Woods Hill Weather

11:08PM

A low pressure trough and associated disturbances will move across the northeastern USA bringing a few episodes of showers and thunderstorms to southern New England through Tuesday. This will not be a repeat of the washout rains of last week, however.

High pressure will dominate mid to late week and into the start of the weekend, delivering a  pleasant air mass at first, which will then turn warmer and more humid with time as high pressure sinks to the south toward the end of the week. An approaching front by the end of the weekend may trigger more showers and thunderstorms.

Forecast for southeastern New England (southern NH, RI, and eastern MA)…

OVERNIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows middle 50s to lower 60s. Wind W around 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon. Highs in the lower 80s, 70s some coastal areas. Wind W to SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers early. Patchy fog in valleys late. Lows 60-65, few upper 50s interior valleys. Wind W under 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon. Highs in the upper 70s, cooler some coastal areas. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 56. High 76.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 56. High 79.

FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 60. High 82.

SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 66. High 84.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. PM thunderstorms. Low 67. High 83.

7:47PM

We’ve gotten rid of another wet storm, but got lucky in that flooding has been limited and not severe, the rainfall deficit is essentially gone, and the pollen count was knocked way down and kept there.

The weather will be better for the first half of the weekend as high pressure controls, but the rapid movement of weather systems means that clouds will advance by Sunday and showers are a possibility by late in the day. This will be due to a warm front and associated disturbance moving through the Great Lakes. This will keep lots of clouds around probably through early next week, probably enhanced later Tuesday in the form of heavier clouds and a chance of rain as a low pressure wave comes along the front wavering in the area. Perhaps we will break out of the unsettled stretch during the second half of next week, but it seems to want to happen very slowly so we shall see.

Updated forecast for southeastern New England…

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy then clearing. Lows in the 50s. Wind NW around 10 MPH, diminishing.

SATURDAY: Sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 75-80. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 55-60, some cooler spots interior valleys.  Wind light variable.

SUNDAY: Increasing clouds. Chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the 70s. Wind variable to SE 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Low 60. High 77.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain late. Low 60. High 74.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of showers early. Low 62. High 76.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 58. High 78.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 60. High 80.

10:27PM

Yes another storm is coming on the heels of the one just departing. Before we get to the details, I’m hoping that some of you got to enjoy the picturesque sky today which included some sun and many passing clouds, some with great  texture, scattered showers, and evening rainbows. The next wave of low pressure will pass south of New England early Friday, sending a shield of rain into southern New England which will arrive during Thursday. The track of this low will be far enough south and development just slow enough to spare the region of the heaviest rain potential. Who would have thought just a few weeks back that we’d be wanting rain to miss us, as we were in a significant rainfall deficit in much of the region. Mother Nature can turn things around in a hurry, and has, giving us a cool/wet pattern so far in June. So despite some bad weather, it will be a better scenario than what may have been. In either case, by later Friday it will be drying out and this will lead to a weekend that will be pretty spectacular, at least for most of it, as high pressure builds in. The next weather system will be approaching from the west by the very end of the weekend, but the majority of Father’s Day should be nice before clouds roll in and lead to a shower threat at night and into the first of next week.

As far as the specifics from the Thursday PM to Friday AM storm:

Rain… 1 to 2 inches, heaviest south of the Mass Pike. Local flooding but it should not be too severe.

Wind… East to northeast winds 10-20 MPH with gusts around 30 MPH will become common Thursday night into Friday before shifting more to the north and eventually diminishing. Top wind gusts of 40 MPH or greater will occur mainly over Cape Cod in the Islands.

Updated forecast for southeastern New England…

OVERNIGHT: Clearing. Lows ranging from near 50 in outlying areas well northwest of Boston to the upper 50s in urban centers. Wind NW diminishing to under 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Clouding over rapidly in the morning. Rain developing from west to east during the afternoon. Highs in the 60s to near 70. Wind variable becoming SE up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Overcast with rain, may be heavy for a time especially southern MA and RI. Lows 50-55. Wind E to NE 10-20 MPH gusting to 30 MPH or greater especially in coastal areas and higher elevations. Some 40 MPH gusts are possible over Cape Cod and the Islands.

FRIDAY: Overcast morning with rain ending west to east. Mostly cloudy afternoon with isolated sprinkles or light showers. Highs in the 60s. Wind NE to N 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

SATURDAY: Partly cloudy AM. Sunny PM. Low 51. High 73.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny AM. Clouds arriving PM. Low 56. High 78.

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Low 61. High 79.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Low 64. High 79.

WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 63. High 80.

11:30PM

We had the heat preview, and now we’ve slipped into a cool and wet pattern that will continue for a little while longer. Complex low pressure moving eastward across the northeastern US will continue to create unsettled conditions into the middle of the week. The heaviest rain will have gone by most of the region by Tuesday morning, but another round of showers and embedded thunder will track west to east across the region late in the day into the night. Clouds will dominate Wednesday as low pressure will be slow to depart. A lingering trough will set off a coastal low that may come close enough to bring another round of rain to at least southern and eastern areas Thursday night into Friday. As this departs, the coming weekend may start cool and breezy but should end a little warmer. There is no heat in sight at this time.

Updated forecast for southeastern New England…

OVERNIGHT: Rain, some heavy. Slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 54-59. Wind E 10-20 MPH.

TUESDAY: Cloudy with patchy fog to start as rain and embedded downpours end southwest to northeast. Spotty drizzle north of the Mass Pike where clouds hang on into afternoon. Partial sun possible south of the Pike. Heavier clouds from the west toward the end of the day with an area of showers/thunderstorms, most potent to the south. Highs in the 60s except 70-75 some interior areas south of the Mass Pike. Wind variable, mainly E to N 5-15 MPH in areas north of the Mass Pike, variable to S 5-15 MPH to the south.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Showers likely in the evening, tapering off overnight. Patchy fog. Lows in the 50s. Wind variable to N 5-10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Highs around 70. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Clouding over. Late rain. Low 56. High 72.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Morning rain. Low 57. High 68.

SATURDAY: Sun & clouds, breezy. Low 55. High 65.

SUNDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 55. High 75.

MONDAY: Variably cloudy. Low 58. High 77.

11:28PM

This will be a decent week by the standards of many, not because we have 7 stellar days coming up, but because we will be in a somewhat unsettled pattern that will produce some beneficial rain but not a bunch of washouts, and things may turn really nice in time for the weekend. Here is the best guess on the players and plays, day by day:

Monday…Low pressure moving eastward through the Ohio Valley & Great Lakes extends its warm front toward New England and increases the clouds during the day, with some rain following mainly at night.

Tuesday…Low pressure moves eastward across  northern New England and the St. Lawrence River Valley by late in the day or at night, sending an occluding front (cold front overtaking warm front) across the region. Not sure how much of the forecast area gets into the true warm air. Will go for it at this time. Either way, a very unsettled day with numerous showers and thunderstorms. The potential for heavy rain of 1 to 2 inches or greater is there. The potential for severe weather is also there, but this would be more likely well inland and well southwest of Boston in areas that would be in the warm sector for longer. This potential will be watched closely.

Wednesday…Low pressure starts to move away but a lingering upper level trough and additional disturbance will trigger scattered showers and thunderstorms in still somewhat warm/humid air.

Thursday…A front stalls south and southeast of New England and with some southwesterly upper level flow, clouds will probably dominate. A shower threat should be confined to the South Coast and Cape Cod.

Friday…A little lingering upper trough and one final disturbance may produce some clouds, but probably a nice day overall. Showers should be in the mountains to the north.

Weekend…Early call is for high pressure to dominate with great late Spring/early Summer weather!

Detailed forecast for southeastern New England (southern NH, RI, and eastern MA)…

OVERNIGHT: High clouds arrive west to east. Lows 55-60, some lower 60s urban centers. Wind NW under 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Increasing clouds. Rain may arrive well west and southwest of Boston late day. Highs near 70 immediate coast to upper 70s inland. Wind variable to SE 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with episodic rain. Embedded thunderstorms included late. Lows in the 60s. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Frequent showers with scattered thunderstorms embedded. Heavy downpours may lead to local flooding of rivers and streams. Highs 70-75 except 60s South Coast. Wind SE shifting to SW 10-15 MPH, higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy. Scattered showers/thunderstorms. Low 62. High 81.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Low 58. High 76.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Low 56. High 78.

SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 58. High 80.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 62. High 82.

3:37PM

Rain from advancing warm air aloft above cooler air at the surface, and additional tropical moisture from Tropical Storm Andrea, which is riding up the East Coast to pass over or near Cape  Cod early Saturday, will bring beneficial rain to much of the region through early Saturday morning. In fact too much rain may fall in some places, resulting in stream and street flooding. The heaviest rain from this event is likely to be over interior eastern MA, with less toward Cape Cod. Winds, though they may be gusty especially over Cape Cod, will not pose a significant problem with the passage of the tropical low.

It looks like things move along quickly enough so that part of Saturday is salvaged, though a final disturbance may bring a few showers at night. Sunday will be the pick of the weekend with a weak  high pressure sliver bringing fairly nice weather. This won’t last though, because another low pressure trough will swing from the Great Lakes into the Northeast early next week, bringing a return to unsettled weather.

Updated forecast for southeastern New England…

TONIGHT: Overcast. Rain, heavy at times. Slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 55-60. Wind E to NE 5-15 MPH, increasing to 15-25 MPH over Cape Cod.

SATURDAY: Overcast and rain to start, rain exiting and clouds breaking from southwest to northeast later morning. Mostly cloudy to partly sunny afternoon. Highs 70-75, 60s north-facing coasts. Wind N 5-15 MPH shifting to W during the afternoon.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Chance of a few additional showers. Lows 60-65. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 75-80. Wind W to SW 5-10 MPH.

MONDAY: Increasing clouds. PM showers. Low 62. High 74.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Low 61. High 73.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Showers possible. Low 60. High 74.

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 57. High 76.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 59. High 78.

2:29AM

Tropical Storm Andrea formed in the eastern Gulf of Mexico Wednesday and will lift northward during the next few days, impacting our area with some significant rain. The time table for heaviest rain appears to be late Friday through very early Saturday. Though some rain may take place ahead of that as warmer air comes in aloft ahead of the system. With luck, this system will lift out of the area early in the weekend and the balance of the weekend will turn out decent.  There is no significant heat in sight at this time.

Updated forecast for southeastern New England…

TODAY: Variably cloudy – limited sun. Highs 70-75, 60s some coastal areas. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Cloudy. Showers developing from south to north late. Lows 60-65. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Cloudy. Periods of showers, some may be heavy with embedded thunder. Heaviest rain late day and night. Highs 65-70, cooler coastal areas. Wind SE to E 10-20 MPH.

SATURDAY: Variably cloudy. Early showers. Low 62. High 74.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Low 62. High 82.

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. PM showers/thunderstorms likely. Low 60. High 74.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated showers possible. Low 58. High 73.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers possible. Low 59. High 74.

7:02AM

Now the cooler stretch after the early heat burst, courtesy Canada. High pressure from there provides this into midweek. But as this is going on, tropical moisture is setting up from the Yucatan Peninsula across Cuba and eventually pushing into Florida. Not sure if this turns into the first tropical cyclone of the season but at least the moisture will lift northward and provide a good chance of some beneficial rain here later this week.  Timing still being worked on for this but Friday-Saturday looks like the wettest time period.

Forecast for southeastern New England…

TODAY: Sunny start then a mix of sun & fair weather clouds. Highs in the 70s with refreshing dry air. Wind NW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Any fair weather clouds vanish to clear sky. Lows upper 40s to lower 50s. Wind NW 5-15 MPH diminishing to light variable.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs in the 70s, some 60s South Coast. Wind W to SW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Low 55. High 72.

FRIDAY: Cloudy. Tropical showers developing. Low 60. High 74.

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Tropical showers likely. Low 64. High 73.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated thunderstorms possible. Low 60. High 80.

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Late-day rain/thunder possible. Low 60. High 76.

11:02PM

So here’s the deal…

It was hot this weekend, and windy especially Sunday. There has not been much rain up to this point with the approach of a cold front, just some isolated to scattered showers and a few thunderstorms. This front will take its sweet time crossing southern New England Monday which will carry a very good chance of showers and a few thunderstorms. Drier air will build in with high pressure Tuesday into midweek. By late week we will have to watch some northward lift of tropical moisture and a low pressure area which may threaten some wet weather for southern New England. It’s too early to know how this will pan out.

Updated forecast for southeastern New England…

OVERNIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Wind S to SW 10-20 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Episodic showers and possible thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH shifting to NW during the day.

MONDAY NIGHT: Showers ending, clouds breaking then clearing from west to east. Lows in the 50s. Wind NW to W 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 70-75. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 55. High 73.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Low 56. High 75.

FRIDAY: Variably cloudy. Showers at night. Low 58. High 74.

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Showers in the morning. Low 56. High 70.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Low 58. High 76.

8:53AM

High pressure dominates with heat through the weekend, though today will be the hottest of the 2 days as the winds are a little more southerly by Sunday off Atlantic waters. The humidity will be creeping up but will probably never fully reach oppressive levels. A slow transition will take place Sunday night through Monday as a cold front slogs across the region from west to east, producing showers and thunderstorms. This sets up cooler and drier weather for the middle of next week.

Updated forecast for southeastern New England…

TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 88-93 except cooler some south-facing coastal locations. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 65-70 except lower 70s urban centers. Wind light SW.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 85-90 except cooler in all south-facing coastal locations.  Wind SW to S 10-20 MPH with gusts around 30 MPH.

MONDAY: Showers/thunderstorms. Low 66. High 77.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Low 56. High 74.

WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 58. High 75.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 57. High 76.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 57. High 77.