DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 11-15)
Changeable April weather is in the cards over the next few days. This includes some breezy and cool weather today behind a cold front that passed through our region overnight with some showers. Next up is a more tranquil Sunday with high pressure overhead, but this will promote the development of a sea breeze rather quickly – by late morning- ensuring the coastal areas do not warm as much as the interior. We’ll also see clouds moving in after a sunny start, due to the approach of a warm front from the southwest. This will bring us a couple periods of rain Sunday night, but introduce warmer air for Monday, despite a lot of clouds being around and the chance of an additional shower as a weak cold front approaches. A southwesterly wind on Monday brings ocean-cooled air to the South Coast and Cape Cod, so readings that day will not be as high as they are the further north and northwest you travel. The aforementioned cold front never does quite make it through the region, pushed back to the north by a building ridge of high pressure to the southwest of New England. This will allow much of the region to be quite warm on Tuesday, this time without a shower threat and with more sunshine. The question after that is: Do we keep this weather for Wednesday, or does a back-door cold front spoil the party for parts of our region? I’m always on the look-out for high pressure in eastern Canada in springtime, as it always raises the threat that a forecast warm-up may not quite pan out as depicted at first. High pressure in eastern Canada is often under-forecast by guidance, and the boundaries that separate the air with them, chilled by lingering snow-cover in eastern Canada, aided by a trip across the chilly ocean water of the Gulf of Maine tend to be pushed further south and west than the models will initially indicate. I cannot rule out the potential for this happening as early as Wednesday, so when we get to “day 5”, you’ll see it reflected in the temperature and wind forecast, and refined as needed, hopefully with more confidence, as we go forward.
TODAY: Sun / cloud mix to start, then more dominant sun. Highs 54-61. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, gusts 25-35 MPH.
TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 31-38. Wind NW diminishing to under 10 MPH, becoming variable.
SUNDAY: Sunny start, then increasing clouds. Highs 52-59 coast, 59-66 inland. Wind variable under 10 MPH but developing onshore wind in coastal areas up to 15 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows 45-52. Wind SE to S up to 10 MPH.
MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. A shower possible. Highs 48-55 Nantucket / Martha’s Vineyard, 55-62 South Coast, 63-70 most other areas except 66-73 interior valleys. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
MONDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 48-55. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 55-62 South Coast, 62-69 MA South Shore and Cape Ann, 70-77 elsewhere. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 48-55. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 55-62 South Coast, 62-69 MA South Shore and Cape Ann, 70-77 elsewhere, but may turn sharply cooler at least NH Seacoast and eastern MA before end of day. Wind SW 5-15 MPH may shift to NE and E at least NH Seacoast and eastern MA before end of day.
DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 16-20)
Keeping the previous idea for this period while continuing to watch high pressure in eastern Canada with cool air, while much warmer air sits nearby just to the west and south and we have a typical springtime battle. The leaning is toward the cooler air early in the period, then the warmer air again after, but with very low confidence in how it plays out day-to-day. Check updates as I monitor trends.
DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 21-25)
Dry pattern to start may shift wetter later in the period. Variable temperatures but with a cooler trend indicated.
Good morning and thank you TK.
53 here after low of 50
Ocean: 41
WORDLE: 5
Pete had 6 days of 70+ with one day 80. At the same time he mentioned possible sea breezes.
No Way in mid-April do we see 5 or 6 consecutive days in the 70s. Just doesn’t happen around here. Would be nice, but I don’t think so. Will be interesting to see how it plays out.
FWIW, the ECMWF-AI guidance has only one day that reaches 70 in Boston (Tuesday) next week.
At least a couple others have 70s mid week. One has three 70s with a 69 on either side of those. I won’t name them this time cause …..well, I suspect you know why. Either way they either see something or corporate is influencing them
Thanks TK
Thanks, TK
Wordle 4
Yesterday I had the three middle letters correctly thru guess 4. For guesses 5 and 6 I ended up adding letters to spots 1 and 5 till something was accepted. I would not have gotten it otherwise as I have never heard the word.
As odd as the word was, my guess 5 was odder and nyt accepted it as a word
KAROO
That’s a funny-looking word you hit on yesterday! It’s almost “kazoo.”
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Karoo
I got Wordle in 4 today too.
It sure is. And you are right.
Yay for your 4.
With your baseball i nterest you never heard yesterday’s word? Like amnouncer saying the left fielder played the Carom off of the left filed wall and threw into 2nd base.
Never. But remember my baseball interest is pretty much limited to the 50s and 60s when I was quite young.
I’m familiar with “carom” mostly from playing pool. I just found that it’s also a type of edible seed:
https://www.healthline.com/nutrition/carom-seeds
Interesting. A friend told me the same re pool.
Thanks TK !
Wordle: 2
First guess was really productive.
Boy howdy!!
Awesome 2, Tom!!!
Wow!!! Outstanding!!!
Wordle 4
Well done. Welcome to the 4 car.
52F. Thinking the over / under will be 57F.
Walked the shore and the northwesterlies were evident.
Thanks, TK.
The Red Sox’ juggernaut offense has managed 1 homerun in a week and 2 extra-base hits in the last 3 games.
Their pitching is reasonable, to be sure. It will keep them in games. But the hitting is anemic. Warmer weather may help the offense as the ball carries better. But that applies to all teams.
I’m still baffled as to why they didn’t sign at least 1 big bat. They have the money. And with the highest ticket prices in baseball – which make it unaffordable for diehard fans like me to attend – they kind of owe it to us.
I think this ownership has achieved great things: 4 WS championships between 2004 and 2018 and a frequently competitive team, at least during their early tenure. But it’s apparent in the past 8 years that the mindset has changed. It’s mostly a mid-market mindset, which is fine if you’re a mid-market team. But the Boston Red Sox are not that. Perhaps ownership’s other priorities – teams and ventures besides the Red Sox – have intervened. I don’t know. What I do know is that it’s hard to fathom for someone who deeply cares about the team.
The ownership of sports franchises has an effect on the team. Some want to win while at the same time watching the bottom line … perhaps Robert Kraft. Others are only interested in franchise profits and valuations … Donald Sterling who was a previous owner of the LA Clippers and eventually booted from the NBA in 2014 for racist recordings. There are others on either side today.
The Red sox owners do spend $$ for talent but stay under the luxury tax threshold. They are not believers in win at any cost and they are not likely to hand out fancy long term contracts. They have looked for younger farm team talent more often. Fans are frustrated somewhat and “sell the team” chants have been heard at games. If they have a poor year, the pressure will mount and there will be other problems.
They’ll be ok. Everybody wrote them off as a nothing team by mid April last year too.
No, they didn’t win the W.S., but they were also not a nothing team. 🙂
They’ll be ok…
The Sox are far from a nothing team but there have been culture changes in the front office going back 5-6 years. Changes take time to work into the fabric of the organization and fans can be impatient.
This article discusses surprising observations by the Artemis II crew:
https://phys.org/news/2026-04-pinprick-artemis-crew-witnesses-meteorite.html
This seems a little understated!:
The observations raise questions and show that the “daily flux of meteors should be monitored more closely in the future before a lunar base is established,” said Peter Schultz, Professor Emeritus of Geological Sciences at Brown University.
Thank you!
Thanks, TK!
In the coming couple of days, we will now see once again why I am always hesitant to forecast long warm-ups that include the New England coast in April, NO MATTER WHAT the models say more than a few days into the future.
The corrections are already starting, and they are far from finished, in my meteorological opinion.
🙂 🙂 🙂
Do the TV Mets fall for the models hook line and sinker OR
Are they forced into something they REALLY do NOT want to do?
I don’t think we are getting the full and accurate forecast on TV anymore!!!!
They are forced to do exactly what TK doesn’t do. But we know that. It’s why I react strongly to faulting them (not applied to anyone here). Heaven knows that even when right, the masses think they are wrong. I have far too much respect for our Mets to feed them.
Well, it’s getting to the point that the TV mets aren’t even worth watching!!!!
No, the vast majority of our meteorologists in this market are well-aware of model shortcomings. Obviously, some lesser experienced ones may learn some lessons the hard way (but we all did – and still do).
It may be in some cases even an experienced forecaster feels legitimately that scenario #1 is the more likely when climatology of the region strongly supports scenario #2. As I always say, you make your prediction based on your interpretation of the tools available to you, and the art form side of prediction mixes with the scientific side, which is dominant, but not always enough to overcome certain interpretations of how things may play out.
And then yes, there is pressure from above (“the boss”). I’ve heard enough from professionals I know, both still in the market and retired, that I know this to be the case. Again this is why you’d never catch me working for one of those outlets. I’d be let go quickly for fighting the scripts and narratives. 😉
So, when I disagree with whatever one of my colleagues says, it’s with due respect and knowledge of the various reasons our forecast may not agree.
After that, time always tells which prognostication turns out more accurate. By then, it’s onto the next challenge.
Thanks TK.
Sunny and 53F here in Coventry as of now. NWS and the local news outlets here in CT going with low 80s for interior CT Tuesday through Thursday next week.
Nerve wracking watching the splashdown last night but relieved to see it was executed flawlessly and the astronauts seemed to be walking pretty well getting out of the capsule all things considered.
I actually went to college at RPI with Reid Weisman and was in a couple classes with him. He was class of 97 and I was 98. My roommate was good friends with him, they played racketball regularly, and he went to his wedding, retirement party, etc. Still keeps in contact with him. He was a big ROTC guy in school. Some really good marketing there for RPI having an alum accomplish such incredible feats!
Went fishing this morning. It was mostly a disappointment, even had my line tangle like crazy, ending up wrapped in the gears underneath the spinning spool. Gotta love that crap!!!
And for NO GOOD reason!!! It just happened????
Caught some yellow perch and blue gills and a couple of white perch, one of which was the largest I have ever caught at about 13 inches.
Basically a CRAP day of fishing. Not even any wildlife to view.
I heard some birds, but I couldn’t locate them.
Glad you got out. It’ll get better. Do you take Merlin on your phone so you can identify the birds
No Merlin.
B’s 0-0 after the 1st.
58.4 here. Light but steady breeze
B’s 1-0.
If they win, they’re in!
58 here. Does it make 60? I think not, but we shall see.
Same!
B’s Ugh!!
TB was pissy after losing to Montreal. 😉
Thank you TK!
Wordle: 4
If I were a betting man I would probably win with a back door front as far southwest as the Providence area.
62.2. Finally put kestrels out. They are 0.2 different which isn’t bad.
This was our high
Ssk, you continue to be in my thoughts and prayers.
59 here. I think that should just about do it for today.
Pretty much in the expected range.
I’m thoroughly enjoying the Masters. Heading to daughters soon for wings and more masters. Drives me crazy when Announcers critique. I remember Mac turning sound off more than once.
Agree about announcers.