8:10PM

NOW: Rain showers in central and eastern Worcester County and western Middlesex County are moving to the south southeast and will likely dissipate during the next few hours.

I am writing The Week Ahead blog now, and it will be posted by 10:15PM!

8:30PM

Cool & Dry! A very weekend for most activities, maybe a bit chilly for the beach though!

At least it is favorable for cleanup operations in western and central MA.

Here is a quick update on the forecast for the next several days for the Boston area…

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Low 45 to 50 suburbs, 50 to 55 urban areas. Wind light N.

SUNDAY: Increasing clouds. High 65 to 70. Wind E up to 10 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Low 52 to 57. Wind SE up to 10 mph.

MONDAY: Partly cloudy. High 70 to 75. Wind S 5 to 15 mph.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Low 54. High 72.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 55. High 77.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. PM t-storms. Low 60. High 88.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 58. High 80.

12:00PM

Greetings from an outdoor location somewhere north of Boston. A quick forecast update for the area…

THIS AFTERNOON: Partly sunny. High 73. Wind W 10 to 20 mph with stronger gusts.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Low 45 to 50. Wind NW 5 to 15 mph.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. High 70 to 75. Wind N 10 to 20 mph.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 54. High 74.

SUNDAY: Variably cloudy. Low 56. High 75.

Next update looks into next week.

Not most importantly, but firstly, my sincere apologies to all for both getting the forecast quite wrong today and then not being around to explain why and correct it! I trust that most of you found good coverage both on the blog via the users, and on local TV.

I will post a new forecast later tonight, but for now we’ll just sit and let the final cluster of storms move through.

Props to Charlie for your good forecast and JJ for excellent updates, and to many others. I have not had time to read through all of them yet. I will let you all continue to post here for this evening, and I’ll be back to chime in later, and then update.

Good news: Quiet weather ahead for a few days!

Hope you all are safe tonight. 🙂

5:00PM

No. Not everyone is going to get severe storms tomorrow. I’m betting very few, if any areas, see it. Thunderstorms? Sure, they are possible. Big ones? Maybe…if you live many miles north & west of Boston. I just don’t feel that the Boston area is going to see much of anything out of this storm threat for Wednesday. Not unstable enough. Not the right wind direction long enough. Not cold enough above us at the right time. Too many things are not coming together so I’m going to downplay it. Either way, keep an eye out tomorrow, in case, because Mother Nature has the final say, and she likes surprises.

Otherwise, I think the overall pattern is generally a dry one with variable temperatures during the next 5 to 7 days. A few disturbances may pass by, with brief shower threats here and there. But I just don’t see any widespread rain right now. Of course, if things start to look different, I’ll let you know. 🙂 For now, onto the forecast for the Boston area and its nearby neighbors…

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Low 55 to 60. Wind SE up to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Scattered showers and thunderstorms between 2PM and 8PM from northwest to southeast – the greatest chance of heavier thunderstorms being west and north of Route 495 through 5PM with showers and storms likely to weaken as they enter Metro Boston late day. Some areas may not see any showers or storms at all. High 80 to 85 except 70s immediate shoreline.  Wind S to SW 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy to mostly clear. Low 52 to 57. Wind NW 10 to 15 mph.

THURSDAY: Mostly to partly sunny (fair weather clouds may become abundant in the afternoon). High 73 to 78. Wind W 10 to 20 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Variably to partly cloudy. Low 50 to 55. Wind NW 10 to 20 mph and gusty.

FRIDAY: Sunny to partly cloudy. High 68 to 73. Wind NW to N 10 to 20 mph.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 56. High 78.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy with isolated showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then mostly sunny. Low 59. High 77.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 55. High 79.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Low 59. High 81.

4:10PM

See the previous post for a discussion of the week’s weather. This is an updated forecast for the Boston area and nearby areas.

REMAINDER OF AFTERNOON: Partly to mostly sunny. Temperature holding in the 80s then cooling into the 70s toward sunset but remaining muggy. Wind NW to N around 10 mph.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Low 55 to 60. Wind N 5 to 15 mph.

TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. High 65 to 70 coast ranging to 74 to 79 well inland. Wind E 5 to 15 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Low 60 to 65. Wind SE 5 to 15 mph shifting to SW.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, especially during the afternoon. High 82 to 87. Wind SW 10 to 20 mph.

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 60. High 82.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 55. High 77.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 58. High 80.

SUNDAY: Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Low 62. High 82.

3:00AM

It’s the feel of summer for the “unofficial” start of summer this Memorial Day, but all may not be quiet, because as a cold front moves into the region, bumping into a very warm airmass in place, some thunderstorms are likely to be set off today. The good news is that widespread severe weather is not likely. However, be on the look-out for darkening skies and passing storms, any of which may produce strong winds, hail, downpours, and of course, dangerous lightning.

We get a break Tuesday as high pressure builds in. A cooler, but pleasant day is expected. If clouds are around to start it, expect the sun to win out.

Wednesday, another quick change will take place.  A warm front will pass in the early hours, returning warm and humid air to the region, which will then be wrung out by another cold front, producing showers and thunderstorms once again.

As we get to the second half of the week, high pressure should dominate at the surface and aloft, with fine weather for at least a few days.

Details for the Boston area…

TODAY – MEMORIAL DAY: Partly sunny. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms, especially in the afternoon. Any storms may produce brief downpours and gusty winds. High 85 to 90. Wind SW 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts, but variable and possibly stronger in any thunderstorms.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Low 55 to 60. Wind N 5 to 15 mph.

TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. High 65 to 70 coast ranging to 74 to 79 well inland. Wind E 5 to 15 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Low 60 to 65. Wind SE 5 to 15 mph shifting to SW.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, especially during the afternoon. High 82 to 87. Wind SW 10 to 20 mph.

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 60. High 82.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 55. High 77.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 58. High 80.

SUNDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 62. High 82.

9:30AM

Boston Area Forecast Update…

TODAY: Low clouds and any fog burns off by mid morning then mostly sunny to partly cloudy. High near 80, cooler right at the shorelines that face south. Wind S to SW increasing to 10 to 20 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Isolated showers or thunderstorms possible after 10PM. Low 60 to 65. Wind SW around 10 mph.

MONDAY – MEMORIAL DAY: Partly sunny. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly in the afternoon. High 85 to 90. Wind SW 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 62. High 81.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms late. Low 66. High 87.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Low 56. High 74.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 54. High 71.

SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 55. High 77.

9:00AM

This is what happens when you are not home enough to update as much as you want… A holiday weekend sneaks up on you. But here I am, on this fine Saturday morning, before being out again most of the weekend. Hey at least most of it’s fun stuff! 🙂

Let’s skip the technical discussion and just get right to the forecast for the Boston area, and we’ll talk more about upcoming patterns in a longer discussion later this weekend. 🙂

NOW (Saturday morning): Low clouds will melt away by 11:00AM in Metro Boston with a grey sky turning summery blue. Watch that transformation take place and enjoy.

REST OF TODAY: Sunny to partly cloudy. High from the 60s at the beach to near 80 inland. Wind S up to 10 mph but onshore along the coastal areas.

TONIGHT: Low clouds and areas of fog redevelop. Low near 60. Wind S under 10 mph.

SUNDAY: Low clouds and any fog burns off by mid morning then mostly sunny to partly cloudy. High near 80, cooler right at the shorelines that face south. Wind S to SW increasing to 10 to 20 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy with areas of fog but neither low clouds nor fog should be as widespread as the previous couple nights. Low 60 to 65. Wind SW around 10 mph.

MONDAY – MEMORIAL DAY: Partly sunny. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms developing in the afternoon. High 85 to 90. Wind SW 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 62. High 84.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Low 66. High 89.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Low 56. High 73.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 54. High 70.

A warmer pattern is underway, which will last through the Memorial Day Weekend. I cannot promise perfect weather, as a frontal system will be in the vicinity at times, and may produce a few showers and thunderstorms, but most of the activity is expected to be well north and west of the Boston Area at least over the next few days.

Detailed forecast for the Boston area…

TODAY: Mostly sunny. High 74 to 79, cooler coast. Wind S 10 to 20 mph.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Low 54 to 59. Wind S 5 to 15 mph.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny. High 76 to 81. Wind SW 10 to 20 mph.

FRIDAY  NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Low 57 to 62. Wind SW 5 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY: Variably cloudy. High 75 to 80, cooler coast. Wind S 5 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Low 6o to 65. Wind S 5 to 15 mph.

SUNDAY: Partly cloudy. High 78 to 83. Wind SW 10 to 15 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Low 54 to 59. Wind SW 10 to 15 mph.

MONDAY – MEMORIAL DAY: Partly sunny. Chance of thunderstorms late in the day or at night. High 80 to 85. Wind SW 10 to 20 mph.

TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 58. High 76.

Here is an updated forecast for the Boston area…

TODAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly in the afternoon. Thunderstorms should remain below severe levels with the greatest chance for storms well inland. High in the 70s but may touch 80 in a few locations if there is more sunshine than I am expecting. Wind SW 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Chance of thunderstorms early. Low in the upper 50s. Wind W 5 to 15 mph.

WEDNESDAY: Cloudy with showers into mid morning then gradual clearing. High in the middle 60s. Wind W 5 to 15 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Low 50 to 55. Wind N up to 10 mph.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. High 70 to 75 except 60s at the coast. Wind NE to E 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Low 55 to 60. Wind S 5 to 15 mph.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. High 70 to 75. Wind SW 5 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY (5-28): Variably cloudy. Scattered showers. Low 57. High 71.

SUNDAY (5-29): Partly sunny. Isolated showers. Low 53. High 77.

MONDAY – MEMORIAL DAY (5-30): Partly cloudy. Low 57. High 80.

TUESDAY (5-31): Mostly sunny. Low 59. High 83.

 9:30PM

OVERVIEW…

Tonight, ladies and gentleman, I’ll be venturing further out on the limb than usual, and forecasting out 9 days, taking us not all the way through the Memorial Day Weekend, but through the final day of May. Keep in mind, that as we get out in time, forecast confidence lessens, but this will be the best shot I can give it for now, so please return for updates!

SYNOPSIS…

A warm front will push slowly eastward across New England Monday, with cloudy and damp weather. A cold front will approach on Tuesday, but ahead of it we will see a taste of summer weather. Showers/thunderstorms will accompany the front which will pass through the region Tuesday night. Expect a wave of low pressure to slow the departure of this front and produce some rain early Wednesday. An area of high pressure is expected to bring drier weather to the region on Thursday. Another front will bring another chance of showers and thunderstorms to the area on Friday. Memorial Day Weekend should find the region in the middle of a transition to a new weather pattern. Forecast models vary, with some showing a front stuck in the vicinity with periods of showers. Another projection is building a ridge of high pressure off the US East Coast, keeping shower activity well to the west and bringing a more summery weather pattern in. I’m torn at the moment as to how this is going to play out, so for now I am going with a slow transition from scenario 1 (the showery one) to scenario 2 (the summery one), as we go through the holiday weekend into the final days of May.

DETAILS (Boston Area – check with me if you want specifics for another region)…

TONIGHT: Cloudy. Areas of fog. Chance of rain after midnight. Low 50 to 55. Wind SE 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY: Cloudy. Patchy fog early. A few periods of rain. High 60 to 65. Wind S 5 to 15 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Low 55 to 60. Wind SW 10 to 15 mph.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Scattered showers and thunderstorms developing during the afternoon. High 77 to 82. Wind SW 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Chance of thunderstorms early. Patchy fog late. Low 55 to 60. Wind SW 10 to 15 mph with higher gusts shifting to N after midnight.

WEDNESDAY: Cloudy with a chance of rain in the morning. Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers in the afternoon. High 61 to 66. Wind NE 5 to 15 mph in the morning shifting NW in the afternoon.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Low 51 to 56. Wind W 5 to 15 mph.

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. High 65 to 70. Wind W 10 to 20 mph.

FRIDAY (5-27): Mostly cloudy. Numerous showers. Low 56. High 74.

SATURDAY (5-28): Variably cloudy. Scattered showers. Low 57. High 71.

SUNDAY (5-29): Partly sunny. Isolated showers. Low 53. High 77.

MONDAY – MEMORIAL DAY (5-30): Partly cloudy. Low 57. High 80.

TUESDAY (5-31): Mostly sunny. Low 59. High 83.

7:30PM

Greetings readers! Hope you are all enjoying the weekend. Today was nicer than I had forecast, but no complaints, right? I’d rather be wrong that way than have forecast nice weather for it only to turn out bad.

Awesome bank of fog/stratus rolling westward across Metro Boston at this time (Saturday evening 7:20PM as I write this). This is a signal of a cloudy/cool Sunday ahead. But I do not expect any rain. Warmer times are ahead again for part of next week. Details to come, including a look into Memorial Day Weekend on tomorrow’s blog. But for now, here’s my best ideas for the next several days for the Boston area…

TONIGHT: Becoming cloudy. Areas of fog. Low 45 to 50. Wind E up to 10 mph.

SUNDAY: Cloudy. Areas of fog near the coast. High 50 to 55 coast, 55 to 60 inland. Wind E up to 10 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Areas of fog. Low 45 to 50. Wind SE up to 10 mph.

MONDAY: Cloudy. A few periods of light rain possible. High 60 to 65. Wind SE 5 to 15 mph shifting to S.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Low 56. High 81.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Low 55. High 65.

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 51. High 66.

FRIDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers. Low 55. High 71.

3:39PM

Updated Boston Area Forecast…

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms, especially in the afternoon. High 55 to 60 coast, 61 to 66 inland. Wind E up to 10 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Areas of fog. Low 51 to 56. Wind variable under 10 mph.

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers, mainly in the afternoon. High 64 to 69. Wind N 5 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Low 50 to 55. Wind N 5 to 15 mph.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. High 55 to 60. Wind NE 10 to 15 mph.

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Low 49. High 61.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Numerous showers. Low 51. High 64.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. AM rain. PM showers. Low 53. High 70.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Scattered showers. Low 56. High 66.

8:00PM

No need to go into a discussion about what you already know. We’re stuck in the gloom. There are signs of a lessening of this, but not a complete break of the pattern. In fact, we could tank again for a few days next week, but that’s getting ahead of ourselves a bit.

Here’s an updated forecast for the Boston area…

THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT: Overcast with periods of drizzle, areas of fog, occasional showers (some heavy) and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Temperatures ranging from the upper 40s to middle 50s over most of the region throughout this period. Winds mostly NE to SE 5 to 15 mph but periods of stronger winds are possible along the coast.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. High near 60.

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Low 49. High 65.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Low 52. High 73.

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Low 54. High 70.

TUESDAY: PM showers. Low 55. High 71.