Sunday June 1 2025 Forecast (7:47AM)

78 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 1-5)

Change the month / change the pattern. I used to joke about this with colleagues in my early days of forecasting. It just seemed like this happened enough times that it was a “thing”, but it’s really just a coincidence. We start June today with lingering effects from the pattern we had much of May, but immediately begin a transition to a newer pattern which will dominate the next 5 days. Today we welcome June but continue to feel impact from yesterday’s storm system as low pressure swirls in eastern Canada while drifting away. We’ll be under the influence of its circulation through Monday, but most notably today when we have a gusty breeze and start the day with a fair amount of stratocumulus clouds in the storm’s back-side circulation. Additionally, as clear patches allow more sun to shine, the cold air aloft in combination with the solar heating of the surface will trigger cumulus cloud development. I don’t think the cloud cover will be as extensive as last Sunday’s similar set-up (if you recall that), but the sun will most definitely be limited, along with below normal temperatures, so it will be a bit cool-feeling if you’re outside. Additionally, I cannot completely rule out a spot shower wandering into the region mainly north and west of Boston late in the day. Monday’s weather will be less breezy and more sunny, and while it’s still on the cooler side of normal, you’ll feel it as warmer out there with the combination of less wind and more sun. High pressure slides south of our region Tuesday through Thursday, and those days will feature a significant warm-up – a nice summer preview. Fair weather will be ours Tuesday and Wednesday, also much of Thursday, but a cold front approaching from the northwest later Thursday can trigger some shower and thunderstorm activity. The details of that threat, unknown at this point, will be clarified as we get closer to that day.

TODAY: Many clouds / intervals of sun. A spot shower potential late-day, favoring areas north of I-90 and west of I-95. Highs 62-69. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 51-58. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 66-73. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 53-60. Wind W under 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 75-82, cooler Cape Cod. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 55-62. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 78-85, cooler South Coast. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Fog patches interior valley locations. Lows 57-64. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms late-day. Highs 83-90 except cooler South Coast. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 6-10)

A frontal boundary will be nearby June 6-8. This time, no big low pressure areas – different pattern. What we do have to work out is a couple of waves of low pressure that will have an impact on the front’s position and associated shower / thunderstorm threats. It’s pretty far into the future, but my current leaning is the frontal boundary stays to our northwest June 6 (Friday), then moves through in the early hours of June 7 (Saturday), settles to the south, before making a temporary run back this way later June 8 (Sunday). The sensible weather from this scenario would be a shower and thunderstorm threat Friday night and first thing Saturday, and a shower threat later Sunday. Indications are for high pressure and fair weather early the following week (June 9-10).

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 11-15)

Continued uncertainty about the details of the pattern, and current leaning in this time frame is for weak blocking with high pressure north, low pressure south, and our region favored to be on the drier side of that pattern, but having to watch low pressure to the south, “just in case”. Again, don’t hang up on any details here – this is just a general idea for now.

78 thoughts on “Sunday June 1 2025 Forecast (7:47AM)”

      1. Thank you! Even though it was a snowstorm that got my into weather, the tropics have always been my favorite to watch/forecast. As TK can attest, Hurricane Bob came through during the summer between my freshman and sophomore years at ULowell, and I was already named the Lead Forecaster for the Student Weather Center. I spent more than 48 straight hours in the weather lab with another student (whom I still chat with often). The Monday that the storm hit, we were doing updates for Campus Police all day, I was doing live updates on WLLH radio every hour, and we had a reporter from the Lowell Sun up there to do a story on us. That is still my favorite day as a meteorologist.

        1. I had already graduated (1990) when that came through but I remember it well and hearing about you practically moving into the weather lab. haha! Dedication for sure.

          Eventually, we’ll be talking about another event like that. It’s just a question of when.

  3. Person: “When are we going to have consistent highs in the 70s for a like a month?”

    Me: We never get that. We never have. Not where we live.

    Person: “It used to happen all the time!”

    Me: (Pulls up several examples of how it’s never happened). “No, it never has. Numbers don’t lie. Not sure where you got that from, but it wasn’t reality.” 😉

    Sometimes you gotta be a little harsh to get the point across, but I’m sorry, whatever the cause of these false notions are, people have to get a grip.

    It’s kind of like when you hear someone say “It’s supposed to be 72 today”. No. That’s the long term average of all the temperatures recorded on the date. It’s not supposed to be 72 every year on this date.

    #Facts

    I’m good, just needed to vent that. HAHAHA. Off to go food shopping for mom. 🙂

      1. I just don’t get how somebody living in a region for so long actually has no real clue what the climatology of the region and resultant weather are.

    2. That use of “supposed to” drives me nuts, but I’m learning to live with it. 🙂

      The average high temperature for a day could be 72 and that could have been the high temperature on that day zero times!

      If I live past the life expectancy for US males, my mantra will be:
      “I’m supposed to be dead!”

      And probably also:
      “Get off my lawn!”

      1. I’ve already done that, so I guess I am “supposed” to be dead. 🙂 🙂

    3. I think most of us who work in the sciences have to vent these days or we will blow a casket with all the ignorance.

  4. Good morning and thank you TK.

    58 here after low of 52.

    can we make 70? Likely not.
    how about 67 or 68?????

    Have a good start here. We shall see.

  5. Thanks TK! May 2025 will certainly not go down as one or my favorite Mays of all time. Seems appropriate that my Knicks got knocked out on the last day of May

    1. In the minority for sure, I loved May. Rain is very enjoyable to me.

  8. June 1st: Meteorological Summer. Atlantic and Central Pacific Hurricane Season.

    In the ePac, Alvin has disappeared and a possible something is forming … maybe.

  9. TK I see variably cloudy for tonight. Will there be enough clouds to block any Aurora chances?

    1. I do think it will clear out enough. 🙂 Now it’s just a matter of the 2nd CME. The big one is WAY early, which lessens the chance of a bigger display.

  10. Thanks TK
    14 years ago today the EF 3 Springfield tornado. This was the first tornado in New England I saw captured on live television as it crossed the CT River heading for downtown Springfield. The tornado was on the ground for 38 miles. Earlier that day a warm front came through in the morning with showers and thunderstorms. The skies cleared and early that afternoon a tornado watch was issued. The severe parameters showed potential for a severe weather outbreak. CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) was near 4,000 lift index values between -8 – 10 and elevated mixed layer was in place.

    1. Thank you, JimmyJames. I suspect many here remember that day as if it were yesterday

      I’ll try to remember to look back on this blog to read comments.

    2. If you drive along I-84 just south of the Mass Pike, you can still see the area where the tornado went through.

      1. You know what’s “funny” is I used to drive that very spot regularly, and have literally been through there only 2 times since that event, and both times you couldn’t see anything because 1) On the way down to CT it was foggy and rainy and visibility was horrendous; 2) On the way back from CT it was foggy and rainy, and nighttime, and the visibility was even worse. I am going to have to make a fair weather trip down there and while I’m at it I’ll stop by my brother’s place in Manchester CT.

        1. Make sure you stop at Rein’s Deli in Vernon either on the way down or the way back (or both!) You won’t be disappointed.

            1. That has been a regular stop for us on the way to NY/NJ since it was in the old location across the street!

    1. Definitely miss Barry B. on the TV (and social media)!

      He is an occasional WHW reader. 🙂

        1. Right up there with my all time faves in Boston TV. The legends that defined broadcasting back then. Some of it lasted into the 2000s, and while we have our share of on air folks I admire, the general atmosphere of the media is far different and less enjoyable these days – but no knock on my current favorites, for sure. 🙂

          As I’ve said before, I don’t always love how things are presented, but they also have to present in the way that pleases “the boss”. Some of them get around it pretty well though. 🙂

  13. Pretty chilly today. ONLY 59 here so far. Temperature is just not going up. The clouds are not helping and neither is the wind.

    1. I have a 62-69 range. I think we’ll get into the lower part of that range, but I’m not so sure how many places make it to the middle and upper part of it … maybe nobody. 😉

    1. WHY was I so obsessed about snow stats in late May/early June?!?

      NOT one of my more “intelligent” posts.

      Now I have to ask: When did “Old Salty” become “JPD”? 😉

  15. Thanks TK.

    Ended up with 1.41” of rain on the day yesterday and finished with 9.28” on the month of May. We ended up driving down to the shore late yesterday PM just to get out of the rain and get a short hike in with the dog at Bluff Point State Park in Groton. Was much nicer down there when breaks of blue skies and temps in the mid 60s. It pretty much ended up a washout in Coventry.

    Cloudy and breezy here today and temp still only at 54F.

    1. Love it! And you can even go back to one version before that (see link he provides in there).

  17. According to Kelly Ann (Ch. 5), May 2025 was the wettest on record:

    Boston = 14.42”
    Worcester = 16.80”

    2. Not sure where those numbers came from, but they are clearly not totals for May. If you’re talking about Spring, they are not even remotely close to the wettest on record.

      Boston – 14.48″, 22nd wettest (record is 22.10″ in 1953)
      Worcester – 16.80″, 10th wettest (record is 22.40 in 1983)

      Also:
      Blue Hill – 16.09″, 23rd wettest (record is 23.91″ in 2010)

      1. I see what you mean. Kelly Ann touted those numbers so proudly (twice) on this morning’s newscast. I thought something didn’t seem right.

        Maybe tv mets should stop posting so many stats? It seems every time I repeat them here, they’re rarely even remotely correct. I always try to listen attentively before I post.

        1. OK, according to NWS Climo Stats:

          Boston = 14.48” (Since March 1)
          Worcester = 16.80” (Since March 1)

          Meteorological Spring (March, April, May)

      2. SAK’s #’s are correct. I didn’t see the TV broadcast so I’m not sure what happened there. I’ll see if I can find a video of it.

          1. It’s the Wettest Spring for both Boston and Worcester since 2024.

            Boston 14.48″ this year, 16.72″ last year.
            Worcester: 16.80″ this year, 21.02″ last year.

          2. I was trying to figure what since 3/1 meant. Just wettest in that two month period only???

  19. High altitude smoke has moved over marshfield.

    In the breaks could see the deep blue to our north with a hazy, milky sky overhead and to the south.

    1. A pretty thick plume exists to the south and the northern edge is coming up in here now. This may be a visibility issue for any potential aurora later, especially Boston south, but the guidance does have it sliding back to the southeast with time, and thinner tomorrow.

    1. 59-66 or 60-67 would have been a better forecast temp range for me today. I was a little high at 62-69.

      1. I cannot imagine anyone would fault two degrees. Your forecast was great. That said, May I order several more of these days

        1. We’ll have a few more of these heading through June. While it warms up, I don’t see anything that resembles a “hot” pattern in the near future, at least not a persistent one.

          1. That’s good, especially for JPD’s wife. 🙂

            Of course I hate HHH as well.

  22. Thanks SC for that WCVB link from this morning. While the “stats” by themselves are correct, being the “Wettest On Record” is TOTALLY INCORRECT!

    I don’t know what Kelly Ann was thinking.

  26. Red Sox’s Crochet threw 112 pitches in today’s game. You see it but not often.

    1. Sox are right where I expected. Right around .500 …

      Seems a big percentage of the fan base expected them to go 162-0 this season. 😉

    2. He has a sub 2.00 ERA, avg more than 1K per inning, it’s very early, but he has to be in the top running for the Cy Young award and he’s 5-4.

      With more support, he’s easily 8-1 or 9-0

  27. Wow! Lots of great information. Glad to hear about the warm up. Sitting with my winter coat on, on JUNE 1ST, was not in my plans. Lololol. Still hoping for some display for the aurora tonight. I will say I’m not as confident as I was yesterday, but I’ll be out there hoping. Thanks!

  28. Thanks, TK.

    Very comfortable today for the first day of meteorological summer.

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