Friday January 9 2026 Forecast (6:49AM)

100 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 9-13)

Low pressure moves from the Great Lakes into southeastern Canada today. Before we see the main effects from that, we have a chilly morning with patchy fog (ice fog in some locations with temperatures below freezing). There were already some icy areas from yesterday’s melt-water freezing only added to where there was freezing fog. If you venture out early, watch for icy untreated surfaces. This will improve quickly however as a southerly air flow ahead of the aforementioned low pressure area pushes milder air in. The cold front trailing this low will move across our region from west to east late today into this evening, producing scattered rain showers. The front moves through and introduces slightly colder air to the region overnight into Saturday as another low pressure area heads for the eastern Great Lakes. The cooler air that follows the cold front will hang out at low levels as the follow up low elongates and redevelops just south of our region Saturday night and early Sunday, producing mostly rain in our area, but with air just cold enough for a little sleet and or freezing rain over portions of interior southern NH and northeastern to north central MA Saturday night before the temperature warms sufficiently for just plain rain. This will taper off on Sunday as low pressure moves offshore and away from the region. Consolidation of the elongated low and intensification of it will pull colder and drier air into the region with more wind later Sunday into Monday. A few snow showers may occur later Sunday in response to the intensifying low pressure area heading through Atlantic Canada and some lingering instability over our area. Fair and seasonably chilly weather dominates our region early next week.

TODAY: Fog patches and icy spots on untreated surfaces early this morning, otherwise sunshine and patchy clouds, followed by clouds increasing later. Late-day rain showers west of I-95 belt. Highs 42-49. Wind variable under 10 MPH early, then S increasing to 5-15 MPH, higher gusts late-day.

TONIGHT: Lots of clouds with scattered rain showers followed by patchy fog during the evening hours. Clearing overnight with icy patches on untreated surfaces. Lows 30-37. Wind shifting to N and diminishing to under 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Sunshine followed by increasing clouds. Rain arrives southwest to northeast by late-day. Highs 38-45. Wind N up to 10 MPH inland, E up to 10 MPH coast except SE 5-15 MPH Cape Cod.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain likely but may be mixed with sleet interior northern MA and southern NH evening. Patchy fog. Lows 31-38 evening, then rising slowly. Wind E up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Cloudy early with a chance of rain until mid morning. Clouds break late morning leading to a sun/cloud mix afternoon and a chance of a late-day mix/snow shower. Highs 40-47 in the morning, falling into the 30s afternoon. Wind variable 5-15 MPH shifting to W increasing to 15-25 MPH with higher gusts during the afternoon.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 20-27. Wind W 15-25 MPH, gusts 30-45 MPH, strongest in higher elevations.

MONDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 33-40. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 19-26. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 35-42. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JANUARY 14-18)

Trough in the east trends the region colder. Indications are for a storm track mostly offshore but will keep an eye on it.

DAYS 11-15 (JANUARY 19-23)

Maybe a better shot at a more significant winter storm around mid period, but too early to be confident. Overall pattern does favor colder weather.

100 thoughts on “Friday January 9 2026 Forecast (6:49AM)”

  1. Good morning and thank you TK

    28 here, low 26

    Ocean: 42

    Wordle: fail
    My head just wasn’t in it today. I could even feel it.

    Reply

    1. I’m having trouble concentrating too. Got in 5 but For my fourth guess I put a letter where I knew it didn’t go.

      Reply

  3. Thanks, TK. Any predictions of when the rain will arrive around Fenway Park tomorrow? My son and I will be at Fenway Fest all day which is primarily indoors with a lot of transitions between activities being outdoors. Trying to decide on boots vs. sneakers.

    Reply

    1. There was freezing fog last night.

      It is 30 here. If it is still below freezing where you are, then certainly possible.

      Reply

    1. Good job. I was totally out of it today. Just was not into it at all.
      That’ll teach me NOT to try until I am fully awake and have eaten!!!!! No more trying at 6:30 AM when I have just stumbled out of bed and NOT awake!!!!

      Reply

    2. So far you are our conductor. Very nice 4

      I noticed my car windows are frozen but other two cars are not. Odd. But in direct sun, it’ll be gone by the time I head out.

      Reply

  9. Thanks TK.

    Sunny this AM here but all the tree branches and bushes were shimmering with ice and the DPW trucks had salted the Town roads. Was definitely some freezing fog here last night. And we still have 75-100% snow cover.

    Reply

  11. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=500wh&rh=2026010900&fh=186

    So, I’m not at all going to focus on the surface features at this time, but rather the 500 mb flow.

    Ridge west coast, rather broad trof central and eastern US

    Ok, are there are other models giving signals for this general pattern?

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=500wh&rh=2026010900&fh=186

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=500wh&rh=2026010900&fh=186

    Euro has essentially the same look and the GDPS sort of does.

    I think, IF this 500 mb flow verifies, it’s a pattern that can increase the opportunity for east coast storminess mixed with cold air.

    And not necessarily a frontal boundary wave or a modest low pressure, but maybe even something bigger that we haven’t seen the last few winters.

    As always, we’ll be watching 🙂

    Reply

  12. Jeff Berardelli
    @WeatherProf
    16h

    BIG pattern change to #cold starts later next week. Models unanimously advertising a steep jet stream dive into the Deep South, combined with a strong West Coast warm ridge. This should drive shots of progressively colder Canadian air southward in the US East starting next Thursday. The depth and sharpness of the jet dive should also allow for the best #snow storm potentials of the season along the Eastern Seaboard, with a few chances “after” the Thursday front. Whether they materialize into anything substantial or not is another story. Nor’easter? We’ll see.
    In the meantime the #Gulf Coast and #florida may have some of the coldest air of the season in the week proceeding Thursday’s front.

    https://x.com/WeatherProf/status/2009414798845387160?s=20

    Reply

    1. We’re in that long 1300 or 1400 day streak in Boston without a 6+ inch snowfall.

      Nothing scientific here ….. I bet when that next one comes, it’s not going to be 6.1, it’s going to be like, 28.7

      And I point to the Red Sox in 2004 for ending the drought, during which they finally beat the Yankees in the post season. Did they beat then 4-2, no, to end that drought, they go down 0-3 and win the last 4.

      So, when that snowfall streak ends, it probably will do so spectacularly!

      Reply

    1. Too bad it is the GFS!!!!

      I will say one thing, these systems are showing up in all of the models. Here one day, gone the next, so certainly a period to watch.

      BUT, I’ll believe any of these when I see it verifying for real. 🙂 🙂

      Reply

      1. Actually, statistics say you’re incorrect.

        You’re also doing an apple to orange comparison which due to climatology fails immediately.

        Also, for about the 485th time, there is nothing about that 3 day period that makes it more likely to produce snow in Boston than any 3 day period from mid January to mid February.

        Reply

    1. We know what the last 4 letters are/were. Are there six valid words for that? Just looked it up and found 15 valid words that end in those last 4 letters! WOW!!!

      I guess on can label that FUN WITH WORDLE!!

      Reply

  22. Where have we seen this before? Posts about the long term . And speaking of, long range model forecasts rarely verify. I’ll get excited if short term models latch on. 1-2 was from now.

    Reply

    2. All. Over. Social. Media.

      I don’t mind posts about long term, but why do some of these pages want to subject themselves to the feedback they get when more often than not the “what if’s”, which are often taken as “it’s a lock” fail to materialize in the most dramatic sense?

      I love talking about potential patterns and their impacts, but there’s a way to do it without making it have this result.

      Yes, your audience should have enough common sense to know all the basics, but sometimes the posters are not helping the matter. And I don’t mind catering to an audience that may not grasp the impacts of patterns and sensible weather they produce. Not everybody is born to understand and retain it all. But for goodness sakes, don’t make it harder for them!

      Thanks for the rant platform. I didn’t really intend to do that. It just sorta happened. 😉

      Reply

      1. Long term discussions should focus largely around large scale, longer term indices and their interactions, and the resultant tendencies for the upper air patterns. From that we can start to get ideas about what might happen down where we live, in a very general sense, regarding temperature and precipitation.

        That’s all the science is really capable of.

        The other day, I saw someone posting and hyping up individual storms and rain/snow lines on the CFS model. The CFS surface forecast, you know the one that goes out to 768 hours. They were hyping storms that were simulated by a single model run beyond 400 hours, 500 hours, 700 hours. And people were reacting like this was a 100% locked in forecast. The return of the winter of 2014-2015. And when that doesn’t come to pass, you know who gets the blame? Me. SAK. JMA. WxWatcher. Pete Bouchard. Any of us that actually do or have done this professionally. We get blamed.

        Reply

        1. Yikes ! CFS, really ….. wow.

          The good news is there are plenty of us who know all in the met profession do a great job.

          Reply

  24. 12z glance. Result: No changes with the exception of the potential for it to stay cloudy longer on Sunday than I indicate above. I might have been too optimistic with the breaks in the clouds by a few hours. I’ll keep an eye on that.

    Reply

  25. The Rams, the 49ers, and the Texans will get road wins this weekend. The home teams will win all the other games. Those are my NFL predictions for “week 19” better known as “Wildcard Weekend”.

    Reply

  26. Today is the day where Civil Twilight goes just past 5PM. Actually Civil Twilight runs from 6:42 AM to 5:01 PM today.

    Nautical Twilight ends at 5:36 PM.
    Astronomical Twilight ends at 6:10 PM.

    While I have understood the definitions for a very long time, I am not sure I have always understood the significance of all of these.

    I think I’ll add one : BBQ Twilight. This is one where I fully get the significance!

    Reply

        1. In the case of my co-worker, her, but her husband grills whatever she decides they are having. 🙂

          Reply

  27. That our climate is different from Northwestern Europe is a given. We all knew that. But just how different is illustrated by the weather the past week or so in The Netherlands as well as the coming week.

    It has snowed every day for 7 straight days in Holland. Parts of the northern provinces have had significant snowfall (at least relatively speaking) with as much as 18 inches over the past week in aggregate. Coastal cities or those near the coast have seen an aggregate of perhaps 8 to 10 inches over this period: Rather constant light snow with sleet and freezing rain mixed in. This continues through tomorrow with Sunday being the one day the sun will shine and then a flip to a thaw and normal temperatures return but with … you probably guessed it, light rain every day next week with occasional glimpses of the sun.

    It’s hard to describe this to someone who’s never experienced it: Daily precipitation for weeks on end. Not heavy. And certainly some breaks with cameo appearances of the sun. But precious little sun overall.

    Reply

    1. Very different. I dealt with this daily for years from a forecasting perspective, as the entirety of Europe was part of my forecasting area for agriculture and energy, as well as shipping (port forecasts).

      Reply

    2. 15-25 sustained … and the gusts can exceed 30 MPH but it’s unlikely they will reach 45 or greater.

      The wind is potentially a factor, but would be equally so for both teams in terms of the kicking game.

      Reply

  30. For fans of Alanis Morissette: She is the headliner on day 1 of the two-day Levitate Music Festival at the Marshfield Fairgrounds. She will be performing on July 18, preceded by Ziggy Marley and several other acts.

    Reply

      1. I’d offer a gathering place at my house, but I can’t remember the last time we were home in mid July. My wife has us somewhere with the camper 🙂 🙂 🙂

        Reply

  32. Wind is going to be a HUGE factor in Sunday’s game. The game “could” be won or lost just on the coin toss alone.

    May the wind be at the Patriots back!

    Reply

    2. Since the teams switch ends it will be even. Also, it’ll be more of a cross wind than anything else.

      Wind will not favor or disfavor either team.

      Also, I’d hold back from saying “huge” factor. “Significant” factor, at times. It’ll be gusty, but not continuously roaring. It’s just going to be a windy winter night.

      Reply

    1. There was a nice little mild shot this evening – even more so than I imagined. It’s good news though because it helped eliminate a lot of the lingering icy patches! Now the ground can dry out better too before it drops below freezing and only some existing puddles will end up frozen back over. 🙂

      Reply

      1. That’s exactly what JR said tonight. Great minds think alike. Amazing how you two are always on the same page most nights. 😉

        Reply

    1. That will be the run that gets posted (and shouldn’t be).

      I’m curious what makes you believe that wind specifically favors the Patriots defense.

      Reply

  35. Taking a look at 00z stuff …

    Same deal. Our snow chances here in SNE go up around January 20.

    The January 14-15, 15-16 (whatever they’re calling it right now) hype posts based on whatever run shows what the poster wants carry little merit and are a result of not actually analyzing things properly.

    Need a bit more time (and a bit more help from some indices) before things line up better.

    Reply

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