Weekend Update

104 Comments

6:39PM

SUMMARY…
The previous discussion holds generally true. There is one change to make, however, and that is to forecast a frontal boundary north of the region on Sunday to slip far enough south to position itself to become a back-door cold front that may invade southeastern NH and eastern MA sometime during Monday. Also, a little more detail can be added for Tuesday, regarding the track of Subtropical Storm Ana, or whatever remains of it, as it may be close enough to bring a period of rain to parts of southeastern MA and RI. The rest of the forecast is generally unchanged and will be updated with a full discussion on Sunday.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…
THIS EVENING: Lots of high clouds region-wide with patchy low clouds in southern coastal locations. Temperatures ranging from 55-60 immediate shore to lower 70s interior. SE to SW 5-15 MPH and gusty.
OVERNIGHT: Low clouds form along with patchy fog. Lows in the 50s to near 60. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY – MOTHER’S DAY: Low clouds and areas of fog to start, then partly to mostly sunny with most low cloudiness lingering across Cape Cod. More humid. Highs 60s Cape Cod and South Coast, 70s immediate East Coast, 80s elsewhere. Wind SW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the 60s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers especially northern MA and southern NH with fog and drizzle possible in coastal areas late. Lows around 60. Highs around 70 but may turn much cooler in eastern coastal areas during the day.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain Cape Cod. Scattered showers/thunderstorms possible elsewhere. Lows in the 50s. Highs in the 70s except some 60s eastern coastal areas.
WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows 48-55, coolest interior valleys. Highs in the 60s.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows 45-53, coolest interior valleys. Highs 65-73, coolest coastal areas.
FRIDAY: Sunny. Lows in the 50s. Highs 60s coast, 70s interior.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 50s. Highs in the 70s, cooler some coastal areas.

104 thoughts on “Weekend Update”

    1. I’ve already heard a large handful of complaints about it being “too hot” this week.

      In fact, yesterday I heard from 2 different people, one near the coast complaining how cold it was, and one out in western MA complaining about the fact it was “so hot and muggy”.

      It would be more frustrating if it didn’t provide me with regular doses of laughter. 😉

  3. This is the first year I’ve had “Pollenitis” (My fancy way of saying allergies 😉 ) The allergy pill is working though. 🙂

    1. Emily I read that the greenhouse gases are making them worse. I never had them but in the past decade or so notice them slightly. Today, having spent the day in the garden, I am suffering. I feel awful for those who have them all of the time.

      1. I used to get them really badly but in the last 15-20 years they have gotten less and less for me, without medication. I think changes are due more to regular changes in body chemistry than anything else.

        We have reduced the amount of plant life and trees with all our development. Perhaps somehow they “sense” this and are making more pollen for survival, so therefore those that do suffer get hit pretty hard.

        Do you recall the source that linked pollen to greenhouse gasses?

        1. I don’t TK. If you search, you will find a bunch of articles. I have never had allergies. My kids have never had allergies. Most of their friends have never had allergies. And a good percent of those I speak say they now do. And they are often yearly rather than seasonal.

          I found this but it alarmed me more because or said we must keep levels below 450 and we just passed 400

  4. No complaints! I have found the last 36 hours some of the most fascinating, exciting weather of the year. A 43 degree same day high temperature difference between Springfield and Boston on Friday, a 44 degree warm up Friday from low to high in Springfield. A 10 degree dew point jump in 4 hours today. All fun stuff if we could get beyond big snowstorms as the only weather to “hype”

    1. Agree!!

      What do you think about the possibility of that boundary slipping at least into northeastern and eastern MA on Monday at some point and putting these areas into the marine air?

      1. Around here, a near certainty this time of year!
        Sorry to jump in, but you know how I feel about BD cold fronts. 😀

      2. Agree as well. It has been glorious. Isn’t it funny how in December the complaint was no snow and ….well we know what happened. And then in April it was crappy spring and that is a distant memory. What is that saying….all things come to_______

  5. Answer to Today’s AccuWeather Trivia Quizzes.

    1. What do you call the smell of rain?

    A. Petrichor
    B. Rainphobia
    C. Smellofrain
    D. Scentofrain

    The answer is A though technically I do not believe this totally correct. I think petrichor really refers to the smell of rain after a very dry or dusty period or something like that.

    2. Hurricanes need strong vertical wind sheer in order to survive.

    A. True
    B. False

    The answer is B.

  6. The explanation this season for the “worst pollen season ever”, which by the way it is declared by the media annually, and also incorrectly, is simple.

    Several flowering bushes and 2 major trees were delayed 1 to 2 weeks while other bushes and 2 other major trees were about on time. The combination made for all of these to release pollen together this season, as opposed to not doing so many other seasons. This in turn results in higher pollen counts.

    As someone who suffered allergies badly as a kid and young adult, bad enough to have to get shots weekly for several years, I got into tracking which pollens were out and when, and once in a while when we have a certain type of Winter, there is a pollen “convergence” that makes for a very hard punch. This is one of those years. Thankfully for myself my allergies have dulled ever since I hit about age 30.

    2. Wellllll. I tested negative for all of those years ago. Problem they were looking for wasn’t allergies but an inner ear peoblem. And this season is more in line with years ago. Tom, if it is all right with you, I think we need to change that old title to doubting Vicki.

      2. Doubting Thomas ……… Doubting Vicki …………. alright, its all yours. 🙂 🙂

  7. Hearing from our relatives in Wilmington, NC ……

    Wind and rain setting in.

    Funny, they might get more wind out of a moderate tropical storm, because its going just west of them ………. versus category 2 hurricane Arthur, that missed to their east by 40 miles.

    Snow, severe weather, tropical system in the lower 48 tonight.

      2. I see your post from this morning now…Thanks for remembering Vicki. Today is also V-E Day as well. I know that Russia celebrated it today with parades, etc. but as far as I know the US did not.

        1. I had forgotten VE Day and am ashamed.

          I remember in part because it is my cousins birthday. Sadly he passed away in 1995 and I miss him terribly.

  12. Today’s AccuWeather Trivia Quizzes. (List of answers is weird.)

    1. What pressure system tends to cover a larger spatial area?
    A. High Pressure
    B. Low Pressure
    C. Severe
    D. Mesolow

    2. What is a violently rotating column of air under a thunderstorm that is in contact with the earth’s surface?
    A. Hurricane
    B. Funnel
    C. Wall Cloud
    D. Tornado

    Answers later today.

  16. Piggy-backing on Vicki’s comment yesterday morning on the May 9-10, 1977 snow: I remember no school for two days, not because of major accumulation, but because the snow was so heavy and the leaves were already out on the trees that the trees fell and dropped power lines that caused many communities to lose power, including mine. I also remember having to shovel off the high school track so we could have track practice!!!

    Happy Mother’s Day to all moms, step-moms, nanas and all who fulfill that beautiful roles in our lives. We thank you, love you and God bless you! Have a special, happy and love-filled day! “Mother” Nature seems to be happy around here today, too!

  17. Just opened the pool yesterday. Now letting the chemicals settle
    Today is gonna be a warm one. but the rest of the week does not look all that summery 🙁

  18. Good morning and Happy Mother’s Day to all of our WHW Moms.

    74.7 so far. I am surprised it isn’t higher already.

    How high will it go?

        1. We will see some on Tuesday but not all areas see rain. Some see mostly cloudy skies while others receive a few scattered downpours. The rest of the week appears dry as another ridge tries to get re-established.

  25. TK-Agree on backdoor tomorrow and think it penetrates a bit deeper than modeled. Perhaps impacting into the 495 belt?

    Tuesday the front moves back to the NNE and temps will rebound again and will make run at 90 once more in WNE.

    I think generally we remain fairly dry this week throughout most of SNE. I went for a trail run today and I noticed how low many of the streams were. You know my motto, sometimes the atmosphere just wants to snow or rain and sometime the atmosphere just does not want to rain and you got to forecast dry until proven otherwise.

  26. 82 currently here. 82 at the Airport at 1PM with DP of 60.
    Tops out at something like 84 or 85, imho. We shall see if it goes higher.

    Does anyone hit 90 today?

    1. Probably

      at 1PM,
      Bradley = 87
      Springfield = 86
      Nashua = 85
      Manchester = 84
      Lawrence = 83.

      Not going to be Boston, of that I am quite certain.

      Candidates are the ones listed above, with most likely Bradley and Springfield.

  27. Happy Mother’s Day to the moms. Sounds like nice weather there. 90 here in Orlando it’s been a very hot weekend. Back tomorrow night.

    1. 2PM
      Westfield = 90
      Windsor Locks (Bradley) = 89
      Nashua = 88
      Springfield = 86
      Blue hill = 85
      Boston = 85
      Manchester = 85

    1. 85.3 and still going up. If it goes any higher, it exceeds my expectations. 😀
      About 1 1/2 hours to do so.

  31. 3Pm Obs

    87 here

    Westfield = 91
    Nashua = 90
    Windsor Locks (Bradley) = 90
    Springfield = 90
    Logan = 88
    Norwood = 88
    Manchester = 87
    Bedford = 87

    Anyone out there hit 90?

  33. 4Pm obs

    88 here!!

    Blue hill = 87
    Logan = 88
    Norwood = 88
    Manchester = 88
    Lawrence = 89
    Nashua = 90
    Windsor Locks (Bradley) = 90
    Springfield = 90
    Westfield = 92

      1. Seems later starts have produced many serious hurricanes. IIRC a Hugo was late summer…..sept???? Have to check some of the others. Do you have comparative data TK?

  36. Great beach day !!

    Its too hot …..

    Now, being in Marshfield, right on the ocean, we’ve been cold. I dont think we’ve had as many acclimating days of mild to warm weather as inland locations have had.

    All of a sudden, today arrives and the WSW wind and full sun bring us to 88F.

    I feel like I’ve gone from modified winter weather straight to the height of summer.

    I hope that back door front offers some relief tomorrow.

    Looking for 60F to 70F, then in June 70F to 80F, then this stuff in July thru mid August. 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

      1. 60 dP even here for two days. And yes beautiful. I took glass out of porch so it is all screen. Well except the glass on the screen that tore when ice sheet came into family room. I can’t wait until it is dark and I can sit out there

      2. Perhaps so …..

        I know its very nice now.

        Down to 77F with a beautiful breeze, had dinner on the deck in the nice breeze.

        1. I am envious, tom

          We have Melissas. For those of you who have not been introduced to melissas, my older granddaughter catches the little green worms and plays with them as pets…….ya, I know but I suspect she’ll be a vet. It isn’t the Melissas I mind but the thousands of miniscule black droppings of poop that get into absolutely everything.

          So the deck is currently a hazard area for eating. 🙁

            1. I think we have them about a month until they destroy the leaves

              My go to guy at a greenhouse in wayland said they have Introduced a fly that will eat them but it’ll take a couple of years for it to be established.

  37. Looks like highs in Eastern sections topped off around 88. Logan “could” have snuck up to 89 and even perhaps 90 in between obs. Don’t know.

  38. Under a severe thunderstorm warning here in Plymouth, NH. Strong looking storm, watching it roll in… Hope it makes it!

      1. Oh dear. Might slip under you. I’ll use the hair dryer down here and see if I can keep it north

        1. Didn’t quite make it! A little thunder and lighting but nothing too bad… Oh well lol, thanks for trying the hair dryer 🙂

  39. Answer to today’s AccuWeather Trivia Quizzes.

    1. What pressure system tends to cover a larger spatial area?
    A. High Pressure
    B. Low Pressure
    C. Severe
    D. Mesolow

    The answer is A.

    2. What is a violently rotating column of air under a thunderstorm that is in contact with the earth’s surface?
    A. Hurricane
    B. Funnel
    C. Wall Cloud
    D. Tornado

    The answer is D.

  41. Agree DP are ok but we had to put AC in the kids Roma’s it was 82 degrees. I also put mine in as I hate sleeping in warm temps.

    1. We have all ceiling fans cleaned and running. I turned our windows AC on and got bees. I’m pretending it didn’t happen as it is one less thing to deal with 🙂

  42. I wonder if whatever is left of Ana’s circulation passing to our SE is going to help yank this backdoor cool airmass further south and west ….. or …….. may delay the warm air returning into eastern New England Tuesday ?

  43. Andrew was late August. That was a very quiet year with one intense but tiny hurricane.

    I don’t think Ana’s circulation will have much of an impact on the warm air getting back in on Tuesday. It may have a greater impact on Wednesday when it’s far away and absorbed by a mid latitude cyclone, dragging some nice dry air in.

  44. The Week Ahead is posted!
    Surprise Surprise! Nothing really unusual coming up this week either. Just weather! Or should I say, Spring in New England. I suppose if you want to look for something a little abnormal it’s the dryness. But I can’t say that’s a surprise either.

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