DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 10-14)
Today we get a preview of mid spring with a healthy southwesterly air flow due to high pressure to the south and low pressure passing through the Great Lakes into southeastern Canada. This air flow off the ocean water to the south of New England of course will keep the South Coast / Cape Cod / Islands cooler than areas that experience a true land breeze, which is typical and notable for this time of the year – and you’ll see that reflected in the wide-ranging specifics on the temperature expectations for today. Abundant sunshine can be enjoyed by all, regardless of air temperature at your specific location, but don’t get used to this weather because changes are coming, and quickly. Tonight, clouds increase both from the west associated with the approach of the trough that drives the low pressure area mentioned in the first line of this discussion. At the same time, the front attached to the low, which by tonight will be well east of our longitude, will be pushed southward and pivot southwestward via the Gulf of Maine, thanks to high pressure build into east central Canada behind it, and will cross our region as a back-door cold front overnight. This sets up a cloudy and uniformly chilly day on Wednesday. The region’s high temperatures for the day will occur at about midnight tonight, after which it’ll be in the 40s everywhere, with no big temperature range, no sun, and patchy drizzle along with the chance of a passing rain shower. Another low pressure area will be moving through the Great Lakes at that time, and it will serve to pull that frontal boundary back to the northeast at night, when the temperature will start to rise again from southwest to northeast into Thursday morning, when that day’s high temperatures will occur. One band of showers can come through Wednesday late evening with a trough, and the main band of precipitation will come through on Thursday morning and midday from west to east with a cold front. This boundary has a sharp enough temperature contrast with it so that what falls as mainly rain showers can end mixed with wet snow from west to east across the region during the day late morning to early afternoon Thursday. I don’t expect much of any clearing that afternoon as chilly air arrives, but any that does occur will be brief and mainly at night, before the next low pressure system dives our way via the Great Lakes on Friday with clouds re-thickening and a chance of some rain, mix, and snow arriving from west to east. This system passes through and departs Saturday with a trend back to drier weather after an unsettled start.
TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 68-75 Boston west southwestward to northeastern CT and northwestward through interior northeastern MA, central MA, and interior southern NH, ranging down a narrow band of 60-67 between that and 53-60 tip of Cape Ann MA and across the South Coast and Upper Cape Cod with 45-52 Lower Cape Cod and Islands. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Clouding over. Patchy drizzle NH Seacoast and eastern MA coastal areas by morning. Lows 38-45 except 43-50 south central MA to eastern CT. Wind SW shifting to NE 5-15 MPH from northeast to southwest.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Patchy drizzle. Chance of rain showers, especially during the afternoon. Highs 43-50, mildest southwest of Boston. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain showers likely. Areas of fog. Temperatures rise to 50-57. Wind shifting to S 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Cloudy. Rain showers likely in the morning, may mix with or change to wet snow especially higher elevations of southern NH and central MA during the afternoon. Highs 52-59 early, then falling. Wind S shifting to NW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly to partly cloudy. Lows 31-38. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Partly sunny to mostly cloudy. Late day or evening mix / snow possible from west to east. Highs 38-45. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Occasional rain / mix / snow likely. Lows 30-37. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
SATURDAY: Cloudy start with a chance of rain / mix, then breaking clouds. Highs 43-50. Wind SW to W 5-15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 15-19)
Additional unsettled weather opportunities which can include some mix / frozen precipitation as the pattern is somewhat colder.
DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 20-24)
The vernal equinox (start of spring) occurs at 10:46 a.m. EDT on Friday March 20. A volatile weather pattern with up and down temps and unsettled weather on frequent occasion will mark its early days.
Good morning and thank you TK
42 here and that is the low.
Hopefully we say good-bye to the snow today.
Ocean: 38
Up 2 degrees from a few days ago. Hopefully a trend but I fear it will drop back over the next couple of weeks.
WORDLE: 3
Superb on Wordle !
Great work on wordle! I had a similar result (3).
Superb !!
Thanks
Excellent. Please join me in the 3 car.
Thanks TK !
Wordle: 4
Nice to save on late season heating of the house, since its taking some extra money to fill up the car. Thank you, warm weather.
Nice! Good job Tom.
Worcester Airport: 1,000 ft and an ob I like to look at, in a warm airmass, is 7F warmer than at this time yesterday (50F vs 43F)
On the other hand, there should be some higher dps this afternoon vs yesterday. Like TK, I was surprised the dps dropped to the upper 20s, but it sure helped the air warm more than expected.
For anyone that has a reddit account: Ken Mahan the lead meteorologist for the boston globe will be answering questions tomorrow in an “ask me anything” thread here:
https://reddit.com/r/BostonWeather/comments/1rp6c1g/im_ken_mahan_lead_meteorologist_for_the_boston/
Thread posted in advance so people can ask the questions. (In the future there will be one with Dave Epstein.)
Nice 3s and 4, JPD, Dr S and Tom.
Wordle 3 for me also.
Nice. 3 seems to be the magic number today. Someone will come in with a 2!!
Excellent. When I solved it I thought “I feel like this is a rarer word, wonder if it will stump WHW peeps” and the exact opposite has happened!
Thank you, TK. Up to 41 from 35
Record high for Boston is 71F (1878).
Pete forecast a 73 for Boston. We shall see.
Wordle 5. Didn’t play it well
You got it!!
Agree. You got it. And I have sure said the same about not playing well quite often.
Up to 49 here.
Already 54 at Logan.
Destined to break a record today? Time will tell.
I didn’t realize this, but MesoWest is going POOF the end of this year, if not sooner.
https://mesowest.utah.edu/notice.html
Congratulations on all the great Wordle scores today.
It was a 4-day for me.
4 tis very good! Well done.
Excellent SClarke!!
Thanks TK for the detailed discussion!
Not sure I’ll hit 70F today. I’m putting the over / under at 68F.
Ill go 71
I’ll go 74
Logan is up to 55. 54 here.
There shouldn’t be too much snow left after today. Some piles for sure, but otherwise, “should” be gone or just about.
Thanks TK!
Logan is at 57, HOWEVER, the wind is SSW at ONLY 5 mph.
With the ocean at 38, UNLESS that SW wind picks up, it sure looks like Logan will switch to a SEA BREEZE!!! and NOT record
for them today. But, hey, perhaps the SW breeze will pick up enough to ward off the sea breeze. We shall see.
56 here.
59 at the airport just as the wind has shifted to SE at 3 mph.
Will that pick up or will the SW take over again. That ocean is like a REFRIGERATOR out there!!!!!!!
Up to 63 here.
61 at the airport with a slight SSE sea breeze at 5mph.
Will things switch around? IF not, NO record, imho.
Thank you TK!
Wordle 3 – seems like we have a crowded 3 car today and I am very happy to have such great company! Well done to all of the Wordlers on here.
Great job and welcome aboard!!!
Yay Sue. Fun crowd for sure
Logan has gone back to a land breeze and is up to 66. 5 degrees to go for the record.
Thanks, TK!
Up to 57. I have moved the thermometer off the deck out of the sun. It’s now in total shade on the north side of the house. Even though I have the sensor in a solar shield, I have been getting readings that have been too high in the last couple of weeks.
I’ve been enjoying the World Baseball Classic. The USA-Mexico game was incredible last night! Aaron Judge and Roman Anthony were the stars for the United States. Jarren Duran hit two homers for Mexico. Such great baseball played, especially for so early in March. The Puerto Rican team has been fun to watch as well. The knockout phase starts this weekend. The final game is a week from tonight from Miami.
I had to do the same a few years ago. The radiation shield did NOT work properly and I,as you, was getting readings anyuwhere from 2 to 5 degrees too high on sunny days. Now I have it in complete shade and it has been really accurate.
I sacrificed the wind data as it is now useless!!!
FWIW, the 12Z RRFSA is projecting 75 for Boston today.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rrfs_a&p=sfct-imp&rh=2026031012&fh=9&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
66.3
67 here. 🙂 🙂 🙂
LOVE IT!!!!
And 68
We HAVE a 70! Hanscome Field, Bedford MA
I see a 75 in central New Jersey!!!
67 here and still rising. SNOW BE GONE is my command!!!!
68 about a mile from me here in Hingham
64 in Boston with a SE breeze at noon (DST). Real (Standard) time is 11:00 am so still an “extra hour” to get to the record (71).
Not to worry.
That’s down a few degrees. Unless Logan can get a consistent land breeze, you can KISS the record GOOD-BYE.
With the front approaching from the West, there is a reasonable chance the SW wind freshens and the record can still be attained.
jumped to 70F in the last 10 mins.
Even though the ob shows SSE wind, they must have had a quick pulse of a land breeze to accomplish that.
SSE could have done it. nearest water would be
Buzzards bay with that wind direction.
Boston 70
Lots of 70s on the map
https://ibb.co/3mjGbwcP
The went shifted more to the South and Logan has jumped up
to 70. 69 here.
The went shifted??????? I think I meant to say the wind shifted. 🙂 🙂 🙂
Now Logan has a SE wind at 10mph and temperature has dropped to 66.
12z GFS might have projected its first tropical system.
March 23rd. LMAO !!!!!
Call it WIMPOLA!
Well we hit my high guess for my area, 71. I suspect it’ll go higher
And front lawn is melted enough for me to fill feeders. Ice block still solid on deck
And crocuses are popping. Last year was 2/16
https://ibb.co/8L2pzBD9
https://ibb.co/rR94rcTQ
Oops. Forgot pic
Always a good feeling to see those!
I guess that means the ground is NO LONGER frozen. 🙂
At least where the blooms are.
I think I have topped out at 69F.
Boston hit 73F!
I don’t know where apple weather gets its temps for Hingham from. It says 60 degrees. I took my weather gauge outside and got 72 degrees.
The APRS weather site about a mile east of me near Spring Street is reporting 73.
Temps are performing exactly as outlined above in the forecast. 🙂
Today is the peak warm day. Different world tomorrow…
72 here and that is tops for the day, so far anyway
SNOW is basically GONE!!! ALL SNOW BANKS on both sides of ALL streets in the area are GONE! Lawns are bare ground!!
It’s AWESOME!!! Back to reality tomorrow, but as long as new snow doesn’t arrive, what’s gone is gone!!!!
My yard is 90% snowcovered still with average depth probably 6-8”. And the snow banks are plenty high still. Area around my pool is a solid
Foot.
I KNOW it is wishful thinking, but when I look at the snow-less grassy areas, I swear I see green blades of grass popping up. 🙂 🙂
REMINDER about the cold ocean.
Boston is 73. Meanwhile both Block Island and Nantucket are sitting at 45!!! 28 degrees colder!!!
Room in the three car for me? Late afternoon wordler…after getting home and “throwing up the sashes”!
Always room for one more! Nice job!!!
Yay. Well done and plenty of room
We also topped at 74. Second bird feeder full. Still no access to the deck. The office manager for our fire works company commiserated with me. She is in N Reading and her deck is also not accessible
73 here now.
Boston set a new record at 74!
Any time to go one more degree?