52 thoughts on “Sunday March 17 2024 Forecast (7:51AM)”

1. Thanks tk and happy st patricks day

2. Thanks TK

3. Thanks, TK.

4. Good morning and thank you TK

5. Thanks TK

6. Thanks, TK!

   Happy St. Patrick’s and Evacuation Day!!!

   Getting real dark here with a strip of heavy showers to our south and west set to come through. No lightning strikes with them that I can see.

7. Vicki, I am sorry to be late to the prayers and good thoughts regarding that unusual pregnancy that you described. Hope everything works out!

   1. Thank you very much. Your prayers and positive thoughts are much appreciated and never ever too late. It is always nice to see you here.

8. Thanks TK !

9. In the Netherlands, a completely frostless February is being followed by a completely frostless March. Forecasters there believe that March will be a record-breaker, just as February was. February shattered the previous record for warmth, with an average temperature of 8.2C. Keep in mind, in the Netherlands differences between daytime and nighttime temps are much smaller than what we’re accustomed to seeing; most days in February were 50-54F during the day and 44-48F at night. There was very little variation from day to day, which is typical there but the temperatures themselves were far from typical. March has been very similar over there but a tad milder.

   The Dutch never use hyperbole, but they’re describing this winter as – and I’m translating – “exceptional,” “unprecedented,” “redefining the norms.”

   Of course, their main concern with respect to climate change is the trend towards rising sea levels. But this would come from more rapid Arctic melt. And, as the Dutch mets noted, the Arctic melt this year may be less than last because of the cold spots registered worldwide many parts of the Arctic were among them.

   1. 1815: Mount Tambora eruption spews tremendous amounts of volcanic ash into the atmosphere, a solar reflector.
      1816: The Year Without A Summer.

      2022: Hunga Tonga eruption spews an unprecedented amount of water vapor into the stratosphere, a solar trapper.
      2023-2024: The Year Without A Winter (for many areas).

      The evidence becomes clearer all the time.

      Any scientist who turns a blind eye to this shouldn’t be a scientist.

      1. Absolutely!! No denying it. 🙂

         Thank you

      2. Is reliable data available on the amount of water vapor in the atmosphere over time?

         It would be interesting to see what the typical fluctuations are, how it was affected by Hunga Tonga, and how quickly it’s returning to previous levels, if it is at all.

         1. That would be awesome. I suspect TK can provide some links I’ll do some searching as HT-HH fascinates me. I’ve already learned a lot about the stratosphere.

            1. I recently came across a couple of updated stories that I saved to post. I’ll get that done soon as I am not near my laptop.

               As we go through time they will be more study done on the effects and I will be sure to share anything I see from credible sources.

               1. Thank you Vicki and TK!

10. Thanks TK

11. Interesting piece on climate change and rising sea level.

    https://www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnbc-opinion/salisbury-beach-sand-dune-climate-change-rcna143201

    1. I saw this story last week. I thought it was plain silly that they tried to hold back the ocean with loose sand. I’m not even sure how anybody thought this would work.

       The estimation is that here in the Northeast about half of the sea level rise we have observed so far is due to polar ice loss and the other half is due to land subsidence.

       1. My wife and I had a good laugh about the Salisbury sand fiasco!!! Pure waste of money. 🙂 🙂

       2. I’m curious about the land subsidence. Do you remember where you read the story.

    2. I’m hoping Matt might chime in. He and I have chatted a bit about attempts to stop erosion. He has a wealth of knowledge in that area.

    3. This probably belongs in the category of “what could possibly go wrong?” I still like to see the ideas that people come up with and the discussions that follow.

       https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-68206309

       1. I’m laughing. Not because your article is funny but because as I was typing, I had not read your perfect example of what I was trying to say.

12. For sea level rise, I’m seeing expansion of seawater as it warms and melting ice sheets and glaciers. Rather than addressing that we do what we do best….we find bandaids rather than addressing issue. Humarock has gone through a number of these ridiculous attempts. I have to see if I can find the current battle on isle of palms or maybe another of the islands in that chain

    https://climate.nasa.gov/vital-signs/sea-level/#:~:text=Sea%20level%20rise%20is%20caused,of%20seawater%20as%20it%20warms.

13. Thanks Tk .

    1. How is Mrs ssk? Are you back to work this week? Or next?

       1. I put in my retirement paper work , I’m done .

          1. Real?

             1. Yup I’ll be 62 in July

             2. No I wish . I extended it last week & im to go back Tuesday but I’m extending it again & going back Sunday ( my normal day ) or definitely Monday . All is good for the most part & VNA should wrap up home visits this week . Still an adjustment with some tweaking needed . Thanks for asking

                1. Praying all continues to improve.

14. The worry about sea level rise is existential in the Netherlands because so much of the nation is beneath the sea level. If there’s a country that can manage this it would be the Netherlands.

    But this does explain why they talk about climate change as much as they do.

15. I’m reading the dynasty. I’m on chapter 7ish and am remembering some of the history of the early patriots and discovering a lot I either forgot or didn’t know. It is very well written. What you’d think of as being in the side is written well enough to keep your attention. Or at least mind

16. On a weather note it is 57.5 and we are gusting to the mid 20s. I’m getting much better wind readings with the new, taller tripod

17. Captain I’m watching Bristol on and off today. Took me a while to find your 24 car. What happened?

    1. I saw the 29 car and Harvick came to mind. I checked to see if he is still racing ….goodness. So many names gone. Dale jr, Johnson, Kenseth, Gordon, Kanye, harvick, Newman. Boy am I getting old.

18. The Celtics have more points at halftime than some teams get in an entire game………

    1. Hauser was amazing! Hope he is ok!

       1. Me too… 108 at the end of the 3rd. Impressive.

19. Ice out on Winnipesaukee. Earliest in 150 years

    https://x.com/4cast4you/status/1769485196204679277?s=61

20. Ok. I think we’ve done about all we can do to get things ready for mom’s return home tomorrow. Anything else can be adjusted on the fly. I’m tired … haha!

    1. Best of luck

    2. What wonderful news. Your mom must be very excited.

21. TK – Does Boston see any meaningful snow before Red Sox home opener?

    Just give the word and I’ll put my shovel/ice melt away or leave it at the ready where it is.

    1. lol

    2. Good question. I have a waterhog inside doormat by the deck slider. I put it away except if there is snow. I debated putting it away today but am way to familiar with mother natures sense of humor

    3. I can’t really forecast snow accumulation that far in advance. Climate says it’s always possible into April. That hasn’t changed.

       1. Even a solid 0.1-0.2” would be “meaningful” at this point considering the way this winter has been (or not). 😉

          1. gfs and euro say a small accumulaion is coming. we shall see. no biggies at this point.

          2. MJO is the key.

22. New weather post…

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