Saturday May 31 2025 Forecast (8:35AM)

48 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (MAY 31 – JUNE 4)

An unsettled Saturday to close out May is what we have for our area today. This is due to low pressure cutting across the region – center passing over the western reaches of the WHW forecast area. The most widespread rainfall has already occurred, with the last couple bands of showers and downpours moving through from south to north as I write this, and a dry slot already starting to move in from the south. The latter will overspread most of the region with an episode of at least partial clearing – maybe even full sunshine for some areas for a couple hours. As the low center pulls further north, we switch from a southerly air flow to a westerly air flow. Wrap-around moisture will return a lot of clouds to the sky this afternoon along with at least isolated to scattered showers. Sometimes convergence of air on the back sides of these systems as they finish peaking in intensity can consolidate the showers into a more widespread rainfall area, and this is a possibility, especially for areas north of I-90, at some point late-day / evening. Playing the forecast wording as just scattered showers, but watch for this at the end of the day. Drier air will spread in overnight and Sunday as the low pulls further away. With some chill air aloft thanks to upper level low pressure, we’ll still see diurnal clouds pop up on Sunday and some already existing stratocumulus clouds associated with the upper low, so it won’t be a perfectly sunny first day of June, but it will be nicer than today, though you’ll have to put up with a gusty breeze if you plan to be outside. Another wrap-around batch of clouds may greet you first thing Monday, and I still think some diurnal cloud popping up takes place that day too, but it looks like quite a nice day just the same. On yesterday’s update, I was concerned about a low pressure area to our south being too close to allow a warm-up to last more than one day before being interrupted, but the indications are stronger that this low will be further south and weaker, allowing high pressure to sink to a position just south of New England Tuesday and Wednesday. Result: Dry weather and a strong warm-up.

TODAY: Clouds, fog, showers, downpours around into mid morning but a clearing trend south to north mid morning to midday before lots of clouds return from the west with isolated to scattered showers in the afternoon. Highs 66-73. Wind S 5-15 MPH shifting to W, a few higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy with showers likely early, then variably cloudy. Lows 49-56. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 62-69. Wind W 10-20 MPH, few higher gusts.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 51-58. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 66-73. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 53-60. Wind W under 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 75-82, cooler Cape Cod. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 55-62. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 78-85, cooler South Coast. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 5-9)

A frontal boundary from the north drifts into the region early in this period bringing the chance of a shower or thunderstorm. Current thinking is low pressure moving into the Great Lakes and eventually north of our area pulls the boundary back to the north with warm weather and less of a shower and thunderstorm chance June 6, then pulls the front back through with a few showers early June 7, followed by fair weather later in the period. Temperatures cool down briefly then warm up again late period.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 10-14)

There has been a lot of non-clarity about how the pattern shapes up heading toward mid June. The latest trend is for weak blocking but configured with high pressure over our area and low pressure well to the south. This set-up would be fair and seasonable, coolest coast most days. Still not the highest confidence on this outlook, so check updates.

48 thoughts on “Saturday May 31 2025 Forecast (8:35AM)”

  8. Thank you, TK!

    Up to 63 from 59. 59 DP. And 0.30 in the bucket since midnight. We had bright sunshine but clouds are moving back in.

  9. Thanks TK.

    Mix of sun/clouds with patches of blue sky here.

    According to a tv morning met, this makes the 11th consecutive rainy Saturday. The last dry one was on March 15th. I wonder if this is going to be typical heading into the summer? Will wet weekends overall be the general theme for the foreseeable future?

    Boston #4 or #5 wettest May?

    1. Rain for a couple hours out of the day is not a rainy day. 😉

      And it’s not likely to be rule summer theme. This has been the spring weather pattern. Weather does not know days of the week. It just occurs according to the pattern that’s driving it.

    1. What the Rolling Stones do SO well is translate R&B music into their own inimitable style, whether it’s songs they wrote themselves or ones they’re covering. To this day, I’m astounded at how gifted they are at doing this.

    2. Awesome. Never heard them play that one before.

      I saw them live at the old Boston Garden way back in 1965!
      So many people screaming, I could barely hear them., but they
      looked great!!!!

    1. Hahaha!!

      I still think it’s amusing how a few hours of rain on a weekend day is allowed to ruin the entire weekend for so many people, because media tells them it has to. I’m not that gullible, and wouldn’t be even if I didn’t like the rain, which I do anyway. 😉

      1. Walked the shore in some misty drizzle early AM. it was okay by me. Though it rained, I consider a pretty nice day.

  14. Trying to sit on the porch but it’s chilly ! Very , very strong breeze again as all my plants blew down .

  15. As TK said above, “Weather does not know days of the week.”

    According to yesterday’s page in a calendar that someone gave us, it’s actually the sun that knows.
    🙂

    https://ibb.co/pjdzY2yS

  16. It went from a beautiful sun/puffy cloud mix during the late morning to a dark, scary, breezy early afternoon here. Yes, I suppose there will still be dry times but I bet there will be plenty of WET times as well to conclude this “Saturday”.

    Looking at radar, there is a decent chunk of rain well to our west that has to come east.

    1. Exactly how I said it would play out. And the vast majority of daytime today is rain-free. Still doesn’t change that fact. 🙂

      Don’t buy into everything you hear from media. 🙂

  17. Thanks TK.

    Lousy day here today so far in northern CT. 58F and we just had another period of wind blown rain in the last hour. Up to 0.72” in the rain gauge for the event and 8.6” on the month of May.

    1. See .. you are further west, in the back-lash, so that’s not a surprise.

      1. Yep, and pouring again now. There have been few breaks in the rain here today.

        1. Yes. And I know somebody out that way who lives north of you, and I told them their day would not be as nice as ours to the east. It hasn’t been that bad here at all after the wet, foggy start. Now it’s heading downhill again.

    1. topped out at 68 here and now has dropped off to 62. Just had a light rain shower. heavier rain off to the West.

  20. Now after those several mainly dry hours across the bulk of the region, as was expected, we’ll get into a more showery pattern heading into late afternoon / early evening before it diminishes and pulls out with the departing low pressure area.

    No surprises today – everything going along as was anticipated with the exception of slightly under-achieving high temps. This has been the thing so far in 2025, under-achieving temps based on forecasts. Very few over-achieving instances.

    1. Been on and off drizzle here since maybe 2:00. Although I didn’t go out till 2 so could have been drizzle before. Only added 0.01

  21. It started raining again here at 2:58. For the record, TWC predicted that the rain would start at 3:00.

    I do use the short-range hourly forecasts a lot for planning outdoor activities and find it very helpful. I know it TWC, but I’m not picky!

    1. App, right? It updates its radar info and calculates the arrival and ends times based on those radar feeds and knowing your locations. Not really any meteorological skill from TWC there, just computer programming that worked out well in this particular application. 🙂

      1. I just use the website, if that’s what you mean by app.

        I know there’s nothing deep going on, but who else pays attention to Lunenburg?
        🙂

  22. Still pouring here and down to 55F. Up to 1.12” on the day and now 9” even on the month of May.

  23. I’m down here in Sarasota again , the cold front from the storm up north barely limped through here. By the time I get back up to Rhode Island around June 14 I’m hopeing for consistency with some warm weather.

    1. Climatologically it’s “warmer”, but it’s also still spring at that point, so we’re not into the full summer warmth. We’ll see what the pattern dictates at that time.

  24. I don’t know if it’s because I’m sick today & feeling like I have a fever., but I found today kind of uncomfortable & felling really cold for low 60s.

    1. The air has a chill now, but earlier there was a spike in humidity and it was pretty mild (though less than the potential high was). The cooler westerly air flow reached your area probably before it got to me because of the circulation around the low pressure area.

    1. Where did you get that? And no, the pattern changes after this system. I wrote that in my discussion.

      Don’t let media’s 7-day and 10-day graphics and silly things the news anchors say influence you. Check Woods Hill Weather for the real story. 🙂

      1. It was the evening tv met on Ch. 5 who posted the #12 graphic and had showers for next Saturday. Seeing that, what else am I to think? Until you update info here on WHW, I have little choice but to believe the media.

        The only difference between me and the general viewing public is that I have connections to WHW to get the proper weather info. 🙂

        1. Well, you can see a shower icon on a day that has a rain shower at 6:00AM (for example) and is dry the rest of the day. This is entirely possible. A rainy day is generally rainy from start to finish, or a good 75% or more of the day.

          MOST of these weekend days have had rain for under 75% of the time, many of them under 50% of the time. While it’s most certainly been unsettled during the month of May (and several partial weekends prior to that), it most definitely has not been as bad as the media has been saying. The factual data will derail their drama immediately. 🙂

Comments are closed.