever that death band is the next 2 hrs, the sfc wind gusts are ferocious along with the heavy snow.

  37. The 12Z runs have my location getting about 11 inches on top of 5 or 6 that fell by 7AM would bring the total to 16 or 17 inches.
    Not too shabby. We’l see what the final total will be.

      1. I’m about 8 miles SSE of Norwood Airport, and yes, it’s that bad. Arod I believe is in Westwood which is even closer.

  38. Ok, I see 4 green circles each running btwn 500 and 800 customers out, each circle.

    And another circle for 1200, so, that’s 3600 before I account for the other 50 circles that each are worth 10, 50 or 100.

    So, it’s bad down here, the wind and we need to get through the worst core of this 850 mb jet up til 11am.

    But this is turning out to be quite serious for Marshfield and other coastal towns.

    1. Massive wind gust just blew here tom !! Snow & wind has tremendously picked up big time . I got a guy in the hood trying to snow blow , good luck with that . It’s going to be a long day & night here on the South Shore

  39. For Boston 13Z HRRR (8am) calling for an additional 8 inches on top of 6 or 7 inches that fell up to 8AM for a grand total of
    14 to 15 inches, Near the TOP of TK’s range and more reasonable than the NWS 18-24 inches.

  40. I’m in that color me disappointed train car with you JP Dave. I understand this is a major storm for many but is a bit disappointing to have an opportunity like this wasted with a relentless dry slot for my area. I’m hoping as the storm moves away the band will shift a bit for a little more accumulation. It’s only 9:18 so there is still time for things to change.

  41. Saw the worst is still to come for south coast as costal front moves east from Providence- rates 2 to 4 inches per hour in those bands

  42. I had to have a COFFEE today. 1st one in Months!!!
    It really hit the spot. Now let’s see what it does to my stomach!

  43. The images and videos from Tom’s neck of the woods are quite something. The wind and snow in Plymouth, for instance. Wow. Whenever storms hit hard there, I try to imagine the pilgrims in the 1620s. After going through periods of heat and humidity they had never experienced before, to then get hit by these ferocious storms must have been a shock. As pious as they were, perhaps they thought this was God’s wrath for their sinful ways.

  44. JP Dave, I drink coffee against the advice of my doctor. I admit that I’m stubborn. It does lead to more acid reflux and stomach issues. But I’m addicted. Plus, for my work I have to concentrate.

  45. Up to 20” this storm.

    Power just came back on!

    We have Taunton Municipal Lighting Plant for our power company! They are the best!!!!!

  46. The banding we spoke of has been quite evident.

    A typical characteristic of rapid intensification of low pressure.

  47. I measured 7.5 inches here about 15 minutes ago. Granted, it’s hard to measure accurately.

    Temperature is down to 26F.

    It is not snowing that hard right now. It seems as if in my location the heaviest of the yellow snow bands haven’t materialized. On radar, there appeared (appear) to be some breaking up of the yellow blob as it approached Boston. Wind is blowing, but nothing like our friends to the south.

  48. Still snowing pretty hard here in JP, BUT not as intensely as it is to our South and SW. 🙁 🙁 🙁

    Still in for a really decent snow event, just NOT the monster I was hoping for.

    To me, the RRFSA and THE RDPS NAILED this sucker!!!!

  49. I know watching those death bands not make progress away from the core of the 850 mb jet is disappointing.

    Associated with this deep a low, trust me, you don’t want them.

    I really went to bed thinking we were going to be ok.

    Eversource is up to 50% of the town without power and we’ve got til 11am to go under these ferocious winds.

    Trust me, if I could send these death bands to the middle of the Atlantic, I would.

    Where you see those yellows, yeah the incredible snow, but the wind gusts are out of control and causing a lot of problems.

  50. I just looked at The Weather Channel. The current conditions for Lunenburg are reported as “Fog.”

    Once the wind calms, we’ll have to shovel those drifts of fog off the driveway.

    🙂

    1. Hliarous!!! DRIFTS OF FOG.
      Sound like a fantastic name for a Rock Band.

      Now appearing at Madison Square Garden:
      DRIFTS OF FOG

      With opening act: DEATH BAND

  51. Logan 9AM obs

    https://forecast.weather.gov/xml/current_obs/KBOS.xml

    That makes 3 consective hourly observations of HEAVY SNOW with vis 1/4 mile and wind frquently gusting OVER 35 mph.
    I do believe this qualifies as an “OFFICIAL BLIZZARD” for Boston.

    btw, STILL SNOWING VERY HARD here in JP. Vis 1/4 mile or less. It is still really coming down, even though we are not fully in the yellow death band. I really think with the snow drying out it does NOT reflect as well on radar and with dark green echoes it can be snowing as hard or nearly as hard as yellow echoes to the South. I may be all wet, but it IS SNOWING VERY HARD.

  52. Hi from North Providence.
    Watching channel 10 here. Local Met is upping his totals to 30-36 inches. Outdoor reporters said plows are off the roads for awhile, because they can’t see.
    Sorry JPDave, we’ve got the KOWABUNGA moments!

    1. Yes you do. Please enjoy!!!
      At least some of us got it.

      But, I really can’t complain, Still a very nice storm here, not the biggest/nastiest ever, but not too shabby either.

  53. Biggest shocker for me is New Bedford. It could very well exceed 30 inches when all is said and done. I don’t know if that has ever happened before.

  54. I just went out to shovel path for the dogs & it’s just dangerous. All I was seeing was pines swinging back & fourth & cracking sounds . Just pounding wind & snow right now , wind is insane !!!

    1. It’s a complete whiteout here.

      Even heavier snow rate than the storm 3
      weeks ago.

      I’ve got areas that are down to nothing and drifts to 3-4 ft.

  55. Thanks TK.

    Just measured about 10” here in Coventry CT. We have been dry slotted all morning here in the dreaded subsidence zone. Not even a flurry out there right now. Visibility is excellent, I can see out all my windows, not even close to blizzard conditions.

    Not overly surprised as a lot of the short range models head been showing this the past few days. Still pretty impressive out there as I still had 10-12” on the ground and decent sized snowbanks before this even started. Nice to have a constant deep snowpack, and there are multiple additional snow chances showing up the GFS and Euro the next 10 days.

    1. Sorry you got screwed. Not too shabby here, but missed out
      on the big totals to the South and SW. Still, I’ll take it.
      Puts BOSTON ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THE SEASON!!!

    2. They did indeed, most especially the RRFS-A and the RDPS!!!
      Say what you want about the Canadian suite of models, but I have always found the RDPS to be quite good. Perhaps that is just I. Whatever, it NAILED this one!!! EXCEPT Neither model got the impressive totals we are getting in RI and SE MA!!!
      I just looked at the 18Z runs. NOT EVEN REMOTELY CLOSE
      Although the 18Z HRDPS was a “bit” closer

      https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrdps&p=sn10_acc-imp&rh=2026022218&fh=48&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

  56. I haven’t been out yet, but it “looks” like we are closing in on a foot here and still snowing HARD. Perhaps it has lightened just a wee tad.

    1. Definitely disappointed. I had hoped we would rack up a little more before getting dry slotted and/or it would pivot further west.

      That’s what made NEMO so special in 2013. Pretty much everyone got smoked with 20-36” and there were no losers .

  57. If I didn’t drive 10 hours yesterday, I might have taken a leisurely drive out to Providence today. Just unreal what is going on SE MA and RI right now This is going to be an all timer for this area by a long shot.

    For all of you in the meat of it, enjoy it and stay safe! This is your NEMO!

  58. I am very concerned about the trees now – tried to shake snow off and they are frozen solid . One tree collapsed down the street from me

  59. Total whiteout conditions here.
    22”
    The drifts are up against the doors so they won’t open. Going out soon to shovel them open and clear the CO2 vent in the back.

  60. Absolutely nuking here, my son measured around 14-15 inches so far. We are 100% in those bands from the looks on Radar scope.

    Unreal what is happening down in RI and interior Mass, 40 is possible.

  61. Still SNOWING pretty hard here. Not quite the intensity of earlier, but plenty hard enough. Vis still near 1/4 mile, perhaps just a tad higher. Maybe NOT snowing 2 or 3 inches an hour now, perhaps down to 1 to 1.5 inches per hour, so STILL accumulating.

  62. A llong dry slot here in the Merrimac Valley to southern NH, as Tk predicted I guess. I don’t mind lesser snow totals personally….

    Wordle 3

Leave a Reply to SClarke Cancel reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *