Tuesday March 26 2024 Forecast (7:35AM)

60 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 26-30)

A few days of unsettled weather begin today, with a little different set-up for each day. Today, it’s the offshore storm we’ve been watching as it tosses an arm of moisture back our way, eventually dampening our day. Tomorrow, it’s a moist southerly air flow working on the leftovers from today’s system in combination with an approaching trough and cold front from the west. Thursday it will be a wave of low pressure moving up from the south along the aforementioned cold front as it slows down while moving offshore. The wildcard remains for Friday – how fast does that storm wrap up and get out of here and does it mean quicker-drying weather, prolonged rain, or even some snow getting involved at the end of the system? Still not sure, so I’m leaving the forecast as it was worded on yesterday’s blog and will try to tweak the fine-tune knob again tomorrow. It does look like we’ll indeed by dry for the start of the weekend, regardless, albeit breezy and chilly, as we’ll be in a northwesterly air flow behind all of the unsettled weather of this week.

TODAY: Cloudy. Afternoon patchy light rain/drizzle favoring I-95 and east. Highs 40-47. Wind E 10-20 MPH, strongest coast.

TONIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of light rain mainly I-95 eastward, but any spotty precipitation that makes the I-495 belt may fall as freezing rain. Lows 31-38. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely, especially in the afternoon. Highs 45-52 Cape Cod / South Coast, 52-59 elsewhere. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of rain showers early evening. Steadier rain arriving overnight. Lows 38-45. Wind shifting to N 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Overcast. Rain likely. Highs 45-52, coolest coast. Wind NE 10-20 MPH, higher gusts coastal areas / Cape Cod.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Overcast. Rain likely, especially eastern areas. Lows 38-45. Wind NE-N 10-20 MPH.

FRIDAY: Cloudy start with a chance of rain favoring eastern areas. Clearing trend follows. Highs 42-49. Wind N-NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 27-34. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 45-52. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 31 – APRIL 4)

Dry, breezy, chilly weather to round out the weekend and end the month of March. The first few days of April present an opportunity for unsettled weather with rain/mix/snow chances as low pressure tracks to our south with cold high pressure in eastern Canada. This system should be beyond the region with breezy/chilly but dry weather to end the period.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 5-9)

Similar pattern with another opportunity for unsettled weather early to mid period. Looking for a push of high pressure to try to dry the region out later in the period but remains to be seen if we’ll be plagued with upper level low pressure and at least additional cloudiness. Critical forecast for April 8’s solar eclipse (path of totality northern New England) which we’ll be eyeing over the coming days.

60 thoughts on “Tuesday March 26 2024 Forecast (7:35AM)”

  1. Thanks TK !

    1 week past the Vernal Equinox around 11pm tonight, feeling spring for sure !

    Waves of wind driven, thick mist, occasional rain here this morning.

    1. here as well.
      yuck, but hey, this is how I mostly remember early Sprin around hrte
      nothing unusual, except perhaps the amount of rain.

    3. I just saw this on the news. It mentioned searching for seven missing folks. Do we know if they were rescued.

  5. As JP Dave noted, what a tragic catastrophe in Baltimore. That’s a 1.6 mile bridge. A lot of unanswered questions.

  6. I’ll be springing forward with clocks by 1 hour twice in 3 weeks. The first time was a couple of weeks ago here in Boston. The next time will be this weekend in London, Easter Eve (well at 2am).

  7. Been some spotty reports of sleet and or wet snow across the region this morning as some of the moisture moves in off the Atlantic.

  8. Good agreement for Thursday that there is an impressive 500 mb ridge east of us over the Atlantic. That sets up parallel SW flow along the east coast and will send moisture up the east coast, as early as Thursday.

    Here’s that east coast flow and ridge on Thursday

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=500wh&rh=2024032600&fh=60&r=atl&dpdt=&mc=

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=500wh&rh=2024032600&fh=60&r=atl&dpdt=&mc=

    Here’s the 12z HRRR for Thursday showing rain moving into New England

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=refcmp&rh=2024032612&fh=48&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=qpf_012h-imp&rh=2024032612&fh=48&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    The big question is Friday and what becomes of this wave further down the coast.

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=ref1km_ptype&rh=2024032612&fh=48&r=us_se&dpdt=&mc=

    1. Without a direct impact from the Friday low, probably somewhere around 1 inch of rain.

      If a second low on Friday impacts, we could be in for multiple inches of rain and some inland wet snow.

        1. For sure !

          Based on everything, maybe Worcester or Springfield, points west escapes, but the eastern third of Mass, I’m thinking multi inch rains again. Hopefully, trends east.

    1. That was my first thought too.

      And, someone on a video I saw pointed out that the ship that struck it can be seen to have lost power previous to striking the bridge. If true, that explains having lost steering and reverse engines.

      But, yes, way too bridle. Should be able to accept some hit if its a bridge that crosses 1.6 miles of water.

      The whole countries infrastructure is aged. I saw on ch 5 the other day a link of all the deficient bridges in Mass. Don’t look at it, its frightening.

  14. So far, the 12z info has a miss or side swipe on Friday resulting in reasonable, for this year, rainfall amts.

    The GDPS continues to have a deluge central Mass, eastward.

  15. To the bridge collapse.

    I sure agree about our infrastructure.

    I just listened to an update. The ship lost power, dropped its anchor, and issued one or more May days. One side of bridge was closed for pothole etc maintenance. Officials were able to get the other side closed to stop some cars from entering. Not sure of the time between May Day and bridge closure There are five cars under water. They were detected by sonar I believe six people are missing but not sure in that number now

  16. As expected, the information coming in about the bridge collapse is not consistent this early on. I hope that this is correct:

    From https://abcnews.go.com/US/baltimore-key-bridge-collapse-traffic-stopped-collapse/story?id=108510008
    ——————————-
    After personnel on the ship alerted the Maryland Department of Transportation that they lost control of the vessel, local authorities were able to close the bridge before it was struck, “which undoubtedly saved lives,” President Joe Biden said Tuesday during remarks on the disaster.

    A review of traffic cameras by Maryland transportation officials confirmed there were “no vehicles transiting the bridge at the time of the incident,” according to an internal U.S. Department of Homeland Security briefing obtained by ABC News.
    ——————————-
    Unfortunately there are people reported as missing. They were working construction on the bridge.

    1. I guess the question I have is if they had enough time to close the side of the bridge that was open to passing traffic before the impact, were they not able to alert the construction crew in time to evacuate the bridge?

      I’m not automatically assigning fault here. I’m simply curious what those circumstances were and why there was still crew on the bridge if the ship notified the proper authorities of the emergency with enough time to stop traffic flow. Perhaps the authorities were already near the entrance to the bridge in association with the construction, and there simply wasn’t enough time for the crew to be in a safe place…

      1. After seeing the footage, I think I can answer my own question. The last vehicle entered the bridge less than 2 minutes before impact. That probably meant the crew did not have enough time…

        1. I was afraid of that. Thank you SClarke and TK. Again I absolutely a not faulting anyone. I woild have thought the crew had radio contact but that is a wild wile guess.

          I’m listening to Pete Buttigieg now. I missed the start of his speech.

    2. Gov Scott just said there is still an ongoing investigation to determine which vehicles were on the bridge when the ship hit. He reiterated that authorities were able to keep more vehicles from coming onto the bridge.

  18. In the category “the weather could always be worse” – .Minneapolis the wind chill is 7 and they got 5 more inches of snow today after 8 yesterday and 4 three days before that. The high there tomorrow will be 20 – but I have a feeling that also means it won’t be warming up here for awhile

  20. Based on TK’s thoughts above, I would say that the first 7-10 days of April will be our last opportunity of the season for accumulating snow around here. Otherwise, consecutive SNOW BUSTS!!!

    2022-23 = 12.4”
    2023-24 = 9.7” (TBD)

      1. There’s nothing that indicates there can’t be any measurable snow south of Boston in early April. Not sure why you’d say that like you actually knew. There’s no meteorology in that statement whatsoever.

        1. Of course there can be but this year there will not be any !!! Philip said last chance for any measurable snow & I said there won’t be any this year Boston / south . So let’s see if my hunch pans out. Does anyone here think Boston / south will see any meaningful snow accumulation????

    2. Well, I don’t really go beyond that, so who knows. We’ve had snowstorms in late April before.

  22. Pasty drizzle across the entire region most of this evening. It’s one of those “saturated” nights without rain, just tiny droplets of water, very small diameter, just floating around and soaking everything.

    1. Maybe there is hope to salvage this snowless season? Or has it already disappeared on the next model run as I am typing this? Lol. 😀

  25. It is 40F atop Mt Washington and 47F at both 3,300 and 4,000 ft on the auto road (per Mt Washington webpage)

    Inland, any place that sees any sun today, the temps will zoom.

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