Sunday January 28 2024 Forecast (8:05AM)

371 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 28 – FEBRUARY 1)

A storm will impact our region today into Monday with a variety of precipitation, the type dependent on the precise temperature profile of the atmosphere at any given location. The basic idea remains the same as discussed yesterday. A shield of precipitation overspreading the region from south to north is ongoing and will be completed by midday. Higher elevation areas further west and north see snow longer than anybody else from the initial batch, and where it starts as a mix or rain it can flip to snow when it comes down heavier, due to the dynamic cooling process. Accumulations can be variable, not so regionally uniform, during the initial phase of this event. Low pressure does track in a place that typically would bring fairly widespread snowfall regionwide, but as mentioned yesterday, the lack of cold in place ahead of the system makes that more difficult, and not only does the storm manufacture cold during its occurrence for snow to occur, but it’s during the final hours of the storm, after a mid-storm lull due to mid level drying, that cold air moves in from the north and northwest, flipping the precipitation to snow for everyone from northwest to southeast. For areas that saw mix/rain for many hours during the passage of the system, this would be when most of the snow accumulation occurs. The storm breakdown that I posted yesterday, with a couple tweaks, is repeated next…

Precipitation arrival time / type: Ongoing as rain (some mix) South Coast, spreading north and northeast through all of the region by midday as rain with pockets of mix/snow, except mostly snow in areas north of Route 2 and west of I-95, with bursts of snow further east and south with any moderate (heavy enough) precipitation. This phase of the storm’s precipitation continues through dusk. Mid level dry air will work northward during Sunday evening, creating a taper off for a few hours in the precipitation, especially south of I-90. Area that were raining continue to see lighter rain/drizzle, and some areas that were seeing mix/snow probably go over to a period of lighter rain for a while. The higher terrain of interior southern NH and MA from the I-495 belt westward stay cold enough for snow, and also are less affected by the dry slot, if at all. Beyond this, the overnight hours to early or mid morning Monday will be when the greatest amount of cold air is pulled into the system from the north, along with additional dynamic cooling from above. This is when snow will overtake the entire region from northwest to southeast in mix/rain areas, including but lastly Cape Cod, and there will be a temporarily increase in the intensity of precipitation in response to intensifying surface low pressure. This is when most of the snow accumulation will take place east of I-95 and south of I-90. Snow ends by late morning or midday Monday from northwest to southeast as low pressure begins to pull away.

Total snowfall: Keep in mind that this is for the entire event, and depending on precipitation type, the total snowfall will not be the amount of snow on the ground at any given location. Even in areas that stay all snow to the northwest have a wet snow for a good part of the storm, and compacting will occur there before it flips to a lower water content snowfall later in the storm. Looking for up to 1 inch Outer Cape Cod / Islands and immediate South Coast of MA/RI and eastern CT, 1-3 inches remainder of Cape Cod and MA South Shore to Boston / Providence through interior southeastern CT, 3-6 inches in the majority of the I-95 corridor and northern RI to northeastern CT and lower elevations of south central MA as well as the NH Seacoast, and 6-10 inches interior southern NH and the western Merrimack Valley west and southwest through central MA. Highest snowfall occurs in higher elevations.

Flooding: No major issues, both rivers and coastal areas.

Wind: Top gusts may reach 50 MPH across Cape Cod early hours of Monday from the northeast. No major wind issues for the remainder of the region.

Power outages: Moderate risk of power outages in areas where heaviest snowfall occurs due to the higher water content nature of the snowfall for much of the storm. Lower risk of wind-related power outages Cape Cod.

Post-storm, clearing arrives Monday night and high pressure moves in with fair and chilly weather through the middle of the coming week. A trough dropping out of Canada through the Great Lakes into the Northeast may bring snow showers to the region by later Thursday.

TODAY: Overcast. Rain/mix/snow develops southwest to northeast by midday and continues afternoon with greatest chance of snow interior higher elevations, but also periods of alternating precipitation type closer to the I-95 belt while mostly rain falls in the coastal areas especially south. Highs 35-42 by midday, then slowly but unevenly falling temperatures. Wind NE 5-15 MPH, higher gusts especially coastal areas by late-day.

TONIGHT: Overcast. Precipitation of varying intensity may stop at times especially south of I-90 where more rain than snow is likely, and will be steadiest I-90 north where more snow is likely, with more of transition to snow working southeastward overnight when precipitation is steadier. Temperatures slowly falling to 28-35 by dawn coldest northwest, mildest coastal plain. Wind NE 10-20 MPH except 20-30 MPH Cape Cod where gusts 40-50 MPH are possible.

MONDAY: Overcast with snow likely in the morning. Snow ending with breaking clouds afternoon. Temperatures falling to 25-32. Wind NE-N 10-20 MPH, higher gusts especially coastal areas through midday.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 13-20. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 27-34. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 12-19. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 30-37. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 13-19. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of late day snow showers. Highs 31-38. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 2-6)

Additional snow showers possible with a passing trough on February 2. Generally fair weather expected during the February 3-5 time frame. Another storm threatens the region by the end of the period. Temperatures variable, averaging close to normal overall.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 7-11)

Storm potentials somewhere early period and again at the end of the period. Temperatures near to slightly below normal.

371 thoughts on “Sunday January 28 2024 Forecast (8:05AM)”

  3. Good morning and thank you TK.

    Unless there is some sort of surprise, this is looking like a NOTHING event to me. It even looks putrid on the models
    and the radar simulations on the models.

    Not impressed with the 2nd half of the system, at least as portrayed my all of the models.

    Snow amounts are down on all of the models.

    This dry slot business is ridiculous! What kind of storm is this? Looks like an imposter to me.

    I am waiting for the precipitation onset. I am not sure what we will get here. 36 at my location in JP. On real radar, the initial burst of precipitation looks pretty heavy. I am hoping it provides “some” snow. We shall see.

    In short, I am bitterly disappointed and the damn thing hasn’t even started yet.

    PLEASE may I be surprised and have this system OVER PERFORM!!! How about it???????

    NOT LIKELY.

    PS my son is driving up from NYC later today. He plans to take the coastal route (I95) to play it safe. What do you think?
    Many thanks

    1. Coastal route is a good plan, because even a burst of heavier snowfall there should just melt on a treated and well traveled road.

    1. Many thanks. Lovely near to coast if you HATE snow!

      We can’t buy a snow storm here. Give me 2015 please.

  6. On my radar scope display, that blob shows as heavy rain, but in the last few minutes it is now showing snow over Wester and SW Connecticut in JJ land.

    https://ibb.co/5Yj4Yf1

    I used to think the precipitation depiction display on radar scope was pretty accurate, but lately I have come to realize that is WOEFULLY inaccurate!

    1. I’ve been saying for a while that these depictions are not very dependable in uniformly marginal situations. They’re much better with sharper temp gradient profiles.

    2. On that Obs map, I found an ob near Waterbury/new Milford CT vicinity that was 33F. Couple of them. Elevation: 1,000 ft. Didn’t give the precip type, but the temp history had dropped from 35 to 33. So, perhaps ……

  7. Is it correct seeing 36 degrees for most of this storm Boston south & 34 as a low only for a few hours ??

    1. According to the discussion above: Highs 35-42 by midday, then slowly but unevenly falling temperatures.

  8. Here’s a nice little tidbit. The temperature atop Mt. Washington is 30 degrees!!!! Let that sink in.
    Now this is according to MesoWest.

    FROM NWS observations at 5AM Mt. Washington was 25.

    One more thing, Ocean temperature at Boston Buoy,
    25 Nautical Miles dues East of Boston is 41.7

    1. Snow growth region is above Mount Washington’s level.

      There is a dynamic cooling aspect to this system.

      The current temp at the mountain is an indication of the lack of antecedent cold ahead of this particular event.

    1. Yeah, the new low level cold air is way away.

      That’s what the medium range 5-6 days ago overplayed on this event. At that time, it suggested scenarios where some of that cold could get in.

  10. As of today, here are the 18z projected temps next weekend

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=sfct-imp&rh=2024012800&fh=162&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=sfct-imp&rh=2024012800&fh=186&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    The sensible weather has some snow showers

    Not saying anything big is coming. Still showing an impressive 500 mb low moving in a growingly amplified flow.

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=500wh&rh=2024012800&fh=186&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

  12. Thanks TK. Concerned about my daughter driving from Natick to Halifax mass tomorrow morning for work. Any thoughts on road conditons? Thanks

    1. Roads will be treated and wet for the most part.
      I’d be concerned if once it was solidly snow the rate was increased, but it won’t really be, so even if it’s already all snow at that point, the road impact should be minimal.

  14. I think what’s going on in northwest, IN and then gazing north into Michigan currently might foreshadow tomorrow morning.

    Northwest, IN is under the northwest flank of the upper low. There’s a lobe of moderate precip and it’s snowing with temps 32-33. This would be southern NH to south shore MA, eventually Cape Cod, rotating NW to SE at some point tomorrow.

    North of that in Michigan, not in the precip, it’s 34-36. I could see a chance that happes briefly once snow ends for an hour or 2 and then it cools off as finally, some of that new cold gets in here.

      1. https://radar.weather.gov/?settings=v1_eyJhZ2VuZGEiOnsiaWQiOiJsb2NhbCIsImNlbnRlciI6Wy04NS43LDQxLjM1OV0sImxvY2F0aW9uIjpudWxsLCJ6b29tIjo4LjEyNjg3NTcyMTgwMzgyLCJmaWx0ZXIiOiJXU1ItODhEIiwibGF5ZXIiOiJzcl9icmVmIiwic3RhdGlvbiI6IktJV1gifSwiYW5pbWF0aW5nIjpmYWxzZSwiYmFzZSI6InN0YW5kYXJkIiwiYXJ0Y2MiOmZhbHNlLCJjb3VudHkiOmZhbHNlLCJjd2EiOmZhbHNlLCJyZmMiOmZhbHNlLCJzdGF0ZSI6ZmFsc2UsIm1lbnUiOnRydWUsInNob3J0RnVzZWRPbmx5Ijp0cnVlLCJvcGFjaXR5Ijp7ImFsZXJ0cyI6MC44LCJsb2NhbCI6MC42LCJsb2NhbFN0YXRpb25zIjowLjgsIm5hdGlvbmFsIjowLjZ9fQ%3D%3D#/

  20. Even I at this point am looking forward to spring. And I’m not exactly a fan of spring.

    But this … this is nothingness. Seriously. Here at the coast we’re kind of in an off limits zone for winter: 1. Almost all the precipitation here has been rain throughout the winter; 2. Even when it’s sort of cold its duration is brief and episodic at best.

    Where I am in Boston we’re entering the 6th (!) straight day during which the mercury hasn’t even dipped to 32F for a minimum. There have been numerous such stretches this winter.

    Can you tell this is bothering me?

  24. North, let us know when/if it mixes withand/or flips to snow.

    thanks.

    I would expect rain here as well, but hoping being farther north it Might snow. provably not, but I can hope.
    37 here does not help!!!!

      1. The other reason it will go out to sea The Farmers’ Almanac is calling for a coastal storm. Always go opposite of what they predict.

  27. I knew it!!!!
    all those big echoes moving this way on radar went poof. Perfect!!!
    what else is new. now new batch of big echoes farther west and sw. wa nna bet they go poof as well!!@@

  29. Thank you TK excellent write up this morning.
    In the process now of transitioning to white rain, large wet snowflakes, now with a slushy coating just starting to take place.

      1. I had a feeling that’s what it meant. Nope. Not accurate. Although what we have is leaving a light layer of white on nonpaved surfaces.

  31. Just started to RAIN here in JP. No surprise there, especially with the temperature up to 38. Now we’ll see IF/WHEN we mix and/cor changeover. 🙂

      1. Nope. I suspect a temperature drop, starting now. I have a temp display next to my computer with tenths. I has already
        dropped a few tenths, so it has started.

  32. FWIW, the 12Z NAM, 3KM NAM and the HRRR all of ticked up
    a tad on snow from the 6Z runs.
    No biggie, just an inch more for Boston. 🙂

    ALL 3 now showing 4 inches for Boston. 🙂

    We shall see.

    1. According to those models above and the RAP, should mix/change in Boston Starting around the NOON hour. I’ll be watching to see if there is any action prior to that. 🙂

  35. We started as a light mix in North Reading about 15 minutes ago…will see what happens when the heavier precip arrives

    1. I can see on the Worcester holy cross webcams, it’s snowing but not yet accumulating. I don’t know if that campus location is at the 1,000 ft the airport ob is.

          2. It is.

            When it’s raining in marshfield and I need a snow fix, it’s a cam I like to check in on. 🙂 🙂 🙂

  38. Just returned from the morning dog walk.
    Aahhhh, the joys of canine parenthood.

    I was surprised to see that what looked like moderate rain was, in fact, sleet. Grass lightly covered. On the return walk, the mix with very large snowflakes had begun.

    North Providence is a bit south of North in Attleboro, but similar in observation at this time.

  40. I can attest to the heavy echoes on radar being white pancakes falling from the sky. Curios what you are seeing Mark, as we are usually similar in conditions.

  43. It is raining here still, BUT the rain is very light.

    Temperature has dropped to 37. I have found over the years,
    that the magic mix/change temperature averages out to around 36. We shall see today.

    1. I’ll NEVER get down to 33 here. Had better flip before that.
      I am watched the 10ths display on the temperature. It is every so slowly dropping. I will know when it is mixing without even looking out the window just by watching the temperature display. 🙂

  45. Non-Weather….

    Wife and I watched THE HOLDOVERS last night. Nice movie that was better than I expected. Well worth a look. The rental on Prime is now down to $5.49 from the previous $19 and change.

    Paul Giamatti was wonderful.

  46. My son is sending me pictures from Gore Mountain in New York where he is skiing. The fog at the top of mountain is rather incredible.

  49. Moderate Snow now. And a layer in all including pavement. SIL said roads are slick.

    And it’s 36. And snowing. Imagine 😉

      1. Thanks Tim. I’m guessing you changed before we did. We are 34 here

        SIL only went down lackey dam rd to DD. A mile or so.

  54. It flipped to something here. I’d like to say sleet, but it’s more like yuck. Maybe a mix of rain and sleet.

    1. I see they added a nice touch. The temperature and wind speed and direction are now included. Very nice!!!

  61. Although it is nice seeing it snowing out, I would really like to see some “truly” HEAVY snow. NOT happening!!!!

    1. I’ll believe it when I see it. Hope you are correct.
      I’d like to see at least one big snow storm.
      I hope I haven’t seen the last one for me in my lifetime. I ain’t getting any younger!

      1. Not just temperature, there ain’t no bleepity bleep bleep precipitation!!! Supposed to be more as system intensifies and sends snow back on us. We shall see.

  66. JPD take an hour drive west of you if you want the heavy snow. Absolute pounding snow here with about 2 1/2 “ on the ground. The roads here are horrid, just came back from running an errand.

  69. Here in Woburn we started out as a few sprinkles of rain and then rain mixed with sleet and now we are a mixture of three types of precipitation… Rain, sleet, and snow with big phat phlakes.

  72. It keeps trying to RIP snow, then backs off a bit and then tries again. A few minutes ago it was FULL MODERATE SNOW. Now it is lighter, but still snow.

    Ground is white. car tops are covered.

  73. Just did my indoor exercises. Outdoors it’s pretty dismal. It’s 38F here and a rather sad mix of rain and snow falls out of the sky.

    I did notice the references to praying on WHW: Specifically for snow and championships. All in for that. However, THE most important thing the lord perhaps can do for all of us is maintain or improve our health.

    Regardless of how much I complain about the weather, it really comes way down the list of my wishes.

  74. My wife comes in to Logan at 11:30pm – a 60 mile drive from the South Coast to pick her up – could her timing be any worse? I was really hoping for heavy snow at Logan so her flight back would have been cancelled until tomorrow

  78. All snow in Woburn now.

    I am on my Sunday walk around the local pond and I am loving every moment of this.

    2. No walking here. I just went out to retrieve a camera I had on lawn to watch birds at the water bowl I put out and it is very slippery.

  79. One thing for sure, the intensity blows chunks around these parts. What’s the use, other than to TEASE!!!
    This ain’t no stinken snow storm!!!

      1. As previously mentioned, the intensity is going to be variable and therefore the precipitation type will also be variable.

        1. I don’t like varying precipitation rates. I WANT it to RIP snow, but I’m NOT going to get it this go around.
          Kind of a teasing/frustrating storm. BUT it is what it is. 🙂

          SNOWING quite good here now. Temperature is NOT responding well. Still holding at 36.

  80. Speaking of mild stretches, it’s been quite mild across Southern England and the low countries: Low to mid 50s during the day and low to mid 40s at night for the past ~7 to 10 days and that looks to continue there for the foreseeable future, at least through this week. While the mets there believe it’ll get somewhat colder after that they’re saying it may dip to what is average temps for the time of year on most days, which means low 40s during the day and low to mid 30s at night. As one met there put it, and I’m translating, “for anyone hoping for cold and snow, it’s mostly hope at this point … there’s little evidence pointing in that direction.”

    Of course, the weather there is NOT the same as here. As TK has suggested there IS evidence on this side of the Atlantic for more snow chances and some seasonable cold for stretches. However, the consistency between the weather pattern there and here this winter has been conspicuous, which is why I do pay attention to what they’re saying across the pond.

    We’ll see how it all plays out.

    1. When the precip lightens up, it mixes with rain due to the weaker dynamic cooling process in marginal temps.

  87. Snow has already lightened up some at Worcester.

    “PHASE 1” is winding down.

    Now let’s see if “PHASE 2” delivers

    2. Phase 1 has about 4 to 6 hours left.
      Precipitation of varying intensities. Sometimes very light, sometimes moderate, most times in between.

      The real “break” actually comes this evening, and favors areas to the south.

    1. I still get goosebumps when I watch these videos. It’s amazing how realistic they were able to make it look! Just kidding, just kidding 🙂 🙂

      Since I was born a few months after Sputnik 1 was launched, I feel very fortunate to have experienced the space program when I was just the right age to be so interested. I had a small reel-to-reel tape recorder and used it to record the audio of the launches. I would listen to the tapes over and over again.

        1. That was just the beginning of the pattern that JMA and I discussed on January 10 2015. 🙂

          1. I do remember. Too well As much as I love snow, we were driving regularly in and out of Dana and Brigham. It was a really difficult month.

  95. Lighter intensity here in Woburn of course means we go back to a mix, but it’s still mostly snow.

    Here’s a reminder yet again… I have had 0.3 inch of snow. Most of it will probably vanish before it accumulates again. That 0.3 is still COUNTED toward the final total. If you’re measuring, and this happens where you are, make sure you include already fallen snow that was measured, but melted. It IS part of the final total.

    I’ve had people (not on the blog) argue with me that this is not correct, so I ask them a question…

    “It rains 0.10 inch early in the day, then the sun comes out and it’s really hot, and all the rain evaporates out of your gauge. Then it rains again later, 0.10 inch, which stays in your gauge at the end of the day. Is your rain total for the day 0.10 inch, or 0.20 inch?” No brainer answer, but there are people who will not understand this. 🙂

  97. Temp is down to 36.2F in Boston (well, where I am, I’m assuming it’s a bit colder in JP). The precipitation is a very light mix of rain and snow. The Glaswegian theme this week continues.

    I am officially sun-starved and really looking forward to the middle of the week when we have some (partly) sunny and coldish days.

      1. As we know. It certainly snows when it’s 36. Been 36 here all day. With an inch of snow before the lull. I’d bet it is actually twice that as flakes compressed as they landed.

    1. Not to be picky, but that source says:
      “it charted for 61 weeks on the Norwegian charts (VG-lista Top 10), including 14 weeks at No. 1”

        1. Thank you. Fascinating. I have to find Orbisons version. I only remember this one.

          I’m a fan of the Bobby bones show. They mentioned this yesterday.

  100. Thanks TK.

    No big surprise, thermal profiles are the big story with this one. There’ll be some gradual nickel and diming of accumulation on top of what’s already happened, but most places especially away from the higher elevations likely end up at the bottom of the “consensus” forecast ranges, or lower. Pretty unusual (not unprecedented of course) to have these sorts of thermal issues with this type of storm track at the coldest climatological time of the year…

    1. Thanks, WxWatcher.

      It is unusual, both the lack of cold to our north at this time of year and the relatively warm water temperature. I don’t see the latter changing all that much, moving forward. The former is still a wildcard as we head into February.

      All in all it’s kind of weird to have a late March/early April storm in late January. That’s effectively what we’re experiencing. And the rain deluges earlier this month were more reminiscent of what we get in spring and summer.

      Never a dull moment in weather land.

      1. During our mild winters, we’ve had many “late winter like” storms in January. 🙂

        We had two springlike storms in January 1978 that were full on warm rain events with lots of wind and flooding (January 9 & 26). This is the pattern you get with the indices as they are.

        The water temp is not at its coldest yet. It’ll go down through February and bottom out in early March.

        The polar jet stream will become more involved once again, as well, heading through February and into March too.

        If you recall, in my winter forecast, I talked about a very slow transition out of the December pattern during January to arrive at the late winter pattern. And the transition is not an even one. It’s uneven, which is more typical anyway. Exactly what we’re seeing. In fact, none of this is a surprise. 🙂

    1. Today’s thermal profile is something similar to you’d see in late winter. This system, like many others, has occurred with lack of polar jet interaction as it’s been spending much of the winter wel north of our latitude, except in the western US, where it’s come south, and the other side of the hemisphere, where it has come south quite a bit more frequently. Just the luck of the jet stream draw … and the Indian Ocean Dipole combined with the Madden Julian Oscillation.

    1. No, that arrives later tonight. It’s just the direction the wind is blowing in response to low pressure to the south and high pressure to the north.

      1. That’s just the depiction of the upper low and the reason we won’t be having above normal temperatures every day in early February.

    1. Probably will because there will likely be another batch of at least moderate precip and it should be even a bit chillier above us.

      1. If one believe the HRRR, the 18z version has a mix starting around 7-8m is. Then snow, but virtually NO INTENSITY!!!!

      2. I’m actually curious as to what you think the temperature will be for a low tonight Boston & south of Boston . Logan is reporting 37 now

  105. Boston snow in recent Januarys…

    2020: 3.1 inches
    2021: 5.8 inches
    2022: 36.2 inches
    2023: 6.6 inches
    2024 (so far): 8.7 inches

    Snowier in Boston this January than 3 out the 4 previous ones. 🙂 They’ll add a little more to the 8.7, but OBVIOUSLY not enough to reach the top spot for the last 5 years. That safely stays with January 2022. The 36.2 that month fell in 2 events, one of them being over 23 inches.

  106. How much do people want to bet KC wins because of bias officiating. The refs for the AFc championship game today the away team has won 92% and called more penalties on the home team than the away team. 😉

    1. This AFC matchup will be repeated multiple times. Mahomes v. Jackson is the new Brady v. Manning. Josh Allen is more along the lines of Philip Rivers in the equation. He’ll never get over the hump.

  112. Heavy freezing rain mixed with sleet right now. Temp 32.3 maybe I shouldn’t have cleaned the snow off of the driveway and front walkway, as it is now a skating rink.

  113. TK correctly pointed to the numbers of inches of snow in Boston for this month, at 8.7 inches or so. It’s safe to say, however, that it does not feel like that number at all. I think people in DC – which has gotten more than Boston, I believe – would say the same!

    Here we’ve had about 5 or 6 days of cold and one snow event that stuck around for those 5 or 6 days. And really that’s it, for all intents and purposes.

    Could everything change in February? Yes. I’m certainly not denying that. But December and January have been lackluster to say the least.

  114. Ravens doing Ravens things. They lack discipline at times.

    Lamar doing Lamar things. He just lacks precision and can be a poor decision-maker.

    I like Lamar, but he’s clearly not Mahomes.

    Baltimore is lucky to be as close as they are in this game.

  115. Driving back from the white mountains now on 93 in NH. At mile 80 in Plymouth and nothing yet beyond a few wet flurries. 37F when we left Loon Mtn! And same temp here. Not a lot of cold air to work with.

  116. And the strange weather is a global phenomenon. Today, a village in Scotland, Kinlochewe, has set the UK record for the warmest temperature in January ever after hitting 19.6C (~67F), according to the Met Office said. Keep in mind, this record wasn’t set in, say, Brighton, on the South coast of England. Rather it was set in the Northwest Highlands of Scotland.

    1. Rooting for the Ravens, but the team has issues:

      1. Discipline. Good lord.

      2. Game adjustment. Kelce is great, but he’s not God. You can cover him better than they’re doing.

      3. Flowers is a knucklehead. Great athlete, but absolutely no discipline with the ball or without the ball.

      1. I cannot stand mahomes. He is cocky/arrogant and a few other words. But I am not liking what I see from the ravens today. Not the play but the attitude.

        1. Agree on the Ravens. And that’s partly on the coach. Harbaugh is an excellent coach, but he’s had some problems in the post-season, as has Lamar Jackson.

          Mahomes is arrogant. Expects calls to go his way, which they usually do. But the great ones are all like that. At least I think so. Mahomes is a much better decision-maker than Jackson and really every QB since Brady. That’s what makes him the best in the game right now.

  118. I want them to win, but the Ravens seem determined to give it away. The penalty by Flowers was deserved and one of the dumbest I’ve seen in a playoff game. If they lose, Flowers will get torched in the media tomorrow.

    1. Thank you. Please be safe. My nieces husband is on call for clearing in concord.

      My son said traveling north on 95 from westerly RI after his son’s basketball game was nasty. He saw five cars off the road in a two mile stretch. It seems,,,,I hope,,,,you picked a good time to drive hime

  120. I’m not a fan of Mahomes, with that said he is a great QB, however as much as I would like to see the Ravens beat KC , if the Ravens lose they beat themselves with of all of those penalties. They should be in the lead right now.

    1. Agree. I don’t deny he is a good QB. I’m not a fan of comparing him to Brady. Brady was never an a$$.

      1. Brady absolutely was an ass on the field. Always complained l, begged for calls. Still doesn’t take away from him being incredible. What did Mahomes do to upset folks?

  121. If the Ravens don’t come back when do we start questioning whether Lamar Jackson could get it done in the postseason.

  123. JJ good point, the difference between the two QB ‘s is that Mahomes just like Brady thrives under pressure.

  124. I say that because my QB Dak Prescott is being questioned for not getting done in the postseason with a 2-5 record. Lamar also has that same record in the postseason.

  125. Well the penalties have sure showed up favoring KC. Though a handful were warranted I doubt they would have called them if KC did it. Now I hope the Lions win so I can cheer for them.

    KC/Ravens start qbs
    Lions/49ers awesome teams.
    both different ways of building a team and either way may be how the Patriots rebuild the offense

    1. I don’t know Matt. The ravens had some nasty penalties. And they just didn’t look as put together

      Hoping for the lions but my BIL lives outside of San Francisco so will root for any team that wins next in SB

  126. Watching Kansas City these days is like watching the Pats in the Brady era. KC is not always the best team on the field (like today, and like last week) but they kill you with discipline and situational execution. The Pats did the same thing, it wasn’t always them winning the game but the other team losing it by mistakes. Don’t have to like it (I don’t particularly) but gotta respect it.

  129. WxWatcher is right. The Chiefs out-coach, out-discipline and out-play in clutch moments. Very much like the Patriots dynasty years.

    1. That current Chiefs team is very similar to the Pats team we enjoyed for a long time. They won’t last 20 years, and we’ll see if P.M. can rise to match the accomplishments of TB12, but currently, they are similar to the level that team played at much of the time for 2 decades.

  130. The question were can Mahomes win a playoff game on the road. He has never played a road playoff game in his career. Well he answered that question with two roads wins.
    I am rooting for the Lions! I can’t root for the 49ers as a Cowboys fan.

    1. Snow is picking up here now. This is actually the lull period to the south but the precip is very cellular in nature and the coverage isn’t bad. Still too warm for snow in the coastal plain but as we head through the evening things change from west to east.

  132. NWS pushed the winter weather advisory further east for the lowering temps & 1 to 3 inch snowfall expected overnight / Monday morning.

  133. It’s early in San Francisco, but I’m pretty sure the Thursday opening game of the season was Detroit Lions at Kansas City Chiefs.

    Lions won by 1 pt when they went for and got 2 at the end after a touchdown. Set the tone for their season. It didn’t hurt they struck gold with Jameer Gibbs.

      1. Especially if we don’t get moderate or heavy precip down this way later on after the wind goes more northerly to at least stop the marine layer. If the boundary layer can even get to 35-36, but this 37-39 is a no go.

  135. Tom you are correct Lions Chiefs was the opening game of the year which the Lions won. That game the Chiefs were without Travis Kelce.

  136. If the Lions advance everyone in America with the exception of Chiefs fans will be rooting for the Lions to win their first Super Bowl.

  142. down to 34 here and itr has been snowing for about 1/2 hour it rained off and on for 8 full hours!!!!!

  144. I don’t dislike taylor, I dislike all the attentiong being put on her during the games. I actually Like taylor as a musician. Unlike many of the current “popular artists” she can actually play musical instruments.

    1. I think Taylor is very talented and I actually like a lot of her music But that’s TV / media for you. She’s ratings. Do you know how many non football fans are going to tune in to the super bowl now to catch camera shots? And she’s not even performing! 😉

  145. Oh, Detroit.

    That may have been the worst 9 minute period of playoff football I’ve ever witnessed a team play.

  146. Short range guidance is starting to pick up on a little pseudo-synoptic band feature that may drop a quick inch of snow south of Boston in a very short time before dawn. If that happens, the snowfall rate may make for some very slick travel if you happen to be traveling during the snowfall.

    There might also be some ocean effect bands from Plymouth County to Cape Cod that linger well into Monday afternoon. Keeping an eye on that.

      1. You should be getting in on some more synoptic snowfall, obviously not the ocean effect stuff tomorrow. But before dawn I’d suspect you’d pick up as much as another couple inches. Will all depend on how much moisture can survive on the last leg swinging eastward.

  147. Daughter just went from Beverly to near Nashua NH and said once she got over the NH border it was worse and then the roads were awful. She arrived safe though!

    1. Glad to hear it! I just was trying to explain to somebody in Nashua why this wasn’t going to be all rain for the rest of the way up there. I think they now have visual proof. 😉

    2. That’s great! The haircut prompted me to search Google Images for “duran duran 1980s,” and well …

  150. Most school districts have a 2-hour delay. That seems like a reasonable decision given the timing of the storm.

  151. Game over, Lions were awful in the 2nd half.

    Mahomes and KC get another Super Bowl, they should beat San Fran. Impressive run especislly with the lack of talent on offense. Mahomes is putting himself in the conversation. I get all of you are cheering San Fran on 🙂 but not sure why the disdain for Mahomes. He’s Brady in a different uniform.

    Snow here and 32.7. Not sure why folks didn’t think it would drop tonight.

    1. I know you don’t like Brady. Mahomes is not Brady. Brady was never ever an arrogant jerk. But I understand a good number in NFL nation has always worn green when it comes to Brady and would love to think he doesn’t stand alone.

      I’m not sure about awful for second half. But…..As far as 49ers. Please don’t assume. You know what Felix said.

      If the lions had not been in such a drought I would have been hoping for the 49ers to win. As you should know Mac’s brother lives outside of SF.

      1. I love you all but Brady was arrogant as they come. Always yelling at refs, looking for calls. I loved Brady actually. Never disliked him in anyway. One of the greatest QB ever if not the best. You have to have an edge to be that good.

          1. Nothing to be sorry for :). It’s hard when it’s your team. I always had an objective view as I had no skin in the game. Once again doesn’t take an ounce away from this greatness. It probably made him even better.

            I am excited to finally get a coach tomorrow. Commanders should announce Johnson.

            1. Wow. You are full of it tonight eh? Well last night too. You know damned well what I meant by sorry.

              Back to snow.

              1. Excuse me? Sorry not going down this path. I have never been full of it, you could ask anyone I have ever met. Clearly let’s stay on the weather.

                1. Hey. I just saw this and no he isn’t. We did what adults do. We talked and worked it out and we will move on. I know that isn’t your style. I reached out to you a few times. But that’s ok. Hadi is a friend. Friends can disagree. Please don’t drag me into your game.

        2. He actually was quite humble. He was just into his games. He wanted to play hard. He wanted to win.

          But let’s be honest. You never liked Brady. He didn’t look at refs any more than the next guy. They ALL do that when looking for a call. 🙂 ALL of them. 🙂

          1. Ehhh I didn’t dislike Brady. But it gave him an edge Very different on the field vs off :). My comment was about his field play.

      2. Giving up a 17 lead is awful. Should never happen. I was cheering for the Lions in this one. But a great matchup in the Super Bowl.

  152. Does Campbell ever not go for it on 4th down? Seriously. Twice he could have at least tried a makeable field-goal. That’s stubbornness, and not coaching.

  153. 24-7 lead for the Lions at halftime and get outscored 27-7 in the second half. If the Chiefs win the Super Bowl at age 28 he will have the same number of Super Bowl wins as Brady.

  157. Our drive back from NH this evening went downhill after we passed Concord on I-93. Snow picked up there and was moderate to heavy all the way down to Worcester and Sturbridge. Snow was very heavy in the Nashua area and road conditions were variable on 495, 290, and the Mass Pike. Lots of slush on the interstates and the snow would get heavier in the higher elevations and mix with rain/sleet in a few lower elevation areas including downtown Worcester.

    Things got better once we got into CT on I-84 though right before we were about to get off the exit in Tolland, an SUV spun out and crashed into the center median right in front of us. Fortunately I was in the right lane when it happened!

    Most snow I saw on the ground was outside of Worcester.

    Here in Coventry right now it is 33F with a light mix of precip. We have a slushy inch of snow on the ground but I think we actually got closer to 2″ earlier before it changed to rain and melted/compressed.

      1. Thanks Vicki…I knew it was going to be an interesting ride once we got into southern NH. Would have been more manageable if there weren’t so many cars and trucks on the road. I couldnt believe how many people were out traveling, normally the WSW’s keep people home. Not the case today.

        1. That definitely surprises me too. I am on a very side street but we have cars regularly. I think I saw three or four all day.

  158. Both of my picks lost tonight but….I will still sleep tonight. It’s a game. Frankly, the majority are pompous asses and we just play along. Doesn’t change the fact that we still haven’t had a good snow storm in some time. :-). Have a good Monday WHW family!

    1. Temp 33. Lowest of the day. Who said it would drop? I cannot recall the name but the initials were T and K…maybe 😉

  160. Drive to Logan From South coast was pretty simple – a moderate snow band in Brockton – otherwise just wet roads

    1. More good news. Glad you and Mrs Jimmy B are home safely too. We don’t hear planes a lot here. Or more likely I’m used to the noise when they are high. They flew low today and I suspect the cloud cover pushed sound down. But every time I heard one I thought of Mrs J B

  161. New weather post…

    2.0 for my total here in Woburn.

    Unfortunately I won’t be able to do much post-storm chat today due to work, a cardiologist appointment right after work, and a drive to Hampton with my son right after that.

    Discussion is short and simple. More to come during the week!

  162. morning. well that was a disappointment. 1st accumulation was perhaps 1/4 to 1/2 inch. then 8 hours of rainv before off and on useless snow that perhaps accumulated another 1/2 inch to 3/4 inch. Round it all off to a grand total of 1 inch
    Phase 2 was useless. the whole strom was a waste of tme.

    I have to go back and look but my impression is that the Candadian Rdps/Rgem and the Icon handled this best.

    when is the next opportunity for another under performer?

    This Winter Blows!!!!!

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