Thursday May 25 2023 Forecast (7:19AM)

53 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (MAY 25-29)

A cooler and breezy late May day is in store for us today with upper level low pressure over northern Maine & nearby southeastern Canada, and us sitting on the western side of its cold pool, which will trigger clouds at times. There will also be plenty of sun, especially this morning – an exception being the MA South Shore to South Coast where a lot of clouds are around to start the day, clear out, then are replaced by diurnal cloud development later, so a bit of a sunshine sandwich for that region. All-in-all, really not a bad spring day. High pressure noses into the region tonight, settling the wind down and setting up a strong radiational cooling night. This high pressure arrival is the start of a long visit that will keep our region dry right through the Memorial Day Weekend into next week. The general trend is a warm-up, but there will be days that coastal areas are more prone to stronger cooling from sea breezes (Saturday and Monday). The Canadian wildfire smoke plume has once again been pushed to the south and we should be free of that for a couple days before some of it tries to sneak back into our sky possibly before the end of the long weekend…

TODAY: Lots of clouds early MA South Shore / South Coast with sun elsewhere, then a sun/cloud mix evolving from north to south midday on. Highs 58-65. Wind N 5-15 MPH, gusts around 20 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy early evening, then clearing. Lows 38-45. Wind N diminishing to under 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 65-72, coolest coast. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes developing.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 45-52. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 73-80, coolest coast. Wind W to variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 53-60. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 77-84 except 70-77 South Coast and 63-70 Cape Cod / Islands. Wind S-SW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 48-55. Wind SW 5-15 MPH evening, becoming variable under 10 MPH.

MONDAY (MEMORIAL DAY): Mostly sunny but some increase in clouds possible around Cape Cod and potential high altitude smoke returning. Highs 75-82, coolest coast. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 30 – JUNE 3)

An upper level trough brings the slightest chance for a pop up shower May 30 and/or May 31, but leaning dry with temperatures close to normal. Generally dry with a warm-up into the first few days of June with an approaching front bringing the chance of a shower or t-storm end of period.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 4-8)

Leaning toward a cool-down early in the period due to a push from Canadian high pressure – a fairly common thing in this particular pattern. Temperature moderation mid to late period may come with some unsettled weather, but still not seeing any big rain events or any significant heat.

53 thoughts on “Thursday May 25 2023 Forecast (7:19AM)”

  1. Thanks TK !

    The typhoon in the west Pacific is now perfectly symmetric and has the stadium effect look. Guam got a strong typhoon but thank goodness it didn’t pass through at its current strength.

  2. Thanks, TK!

    After today, a total of 15.5 days of school left. Last day is June 21.

    How about you, Tom?

    1. After today, 11.5 and last day is June 13th.

      We started before Labor Day and had no days lost to weather. 🙂

    2. I know a couple of home schooling moms who are counting the days also. I think ours is around captains because of snow days. Even though they didn’t take snow days I’m hearing they’ll go to then.

      Yesterday one said her three have summer brains already. Gonna be a very long month.

    3. After today, I have 1 day left 🙂

      Don’t worry, you get your chance to brag when I start back up on August 14…

      2. Enjoy, Julie. Been a very long year so I suspect this summer vacation may be even sweeter than others.

        1. Honestly compared to the last three this year has been a breeze. That might not be saying much, but everything is relative!

  5. Thanks TK
    To me this has been one of the best May’s in a while. No heat and high levels of humidity and plenty of dry comfortable days to get outside and enjoy.

  6. Are we sure on this June idea for temperatures.

    Looking at the CFS weekly outlooks and the individual CFS op run, as well as the mid and long range op runs of the GFS/EURO ….

    While none are suggesting endless heat, there are some warm to hot spells or above average temp predictions for our area. Some suggestions of a few days here and there with +15C (at least), 850 mb temps.

    Yes, the ocean is chilly and the immediate coastline withstanding, I don’t know how cool, as a whole, inland New England is going to end up through June.

        1. I don’t think we’re going to have a cool June like something that we saw in 2009 that was just cold and wet…

          I think we’re going to get visited by Canadian air a lot but really all that does is just keep the temperatures in check and keeps them closer to normal…

          What we will lack is early season Bermuda High type setups. It doesn’t mean we can’t get a hot day or two if you get a good Southwest wind ahead of a cold front or some over the top heat from the Midwest…

          I just don’t think we’re going to see any early to mid-season classic Bermuda hide triple H kind of thing going on.

          I don’t see anything that supports it as far out as I can look with very tool I can use, including experience.

          2. I don’t recall a cold June 2009 and now wonder if I’m confusing it with 2011 and I just have the wrong year.

            1. Boston was 4.7°F below normal in June 2009, and while rainfall totals were not excessive, measurable rain was recorded on 16 out of 30 days.

              1. Oh no. Sorry. I didn’t mean to question 2009. I’m just wondering if 2011 was rainy and cool too.

                1. I went back in the blog archives. It seems 2011 was much like 2009. You actually mentioned it on June 11,2011.

                  “ The calendar may not say it, but if you have any memory of June/July 2009, you may think we are back there over the next few days.

                  I’ll save an in depth discussion for tomorrow’s week ahead outlook and only torture you with a Boston area forecast for now…”

                2. We’d had considerable damage on our porch and into the adjoining family room from a roof leak that last winter. I had a feeling we might never use the in process porch repaire but I seem to recall that as the work was finished right around my birthday (6/18), the pattern switched.

  10. Thanks TK.

    It’s good to see legitimate blue skies for a change. I am getting fed up with the Canadian smoke!

    Is that smoke going to be with us into the summer as well???

  11. Thank you, TK.

    Very similar weather here in the Netherlands. It’s 62F with a cool breeze out of the north. Quite cool – mid 40s – early this morning. Chance of record cold at night (well, early tomorrow morning) in parts of the Netherlands. Surprisingly the record for May 26 is 5C (41F), which isn’t that cold. Could very well get colder than that inland, but not where I am. It’ll be 7C (45F) where I am.

  12. 63 here now. I was just out. I don’t know what it is about me, but I didn’t feel cool in the slightest. It is gorgeous out!!!!

  17. Julie:

    Congratulations! Enjoy a restful vacation! You are correct that this year has been much easier than the last three. My issue with some of my students is very poor attendance. They are out for days and weeks at a time without an explanation. Most will have to repeat the course in the fall or take summer school classes. If you have less than 50% in a subject, you cannot retake the course in the summer.

    What and where do you teach, Julie?

    I did not know you were an educator. I believe Dave is a principal and JPDave’s daughter is a teacher, too.

    I always used to irritate me that Back-to-School ads for national chains (JC Penney, Staples, etc.) started right after the Fourth of July especially if we got out of school very late in June because of many make-up weather days.

    Then, it dawned on me that New England is the one of the last US region to get out for the summer and one of the last to start up again in the fall.

    1. Yes, my daughter is a High School Spanish Teacher and she also teaches a Latin class. 🙂

    2. I live out in California and teach at a private school in San Jose. I teach high school psychology. For the most part I have super motivated students because we get to select them for admission plus I teach an elective. But I teach AP psych to seniors who are motivated until they aren’t (senioritis 🙂 ) and then an on-level elective where I have a really wide range of motivation and abilities. In theory my students don’t get credit if they have more than 5 unexcused absences. In actuality…. We get asked to figure out how to help them pass…. Dunno who said it first but it is definitely the case that 20% of my students take up 80% of my time and energy. I really can’t complain though- I have a great job. 🙂 But yes, compared to New England where I grew up, early start, early end out here. (Our stores also have raincoats for sale during our dry season and no raincoats to be found but plenty of winter parkas during our wet season…. Overall I’d say there’s still an east coast marketing bias 🙂 )

      2. Thanks for your reply, Julie!
        Congratulations and have a wonderful, well-deserved summer break!

    3. Makes me smile to know that you have both had better years. Heaven knows it is has not been easy since Covid hit. I suspect I am looking at things from a different perspective….one that thankfully doesn’t have immediate impact on students….and I should have realized that. I was thinking more of the SC and superintendent aspect of things. Definitely my error

      1. I wouldn’t describe it as an error. I still notice changes in the kids from pre-Covid, both in terms of stuff they clearly missed somewhere on the way and stamina (and emotional maturity)…. But comparatively speaking this was a calmer year (well, except for the day that a redwood tree landed on our library and on a student)

        1. I’ve been meaning to ask you how that student is doing – recovering ok???

          1. The family asked not to provide updates so I don’t really know; I know they were expected to make a full recovery but a fairly significant rehab- hopefully I’ll know in the fall (because hopefully they’ll be at school).

        2. Thank you and Oh my. That is horrific.

          I talked to an admin friend yesterday and he said the same. Lots of illness from several areas didn’t help. Some kids are covid nervous. Others are struggling with long term effects but he said in other ways it was a better year. Bullying is still an issue.

          The SC superintendent issues are just a cause for a different type disruption in districts where they are occurring.

          I do feel for our kids

  18. Celtics came out on fire.
    Kind of ironic if you think about it…

    Let’s hope they keep that up.

    2. Vegas holds a 1-0 lead in Game 4 coming to the end of the first period.

      If the GK can win tonight, that will be three sweeps (VGK, the Panthers and the Nuggets) in four conference finals this spring.

      Oops, Dallas just tied it.

      23-10, Celtics.

      1. I was kind of hoping that series would have ended. Oh well! No sweep. Maybe if it goes longer the winner will be nice and tired for Florida to beat them and win the cup, since they 100% deserve it for being the absolute best team in the entire playoffs.

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