C-19 Chat Post – April 12 2020

10:25AM

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 11-15)
A dry April weekend, a bit blustery and on the cool side today, still breezy but turning milder after a cold start on Sunday. We’ll see some passing fair weather clouds today, and after a sunny start Sunday, clouds will advance ahead of the next low pressure system, which will impact the region Monday. The track of the low will be northwest of the area, but it will bring the potential for some damaging wind gusts. Behind that system comes a breezy but mild and nicer day Tuesday, but cold air will sneak in at night as a cold front passes and that front will settle just to the south and allow a wave of low pressure to ride along it, which threatens to bring more unsettled weather for Wednesday.
TODAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 48-55. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 32-39. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Sunny morning. Clouding up afternoon. Highs 55-62. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Rain arriving . Lows 45-52. Wind S 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Cloudy. Periods of rain likely. Chance of thunderstorms. Highs 50-57 South Coast, 55-62 elsewhere. Wind S 10-20 MPH, stronger gusts.
MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with rain showers evening. Partly cloudy overnight. Lows 43-50. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 60-67. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 40-47. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. A period of rain and possible mix, favoring southern areas. Highs 45-52. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 16-20)
Temperatures below normal. Will have to watch for a couple precipitation threats from passing waves of low pressure.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 21-25)
Temperatures near to below normal. Risk of unsettled weather favoring the April 22-24 window.

C-19 Chat Post – April 11 2020

7:19AM

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 10-14)
Low pressure that passed by southeastern New England yesterday, redeveloping overhead late in the day and then turning into a powerful storm as it moved through the Gulf of Maine last night continues to head into southeastern Canada, expanding and maxing out intensity today. This, combined with high pressure approaching from the west, creates windy conditions which will remain in place through tonight. In addition, a pool of cold air aloft and a trough of low pressure will trigger plenty of clouds and a few instability showers as the day goes on. A few of these showers may grow enough to produce thunder and/or small hail. That activity will fade out and move away by evening. The weekend will be dry, still breezy and on the cool side Saturday but turning milder after a cold start on Easter Sunday. We can still see some passing fair weather clouds with a little lingering chill aloft on Saturday, and by later Sunday a shield of higher level clouds will begin to cover the sky in advance of the next low pressure system. This one will track northwest of New England on Monday, set to bring windy and wet weather to he region. As that gets closer we’ll get more detailed about it, but appreciable rainfall and damaging wind gusts cannot be rule out from that system even a few days in advance. By Tuesday, it will have moved beyond the region and we’ll enjoy a fair and rather mild day, albeit breezy once again. All in all just a typical 5-day period for spring in this part of the world.
TODAY: Partly sunny to mostly cloudy. Passing rain showers possible, especially afternoon, and some may contain thunder and small hail. Highs 45-52. Wind W 15-25 MPH, higher gusts, 35-45 MPH likely.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 48-55. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 32-39. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 55-62. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Clouding over. Rain arriving overnight. Lows 45-52. Wind S 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Cloudy. Periods of rain likely. Chance of thunderstorms. Highs 50-57 South Coast, 55-62 elsewhere. Wind S 10-20 MPH, stronger gusts.
MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with rain showers evening. Partly cloudy overnight. Lows 43-50. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 60-67. Turning much cooler at night. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 15-19)
Much cooler weather for this period. Wave of low pressure passing south of the region April 15 may bring rain even brief mix to southern areas. A disturbance may bring rain showers later April 16. Another wave of low pressure may bring rain/mix and possibly even some snow to parts of the region late April 17 to early April 18 before dry weather dominates the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 20-24)
Dry start to this periods. 2 more low pressure areas may threaten with wet weather in the April 22-24 window. Temperatures near to below normal.

C-19 Chat Post – April 10 2020 …

Just a friendly reminder. You are not required to have the same opinion as your fellow blogger. But on this blog, you are required to treat everybody respectfully. We are entering the peak of the crisis at this time and while there are various ideas on how long that will last and how quickly we will decline from it, what we can control is our response to it and our interaction with one another. We are all in this together and we’d like to come out of it that way as well. Have a great day. Stay safe. Stay healthy.

7:26AM

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 9-13)
Low pressure comes along today and as it passes across the region it will redevelop as it goes by with its new center exiting via the Gulf of Maine. This set-up is good for a decent slug of rain, including the risk of thunder, some gusty wind, and a continuation of wind as the system departs and drier air arrives tonight. As the new storm expands into quite the beast over eastern Canada on Friday we’ll see a continuation of gusty wind, and cold air aloft will trigger some instability showers, some of which may contain thunder and small hail. Also, tides are astronomically high the next couple days and some coastal flooding, not directly related to any wind, is possible. Although where wind blows onshore it can enhance splash-over in those locations. This weekend will be dry with a breezy/cool Saturday and milder Sunday. The next storm system, another potent spring low pressure area, will arrive Monday with more rain and some wind.
TODAY: Cloudy with rain likely, mostly from late morning to late afternoon. Chance of thunderstorms. Highs 50-57. Wind SE to S 10-20 MPH, higher gusts especially coastal areas and higher elevations with gusts above 35 MPH likely.
TONIGHT: Breaking clouds. Lows 38-45. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts, above 35 MPH possible.
FRIDAY: Partly sunny to mostly cloudy. Passing rain showers possible, especially afternoon, and some may contain thunder and small hail. Highs 45-52. Wind W 15-25 MPH, higher gusts, 35-45 MPH likely.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 48-55. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 32-39. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 55-62. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Clouding over. Rain arriving overnight. Lows 45-52. Wind S 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Overcast with rain likely. Highs 55-62. Wind S 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 14-18)
Mostly dry, breezy and mild April 14, breezy and cooler April 15. Will need to watch 1 or 2 low pressure waves for potential unsettled weather in the April 16-18 window.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 19-23)
Drier pattern returns. One system around mid period brings a brief wet weather threat. Temperatures below to near normal.

C-19 Chat Post – April 9 2020

7:31AM

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 8-12)
A wave of low pressure passes just south of New England this morning which starts wet then dries out as the low pressure area moves away. However don’t expect complete clearing and on the heals of this low comes a stronger one, tracking right across the region late Thursday with a more widespread and stronger burst of rainfall, maybe even some thunder. As this low moves away and intensifies and expands, we’ll see blustery conditions with gusty winds later Thursday right through Friday, along with some additional unsettled weather as a large pool of cold air aloft has to translate across the region. The weekend improves, seeing dry weather, a breezy/bright/cool Saturday and a more tranquil and milder Sunday.
TODAY: Cloudy morning with rain ending west to east. Mostly cloudy midday on. Highs 42-49. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.
THURSDAY: Cloudy with rain likely, mostly from late morning to late afternoon. Chance of thunderstorms. Highs 46-53. Wind SE 10-20 MPH, higher gusts especially coastal areas and higher elevations with gusts above 35 MPH possible.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Breaking clouds. Lows 38-45. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts, above 35 MPH possible.
FRIDAY: Partly sunny to mostly cloudy. Passing rain showers possible, especially afternoon, and some may contain small hail. Highs 45-52. Wind W 15-25 MPH, higher gusts, 35-45 MPH possible.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 48-55. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 32-39. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 55-62. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 13-17)
Low pressure brings wet and potentially windy weather to the region April 13 but gets out of here quickly for a mild and mainly dry April 14 before a cold front brings showers late day or nighttime and sets up dry breezy and cooler weather for April 15. Need to watch a wave of low pressure for later April 16-17 for a potential precipitation event possibly with cold enough air for marginal precipitation type issues.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 18-21)
Drier pattern returns. One system around mid period brings a brief wet weather threat. Temperatures below to near normal.

C-19 Chat Post – April 8 2020

7:24AM

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 7-11)
Another mild day today, except this one will have a little more sea breeze activity in coastal areas which will turn out somewhat cooler. Two low pressure areas moving along quickly will impact the region Wednesday, with mostly morning rain, and Thursday, with mostly midday and afternoon rain. The end of the week will feature windy and chilly weather with a passing rain shower threat Friday and a breezy and cool but dry Saturday as a broad area of upper level low pressure moves across the region from west to east.
TODAY: Partly sunny. Highs 55-62, cooler some coastal areas. Wind W 5-15 MPH becoming variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.
TONIGHT: Clouding over. Rain arriving overnight. Lows 38-45. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Cloudy with rain early to mid morning, favoring I-90 south. Mostly cloudy midday on. Highs 40-47. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.
THURSDAY: Cloudy with rain likely, mostly from late morning to late afternoon. Highs 46-53. Wind SE 10-20 MPH, higher gusts especially coastal areas and higher elevations.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Breaking clouds. Lows 38-45. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
FRIDAY: Partly sunny to mostly cloudy. Passing rain showers possible. Highs 46-53. Wind W 15-25 MPH, higher gusts.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 48-55. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 12-16)
Low pressure brings a threat of rain by late April 12 into April 13. Fair, milder April 14 but cold front passes late April 14 or early April 15 with rain shower threat then breezy and cooler weather for the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 17-21)
Below normal temperatures. Watching for a wave of low pressure with a precipitation threat favoring the first half of the period.

C-19 Chat Post – April 7 2020

7:22AM

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 6-10)
It’s springtime in New England, and good weather can have its down sides just as wet weather can have its up sides. Read on to see why… High pressure will bring fair and mild weather to the region today and Tuesday, very nice for any outside activity you can manage to do. The down sides? If you are an allergy sufferer, the next 2 days will likely be rough as the early-season pollen count spikes pretty high. Also, today’s sunshine and gusty breeze will spike the fire danger risk. Brush fires can start easily and spread quickly in these conditions. Tuesday night, a cold front will slip down from the north and chill us down, and quickly a low pressure area will be moving along that boundary from west to east to provide several hours of soaking rain, an overcast and much cooler Wednesday, with a follow up system to bring yet more wet weather on Thursday. The up sides? The wet weather will cleanse the air of pollen and relieve allergy sufferers, while also squelching the fire danger. When we get to Friday, behind the second low pressure area will come a gusty wind, lots of clouds, and the risk of a few passing instability showers as a broad upper level low pressure area will still have to cross the region.
TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 50-57 Cape Cod, 58-65 elsewhere. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, a few higher gusts.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 37-44. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 55-62, cooler some coastal areas. Wind W 5-15 MPH becoming variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Clouding over. Rain arriving overnight. Lows 38-45. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Cloudy. Rain in the morning. Spotty drizzle in the afternoon. Highs 40-47. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with areas of fog and periods of drizzle. Lows 38-45. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.
THURSDAY: Cloudy with periods of rain. Highs 46-53. Wind SE 10-20 MPH, higher gusts especially coastal areas and higher elevations.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Breaking clouds. Lows 38-45. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
FRIDAY: Partly sunny to mostly cloudy. Passing rain showers possible. Highs 46-53. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 11-15)
Breezy, cool, dry April 11. Low pressure brings a threat of rain back April 12-13. Fair, milder April 14. Front brings rain shower threat then breezy and cooler weather at the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 16-20)
Low confidence forecast here. Will watch for a wave of low pressure with potential precipitation early to mid period and improving weather thereafter. Temperatures below normal.

C-19 Chat Post – April 6 2020

8:41AM

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 5-9)
For now the weather pattern has returned to a west to east movement and this means milder weather the next couple days, although a weak front will pass through this evening with a few rain showers. The pick of this 5-day period will be Monday with most sun and mildest air. Remember if you are out and about to practice safely according the the guidelines put in place. The weather will still be nice Tuesday but we will have to continue to keep an eye on a frontal boundary to the north which would cause a quick temperature drop when it came through the region. Right now leaning toward this happening late in the day or evening from north to south, so a lot of the day may stay mild. A low pressure area will travel along this boundary and result in a chilly wet Wednesday, then the boundary may push back to the north ahead of a low pressure system heading from the Great Lakes to the St. Lawrence Valley on Thursday, pushing some warmer air back into the region, but with an additional rain shower risk as a cold front approaches late-day or at night from the west.
TODAY: Partly sunny to mostly cloudy. Highs 50-57. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. A passing rain shower possible. Lows 43-50. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 57-64. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 40-47. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 55-62. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of drizzle. Areas of fog. Lows 38-45. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Cloudy. Periods of rain. Areas of fog. Highs 41-48. Wind E 10-20 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with areas of fog and periods of drizzle. Lows 38-45. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.
THURSDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of drizzle early. Chance of rain showers late-day and evening. Highs 48-55 South Coast, 55-62 elsewhere. Wind S-SW 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 10-14)
Dry, breezy, cooler April 10-11. Will need to watch for a wave of low pressure and possible unsettled/chilly weather April 12-13 before improving at the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 15-19)
Overall pattern looks cooler than average. Best chance of unsettled weather comes in the April 15-17 window.

C-19 Chat for today…
No name-calling.
No shaming
Have a good day. Stay safe & healthy.
Follow the guidelines. Flatten the curve.

Working on the weather post now.