Labor Day Weekend Underway! What’s It Gonna Beeeee?

14 Comments

It’s gonna beeeeeeeeeeee a really nice Labor Day Weekend for 2/3 of it (Saturday & Sunday), and so-so for the final day (Monday).

7:23PM

All that I spoke of in the last blog holds true… High pressure offshore pumps warmer and more humid air into the region as a cold front slowly edges its way toward the region, but probably takes until Monday to bring any threat of showers and storms to Metro Boston. There may be some isolated activity the other days well to the west and north of the city.

Looking into next week… The front that arrives Monday may be slow to leave Tuesday, which may end up showery. Hopefully the front pushes far enough offshore for a drier, cooler Wednesday, but I’m just not sure of this yet.

Tropical Topics… Hurricane Katia will be moving west to west northwest over the open waters of the Atlantic with an eventual path north of the Caribbean and south of Bermuda. The very early feeling is that Katia will never have a major impact on the US Mainland, other than some large ocean swells and possible rough surf toward the end of next week. This is by no means an all-clear on any East Coast threat as it is FAR too early to be certain of her eventual path. I do think that in the short term it is a lock that Tropical Storm Lee in the Gulf of Mexico is going to have a far greater impact on the US, as it is expected to bring tremendous rainfall amounts over the next few days to Louisiana and Alabama (with major flooding likely, including in the New Orleans area, where 10 to 20 inches of rain may occur). Whether or not any of this moisture eventually makes its way to New England remains to be seen.

The latest Boston Area Forecast…

TONIGHT: Clear start then areas of low clouds forming. Cool. Low 54-59. Wind light SE.

SATURDAY: Any low clouds dissipating by mid morning, mostly sunny late morning, then partly cloudy in the afternoon. Warmer and more humid. High 80-85 except 75-80 coast. Wind SW 5-15 MPH but a sea breeze still possible near the coast.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Mild and muggy. Low 62-67. Wind light SW.

SUNDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. Warm and humid. High 82-87. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Mild and muggy. Low 63-68. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Warm and humid. High 77-82. Wind SW 10-20 MPH shifting to S.

TUESDAY: Chance of showers. Low 62. High 72.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Low 55. High 70.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Low 58. High 72.

FRIDAY: Chance of showers. Low 58. High 68.

14 thoughts on “Labor Day Weekend Underway! What’s It Gonna Beeeee?”

  1. Thanks for the update TK. It certainly feels like were getting close to the peak of the hurricane season tracking two systems out there. To me August 20th- October 20th is the meat of the hurricane season.
    Thunderstorm Index Monday a 1 since I don’t expect severe weather.

    1. With a climatological peak of September 10, you’re pretty much right on about the meat of the season.

      I remember at one point during my career tracking 12 tropical cyclones worldwide at the same time. If I remember correctly, there were 10 active cyclones in the northern Hemisphere (Atlantic, Pacific, Indian Ocean north of equator) and 2 more in the southern hemisphere.

      Monday would be an interesting day if we were going to have it slightly colder aloft and a little more sun than I expect. I agree with your 1 at this time.

  2. TK I always wanted to ask what your thoughts are of The Farmers’ Almanac that I often joke about on this blog and are they on to something for this winter calling for above normal temperatures with wet and stormy conditions and a lot of mix rain events until February when there could be some potent east coast storms.

    1. I have not found their long range forecasts to be much to write home about. Been loosely verifying them year to year. I have a copy of pretty much every one going back to the early 1970s. When they hit some and miss some you pretty much have to figure it’s just a coin flip. I think they are attempting to use a little more science in their methods which may add some accuracy, but I think the jury’s out.

      I love The OFA for all the other information and articles though. Have to get my copy for 2012 soon!

    1. Right now I’m optimistic for lots of clouds but dry weather and fairly mild temperatures. Should be between weather systems which I would guess bring the best chances of wet weather on Tuesday & Friday of next week.

  4. When Katia gets to 70N and around 30E it might begin to travel nnw for a short while before going n and then ne, very interesting to say the least

  5. New Orleans has an east wind at 21 knots, gusting to 41….. Pressure in Lee down to 995mb….

    Beach day today once the sun warms things up a bit. SE Mass got chilly last night. Currently 54F in Taunton, but 55F on top of Mt Washington…

    Have a good day all.

    1. If Barry’s timing is right, you may even have the option of Monday for the BBQ, but gut feeling tells me Sunday is safer.

      Current feeling for Katia, recurving and passing just west of the half way point between Bermuda & Hatteras.

  7. Early this AM, Barry Burbank’s forecast showed some rain on Monday and very heavy rain on Tuesday. He also said westerly winds likely to carry Katia OTS.

  8. I still can’t rule out an impact to the east coast from Katia but I don’t think it is likely. I think rip currents and big waves will be the biggest threat from Kataia.

    1. Agreeing with this at this time. I’ll be at the coast a couple times next weekend, may get to see some big surf. One the days I’ll be near a sea wall. That could be interesting.

Comments are closed.