Sunday March 8 2026 Forecast (8:21AM)

95 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 8-12)

A cold front moves through the region this morning with rain showers and mild air. The air behind this front is not really that chilly, so we stay mild through the day as it starts to clear out west to east this afternoon. That mild air hangs around and is even reinforced Monday and Tuesday as another low pressure area traveling well to our northwest and north brings the frontal boundary back through as a warm front later Monday, and we may have the luxury of waiting until sometime Tuesday night for the boundary to again slip to the south, allowing that day to be the mildest of the short-lived stretch. However, I am not completely convinced that we won’t see that front sneak more quickly in via the Gulf of Maine as a back-door front, spoiling the party on Tuesday for at least northern and coastal areas. Something we’ll have to continue to monitor during the next couple of days. Wednesday, it’s back to reality as the frontal boundary by then is most certainly to our south and high pressure in eastern Canada delivers some low level chilly air as another storm heads for the Great Lakes at the same time. This system will try to drag that frontal boundary back through as a warm front, but that is held up until sometime that night or early Thursday morning, at which time we briefly enter the warm sector before a cold front plows through the region from west to east during the day Thursday. Additional unsettled weather can be expected as those fronts move through our region with more detail to come in future updates. Lastly, I hope you remembered to adjust any clocks needing manual adjustment, as we are now on Daylight Saving Time. Enjoy the later sunsets starting today!

TODAY: Mostly cloudy with rain showers morning. Increasing sun west to east afternoon. Highs 52-59 except 45-52 Cape Cod / South Coast. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts possible, shifting to W.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 38-45. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 47-54 South Coast, coolest Cape Cod, 55-62 elsewhere. Wind W under 10 MPH shifting to SE.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 37-44 evening before a slow rise occurs overnight. Wind SE to S up to 10 MPH shifting to SW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 46-53 Cape Cod / Islands, 53-60 South Coast, 60-67 elsewhere. A sharp temperature drop is possible in southern NH and eastern MA before the end of the day. Wind SW to W 5-15 MPH, may shift to N or NE at least in southern NH and eastern MA during the day.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind shifting to NE 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Cloudy. Chance of rain. Highs 45-52. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows 38-45 evening but can rise slowly overnight. Wind E to SE up to 10 MPH shifting to S overnight.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely, followed by clearing west to east in the afternoon. Highs 50-57. Wind S to SW 10-20 MPH shifting to W.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 13-17)

Volatile mid March pattern. Additional unsettled weather opportunities which can include some mix / frozen precipitation as the pattern is somewhat colder.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 18-22)

Overall pattern leans cold with near to above normal precipitation. The vernal equinox (start of spring) occurs at 10:46 a.m. EDT on Friday March 20.

95 thoughts on “Sunday March 8 2026 Forecast (8:21AM)”

  2. Good morni g and thank you TK.

    47 here after low of 46

    Ocean: 37

    WORDLE: 4
    Had ZILCH with 1st 2 guesses.
    3 letters out of position with guess 3 and solution on guess 4. Phew!!! Probably my best 4 since I started. Crazy game.

    Reply

      1. Thank you sir. You got it.
        5 may be good for this word.
        We shall see how others do. I Sense a 3 is coming.

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  3. So’ has the ocean started its annual seasonal warm up or is this slight rise only temporary? My guess is that the S and SW wind transported slightly less cold surface water. We shall see how it responds to the next several days, if at all.

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  6. I mentioned the time change and then was still surprised at 9:40am, the HRRR was still running.

    Later model times 🙁

    Took a peak, the overnight 45-50F DP looks like it melted a lot more snow.

    Raining lightly.

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      1. I’m listening to an album that includes a song called “Winter Marches On”.

        Any idea what it might be?

        HINT: 1986

        Reply

          1. It’s not easy unless you’re a fan of the band and have (or at least know) the albums.

            “Winter Marches On” is the 9th and next-to-last track on the album “Notorious” by Duran Duran, produced by Nile Rogers. It’s one of my all time favorite albums.

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  7. Thank you, TK. 46 from a low of 37. Fog so thick overnight that I could barely see house across the street. The rest of the neighborhood houses were invisible.

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  9. Today is going to be a good example (this pattern is full of good examples) of why you often need to wait for the “cold front” to see it “warm up”. Yes it did rise overnight from the 30s to the 40s as we got the warm front to move through. But today, the cold front comes through, the dew point drops, but the source region for the air mass is NOT that cold, and we’ll have sun-warmed air arriving from the west, thereby making the temperature go up, from both synoptics and diurnal rise, behind the cold front. This is how most areas get into the 50s this afternoon (though the Cape probably does not make it that far).

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  11. I have officially already heard someone complain about the humidity (not here). But, good grief. 😉

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      1. Yes. I saw someone on social media complaining that it was “too humid” today and wondering when it was going to end. I’m not even kidding. 🙂

        Reply

  12. Marshfield, Boston (Logan), and Providence are the first 3 official stations to hit 50 today. 🙂

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  15. Now, if the RRFS is good at back-doors, it should be indicating a wind shift coming down close to if not into the northern and eastern portions of the WHW forecast area during the daytime on Tuesday (earliest), or sometime in the evening. I wrote in my discussion initially that we may get through the day without that, and parts of the area will, but I know better to fully discount the chance, so I quickly corrected that in the discussion this morning. I’m not backing away from it, no matter what the ECMWF says. And WxW is correct, the deterministic output of that model has gone into the crap tank lately. Meanwhile, the GFS has improved somewhat.

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  16. To finish off the music discussion above about which album I was listening to from 1986… there is another album from the same year and I often listen to these 2 albums back to back, especially coming out of winter into spring, and correlation-wise I favor cloudy, damp, drizzly or rainy mornings for it. I am very correlation-driven when it comes to music. Anyway, the 2 albums are…

    “Notorious” by Duran Duran
    “The Colour Of Spring” by Talk Talk

    Highly recommend both of them!

    Both albums while contrasting each other also have in common the mid 1980s mood coming from bands in the UK.

    Duran Duran: Known as the “pretty boys” of pop rock in the early 80s and yes they did that image quite well. But dig deeper and you find excellent songwriting that just gets better with time. Nile Rogers (who re-worked a mediocre “The Reflex” into a different version that was a big hit in 1984), worked his production magic on the 1986 “Notorious” album. I wore out the cassette tape when I got that. The CD has been played hundreds of times, and thankfully a great version of the album (with bonus tracks) is on streaming platforms.

    Talk Talk: Came onto the scene in the early 1980s as a synth pop band, like many, but over the next 7 years underwent a fascinating transformation into something far different. Listening to the 5 full albums they put out, in chronological order, is quite the journey, and one I highly recommend. But it’s their third album, “The Colour of Spring” that will always be my favorite, and the one I connect to deeply. If you watched MTV / VH1 back then, the video for the song “Life’s What You Make It” was played frequently. The band is most known for their big radio hit “It’s My Life” from the 2nd album a couple years before that.

    Here’s a link to the video for “Life’s What You Make It”: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l3VqAsMXE7o

    Mark Hollis: Piano, lead vocals.
    Paul Webb: Guitar, backing vocals.
    Lee Harris: Drums.

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  17. RRFS from 12z does show the wind shift Tuesday evening, allowing it to be a mild day beforehand (as the current running forecast indicates). It’s probably under-doing the Wednesday cool-down though.

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  18. Interesting 4 part series on Netflix entitled “La Palma”.
    It is about a volcanic eruption on the island of La Palma, a Spanish Island in the Canary Islands off the West coast of Africa.
    It is a Norwegian film, dubbed in English, somewhat decently.
    I just watched it for the 2nd time. I really enjoyed it.’

    Trailer

    https://youtu.be/2zFVoLQyWjc

    Reply

    1. That part of Maine, on a day like this, nearly always warms up more efficiently than southeastern New England.

      Reply

  25. Thanks TK! Social media hypers getting rest for their next “game” sometime between March 16-18th. Could it be their last gasp of winter? They are feeling emboldened after the blizzard – LOL!

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    1. The problem here is those hypesters are not forecasters. They are posters of model runs. They have no idea how to actually “forecast”. Anybody can post a model run and say “hey look, a signal for a snowstorm!” but that’s not how it works.

      A signal is found in pattern analysis, not model runs. A good model run will indicate it, and be good guidance to track it. But pattern recognition and knowledge of model biases are KEY, and this isn’t something that just anyone can do.

      Yes, you can learn a lot about it, without actually being a scientist in the field, but nothing beats ultimate experience and education from those who have done it for a long time.

      Reply

  26. One thing that is amusing me is the over-analysis of snow-melt on social media.

    My goodness. Snow melts … varying rates, varying times, depending on numerous factors. Yup, it happens! And I talk about it too, but the over-kill earns my second “good grief!” of the day. HAHAHA!

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    1. Love it! Thank you for being the voice of reason! I do find them entertaining- you I take seriously – then I laugh at!

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  27. Wordle: 2 – spoilers… https://ibb.co/4RYctLBh

    Re snow melt: it’s been a good long while since we’ve had a hefty snowpack to melt… this one is getting decimated by the favorable temps and sun angle so that makes me realize why there is a fixation.

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    3. Amazing how much has melted over the last 24 hours. This may fall under trying to determine rate of melting, but generally how quickly does the ground thaw?

      Reply

  29. I’ve noticed TK and Eric F mention these sometimes …..

    Nice sunset possibilities tonight, with the high clouds and its shield slowly sinking southeastward.

    Somewhere in New England might get a colorful one.

    Reply

    1. Yes, I have been following this possibility. 🙂
      I’m always on top of this and will often have these forecast pretty far in advance. Part of the drive to do that is being a photographer. 😉

      Reply

  30. Thanks, TK.

    Model-hugging is a problem in economics, too.

    Ever looked at forecasts for U.S. GDP? The model projections change rather dramatically from month to month, and sometimes (like last week) from week to week. No-one should hang their hat on one particular model run. There are so many confounding variables and ones that models have trouble picking up on or are completely exogenous (shocks). I never even look at these economic projections. I know they’re all going to be wrong. The AI projections may be the worst of the bunch, as they tend to be based on a rational, well-behaved world, when we know how irrational the world often is. Human behavior and rationality aren’t always aligned. And that’s an understatement.

    Of course, in meteorology the models aren’t dealing with human behavior. Still, they’re not being conducted under controlled circumstances. The number of factors that can have an impact is very high.

    Reply

    1. It is possible to not model hug. I’ve never done it. Proud of that. Always relied on the experience and the science outside of the guidance as much as if not more so than the model guidance tools we have. Don’t get me wrong, they are a large factor, but within that large factor, my use of them is a little different than conventional.

      Many people just see what the models say and how they change run to run, or watch ensemble trends, which “works”, but there is more available. I have tried to commit to memory (the best I can) the biases of each guidance at each time range for each situation – yes it’s very hard and no I’m far from really good at it – but the anticipation of errors the guidance will make is a big part of this, and it’s been working well for me. I’m not changing that.

      Reply

    1. Yup. Very common to see in March. Of course they will talk about it like it’s an absolute lock, because it’s EPS.

      Hope they also realize that the performance of this piece of guidance is currently suffering.

      Reply

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