7:24AM
DAYS 1-5 (DECEMBER 13-17)
A little battle goes on today as high pressure drifts southward from Canada across New England while a disturbance moves in from the west. Before this disturbance is obliterated by the high pressure area, it may produce a touch of snow over portions of the region. I am hopeful that enough clearing will take place for the region to see one more excellent pass of the International Space Station this evening. The pass will last 6 minutes, from 4:42PM to 4:48PM, northwest to southeast, passing nearly directly overhead at 4:45PM. Also, it appears timing will be good for the peak of the Geminid Meteor Shower tonight, peaking between 11PM and 3AM during which time one may see up to 60 meteors per hour. This shower is one that can produce fireball meteors with long trails. Meteors are best viewed away from city lights. High pressure shifts offshore Friday as low pressure approaches from the southwest. But another bubble of high pressure will be at the ready and will do battle with the approaching larger low pressure system, which will be stretching out south of the region. It now appears that the bulk of the moisture from this system will be held at bay and pushed mainly south of the region through Saturday after an initial episode of wet weather. The old primary low will still have to pass to the south of the region and this will take place during Sunday, as the high pressure area is losing its ability to push things to the south. This should allow more of the moisture into the region at the same time some colder air is filtering in from the north. It remains to be seen how much precipitation will make it in, but by later Sunday much of the region may be getting wet with at least some light rainfall, however that precipitation may be in the form of sleet and/or snow over interior higher elevations if it is extensive enough – a detail to be worked out. It is still possible that most of this moisture is held south of the region as well. By Monday, the old primary low will re-intensify off the coast with rain/snow showers and a blustery breeze. If things come together quickly enough and the low is close enough I cannot rule out a period of snow – another thing to watch for.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Mostly cloudy through early afternoon including a touch of light snow possible in eastern CT, western RI, and central MA. Becoming partly sunny thereafter. Highs 33-39. Wind N to NE up to 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 22-28 except 15-22 interior lower elevations. Wind light variable.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny start, mostly cloudy finish. Highs 39-45. Wind light SE.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Risk of light rain overnight. Lows 35-41. Wind E 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY: Cloudy. Chance of rain in the morning, favoring southern areas. Highs 40-46. Wind E 10-20 MPH.
SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Risk of rain and some higher elevation sleet/snow late-day or night. Temperatures gradually fall into the 30s.
MONDAY: Variably cloudy. Rain/snow showers possible. Windy. Temperatures steady in the 30s.
DAYS 6-10 (DECEMBER 18-22)
A gusty wind and chilly air with a few snow showers possible December 18. More tranquil December 19 as high pressure moves in. Possible rain/snow showers and a slight moderation in temperature mid period before colder air moves back in and another system brings the threat of rain/mix/snow by the very end of the period, although timing is not certain this far out.
DAYS 11-15 (DECEMBER 23-27)
Rain/mix/snow possible early in the period then colder with a few snow showers at times.