DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 14-18)
Some of you will wake up to a fresh coating of snow this morning that will then melt quickly as the sun rises, though that sun will be interrupted frequently by a lot of cloudiness moving west to east across the sky today as the wind picks up. This is all associated with low pressure passing north of our region that will intensify as it heads toward Atlantic Canada. Other than a few sprinkles of rain or flurries of snow, we’ll have a dry day today along with the wind and limited sun. The wind will relax tonight as the storm pulls further away, but our active pattern continues and after we see some clearing of the sky tonight, the clouds will start to roll back in from the west on Sunday from a warm front advancing northeastward our way. This front’s precipitation will remain generally north and west of the WHW forecast area with no more than a brief bout of light rain or snow potentially clipping north central MA and southwestern NH. The front as parented by low pressure heading into the Great Lakes late this weekend – a storm that will have quite a broad circulation and become quite strong as it moves into eastern Canada during Monday. Its trailing cold front to our west will be moving our way during the day Monday and won’t pass through our region until the early hours of Tuesday. Ahead of it, a moderate to strong warm and moist southerly air flow will bring us periodic rain showers, most numerous from pre-dawn to mid morning Monday, with another more numerous cluster later in the day, and one final line that can included embedded thunder moving west to east across the region associated with the cold front. Impacts from this system include potentially damaging wind gusts, as well as some flooding of streams and rivers as heavier rainfall (combined with melting mountain snow to the north) runs over still partially frozen ground and fills the river system fairly quickly. Flood issues on larger rivers can last longer and persist up to a few days after the storm has departed. And the weather after its departure will be breezy, chilly, and dry for Tuesday (St. Pat’s Day) and Wednesday.
TODAY: Lots of clouds with intervals of sun. A passing light rain or snow shower possible, favoring the hilly terrain north and west of Boston through midday. Highs 43-50. Wind W to NW 15-25 MPH, gusts 35-45 MPH except 45-55 MPH in higher elevations and exposed areas.
TONIGHT: Clearing. Lows 25-32. Wind NW to W diminishing to under 10 MPH.
SUNDAY: Sun followed by clouds. Slight chance of brief late-day snow / mix north central MA and southwestern NH. Highs 42-49. Wind variable to SE up to 10 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain showers arrive and become widespread. Temperatures steady in 40s South Coast but rise to 50s elsewhere. Wind SE to S increasing to 10-20 MPH with higher gusts overnight.
MONDAY: Cloudy. Widespread rain showers until mid morning and returning again mid to late afternoon with just scattered rain showers between those times. Highs 57-64 except 50-57 South Coast. Wind S 15-25 MPH, gusts 30-50 MPH (possibly higher in some higher elevation and coastal areas).
MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with widespread rain showers and embedded thunderstorms, ending from west to east overnight. Breaking clouds toward dawn from west to east. Lows 32-39. Wind S 10-20 MPH, higher gusts, shifting to W.
TUESDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 40-47. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear to partly cloudy. Lows 27-34. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 40-47. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 19-23)
Fair weather and below normal temperatures March 19. Unsettled episodes March 20-22 with some rain / mix / snow showers but no major storminess indicated. Fair weather returns for the end of the period. Spring arrives with the occurrence of the vernal equinox at 10:46 a.m. EDT on March 20.
DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 24-28)
Up and down temps but averaging near to below normal for the period with at least one and possibly two late-season bouts of rain / mix / snow possible (March 24 & 27 continue to be dates to watch).
Thanks TK
Good morning and thank you TK.
39 here, up from 34
Ocean: 38
WORDLE; 6. Oh well.
Good to get it. I’d like to Join your car
Wordle 6 for me also. I was hopelessly lost so surprised I didn’t fail
CFS indicates a lot of high pressure in eastern Canada during the second half of March and the first half of April.
This is not a set-up that results in any lasting warm weather here. If you do warm up, it’s usually a matter of time before either…
1) A storm system coming along the battle zone between a cold Canada and a warmer US Southeast grabs a piece of the Canadian cold and flings it in upon departure.
…or…
2) The eastern Canadian high delivers a back-door cold front to us and we chill off while it’s nice and warm just to our south and west. 😉
Then,
Depending on set up could “possibly” deliver late season snow. Please, No to this.
It would not surprise me. We’ve seen it enough times to know how things can come together just so – while not something that happens frequently, when it happens right, it happens right.
Afraid of that. Whatever happens, happens. We’ll deal with it. Just hoping for NO MORE significant snow.
Thank you TK!
Wordle: 4
Nice job.
Very good, Sue !
Excellent, Sue!!
Wind Advisory today for western MA, Worcester up to Fitchburg, and Cape and Islands.
Jumped up to 41 here. Keep it going.
BEWARE today….
After all it’s 3/14.
March 14th is National Pi Day (3.14). There are those that celebrate it at 1:59 PM (3.14159)
Pi is a circle’s circumference divided by its diameter and there is a YouTube video somewhere that helps you memorize the first 400 digits of Pi :).
I use the same cover photo on Facebook every March 14, and it’s a photo of a spread out piece of “pi” wrapping paper that my son got when he was a kid. 🙂
🙂
I was mistakenly thinking today was the Ides of March. My bad. That is tomorrow.
I Like PI Day. I also like Pie
The good thing about PIE is that you can take its circumference and divide by the diameter and get Pi.
Yes, but it is better to EAT IT!!! 🙂 🙂
🙂
Having trouble arriving at my daily temp forecast for Swampscott. I’ll put the Over / Under at 46F.
This is fun. Hope it’s ok for me to play also. I’m going with 49 here!
42 here now.
Thanks TK !
Wordle: 6
Some parts of northern Wisconsin into the up Of Michigan projected to receive 2-3 ft of snow from this next system. Very windy too. I wonder what that’s like? 🙂
welcome to the PHEW 6 car!!!
They can have the snow!!
Thanks and yes 🙂
Three for the PHEW car. Welcome aboard Tom
🙂
3 of us. I don’t feel so badly now. 🙂 🙂 🙂
Thank you, TK. We are at 43, up from 34.
Wordle 6, on the train but in the caboose
Welcome !
The caboose is now sold out, 🙂
Wow! 4 of use. I think that is a first!
Love it. Great company.
Thanks TK
I am glad the weather that is forecasted for Monday is not forecasted for day as I am traveling down to NYC.
Safe travels, hope it’s for fun !
Safe travels JimmyJames. Hope you have a great time.
Just curious when the ground generally thaws. We have daffodils coming up away from the house so that is a good sign. I know there are several variables involved. Thanks.
It’s not bad outside temp wise. I don’t know why I expected it to be colder, but this is acceptable 🙂
Tom it is for fun I am going down to NYC to see the Big East Championship game.
Excellent !
Great atmosphere for sure !!
Hoping for great games !
Game
I’ll be joining Sue with a 4 for Wordle.
We had a nice coating of snow this morning.
Just as I finished writing this we were hit with an intense squall of what looks like graupel.
And there it is
https://radar.weather.gov/station/KBOX/standard
Nice 4!!!
47 here. I’ll take it.
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/nao.gefs.sprd2.png
Crapola !!
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/ao.gefs.sprd2.png
A negative AO isn’t exactly helpful either. If it were positive, it would suggest a more compact, further north polar vortex with the polar/arctic air retreating north.
This suggests potential for the polar forest to be either stretched out a bit or for lobes of polar/arctic air to be headed south. Where …. not as easy to determine, this far out.
Stay tuned …….
Polar forest, that’s a good one, phone auto correct.
I was wondering on that one. 🙂
I smell a huge Spring Snow storm in our future! I sincerely hope not!!!!
Me too !
So, our 180th day is currently Monday, June 29th.
The district and the teachers have basically agreed to open the schools on Good Friday for a half day, so we can end on Friday June 26th. Of course, to respect religious beliefs and pre-made plans, absences would be excused or not even tallied.
So, teleconnections that offer some potential for at least cold enough air to be around, if precip were to get thrown into it, makes me nauseous 🙂
JJ: I see it’s UConn/St John’s in the championship game.
2 good games, that should be good!
I almost have to root for St John’s.
Both coaches can be complainers, but UConn coach Dan Hurley takes it to another level! Constantly complaining to the refs !
So, huge furniture chain up here, Jordan’s furniture. This year, if you buy furniture, it will be free IF both the UConn men’s and women’s teams make it to the championship game.
I don’t know who insures them, but dumb !!!
Back in 2004, a lot of people ended up getting their furniture free because the promotion that year was, your purchase is free if the Red Sox win the World Series.
Go U Conn! And no I didn’t buy any furniture. 😉
🙂 🙂 🙂
I do root for the women’s team, however.
What a 25+ year run they have had.
Been amazing!
18 combined National Championships between the men and women’s UCONN basketball teams.
Would love to see them add 2 more.
Tom, is your last day really June 29?
Yes, but soon to be June 26th as we are close to an agreement to open schools for a half day on Good Friday with all absences excused or not even tallied.
But yes, we have 7 days to make up, 2 from the snowstorm in late January and the whole week after the blizzard.
Thanks Tk . This is perfect weather to light inside fires as I have a decent amount of firewood left to burn . I brought a ton of wood inside for the blizzard but we never lost Power ( how I still can’t figure out because the wind was insane !!!!
With some chilly weather in the pipeline into the early days of spring, I think you’ll get through a fair amount of wood.
Joining Sue and SClarke in the 4 car…stared at that one for a while! On break now so pulled yard furniture out of the shed this am just cause I can!
Happy weekend all!
Nice 4,
Excellent 4s to all
Just got a high wind watch on my phone.
It’s extremely windy here now
https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=BOX&wwa=high%20wind%20watch
Thanks, TK!
I am an SEC boy. My Vanderbilt Commodores play the defending national champion Florida Gators at 1 pm in the SEC semis from Nashville.
Anchor Down!
The ratio of the circumference to the diameter of a Jack O’Lantern is pumpkin pi. 🙂
Wind is up, just as expected. Low pressure that went by overnight is now intensifying pretty significantly in the Maritimes aka Atlantic Canada.
A very light snow shower occurring here in Woburn now – started as a bit of mix but is all small snowflakes now whipping around in the cold, gusty wind. This is one of my favorite kinds of March days!
Here too a bit before you. I was out and about and it was fun to see. Almost a sun snow shower
Sun out now.
Same here. 🙂
Heavier clouds to the west with snow shafts visible now.
I am still holding hope to get out onto the deck tonight. Brilliant sun with cloud dotted bright blue sky now. But as we know it could easily change in a blink
As we get toward evening we’ll see the wind gradually abate. I’m not sure how quickly just yet though. The shower / flurry threat will be fading in the next hour.
Yay. A young man who is starting a new junk removal business posted his info on the sutton site yesterday. The four mesh chairs on the deck are at least 15 years old and sit out all year. The seats finally began to tear. So I called and, today, off all but one that is still intact went. Now to sweep and straighten what is left to sit and enjoy the evening by firelight
Thanks TK. What are the top wind gusts and rain looking like for my area on Monday? Sump pump is just relaxing from the snow melt finally.
~1 inch or a bit over for rain.
Wind gusts 35-45 MPH.
Thank you!
Vanderbilt 91, Florida 74! 🙂
To the Finals tomorrow!
The Taunton River looked very healthy this morning at the Raynham-Taunton line. There was a River Flood Warning for the Taunton in Bridgewater for some minor flooding earlier this past week.
45.2 here. Wind has a bit of a bite to it, so it feels more uncomfortable than it did yesterday, but not too bad.
My favorite pies: top 5
1. apple
2. blueberry
3. cherry
4. lemon
5. lemon meringue
I think apple is always going to be about tops for me, but I am pretty open to many varieities. Among my favorites are the the five you listed, as well as pumpkin.
I also like a pudding pie on a graham cracker crust that has a layer of chocolate pudding, then a layer of chocolate pudding mixed with a tiny bit of cool whip, then a layer of cool whip mixed with a little chocolate pudding, then a layer of cool whip.
There’s also a similar one I have now and then – same crust – but a layer of caramel underneath chocolate pudding.
I wonder if Boston Cream counts as a “pie”?
Pecan, Mac’s Apple crisp pie, Boston cream
Pecan
Key lime
Chess pie
Coconut cream
Chocolate cream
During berry season, we have many types growing on our property. I love pies with a mixture of berries and maybe some rhubarb!
Thanks TK.
Interesting times in the weather world. This will be a high impact 48+ hours over the eastern half of the US between severe, wind, and rain concerns.
Then out West, an unprecedented heat event looms for the upcoming week. Possibly poised to be the most anomalous extreme temperature event of any kind on record in the CONUS? In terms of magnitude/departure from normal and area affected? There’s different ways to track that of course, but there is no underselling the historic and unprecedented nature of what this event will be. We’ll be breaking all time records by unfathomable margins.
And heck, throw in Hawaii while we’re at it, as an extreme Kona low event brings record rain and flooding to the islands.
For context, I always think it’s important to point out when the global/hemispheric weather is relatively “slow” too, and really there’s been long stretches of that for the past year. Not a lot of crazy extremes. But this is not one of those times, it’s wild out there right now.
Meanwhile, a strong (super?) El Nino is looming in the Pacific. So likely more interesting times ahead by later this year/2027…
Sure Is interesting. Thank you, WxWatcher
The Windy app has been interesting. Feel like the Canadian Maritimes are getting hit.
I have trouble finding what I need on windy. I know it’s cause I have not devoted the time it deserves
Thank you.
Question: Did wind speeds overachieve today?
Butterscotch pie up in Cape Breton, Nova Scotia is the #1 pie when I’m in Canada.
Otherwise it’s apple pie. And loaded with walnuts and topped with either ice cream or whipped cream.
Ohhhhh I’d love butterscotch pie. Yum
Butterscotch pie sounds out of this world!!!!!
YUMMY never had it, but I KNOW I would love it!!!
Perfect cloudless blue sky….at least as I look out the window from my favorite chair
Pumpkin
Banana cream / real whip
Chocolate puffing / gram crust with real whip
Pudding not puffing good grief
I forgot banana cream. Yum
I love anything banana