Saturday March 6 2021 Forecast (9:20AM)

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 6-10)

The next 5 days will feature dry weather, but during this period we will undergo a shift in the weather pattern. The upper level low pressure area and its attendant core of arctic air which brought us a bitter blast earlier this week before moving away to allow a one-day warm-up on Wednesday did a loop back into eastern Canada as a larger low pressure system and has been sitting there for a couple days, pumping more cold and wind into the region. This system is going to pull away at a snail’s pace during this weekend, which will still be cold, but we will see an abatement of the wind with time. When we get to Monday with a westerly air flow, it will just be more of a “normal” March chill. Tuesday may end up a little warmer but it may be a modest warm-up initially as a little trough swings through and flips the wind back to the northwest for a while. Finally, Wednesday will be the day that high pressure has made its way to the Mid Atlantic Coast and extending offshore, and putting our region into a much milder southwesterly air flow – and you’ll feel it. But there is a caveat. Where that air travels over water first, the warm up will not be nearly as pronounced. Also, if the wind flow is not strong enough, even east-facing shores could see the development of a sea breeze on Wednesday afternoon which would keep them significantly cooler. We will see how that goes…

TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 32-39. Wind N 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 12-19. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 33-40. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, diminishing.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 20-27. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 38-45. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 30-37. Wind WSW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 45-52. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 35-42. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 53-60 except cooler South Coast and possibly turning cooler East Coast. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, possible sea breezes.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 11-15)

March 11 should be the mildest day of next week with a decent southwesterly air flow. Transition follows, but timing of arrival of cold air from north is questionable – sometime during March 12 as it stands now. This will determine how mild that day can get, but it will likely turn unsettled March 12-13 during this transition before high pressure moves in later in the period with dry but chilly weather. Not a high confidence forecast.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 16-20)

Cold Canada, warm US Southeast, and we will be in between the two, in the battle zone, probably on the colder side of it. This results in a potential for wintry precipitation at some point during this period.

23 thoughts on “Saturday March 6 2021 Forecast (9:20AM)”

  1. Do you think these last few nights will be the coldest we will see over the balance of this month?

    1. Climatology combined with current pattern say “yes”.
      History says “maybe, maybe not”. πŸ˜‰

  2. These #’s have changed a tiny bit since I took this screen shot but my photo is currently running in first place in the NWS winter photo contest with voting running through tomorrow. Winner becomes the NWS Boston Facebook & Twitter page cover photo.

    https://scontent-bos3-1.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/157852688_10159234263992265_1182027539415919412_o.jpg?_nc_cat=106&ccb=1-3&_nc_sid=730e14&_nc_ohc=x244_TVuhCAAX-i99JI&_nc_ht=scontent-bos3-1.xx&oh=3418e4e0860cea0c3ed390e5f86801be&oe=6067A522

    If you would like to visit the contest page to vote on a photo (mine maybe? haha) … Go here: https://www.facebook.com/media/set?vanity=NWSBoston&set=a.3756595884434755

    My photo is the first one in the line-up. There are some great photos in the top ten! I think the one from Saugus Ironworks is my favorite. πŸ™‚

    1. Cool assignment Matt , what type of anemometer are you using? It doesn’t show in the picture.

      1. its a C5. We have like 9 spares at the University for it. I am kind of wondering why NOAA only has this one here in St. Thomas, They should really think about get one for each side of the Island.

  3. Wow not fooling around! That’s one strong well crafted piece of industrial equipment. Tested to 230mph, perfect for islands that get hit with hurricanes. We need to put up a WHW community weather station and have it displayed on this blog. Maybe TK’s house? πŸ˜‰

  4. Yeah and complicated to install. If you look at the noaa observation for Charlotte Amalie thats the weather station I worked on. It will also soon have current and wave readings which will help with the water plane landings that is to the left of it.

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