DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 27 – MARCH 3)
High pressure brings fair weather and seasonable weather today followed by a milder Saturday to end the month of February and accelerate the snow-melt. But winter is not done with us yet, despite the “meteorological” version of it having its final day Saturday. An initial cold front will pass by that evening and will be moisture-starved, producing no more than a few isolated rain showers, but a stronger secondary cold front is inbound for Sunday, with more moisture to work with, and this one will produce a period of snow along and behind the boundary with some accumulation, also introducing much colder air. We then have a late-winter version of the deep freeze for Monday with arctic air in place, but with fair weather. Tuesday, clouds will increase ahead of what will be that frontal boundary attempting a return as a warm front, and we’ll have to watch the timing of an area of snow/mix to see if it arrives before Tuesday runs out of calendar time. TBD.
TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 35-42. Wind variable to S under 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 17-24. Wind S up to 10 MPH.
SATURDAY: Sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 42-49. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. An isolated rain shower possible in the evening. Lows
SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Lows 23-30. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
SUNDAY: Cloudy. Snow of a coating to 1 inch coastal plain and 1 to 3 inches inland – greatest amount in higher elevations. Highs 30-37. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 6-13. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 23-30. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts, diminishing late.
MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 5-12. Wind calm.
TUESDAY: Increasing clouds. Chance of snow/mix at night. Highs 33-40. Wind N up to 10 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 4-8)
Unsettled stretch of weather with a frontal boundary in the area and waves of low pressure moving along it. Timing of greatest threats of precipitation are to-be-determined, but the entire period is vulnerable. Temperatures near to below normal but can be somewhat variable.
DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 9-13)
Fair weather is back for early in the period before additional unsettled weather. Brief warming trend potential in here.
https://stormhq.blog/2026/02/26/weekend-outlook-february-27-march-2-2026/
Good morning and thank yiu TK
24 here after low of 22
Ocean: 36
WORDLE: a phew 6 after being hopelessly lost once again.
Good to get it. I’ve seen a couple of PHEWs
Thanks TK!
Thanks TK
Thanks TK !
2 Saturday night(s) showing, up above.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=sfct-imp&rh=2026022706&fh=180&r=us_se&dpdt=&mc=
My wife and daughter, college spring Break, are off to Fl the 2nd half of next week.
They asked me what the weather is like, mentioning, hoping for 70s. I laughed and they looked at me with the look of, not cold down there too !
I was like, how does approaching 90F with decent humidity sound?
The northern US, I’m sure, will fight intrusions of low level chill the models won’t see well 5-7 days out, but the southern US is going to see a bout of late Spring, if not, summer weather.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=sfct-imp&rh=2026022706&fh=180&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=sfct-imp&rh=2026022700&fh=186&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=
Hmmm what does this say about the upcoming severe weather season. With that heat down South and plenty of cold to the North. Could get violent eventually.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=qpf_acc-imp&rh=2026022700&fh=360&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=qpf_acc-imp&rh=2026022700&fh=384&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=
We are thinking alike !!
GFS/Euro op runs 16 day simulated QPF
Can almost use it to see the 500 mb pattern.
Have to think the Mississippi and Ohio valleys have severe wx opportunities in this pattern.
And certainly a flood threat.
Hints the SE ridge doesn’t poke up fully into the northeast, with hints of more W and WNW flow aloft which may keep some of the repetitive waves of precip cut off at the pass to our southwest.
Let’s hope there is no loss of life and minimal damage, but I fear the worst.
Wordle: 5
Strangest Wordle experience in the months I have been playing.
I had nothing through 2 guesses and 1 letter, in the wrong space after 4 guesses !!
But, I had used up close to 20 of the 26 letters after 4 guesses and with such little left and with the 1 letter I had, the word came to mind and luckily, it’s what they had in mind on guess 5.
Great job pulling rabbit out of the hat. I had no suck luck and BARELY got it on guess #6.
Welcome aboard 🙂
Thanks, at least I was able to grab a seat in the Train!!
Wordle 5
Same experience, nothing after 3 guesses. Not much left at 5.
Nice recovery!!
Wow!
“When you have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth.”
I got it in 4. I know I shouldn’t be greedy, but I’m a little disappointed because I considered the solution for my third guess and then went with something else. 🙂
Awesome wordling, everyone.
SClarke, I did the same. One letter in incorrect place after 2 and really liked my third word. But it did give me enough to get a wordle 4
Interesting how having few letters after a number of guesses ends up helping
Wow! Awesome!
This was in FB. I have never heard of snow rollers (or heard and forgot) so thought this was AI but it seems they are a real thing.
Providence
BREAKING: Providence, Rhode Island made history after the bomb cyclone buried the city under 37.9 inches of snow, blowing past the Blizzard of 1978 with the biggest blizzard total ever recorded there. One resident woke up to rare snow rollers forming across the entire yard. These rare snow phenomena occur when strong winds roll sticky surface snow across the ground, forming hollow cylinders. This storm didn’t just bury the city… it reshaped it.
https://ibb.co/N6D95YjX
Although these look to be too perfect
TK confirmed AI
Thank you, TK. Blue sky and Up to 27 from 14
Sunday? Three here? I’m finally celebrating Christmas with my son and family.
12z RRFS A showing quick, but dynamic disturbance Sunday
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rrfs_a&p=lgtden&rh=2026022712&fh=53&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rrfs_a&p=refcmp&rh=2026022712&fh=54&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rrfs_a&p=lgtden&rh=2026022712&fh=54&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
The run we’ve been on, quick mix/rain to an hr or 2 of thunder snow seems to be what the RRFS A is selling on this run and that wouldn’t surprise me.
Little low tracks farther North on 12Z run than 6Z, else it would have been more interesting.
Snowfall maps… channel 7 didn’t have one so I used the ten day forecast from channel 10 to fill the slot:
https://ibb.co/HLZj76F4
Thanks Doc.
Thank you, sir. That is doable.
Thanks, TK!
I just read Bob Ward’s Facebook post to Kevin L, his last day is today. I read Pete’s may days ago.
The wording of what your next adventure is, but it doesn’t come across as retirement adventure.
I’m certainly interpreting here and could be 1
million percent wrong ….. it doesn’t fully feel like he decided to leave 25 to retire.
Did he get asked to leave as his contract retired? That’s awful !!
You know, if that’s the case, he’s amassed so much experience with everything New England can throw at you. That’s so valuable in forecasting. Why oh why, if the person has the desire to keep working, would you walk away from all the valuable experience? Nuts !!!!!!
He could end up on 5 , stay tuned
Oh, cool !
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=refcmp&rh=2026022712&fh=51&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=sfct-imp&rh=2026022712&fh=54&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
I understand because the polar/arctic air won’t have gotten in here yet, that the snow it leaves behind may not be much, but the signal grows for something convective for a few hrs Sunday that could fall briefly heavily.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=prateptype_cat-imp&rh=2026022712&fh=54&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
interesting…
Thanks, TK.
Heard some very sad news earlier today. My brother-in-law passed away suddenly of a heart attack yesterday. He had risk factors. Still, it was unexpected. He was only 64. I knew him very well. We lived in the same house for a while. He taught me how to appreciate classical music. He was a pianist virtuoso. I taught him how to tie a tie.
And I just heard from my ex-wife in the Netherlands that a (former) brother-in-law is in the intensive care in Maastricht with bacterial meningitis.
It all goes to show that the only thing that truly matters in life is our health. And we should treasure every moment we can on earth.
I am sincerely sorry for your loss
So sorry to hear that news.
I’m so very sorry for your loss, Joshua. Keeping your former brother in law in my prayers
So very sorry for your loss.
Sorry to hear this!
So sorry for your loss, Joshua.
Sorry for your loss Joshua.
Joshua I am so sorry for your loss
So sorry for your loss Joshua.
Thank you TK!
Wordle: 5
Nice
Very nice.
Good afternoon from Chicagoland! It’s 65 glorious bare ground degrees here. Strange feeling but makes me hopeful for spring.
If only here.
So sorry for your loss Joshua 🙁
Topped out at 40F.
We’re at 41 and I think it has another degree or 2 to go. 🙂
I’m very sorry about your loss Joshua.
So sorry for your loss Joshua.
43 here in Hingham at a couple of reporting stations near me. 36 at Logan with the wind off the water.
42 here in JP some 6 miles from airport.
Pete mentioned the possibility of a sea breeze today.
18Z HRRR comes North for Sunday little or NO snow here.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=ref1km_ptype&rh=2026022718&fh=48&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Compare with RRFSA! HUGE difference. Which is it going to be?
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rrfs_a&p=ref1km_ptype&rh=2026022718&fh=48&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
I am in the RRFSA and GFS camp right now, UNTIL I am wrong!!!
Joshua… I’m very sorry for your loss.
Re: Kevin L. In case anybody missed it, last week I mentioned that I heard it from a reliable source that he may end up at channel 5 soon, replacing someone about to retire. I have yet to get this confirmed, and will just await it being official.
The snow rollers picture from Providence RI going around social media is indeed faked via AI. Those snow roller did not appear. You need a wetter snow, a steadier wind (less gusty), and several other conditions to be just perfect for them. None of this was the case there in the recent storm. If that had happened, mainstream media would have been all over it. The post originated on a page called “Meanwhile In Delco” which makes nothing but posts full of misinformation “for fun”. Reporting the page to Meta does nothing. They allow it to stay. Another way to tell it’s fake – the claim is this occurred after a record snowfall of 37.9 inches, yet in the background there is no more than a few inches of snow shown on the ground. IN ADDITION, the snow roller did not form any paths (they always do). It’s as if they formed in place. Not possible. Nice try AI, but that didn’t work very well. 😉
Weatherwise: No changes to ongoing forecast at this time.
Someone retiring at ch 5…
Hmm ONLY 1 comes to mind and that is Mike Wankum. He IS of that age. 🙂 we shall see.
Thank you on snow rollers. I believe they are something that actually happens but thought they were wayyyyy too well spaced
And I do recall your mentioning someone might be leaving 5. Mike came to my mind when you also said maybe the person would now be able to post here
Yes, snow rollers are a real phenomenon. I have seen them once. They are fascinating. But that particular post is completely fake.
There’s now a new version of the same picture going around except the poster claims that Providence received 97.9 inches of snow from the storm. HAHAHAHAHAHA
Ha ha ha indeed!!!!!@!!!!!!!!!!
Someone is a little intellect challenged.
I really really REALLY wish Meta would do something about the obvious fakes, yet they won’t because it just means more people use the platform. The value of truthfulness is plummeting in many people’s eyes, all for the almighty advertising dollar or monetized dishonesty.
META IS useless!
Sunset 5:31 in Boston today.
Moving very quickly towards the Vernal Equinox. I’M ready for Spring. Usually does NOT pay to ready too soon around here. 🙂
The snow rollers would have been picked up by the local media down here.
40 here now. Made it to 43.
Joshua, my deepest sympathy on the passing of your brother-in-law.