Tuesday Forecast

85 Comments

7:36AM

DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 25-29)
Low pressure tracks eastward across southeastern Canada today bringing a warm front / cold front combo through southeastern New England, producing cloudiness, showers, and possibly a few thunderstorms. There is not much dry air behind the cold front portion of this system, which will be weakening and washing out. A secondary trough will come through the region late Wednesday and early Thursday with a more remote risk of a shower or storm (these will be heavier to the west of southeastern New England late-day Wednesday). High pressure will eliminate the shower/storm threat later Thursday through Friday, but an upper level low dropping southeastward out of eastern Canada will drag a cold front southward across New England Saturday and return a chance of shower/storms to the region.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Clouding up. Episodes of showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms especially late-day. Highs 68-75. Wind SE 5-15 MPH shifting to S.
TONIGHT: Mostly to partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Chance of a shower or thunderstorm early. Humid. Lows 57-64. Wind light SW shifting to W.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Slight risk of a shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon. Humid. Highs 77-84. Wind light variable, coastal sea breezes.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Slight risk of a shower or thunderstorm. Humid. Lows 60-67. Wind light S.
THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Less humid. Highs 79-86. Wind light W.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 62-69. Wind light W.
FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 83-90. Wind W up to 10 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 60-67. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers/thunderstorms. Highs 81-88. Wind W 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 30-JULY 4)
Upper level low pressure will track southeastward across New England June 30 though its center will probably pass east of the region, and a westward extension of it will trigger some instability showers/thunderstorms of the scattered variety. Dry weather for much of the July 1-4 period but there may be a few additional showers/storms with a weaker upper low taking a similar track sometime July 3 based on current timing. Temperatures start out the period below normal then return to near normal.

DAYS 11-15 (JULY 5-9)
A general westerly flow, seasonably warm pattern with a couple opportunities for showers/thunderstorms, but dry weather most of the time.

85 thoughts on “Tuesday Forecast”

  5. Thank you Tk I’m keeping double fingers crossed for a dry Sunday . It’s muggy in the city & felt that way when I got here after 3am

    1. I asked yesterday and probably missed the answer. Won’t they play if it is just a shower?

      1. If it’s a shower for sure but the infield gets muddy quick so all depends on how much rain and when.

      1. Good morning and Thanks, TK…

        I just looked up the answer to that question, M. L., using the Local Data/Records on the NWS page. The answer is that Boston has recorded at least one 90 degree day since 1873. (There is no data listed for 1893 and 1894.)

        The latest “first” 90 degrees ever was August 6, 1906. The earliest first was April 7, 2010. The latest ever was October 12, 1954.
        The latest “first” recently was July 19, 2015.

  11. Not impressed by the “slug” of rain heading this way.
    It “appears” to be weakening greatly as it approaches AND
    it also “seems” to be splitting North and South. We shall see what it looks like
    when it gets to the Boston area. 🙂

    2. I’m hoping that trend continues! I’ll be heading into Boston later for the Red Sox tonight.

      1. You “should” be OK, even if it rains, should be done by game time.
        Emphasis on should. 🙂

  12. Last Sunday was the fourth anniversary of an EF0 tornado in Wrentham.

    I have shared this website here before, but I am going to share it again. It’s the Tornado History Project. Great work by Joshua Leitz. It’s about 18 months behind and here’s why:

    How often is the data updated?

    Short answer: The data is updated shortly after it is released by the Storm Prediction Center’s (SPC).
    Not quite as short answer: The SPC generally releases data in the Spring for the prior year. So, tornado data for 2018 will be released sometime around March or April 2019. After it is released, it will be checked and processed into a format suitable for this site.

    Here’s the information for Massachusetts:
    http://www.tornadohistoryproject.com/tornado/Massachusetts/map

    Connecticut: http://www.tornadohistoryproject.com/tornado/Connecticut/map

    New Hampshire: http://www.tornadohistoryproject.com/tornado/New-Hampshire/map

    Rhode Island: http://www.tornadohistoryproject.com/tornado/Rhode-Island/map

      1. Is my memory fuzzy? I don’t think so??? I just do not
        remember it being the path depicted by that site.

        1. Well here are the start and end coordinates:

          42.28 -071.23 / 42.35 -071.17 21

          And they match up with the map depicted above.

          So, I am/Was WRONG!! sorry about that.

          However I did see it.

          It did do damage where I thought, but it did not
          paralell Rt. 9 like I thought. My bad.

          It was cool seeing it though. 🙂

  13. Thanks TK !

    Greetings from eastern NY State, on our way out towards Williamsport, PA for 2 weeks of camping.

    We passed through that band of rain, off and on ….. then breaks of sun and now a torrential downpour.

    DP must be 70F or so, most soupy air we’ve felt this year, so far.

      1. Thanks everyone !

        Joshua, hoping to get over there to check it out.

        In the sun now near Scranton, PA

  14. I just realized that Christmas Day is exactly 6 months from today! I’m not going to try to determine how many shopping days left. 😉

    Hard to believe we are almost halfway through 2019 already.

    1. Do you remember when the daily newspapers would run the number of holiday shopping days left on their mastheads?

      1. I used to love to see that and the Globe Santa donations…I always loved looking at those. Also the Globe used to run a little weather cartoon on both their morning and evening editions…loved that too. Will have to check back and see when that ended but I think the late 60s.

        1. WJIB used to play 36 hours of Christmas music and the Globe used to print the complete list of each song/carol/hymn.

          1. It does…they just don’t list who has donated. Sometimes that list could take up 2 or 3 pages.

  15. Sorry for my double posting under Tom’s comment. My first attempt I got a “server hang up” message and it didn’t look like it posted.

  17. 75% chance youth baseball games get in.

    Sox will play.

    Summer feel coming!

    Very limited weekend rain.

  18. Tom have a nice trip. I want to get to Williamsport someday for the Little League World Series.

  19. I remember when the WBZ AM on air personalities would read “A Christmas Carol” on the evening of 12/24 then 24 hours of Christmas music – through the 1970’s anyway ….

    1. I remember when we got all excited when we heard the occasional Christmas song on the radio. I love that there are stations that play it nonstop. Occasional was never enough. It is of course up to an individual to choose what to listen to and what not to listen to. I like instrumental quieter Christmas music until after Thanksgiving and then traditional. I do remember the 24 hours on Christmas Day….I don’t recall the reading of the story. We have always read The Night Before Christmas to our children and now grandchildren on Christmas Eve.

      1. My issue with nonstop Christmas music these days is that it starts well before Thanksgiving if not Veterans Day. I’ve heard Christmas music when I haven’t finished raking leaves yet.

        That is overkill imo and ruins the holiday itself long before it arrives. At least wait until Thanksgiving weekend.

        1. I hear people say that. But I don’t understand why. It’s only a few stations. Why do you listen to it? That said, IMO nothing can ruin Christmas 😉

        2. I actually agree with both you AND Vicki. How is that? Well, I think maybe nonstop starting at Veterans Day is overkill to a point, but at the same time it’s generally a choice of whether or not to listen to it. I know it’s there and it doesn’t bother me a bit. Sometimes I’ll sneak a tune or 2 in that early. 😉 … I do get excited to start listening to it the day after Thanksgiving, mainly because it’s my tradition to do so. 🙂

          1. That is exactly how I feel. I don’t want to listen nonstop before thanksgiving. I keep mentioning instrumental because the new age type carols are also just beautiful music. As you said….listening is elective so it can’t spoil anything unless you elect to let it.

            Now if you would like to discuss the upcoming Christmas in July on hallmark 😉 😉

            1. Some radio stations in the past (including 105.7 WROR) will play Christmas music sometime in July and also call it Christmas in July…They call it stunting. Also if anyone has an HD radio then they can tune to 106.7 and select the second stream as Magic 106.7 plays Christmas 24/7 all year long.

              1. I like that option …and it is an option. Christmas in July shows up in many different ways. I never understood why it wasn’t June. By now I’m ready for a bit of Christmas. A teaser.

                The hallmark store in marshfield…jackansons maybe….that some of you are familiar with used to have a huge Christmas in July sale with all sorts of Christmas items. I loved going when it coincided with our trip to humarock

    1. Well, that would be interesting. We shall see. It’s only Tuesday and you know
      how things go around here. 🙂

      1. Just like when we see snow threats show up on the models days in advance we know that will change. Will see if the ingredients come together this weekend. So far SNE has been spared this year when it comes to severe weather.

    2. hmmmm – good thing that is days out or I’d be wondering whether we will have our Sutton Fourth of July celebration parade, activities, and fireworks.

      1. Treat it like a snowstorm threat that is out there in the future knowing it will change but still keep an eye on as we get closer.

        1. Agree 100%

          The gentleman who is instrumental in creation of the parade is a wise man. He mentioned yesterday that he’d seen the potential for Sunday. But he said he’s been haying for years and knows not to look out more than two days.

  23. At the moment seems like Eric Fisher is on the same page as Ryan does for the weekend
    Getting soupy out there with dews on the rise. Going to stay muggy for the rest of the week until it breaks with (possibly) some severe thunderstorms on Sunday.

    2. I still think they are both leaning too heavily on the new GFS. It’s showing some biases.

  25. Sitting here at my daughter’s softball game in Coventry CT in a steady mist with dense fog. Fog is getting so thick I can barely see the left fielder!

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