DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 27-31)
A cold front has passed through most of the region and is moving offshore early this morning, taking the nighttime’s rainfall with it. Today will be a day of declining temperature and lingering cloudiness, with an eventual clearing trend developing. Colder air will continue to filter into the region and tonight / Saturday will be quite chilly for late March. We may see a few snow showers around on Saturday, especially first thing in the morning to the south and late in the day from west to east, in response to upper level low pressure crossing the region. While Sunday is a cool day, it does recover a little and we lose most of the wind we have Saturday, but clouds will make a come-back as warmer air starts arriving from the south and west. A warm front will cross the region at some point Monday, followed by a cold front by early Tuesday, parented by low pressure passing to our north. This will continue the variable temperature pattern, which is currently dominated by the cooler side of normal, and that is how will we wrap up the month of March early next week.
TODAY: Any early rain ends South Coast, clouds linger and gradually give way to more sun west to east. Highs 48-55 early, then falling through the 40s. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusts around 20 MPH.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 26-33. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusts around 20 MPH.
SATURDAY: Lots of clouds / intervals of sun. A possible snow flurry. Highs 36-43. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 22-29. Wind NW to W 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Sunshine gives way to clouds. Highs 43-50. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 35-42 evening, but may rise slightly overnight. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Variably cloudy. A rain shower possible. Highs 52-59, cooler South Coast. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Rain showers possible. Lows 42-49. Wind SW 5-15 MPH shifting to N.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. A rain shower possible. Temperatures steady in the 40s. Wind N to NE 5-15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 1-5)
A couple of brief warmer spikes can occur during a time I expect our region to be on the colder side of a boundary. The greatest chance of unsettled weather is April 3 and later April 4 or 5, the first with a low pressure wave moving along the boundary, the second with a frontal system from the west. Timing and details remain uncertain.
DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 6-10)
Still expecting a continuation of the battle-zone pattern through this period as well with some unsettled episodes and temperature swings, typical of a New England spring.
Lol snow in early fall in the Australian alps. Hotham ski resort got a handful of inches. They are hoping for a similar year to last season
Good luck to them !
West coast of the continent taking/taken a pounding from that tropical cyclone.
Nice, Matt. Hope you are well!
Thank you, TK.
Thanks TK !
Wordle: fail, racking up a few of those lately.
After seeing the word with what I had, I thought, obviously, yet, in-game, I would not have thought of it in a million years.
Tomorrow !! 🙂
Great outlook. And yes… tomorrow!!
Sorry Tom. Almost joined you. Saw a it last second for a phew 6
Thanks !
I’m running aside the train, Clark Kent style, I refuse to be left behind 🙂
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9j0VkVeQ7w0
Exactly 🙂
Good morni g and thank you TK
47 here down from 53 at 609
Ocean: 40.
Wordle: 6
Thank you TK. As you said. We are reversing. We are down to 48 from our early morning 52.
0.01 in the bucket
Thank you all. It was what I call midnight magic. Finally. One letter in correct spot with guess one. Second letter not in correct spot for two and word popped into my head.
Oops. This comment in the wrong place. Sorry
Wordle 3.
Wow, Vicki, superb !!
Very good!!!!
I’m so happy for you Vicki!
The same result for me. My first guess gave me the correct first letter, which was a huge help.
Nice SClarke.
My 1st guess gave me NOTHING!!! except 5 letters NOT in the word!
I was hopelessly LOST and READY to totally give up and enter any ole dumb word to end my misery and then I saw the light!!! 6th guess, but felt good to get it.
Excellent that you got it, JPD!!!
Thank you.
Yay, awesome, SClarke
TK, at the top of the discussion you mentioned snow showers for tomorrow, while below in the daily discussion you mentioned snow flurries. Which do you expect?
For kicks, I googled the difference:
AI Overview
The primary difference between a
snow flurry and a snow shower is intensity and accumulation. Snow flurries are light, intermittent, short-lived snowfalls that produce little to no accumulation. Snow showers are more intense, “quick-hitting” bursts of snow that can rapidly reduce visibility and cause accumulation, often arriving and ending suddenly.
Snow Flurries
Intensity: Light, gentle, intermittent snow.
Accumulation: Generally none, or a light dusting.
Duration: Very short-lived.
Visibility: Mostly clear, despite falling flakes.
Snow Showers
Intensity: Light, moderate, or heavy, similar to a rain shower.
Accumulation: Can lead to quick coating or significant amounts, especially on roads.
Duration: Quick-hitting, usually lasting 30–60 minutes, with a sudden start and stop.
Visibility: Can be significantly reduced suddenly.
Key Differences Summary
Intensity: Flurries are weak; showers can be moderate to heavy.
Impact: Flurries are mostly visual, while showers can disrupt travel.
Occurrence: Both can occur with sunshine in between or during cloudy weather, says this Facebook post.
Context: Flurries are like “light flurries” of activity, while a shower is a defined, temporary, falling event
This is pretty much HOW I distinguish a snow flurry from a snow shower.
Curious and thanks
That’s fun. I never would have noticed or understood there is a difference. Thank you
Thanks, TK!
47 degrees with 0.05″ in the rain gauge!
Wordle 3. Had 2, one in right place after 2 but it just came to me
Outstanding!!!!
Wow. EXACTLY what happened with me. Weren’t we on same wave length yesterday.
Awesome, TJammer.
Not a spoiler. https://ibb.co/2r60kBC
I was taking a photo of the cardinal sitting in the tree patiently waiting for me to fill the feeders. And look what else I saw. Right on time with last year
https://ibb.co/nN7dMyzj
I see the beautiful cardinal,, but I don’t see anything else.
Even enlarged and examined. Nothing else. What am I missing?
I also looked carefully for perhaps a humming bird. Nope.
Likewise, exactly.
I found Waldo! 🙂
https://ibb.co/d0V0tbYN
LOL
he he he
That is NOT on my link to the photo. How did you get it in there? some fancy photo shop work????
I just asked ChatGPT to do it. After the first try it offered to adjust the difficulty of spotting him.
We live in interesting times…
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=sfct-imp&rh=2026032706&fh=37&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=sfctd-imp&rh=2026032706&fh=37&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=sim_ir&rh=2026032706&fh=37&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
36F tomorrow, mid afternoon with a dp of 4F and a lot of instability cloudiness.
Yup, typical SPRING in SNE!!!!
Thanks TK
Down to 44 here. Getting to be a chilly day.
Thank you TK!
Wordle: 3
Superb, Sue !
WoW!!! Well done!
Another 3 – well done!!
Updated Seasonal Snowfalls totals date: ❄️
ORH 79.2”
BOS 62.8”
Boston current sun angle and temp at 11:50 am:
48.5 degrees above the horizon, temp: 43F
Orlando current sun angle and temp at 11:50 am:
55.3 degrees above the horizon, temp: 78F
Yesterday a TV met said the drought had worsened over the past week. Here is a side-by-side comparison of drought maps for 3/17 on the right and 3/24 on the left.
https://imgur.com/8XvlecC
Whoever it was, WAS MISTAKEN!!! I want to say more, but that’s enough.
Did they specify a region? MA improved. New England improved. The entire US got worse.
The TV met was talking about MA.
Howdy JP Dave … I don’t often use both of those terms “flurries” and “snow showers” interchangeably. I have seen unofficial definitions stating that the original intent of a “flurry” was to indicate a fast (or wind-driven) snow shower, the type we likely refer to as a “snow squall”. But modern interpretations tend to use them to mean very light, short-lived snow episodes. I tend to think of them more as the latter, which is still pretty much the same as a light snow shower – technically convective in nature if you want to go by the strict definition of “shower” in the meteorological sense. But even with that, there’s a grey area and the clear definitions are not always stuck to. This is pretty widespread across the meteorological community. Sometimes the phrasing is not 100% correct yet the same message is still adequately conveyed.
Call me old school, but I do think there is a distinct difference.
There may be a grey area where it could go either way, but
When you said snow showers, I envisioned occasional bursts of snow that would look pretty decent for awhile (But fall short of a Squall which is more intense) . When you said Flurries, I envisioned some light to very light snow drifting down (with more distance between flakes than in a snow shower), often with the sun shining among the clouds causing the snow.
Honestly, I really think the terms denote a different kind of snow experience. To each his own. 🙂
TK’s updated afternoon weather thoughts for the time ahead. Let’s see how far I want to venture on this one.. hah!
Remainder of today: Clearing trend is underway as described above. Depending on where you are in relation to the cloud edge at sunset, you can see some pretty impressive color. Right now I am thinking far eastern MA, especially southeastern MA and RI into eastern and central CT for the best color.
Tonight / Saturday: The chill is on! Whether we wanna call them flurries or snow showers, a few places may see flakes tomorrow, but it won’t amount to anything more than just some flakes in the air. The real story will be chilly wind, with temps in the 30s that feel more like 20s, especially when the sun is not shining.
Sunday: Very cold morning, more tranquil day as clouds become filtered by high clouds in response to warming aloft.
March 30 & 31: Monday warm front, Tuesday cold front. Temp swing is a little unpredictable as some guidance indicates a slower warm front that doesn’t quite make it through, and other guidance shows a warmer solution. Either way, back some the cooler side at least briefly to end the month on its final day.
April 1-5: The battle zone resides here. Lean cool over warm. Lean unsettled.
I believe that CPC has fallen into the trap of paying too much attention to the upper air pattern and not enough to the surface pattern when they made their 6-10 & 8-14 day outlooks which are, IMO, too warm for our region.
Leaning cool on the whole well into April here.
just some flakes in the air connotates flurries to me.
I would NEVER call that a snow shower. 🙂 🙂
I could tell the difference since I was a kid.
TK – For April 1-5: With regard to the battle zone, is snow possible for some of our area?
In other words: Don’t put away the shovels just yet? 😉
I don’t see any strong indications of accumulating snow in the WHW forecast area, but on March 27, I wouldn’t rule it out either. Most spring snow events are not seen that far in advance.
Thanks, TK.
My wishful thinking 150-180 day outlook (model is still in experimental mode) calls for below normal temperatures and normal precipitation.
Update on my post of the cardinal in the tree earlier. I think you need to look very closely at the front right. The red buds on the tree
https://ibb.co/nN7dMyzj
I love those. I had one that seemed to be hopping along with my steps and chirping away at me once .. I got some great pics of it, like it wanted to be photographed. 🙂
Still do NOT see anything
I zoomed in.
See the red buds
https://ibb.co/KxN8FNgb
Sure. I see the red buds. Was looking for some sort of animal or bird.
Wordle: 3
I always hate the ebb and flow of kind of warm to cold during this month and next but I just know I’ll be complaining about hot weather soon enough!