Thursday Forecast

86 Comments

7:26AM

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 5-9)
High pressure brings nice weather today. As we have been doing all week, it’s still watch time for interaction of the pair of low pressure areas destined for a collision off the East Coast coming from the Mid Atlantic and Great Lakes, but it still looks like this will happen far enough east to avoid everything but a glancing blow on Friday. The intensifying storm moving away, however, will help to create quite a bit of wind Friday night and Saturday, which will settle down somewhat and becoming a milder and eventually a warmer wind Sunday and Monday. In fact after a fairly cool Saturday, the temperature turn-around may be quite dramatic just under 48 hours later.
TODAY: Sunny. Highs 48-55. Wind W 5-15 MPH, diminishing further.
TONIGHT: Increasing clouds. Lows 35-42. Wind N under 10 MPH.
FRIDAY: Cloudy. Periods of rain possible in the afternoon. Highs 42-49. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Any rain changing to snow showers with minor snow accumulation possible. Lows 28-35. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 38-45. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 25-32. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
SUNDAY: Sunny. Highs 45-52. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 35-42. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 48-55 South Coast, 56-63 southeastern MA, 63-70 elsewhere. Wind W 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 10-14)
Back-door front brings a turn to much cooler weather early in the period. Will then have to watch low pressure areas from the west for possible impact late March 11 into March 12, and later March 13 into March 14. Timing and precipitation type uncertain but cannot rule out the possibility of at least some mix/snow this far in advance.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 15-19)
Going to lean a little more optimistically toward a trend to mainly fair weather during this period, but with low confidence at this time.

86 thoughts on “Thursday Forecast”

      1. Yes I did. pretty laughable. There is a reason that
        JMA and TK do not even look at that model. Makes one
        wonder why they even bother to run it????????????????

        I KNEW the GFS would go POOF! 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

    1. John,

      Did you see the report on channel 5 at 11PM regarding the tour company EF?
      The report seemed to cut those damn companies some slack.

      2. Not on 5 but 7 is talking a lot about it . We have made some calls today & I have been in discussions with ch7 ( they are very nice ) I did get the last payment on the trip back $300 that they took out on Tuesday .

        1. Milton High is making a lot of noise about this . In a similar situation a planned trip to China was canceled and the company worlds stride travel refunded every singe penny back to over 40 students & that’s what EF should do

  8. Thanks TK.

    Private snowstorm for the Cape and Islands tomorrow night? It’s close. A few miles could make the difference between little to no impact or a surprise 6-12” storm.

      1. Not sure about 6-12″, but you can see what WXW is referring to in the 12z 3k NAM – 3-4″ on Nantucket, Coating to 2″ Hyannis to Chatham, not even a flake in Boston.

        1. Not to say this is the most likely outcome of course, but not completely unrealistic. This storm has always had a boom/bust look. It’ll be bust for most, but you can’t completely take your eyes off one like this until it’s all the way gone.

          1. Wx so should not need to worry about working it tomorrow night salting or anything. Thank you

            1. I would keep an eye on it. You’re probably ok, but it’s possible the salters may be needed as far north as Boston.

  11. No crazy snowfall amounts on this 12z GFS run compared to yesterday for late next week. Now you got one round of snow rain minor snow accumulations and then another round of snow and rain with some accumulation.

    1. Looks like there will be a whale of a time for snow lovers 70 miles east of Cape Cod: the equivalent of 2 feet of snow that melt upon contact with the ocean.

    1. Hmmm ….. I do agree with Eric its a jump north and west, but even so, I’m not sure it really has sensible weather effects for anyone other than Nantucket and maybe Chatham.

      1. Well, I got the idea, but could not read the whole article and I am not subscribing for $29 per month.

    2. Cheers to that. Problem is most people are unable or unwilling to think freely for themselves hence my proposal to ban models past 4 days because lives are being impacted by this nonsense.

  24. We have a few new readers today. HI!

    If you want to comment, just sign up with your email and any username you want (in good taste please). Your first post will go into moderation and once I approve it you can post comments freely as long as you use the exact same email and username. If you change either or both, it will go through the same process. Hope you enjoy this blog. Not a lot of pretty pictures (a few links here and there) but pretty much straightforward forecasting and lots of comments. A little break from the info overload elsewhere…

    🙂

  26. It’s hard for mets to predict the weather with precision beyond, say, 5 days. Well, economists (like myself) are much worse. They can’t predict from day to day, even hour to hour. If you haven’t checked the `Dow Joans’ don’t. It’ll make your heart skip a beat with anxiety. Volatility is the operative word. And, this ain’t just about coronavirus. An economy that is almost exclusively dependent on the consumer as the U.S. economy is (we don’t invest, we don’t save (rely on foreign creditors), we manufacture less and less, we have a huge trade deficit, we have a huge federal deficit) vulnerable. The one lucky thing is we have the key currency in the world – the dollar. That saves us from being Greece.

  30. Getting more interesting for eastern MA Cape and Islands tomorrow night into Saturday.

    1. Cape and Islands ONLY! Eric has grassy coatings for Boston, but even that is “iffy” at best. I have no idea what Eric is thinking other than “wishful” thinking.

      1. Eric is not using wishful thinking. He outline a legitimate scenario which is supported by several meteorologists, including myself.

  31. From WCVB
    #BREAKING: ALL Plymouth schools will be closed Friday for cleaning “out of an abundance of caution” the superintendent says:

  32. Looks like a Nantucket and Outer Cape special. Pretty powerful storm, so wouldn’t be surprised if Nantucket got 6 inches or more. Nantucket doesn’t get a lot of snow late in the season. Usually, the big snows that hit the Boston/Providence corridor in March/April are all or mostly rain on Nantucket. This includes, for example, the April Fool’s blizzard. I do believe Nantucket got snow on April 6th and 7th, 1982. That was probably the coldest April storm on record.

  33. I wasn’t alive for that April Blizzard in 1982 but I have heard it described as a powder blizzard.

    1. It was. The cold air that was delivered on April 5 was deep & impressive, the storm track was perfect, and it was general powder over most of the region. I had 16 inches in Woburn – total powder fluff. Lots of drifting. Next day it was in the teens pretty much all day long. Yet 4 days after that, the entire snow dump had melted away.

      1. Yup. That Was the year I made a Big Snow Bunny for my son.
        There was plenty of snow to do it, and as it was melting, the snow
        was perfect for making it.

  35. Keep on fighting Alex Trebek and give those hope who are battling this horrible disease.

        1. It’s only not encouraging if you look at the negative side. Treatment and the fight in general are exhausting. What’s encouraging his Alex’s positive outlook and his message to others. The voice and the speech may be suffering at times, but he’s still here to deliver the message.

    1. I told people to be patient and the OT “losing streak” would end. They were still walking away from all those losses with 1 point, which is better than zero, and people were saying “no, it’ll cost them in the standings”. Standings? They’re 9 points ahead of their nearest competitor.

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