Thursday February 26 2026 Forecast (6:34am)

82 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 26 – MARCH 2)

February’s got 3 days left in it, and they’ll give us mainly fair weather and manageable temperatures. However, there is a word of caution for this morning – and hopefully you’re reading this before you go outside, because depending on your location there can be some very slippery untreated surfaces out there due to freeze-up of snow-melt, and in some areas additional moisture on the ground from a batch of convective showers ranging from snow to sleet to freezing rain around midnight, which was occuring with the passage of a cold front. This front trailed from the low pressure area that sent its warm front through earlier Wednesday with a batch of snow (light accumulations) and some rain to the south. Other than the icy ground and some patchy freezing fog this morning, we’ll see a day of fair weather today, but some clouds will increase in the sky as we move through the afternoon, especially to the south, as a low pressure area starts to move by to our south. It looks like its snow shield will stay just offshore of the South Coast through this evening before the system moves away and high pressure builds in with fair, cool weather on Friday. On Saturday, the final day of the month, a moisture-starved cold front will move through with some passing clouds, but I am not expecting any precipitation to occur with this one. Sunday, the first day of March, another disturbance will move through during the morning and midday, and this one will have some moisture to work with – the result being a period of snow and mixed precipitation. And the active pattern continues Monday as another low pressure area passes just to our south bringing clouds, but probably keeping its precipitation offshore of the South Coast, similar to what occurs late today. I’ll keep an eye on that in case it trends further north.

TODAY: Sun then clouds increase. Highs 35-42. Wind W to N up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clouds then clearing. Lows 5-12 except 13-20 coastal and urban areas. Wind calm.

FRIDAY: Sunshine dominates. Highs 33-40. Wind variable to S under 10 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 17-24. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 37-44. Wind SW 5-15 MPH shifting to NW.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Lows 17-24. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Cloudy with snow likely in the morning, then increasing sun in the afternoon. Highs 28-35. Wind NE 5-15 MPH morning, NW 10-20 MPH afternoon.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 11-18. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Clouding over. Highs 24-31. Wind W to variable up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 3-7)

Boundary between milder south and colder north with active jet stream means unsettled weather chances March 4 and again March 6-7, based on current timing expectations. Temperatures near to below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 8-12)

Unsettled weather potentials start and end the period with fair weather between, which may include a brief warming trend.

82 thoughts on “Thursday February 26 2026 Forecast (6:34am)”

  1. Thanks TK !

    Happy to report we received news from friends in the neighborhood that the power came back on at 12:30am last night.

    3550 customers or 28% of the town without power currently.

    Reply

  3. Good morning and thank you TK.

    29 here after low of 27.

    Ocean: 36

    WORDLE: 5

    Beginning to feel like Spring,
    BUT I am sure it will come with a price. It always does.

    Good news’Tom. Hope you can get back to a warm house today.

    Reply

  5. Thanks, TK.

    Good to hear about Tom’s power being restored.

    Hoping that the many folks who still have no power will soon have theirs restored.

    Reply

  6. Thank you, TK. We are up to 27 from 21. That furnace in the sky sure makes a difference in how fast we warm and in melting snow/ice.

    Reply

      1. Vicki she has been sitting in the BI Boston Emergency room since 6pm Tuesday night with an abdominal infection waiting on a damn bed so we are both not good and beyond furious . We had one last night and it was called back because a nurse called out sick . I am trying very hard to be calm & patient ( I’m a Hospital employee I know how every in and out of how the hospitals. Operate but this is just not right at all , So there is your answer , long version lol

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        3. I bet the patient transporters came like 5 times and were turned away. My last year working at MGH that got really bad and that lead to other people loosing bed spots as it delayed us getting to the next. All i can say get the older nurse that people there dont tend to like tends to get things going quicker. There was this older nurse that the other nurses and certain drs didnt like. But us transporters loved as her patients were always ready to go

          Reply

  17. Tom – I’m glad that you have power again.

    I didn’t want to bother you while you were busy freezing, but I guess this all means that I’ll be called to duty in June. Don’t worry about making a lesson plan for me. My intention is to teach a lesson on linear interpolation on the log and trig tables. These are still important topics, right?

    🙂

    Reply

  18. Thank you TK!

    Tom – great start to your day with the news of power being restored and then scoring a 3 on Wordle. Maybe you should play the lottery too!

    Wordle: 4

    Reply

  20. Sunset today is at 5:30 PM.

    Today will be just over 11 hours long and visible light just over 12 hours long.

    Plenty of melting even with the clouds moving in.

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        1. Yes.

          Impactful for Sunday morning, early afternoon because it looks like one of those where the precip starts as wet snow or even a brief mix and temps near or slightly above 32F.

          Then, it’s a big temp drop that ices up the wet roads and then you cover that with a couple inches of eventually a powdery snow and then temps stay cold the rest of the day and very cold Sunday night.

          Reply

  24. Thanks, TK!

    Tom, so happy for your news! Glad the power is back on! Here’s hoping for the rest of the region!!!

    Despite the large snowfall, it looks as if February will still be below normal for precipitation. NWS-Norton (source: NOWData). We’re at 3.06″ as we wind down February. Normal for February in Norton is 3.35″.

    We’ve had measurable snow on the ground since January 19.

    Reply

  26. Unsurprisingly Hyannis has cancelled the planned marathon / half marathon / 10k for sunday march 1st. A lot of upset people – most are understanding though. I, personally, am fine with it. We’re still keeping our hotel reservations and hanging out in hyannis. But the race organizers will be dealing with a lot: the email they sent out saying it was cancelled went to everyones spam folder. The website hasn’t been updated to say it’s cancelled. There are people flying in from all over the world because this is a boston marathon 2027 qualifier course.

    Reply

    1. That strikes me as premature. There’s already a lot of melting going on. Thankfully, it’s gradual. But as we gain in sunlight – even if it stays relatively cold – it’s likely to mostly disappear slowly but surely by St. Patrick’s Day. Of course, any dramatic warm-up would hasten the melt. Not rooting for that, but it’s a distinct possibility. On my runs yesterday and especially today, the melt was clearly underway.

      Reply

      1. It would seem that way but There are a ton of moving pieces with a parade. Even with our smaller scale parades in Sutton. I cannot imagine the work that goes into larger parades as I know moving ours even a couple of weeks in advance would be an horrific undertaking. I tend to Trust the folks who spend months planning

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  29. Thanks TK!

    Couple big picture pattern thoughts:

    The upper air maps would lead one to believe that the first 10-12 days of March will be absolutely scorching across the East. For a variety of reasons, that likely won’t be the case especially in New England. But it will probably be above average overall, feature one or two systems with more of a mix/rain potential than there’s been lately, and maybe one or two legitimately “warm” days especially if most of the snowpack is lost. And the snowpack will indeed go pretty quickly.

    I’m tempted to say things snap back to a more wintry pattern for later March. The MJO gives me a bit of pause on that, but there’s some question marks on that index right now. Of course, by later March and beyond the climatology starts to shift pretty quickly, but I don’t think it’s going to be a true “early spring” this year. Still a lot of cold up in Canada and I don’t trust the Southeast ridge to be as strong and long-lasting as most models show. The modeled longer range pattern right now is very classic La Nina, and we really don’t have that anymore. Ultimately I think the Northeast sees an above normal amount of cool intrusions and potential winter weather threats that will continue into April…

    Reply

    1. Thank you 🙂

      The MJO has been throwing cranky tantrums for several winters in a row now…

      It was a bit more well-behaved and forecastable for a while this winter, but it’s reverted……….

      Reply

  30. Oh dear heavens. Ssk I just saw your post on Mrs SSK. That is just awful. I’m so sorry. And glad to know she is finally in a room

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    1. I missed and can’t find what post Vicki is referring to, but I second Vicki’s thoughts and hope everything is ok for your wife, SSK !

      Reply

  31. Lots of cold below normal ocean temperatures could make it very easy for back door fronts through a good part of the upcoming spring.

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    1. Yes it does. Though not really “sneaky”, at least to me, because I’m already thinking that’s a 1-3 / 2-4 kind of event maximum potential. In reality it probably ends up shorter duration and a little less, probably 1-2 .. but we’ll see.

      Reply

  34. 42 was the best we could do here, but I’ll take it. I just came in from the store. BEAUTIFUL out there! VERY MILD!! I wish I didn’t take my jacket.

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    1. It was great today Longshot and JpDave !

      Dps are low, winds light, watch the temps plummet to the teens tonight.

      We just got the word, not ready for tomorrow and school is cancelled. 3 schools without power, some side streets still bad, etc. Duxbury is out too.

      A full week.

      I joke about going late and there is a little heartache to that.

      On an educational note, I find kids learning stuff has a rhythm to it.

      And the 1 week break is part of the rhythm.

      2 weeks, wow.

      Seriously, I somewhat can’t remember where we left off. Yes, I’ll look at the plan book and see what it was easily, but still, there’s going to be more additional re-practice and re-teach time needed for what we did just before break.

      Slows down moving forward at the pace one needs to, to fit in all the curriculum.

      Another reason why this sept-June schedule is so antiquated.

      Spread out the school year, 4-5 week summer break with more breaks spread out through the year.

      We give kids up through high school 8-10 weeks off for summer break and then wonder why they struggle to remember everything from the previous year. Ok, I didn’t know this was going to end in a rant, lol !!!!

      Reply

  36. SSK, so sorry about your wife’s setback. I hope she will be back home soon. At least you got her to the hospital in time.

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  38. Tom, first of all, I hope that things will soon return to normal. However much I like snow and cold, I do NOT like to hear how much it can impact people in a negative way.

    It’s interesting you point to the school scheduling. We have very long summer breaks in the U.S. (I used to love that as a kid). But we have shorter breaks in between. There are of course many reasons for all this.

    And there is a multitude of reasons for Europe having a completely different schedule. I can speak to the situation in the U.K. and the Netherlands. They have 5- and 6-week summer breaks, respectively. Their in-between vacations are longer than ours, however. What they still call Christmas and Easter vacations (despite being less religious than Americans, their holidays are often very much tied to Christian traditions with relatively few secular holidays) are always at least 2 weeks long. They also have a 1-week break around Lent and a 1-week autumn vacation. They have fewer 3-day weekends than we do, though they do have some. They of course have no Thanksgiving holiday. All in all, their number of school days is a bit longer than ours, probably 15 days or so.

    Having gone to school in the U.S. and Europe, I can attest to the advantages of either way of scheduling.

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  41. I guess I do agree with Tom in that our school schedule is antiquated. I believe it goes back to when this country was still mostly farmland and most school kids worked their respective family farm. The schedule was based on harvest time if I’m not mistaken.

    I don’t know what the answer is to make it easier for the 21st century.

    Reply

    1. 2 “semesters”, not quite like college.

      January through May, mainly learning time. June through August OFF. September through Thanksgiving, review and solidify what you learned from January through May. Thanksgiving through December OFF.

      That’s TK’s proposal that would work great if people actually think about it, but nobody will agree, and that’s ok. 🙂 I stand by it.

      Reply

  42. AIGFS wants to still give us a solid amount of warm days but STILL trying to spit out 60 and 70 degree days. Accuweather in its 30 day forecast is giving boston a stretch as follows:

    3/7: 51
    3/8: 48
    3/9: 54
    3/10: 54
    3/11: 60
    3/12: 50

    This feels more plausible although I’d put money on not getting into the 60s.

    Reply

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