Friday November 24 2023 Forecast (7:39AM)

33 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 24-28)

An elongated area of high pressure is helping to provide us with dry weather that will last through pretty much all of the extended weekend. The center of the high is actually very far from here – in North Dakota – as of this morning, but it will drift its way eastward and shrink somewhat until it is located east of New England by later Sunday. Meanwhile, we’re in a broad scale northwesterly air flow between that high and a low pressure circulation over the Canadian Maritimes. In this flow, a cold front will pass through our region later today, delivering a colder air mass tonight and Saturday, but Saturday will be a less windy day as that elongated high traverses the region. As for cloudiness, patchy stratocumulus clouds remain this morning from an extensive blanket of it that came into the region overnight, but they will continue to erode away today with plenty of sun. Filaments of high level clouds can cross the sky at times today and Saturday with the advance of warmer air aloft. Clouds will begin to overtake the sky during Sunday with more high to mid level moving in ahead of low pressure, and a broad scale onshore flow bringing in lower level moisture. Sunday night and Monday morning is our best shot of rain as low pressure passes through the region. This system will consist of a low pressure area passing by to the north and a stronger coastal / ocean system passing by to our southeast. But they don’t really get together to maximize rain/wind here, so we just have a slug of wet weather and then it dries later Monday. By Tuesday, we’re in a dry but chilly northwesterly air flow with fair weather and below normal temperatures.

TODAY: Partly cloudy morning. Mostly sunny afternoon. Highs 41-48. Wind W 5-15 MPH with higher gusts, shifting to NW by late-day.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 20-27. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 33-40. Wind N 5-15 MPH, higher gusts, diminishing.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 20-27. Wind N-NE under 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Clouding up. Highs 42-49. Wind NE shifting to SE up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain likely. Lows 39-46. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Cloudy with rain in the morning. Breaking clouds in the afternoon. Highs 45-52. Wind E 5-15 MPH shifting to NW.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 22-29. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 35-42. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 29 ā€“ DECEMBER 3)

A couple of weak disturbances pass by in a northwesterly air flow during the last couple days of November with a rain or snow shower possible, otherwise dry with temperatures near to below normal. Continued chilly regime into early December. Minor precipitation threat late December 1 to early December 2, otherwise a mainly dry pattern.

DAYS 11-15 (DECEMBER 4-8)

Precipitation threat early in the period with passing low pressure, then a return to mainly dry weather. Temperatures near to below normal.

33 thoughts on “Friday November 24 2023 Forecast (7:39AM)”

  1. Good morning and thank you TK.

    Typo in DAY 6-10 Discussion

    A couple of weak disturbances pass by in a northwesterly air flow during the last couple days of December

    Should be November. šŸ™‚

      1. I also noticed I had the wrong text on the 11-15. It was the old one. Somehow I must have deleted the new one I wrote and left the old one. Fixed that. šŸ™‚

    1. The TwitterWeenies were absolutely out of control on that one.

      They don’t understand modeling. At all. And they understand meteorology even less.

      1. Figures! All we have to do is look at run to run to know
        the models cannot be trusted that far ahead.

        Sure, it’s pretty exciting to see a run that depicts a big snow event, but it NEEDS to be tempered with a dose of reality.

        There may actually be something going on in that time period, so we’ll just have to watch and see how it plays out, if it even does. No matter what, highly UNLIKELY to be what the GFS depicted yesterday.

        Still love watching these model runs, but at least I know to monitor my expectations. šŸ™‚

        Too bad the Twitter Weenies CAN’T DO THAT!!!

        1. They can’t do it. And that’s the difference between here and out there. You have a blast watching the runs like it’s a short book you are not sure what is going to bring you. And odds are it’s fictional.

          Out there, you get them looking for the run that shows what they want to happen then when they post it and hype it and word it like it’s coming, people who are not knowing any better will buy it and start spreading that info and it overtakes the real information available. That has been my big issue with all of this for a long time now. And it remains out of control. šŸ™

  6. Watched Oppenheimer last night.
    Very intense. My wife couldn’t stand how technical it was and I didn’t care for how political it was. But that being said, overall
    it was excellent and delves into moral issues delivering quite the message at the end.

    Well worth watching, imho.

    Cheers

    1. Thank you. I have been wondering whether Iā€™d like it. This helps me going in. Is it out on a streaming service or do you have to purchase it?

      1. We watched on Amazon Prime. $19.95
        It is not available for standard rental yet.

        Also available on Xfinity on Demand, also $19.95 I believe.

        Right now, I don’t think it can be viewed for less than $19.95.
        perhaps in a few months.

        We’ll pay the $19.95 occasionally for a good movie.
        The last one we did was Barbie and we regretted that as it
        was the WORST movie in the history of the planet!

    3. Great job on the outlook. Yes, a lot of competition with indices and wildcards to consider. It’ll be fun to see how it plays out over the next few months…

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