DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 10-14)
Today we get a preview of mid spring with a healthy southwesterly air flow due to high pressure to the south and low pressure passing through the Great Lakes into southeastern Canada. This air flow off the ocean water to the south of New England of course will keep the South Coast / Cape Cod / Islands cooler than areas that experience a true land breeze, which is typical and notable for this time of the year – and you’ll see that reflected in the wide-ranging specifics on the temperature expectations for today. Abundant sunshine can be enjoyed by all, regardless of air temperature at your specific location, but don’t get used to this weather because changes are coming, and quickly. Tonight, clouds increase both from the west associated with the approach of the trough that drives the low pressure area mentioned in the first line of this discussion. At the same time, the front attached to the low, which by tonight will be well east of our longitude, will be pushed southward and pivot southwestward via the Gulf of Maine, thanks to high pressure build into east central Canada behind it, and will cross our region as a back-door cold front overnight. This sets up a cloudy and uniformly chilly day on Wednesday. The region’s high temperatures for the day will occur at about midnight tonight, after which it’ll be in the 40s everywhere, with no big temperature range, no sun, and patchy drizzle along with the chance of a passing rain shower. Another low pressure area will be moving through the Great Lakes at that time, and it will serve to pull that frontal boundary back to the northeast at night, when the temperature will start to rise again from southwest to northeast into Thursday morning, when that day’s high temperatures will occur. One band of showers can come through Wednesday late evening with a trough, and the main band of precipitation will come through on Thursday morning and midday from west to east with a cold front. This boundary has a sharp enough temperature contrast with it so that what falls as mainly rain showers can end mixed with wet snow from west to east across the region during the day late morning to early afternoon Thursday. I don’t expect much of any clearing that afternoon as chilly air arrives, but any that does occur will be brief and mainly at night, before the next low pressure system dives our way via the Great Lakes on Friday with clouds re-thickening and a chance of some rain, mix, and snow arriving from west to east. This system passes through and departs Saturday with a trend back to drier weather after an unsettled start.
TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 68-75 Boston west southwestward to northeastern CT and northwestward through interior northeastern MA, central MA, and interior southern NH, ranging down a narrow band of 60-67 between that and 53-60 tip of Cape Ann MA and across the South Coast and Upper Cape Cod with 45-52 Lower Cape Cod and Islands. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Clouding over. Patchy drizzle NH Seacoast and eastern MA coastal areas by morning. Lows 38-45 except 43-50 south central MA to eastern CT. Wind SW shifting to NE 5-15 MPH from northeast to southwest.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Patchy drizzle. Chance of rain showers, especially during the afternoon. Highs 43-50, mildest southwest of Boston. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain showers likely. Areas of fog. Temperatures rise to 50-57. Wind shifting to S 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Cloudy. Rain showers likely in the morning, may mix with or change to wet snow especially higher elevations of southern NH and central MA during the afternoon. Highs 52-59 early, then falling. Wind S shifting to NW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly to partly cloudy. Lows 31-38. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Partly sunny to mostly cloudy. Late day or evening mix / snow possible from west to east. Highs 38-45. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Occasional rain / mix / snow likely. Lows 30-37. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
SATURDAY: Cloudy start with a chance of rain / mix, then breaking clouds. Highs 43-50. Wind SW to W 5-15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 15-19)
Additional unsettled weather opportunities which can include some mix / frozen precipitation as the pattern is somewhat colder.
DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 20-24)
The vernal equinox (start of spring) occurs at 10:46 a.m. EDT on Friday March 20. A volatile weather pattern with up and down temps and unsettled weather on frequent occasion will mark its early days.
Good morning and thank you TK
42 here and that is the low.
Hopefully we say good-bye to the snow today.
Ocean: 38
Up 2 degrees from a few days ago. Hopefully a trend but I fear it will drop back over the next couple of weeks.
WORDLE: 3
Superb on Wordle !
Great work on wordle! I had a similar result (3).
Superb !!
Thanks
Excellent. Please join me in the 3 car.
Thanks TK !
Wordle: 4
Nice to save on late season heating of the house, since its taking some extra money to fill up the car. Thank you, warm weather.
Nice! Good job Tom.
Worcester Airport: 1,000 ft and an ob I like to look at, in a warm airmass, is 7F warmer than at this time yesterday (50F vs 43F)
On the other hand, there should be some higher dps this afternoon vs yesterday. Like TK, I was surprised the dps dropped to the upper 20s, but it sure helped the air warm more than expected.
For anyone that has a reddit account: Ken Mahan the lead meteorologist for the boston globe will be answering questions tomorrow in an “ask me anything” thread here:
https://reddit.com/r/BostonWeather/comments/1rp6c1g/im_ken_mahan_lead_meteorologist_for_the_boston/
Thread posted in advance so people can ask the questions. (In the future there will be one with Dave Epstein.)
Nice 3s and 4, JPD, Dr S and Tom.
Wordle 3 for me also.
Nice. 3 seems to be the magic number today. Someone will come in with a 2!!
Excellent. When I solved it I thought “I feel like this is a rarer word, wonder if it will stump WHW peeps” and the exact opposite has happened!
Thank you, TK. Up to 41 from 35
Record high for Boston is 71F (1878).
Pete forecast a 73 for Boston. We shall see.
Wordle 5. Didn’t play it well
You got it!!
Agree. You got it. And I have sure said the same about not playing well quite often.
Up to 49 here.
Already 54 at Logan.
Destined to break a record today? Time will tell.
I didn’t realize this, but MesoWest is going POOF the end of this year, if not sooner.
https://mesowest.utah.edu/notice.html
Congratulations on all the great Wordle scores today.
It was a 4-day for me.
4 tis very good! Well done.
Excellent SClarke!!
Thanks TK for the detailed discussion!
Not sure I’ll hit 70F today. I’m putting the over / under at 68F.
Ill go 71
I’ll go 74
Logan is up to 55. 54 here.
There shouldn’t be too much snow left after today. Some piles for sure, but otherwise, “should” be gone or just about.
Thanks TK!
Logan is at 57, HOWEVER, the wind is SSW at ONLY 5 mph.
With the ocean at 38, UNLESS that SW wind picks up, it sure looks like Logan will switch to a SEA BREEZE!!! and NOT record
for them today. But, hey, perhaps the SW breeze will pick up enough to ward off the sea breeze. We shall see.
56 here.
59 at the airport just as the wind has shifted to SE at 3 mph.
Will that pick up or will the SW take over again. That ocean is like a REFRIGERATOR out there!!!!!!!
Up to 63 here.
61 at the airport with a slight SSE sea breeze at 5mph.
Will things switch around? IF not, NO record, imho.
Thank you TK!
Wordle 3 – seems like we have a crowded 3 car today and I am very happy to have such great company! Well done to all of the Wordlers on here.
Great job and welcome aboard!!!
Yay Sue. Fun crowd for sure
Logan has gone back to a land breeze and is up to 66. 5 degrees to go for the record.
Thanks, TK!
Up to 57. I have moved the thermometer off the deck out of the sun. It’s now in total shade on the north side of the house. Even though I have the sensor in a solar shield, I have been getting readings that have been too high in the last couple of weeks.
I’ve been enjoying the World Baseball Classic. The USA-Mexico game was incredible last night! Aaron Judge and Roman Anthony were the stars for the United States. Jarren Duran hit two homers for Mexico. Such great baseball played, especially for so early in March. The Puerto Rican team has been fun to watch as well. The knockout phase starts this weekend. The final game is a week from tonight from Miami.
I had to do the same a few years ago. The radiation shield did NOT work properly and I,as you, was getting readings anyuwhere from 2 to 5 degrees too high on sunny days. Now I have it in complete shade and it has been really accurate.
I sacrificed the wind data as it is now useless!!!
FWIW, the 12Z RRFSA is projecting 75 for Boston today.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rrfs_a&p=sfct-imp&rh=2026031012&fh=9&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
66.3
67 here. 🙂 🙂 🙂
LOVE IT!!!!
And 68
We HAVE a 70! Hanscome Field, Bedford MA
I see a 75 in central New Jersey!!!
67 here and still rising. SNOW BE GONE is my command!!!!
68 about a mile from me here in Hingham
64 in Boston with a SE breeze at noon (DST). Real (Standard) time is 11:00 am so still an “extra hour” to get to the record (71).
Not to worry.
That’s down a few degrees. Unless Logan can get a consistent land breeze, you can KISS the record GOOD-BYE.
With the front approaching from the West, there is a reasonable chance the SW wind freshens and the record can still be attained.
jumped to 70F in the last 10 mins.
Even though the ob shows SSE wind, they must have had a quick pulse of a land breeze to accomplish that.
SSE could have done it. nearest water would be
Buzzards bay with that wind direction.
Boston 70
Lots of 70s on the map
https://ibb.co/3mjGbwcP
The went shifted more to the South and Logan has jumped up
to 70. 69 here.
The went shifted??????? I think I meant to say the wind shifted. 🙂 🙂 🙂
Now Logan has a SE wind at 10mph and temperature has dropped to 66.
12z GFS might have projected its first tropical system.
March 23rd. LMAO !!!!!
Call it WIMPOLA!
Well we hit my high guess for my area, 71. I suspect it’ll go higher
And front lawn is melted enough for me to fill feeders. Ice block still solid on deck
And crocuses are popping. Last year was 2/16
https://ibb.co/8L2pzBD9
https://ibb.co/rR94rcTQ
Oops. Forgot pic
Always a good feeling to see those!
I guess that means the ground is NO LONGER frozen. 🙂
At least where the blooms are.
The ground, in general, is still frozen. It takes more then a few warm days to thaw all the soil underneath, and the frozen soil is pretty extensive this winter.
I think I have topped out at 69F.
Boston hit 73F!
I don’t know where apple weather gets its temps for Hingham from. It says 60 degrees. I took my weather gauge outside and got 72 degrees.
The APRS weather site about a mile east of me near Spring Street is reporting 73.
Temps are performing exactly as outlined above in the forecast. 🙂
Today is the peak warm day. Different world tomorrow…
72 here and that is tops for the day, so far anyway
SNOW is basically GONE!!! ALL SNOW BANKS on both sides of ALL streets in the area are GONE! Lawns are bare ground!!
It’s AWESOME!!! Back to reality tomorrow, but as long as new snow doesn’t arrive, what’s gone is gone!!!!
My yard is 90% snowcovered still with average depth probably 6-8”. And the snow banks are plenty high still. Area around my pool is a solid
Foot.
I KNOW it is wishful thinking, but when I look at the snow-less grassy areas, I swear I see green blades of grass popping up. 🙂 🙂
REMINDER about the cold ocean.
Boston is 73. Meanwhile both Block Island and Nantucket are sitting at 45!!! 28 degrees colder!!!
Room in the three car for me? Late afternoon wordler…after getting home and “throwing up the sashes”!
Always room for one more! Nice job!!!
Yay. Well done and plenty of room
We also topped at 74. Second bird feeder full. Still no access to the deck. The office manager for our fire works company commiserated with me. She is in N Reading and her deck is also not accessible
73 here now.
Boston set a new record at 74!
Any time to go one more degree?
They registered a 75 on the time series at 4:20 but it remains to be seen if the NWS will call that the official high after they review the data. They have until about 5 p.m. so long as the wind remains southwest with the dew point as low as it is.
Looking at Eric’s maps, they show a series of GL Clippers ahead. I would say no more snow anytime soon, if not the rest of the season.
Lots of up-and-down temperatures with multiple “rain” opportunities.
I just had someone message me the same thing, and WE KNOW BETTER than to declare that on March 10, ten days before the end of WINTER.
We may see flakes INCLUDING in Boston in under 48 hours.
So it appears I’ll be having to repeat myself as I do every year, multiple times, about counting snow chances out too early. Have we not learned this yet? 😉
It’s only been 16 years for the blog and I’ve said the same thing every single season.
Warm in the city . My wife’s been in two weeks tonight & she is heading to surgery tonight . Hoping it’s successful & she can come home soon .
Best of luck! Sending well wishes!
Prayers. Thank you for letting us know.
Hoping for the best, SSK !
Best of luck SSK!
Absolutely book luck. Hope all goes well
Hope all goes well….
Don’t look now but the RRFS model gives measurable snow from Boston to Cape Cod Thursday night & Friday morning. 😉
Don’t look now, part 2, but the GFS model gives measurable snow to most of southern New England Thursday night & Friday morning. 😉
I don’t think I’ll look 🙂
It’s not that big a deal on the run ..but as usual a lot of people get into this mindset that once you have a warm spike in March, which, by the way, is NOT unusual, that there’s no way we can get “cold” again. Oh, yes, yes there is a way we can get colder again. Stage one is just a few hours away. 😉
Eventually these people may learn that weather is non-linear. 😉 Maybe…. I’m being a bit optimistic about this I think.
Of course. I have a standing Friday am appointment. Please make it go away
Thanks TK.
Reached 74 here at the house in Coventry. Still have some snow piles around and large patches of snow in the shaded areas in the back yard.
Left work and the car (which was in the sun) was a sauna when I got in. Ran the A/C the whole way home and the car temp hit 81F in East Hartford on I-84. Looks like the official high today at BDL was 78.
We leave for Salt Lake City tomorrow PM where the projected high is 70 the rest of the week so looks like I get to keep it going! (not excited because we are out there to ski….)
18z GFS for 5PM Thursday….
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=prateptype_cat-imp&rh=2026031018&fh=51&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
I finally used a hammer on deck ice. Just enough room for me to get to chair and make a spot for fire. Fingers crossed, I’ll be out there shortly.
My slider is open!
SSK, best of luck on your wife’s surgery tonight. It seems she has had multiples during this winter. Am I correct?
My hope this will be the last and that she makes a speedy recovery once and for all. 🙂
3 major since 1/6.
Thanks SSK. Again, best of luck! 🙂
TK…hard to believe it’s been 16 years on this blog! 🙂
I find it interesting that you were able to find snow opportunities while the tv Mets show otherwise, not that any declared “winter is over” in the least. They just don’t show it in the short term. I’ll remember next time.
I don’t think the TV guys are saying “we won’t have any more snow chances” .. they’re just showing maps that don’t scream it.
There is literally the chance of flakes Thursday night / Friday morning, and again at some point this weekend.
And once you get beyond day 4, beyond identifying a pattern that can lead to them, it’s impossible to say much.
It’s so nice out as I just went to McDonald’s for dinner at the Longwood Galleria, I went back & got an ice cream
A perfect day for ice cream! Of course, for me, ANY day is perfect for ice cream. Hope you enjoyed it.
Guess where I am. Yay
https://ibb.co/6cYd5VRK
The fire reminded me of a kitty standing up and stretching. 🙂
Awwww. Love it.
Thank you all for the well wishes !!! I am mentally exhausted from the last 3 months as it’s been a very tough road for my wife & myself as I standby and advocate for her . My wife has been sick for 40 yrs & the last few has just sucked watching her suffer & I can’t fix her , I can just be there for her which I am 100% 24/7. Be grateful if you have good health cause it’s everything.
My prayers tonight are for your wife, you and your family, SSK.
Blessings for a successful surgery, a quick recovery and a return to home sweet home.
HOPING FOR THE VERY BEST!
Keeping you and your wife in my prayers SSK.
Sending many prayers and hugs for you too SSK.
Sending positive thoughts and prayers SSK.
Sump pump has been going for two days from all the melting. It started acting up today, have someone coming tomorrow to take a look.
Ugh. Hope it can be fixed quickly
It’s working for now but every few hours it stops and doesn’t go off when it should. So I lift up the lever to kick it into action and then it’s fine for a while. I will most likely just have them replace it tomorrow when they come in the late afternoon. This one is 8 years old and I don’t want to be wondering about it beyond this snow melt either.
Good it works now and very wise to replace it. Fingers crossed for you
B’s vs Kings, 0-0, late in the 2nd.
B’s just had a power play and they looked terrible.
I am declaring an END OF WINTER!!! On March 20th. Because it will be spring. 🙂
Went out to grill tonight on the deck and there was a swarm of about 15 moths on the slider door. 4 of them got in along with about 30 little black bugs which are now on the ceiling over the dining room table light. After just two mild days on March 10…ridiculous!
Ewwwww. There were a couple of moths flying around when I was on deck but no little black bugs
I went back out to put the cover back on the grill and there were literally 100 moths all over the siding on the back of the house and under the spotlight above the deck. I dont think I have seen that many on a warm humid night in the middle of July. The temp drop cant happen soon enough!
Final high today in Hartford was 79 which was a record for the date. A whopping 34 degrees above the average high of 45 for the date.
Guess last week’s GFS AI wasn’t all that far off after all!
Wow 79