Saturday June 7 2025 Forecast (8:27AM)

99 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 7-11)

A quick look back at yesterday: Wind damage from morning thunderstorms parts of north central MA to Merrimack Valley. Flash flooding and pockets of strong wind from slow-moving storms and heavy rain late day / evening central MA into southern NH, but activity largely stayed away from the Boston area as was expected, until much weaker and just as remnant showers. The cold front responsible for that will be moving slowly across our region from northwest to southeast today. With more extensive cloud cover the atmosphere will not be nearly as unstable as it was yesterday. Additionally, a low pressure wave passes offshore to our southeast, putting more marine-stable air into southeastern areas. That low itself may trigger a few showers this morning on Nantucket and perhaps Martha’s Vineyard, but its main rain area will stay over the water. That low actually serves to keep showers from forming and moving in sooner, giving the front a pause. But as the front does move slowly along, it will be the focus for a widespread area of showers. Just enough instability along the leading edge of this will allow for some new development of showers and possible isolated thunderstorms, but for the most part we’re looking at a non-severe event dominated by “just rainfall” messing up some more outdoor plans. Finally, the front starts to accelerate offshore this evening and tonight with drier air arriving, though some lingering low level moisture can result in fog patches. Sunday, a weak area of high pressure moves in with a sun/cloud mix, but we won’t have to worry about any shower activity (yay!). While winds will be light, a general onshore flow will keep the coast coolest. The frontal boundary that moves through will not be that far away as it becomes stationary to our south tomorrow – sound familiar? It should as this pattern has happened several times this spring. A wave of low pressure will be forming on it to our southwest and moving out south of our area on Monday. Initially this will result in more clouds coming back in later Sunday into early Monday, and perhaps some shower activity favoring the South Coast. About half the computer guidance takes this system far enough north for showery Monday, while the other half of the guidance keeps it further south with less impact. I am leaning toward the drier scenario with a narrow but just-strong-enough ridge of high pressure to our northeast holding just enough dry air over our region. This will not be the case Tuesday, however, as a stronger push from a trough and low pressure area from the southwest will bring a warm front through with some rainfall, then a cold front to follow with showers. The cold front pushes offshore as low pressure passes to our north Tuesday night, resulting in improving weather by Wednesday with a drier westerly air flow taking over. Wednesday may be one of those “warmer behind a cold front” days, which are not unusual for this part of the country especially in spring / early summer when you’re replacing a marine-influence warm air mass from the south with a land-warmed air mass from the west behind the front. I feel pretty confident in calling for that scenario even though it’s “day 5”.

TODAY: Mostly cloudy. Region-wide light fog through mid morning. Patchy thicker fog near South Coast all day. Isolated light showers possible anywhere this morning except mid morning showers more likely Nantucket and Martha’s Vineyard. Widespread showers and possible leading edge thunderstorms northwest to southeast midday to end of afternoon. Highs 68-75 coast, 75-82 inland. Dew point 60+. Wind variable, mainly SE to S up to 10 MPH, shifting to SW then NW from northwest to southeast late in the day.

TONIGHT: Any early showers near South Coast / Cape Cod ending, otherwise partly cloudy with patchy fog. Lows 55-62. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 70-77, coolest coast. Wind N up to 10 MPH followed by coastal sea breezes.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers south of I-90. Lows 55-62. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy early including a chance of showers south of I-90, then partial sunshine. Highs 68-75, coolest coast. WindE up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clouds re-thicken. Lows 55-62. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Chance of thunderstorms. Highs 68-75. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. Clearing overnight. Patchy fog. Lows 55-62. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sun / cloud mix. Highs 78-85. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 12-16)

Dry, warm westerly air flow June 12. Disturbance / frontal system brings a shower chance June 13. High pressure builds in after that with dry weather and seasonable temperatures, coolest coast.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 17-21)

Unsettled weather early in the period followed by a more summery feel to the weather pattern, pretty much in time for the official arrival of summer (solstice occurs late at night – 10:54 p.m. June 20).

99 thoughts on “Saturday June 7 2025 Forecast (8:27AM)”

  2. Good morning and thank you TK.

    You mentioned a chance of a thunderstorm.

    Here is the 11Z HRRR lightning flash display

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=lgtden&rh=2025060711&fh=10&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    precip

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=ref1km_ptype&rh=2025060711&fh=10&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    composite reflectivity

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=refcmp&rh=2025060711&fh=10&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    NOT nearly as extensive as the 10Z run.

    I wonder if it disappears with the 12Z run. 🙂

        1. I get it. I like almost any variety of donuts. Jelly are great as are the jelly cruellers or whatever thay are called.

  7. Thanks TK! You nailed it yesterday – impressive forecast and the same I am sure will happen today. This is the time of year where I get very particular about my weather needs since I live by a beach. I yearn for “beach weather” this time of year – on weekends after putting in long hours during the week. So far we are now 0-3 in that category. Ugh!

  9. Thanks TK.

    Graduation this am was moved inside here as I posted at the end of the last blog. Foggy and misting outside right now. The silver lining is that we got here early and are 5 rows in front of the podium. Wouldn’t have gotten nearly this close if it were on the football field.

  10. Wishes for a very special graduation for our whw seniors. Congratulations to all!

  11. I’d like to reask about the warnings for Sutton yesterday. They were very mixed up. I and others received multiple t storm warnings for my area. There was never a storm near us.

    Is this just a fluke or part of the nws short staffing issues.

    1. It seems that whatever app or entity issued the warnings, it “appears” to have been done by county. I agree that is sucks!!!
      It should be broken down by town or zip code and NOT county alone. That is STUPIDTY!!! Someone is too lazy to fine tune the app algorithm!! Especially IF they used Worcester county to combine Southern Worcester Country with Northern Worcester county!!!!!

      See map below of Worcester County. It extends from the NH border to the RI border. One can have a range of sensible weather between those 2 points, especially when dealing with thunder Storms.

      https://ibb.co/1JvY6T4r

      So Fitchburg is circled in red and Sutton circled in blue.

      If a severe storm is at Fitchburg, A severe Storm Warning would be issued for Worcester County and thus Sutton would receive the Warning!!! By looking at the map, one can see how absolutely SILLY it is to issue the warning by County!!!!!

      PURE LUNACY!!!!!!

      1. NWS severe thunderstorm warnings are not issued by county. they’re quite specific to cities / towns impacted and projected path.

        Any time you see issues like this it’s nearly always in the transfer of information AFTER it leaves NWS (and many times APP faults are the reason).

        1. Exactly what I mean. Our warnings yesterday were issued by Worcester county as a whole. I’ve never seen what I did yesterday.

          It’s possibly JPD is seeing the same thing now.

            1. They came from somewhere? Was it the NBC 10 app you installed? OR did it come directly from the NWS to your phone? If that is the case, they have a POORLY designed warning system! REALLY POOR as in PISS-POOR!!!
              PISS-POOR PREPARATION EQUALS PISS-POOR PERFORMANCE!!!!

              THEY SHOULD BE ASHAMED OF THEMSELVES.

              I do not believe it was due to staffing cuts as I think this was all in place before the cuts. Whoever designed the system fell short big time. Clearly those warning should be issued by zip code or at least by towns and NOT NOT NOT counties. It certainly can be done, even if it is more work.

              1. You’re right. I thought about my comment and I misspoke.

                No. I was getting too many warnings from nbc10 so uninstalled.

                Wunder had the t storm and flood warning. It has never given me a warning that isn’t area specific. Half the time it is how I learn of a warning. I see it there and then ck radar for box.

                Let me see if I can find where the pop up warnings came from

          2. I see it, but not nearly as bad as your ares. my warning would be for Suffolk county which is a MUCH smaller area that Worcester County. However, from time to time a warned storm may be passing more to my North over Chelsea, Revere or Winthrop, all part of Suffolk county, so I see it from time time, but it least the storm would have be relatively close by.

            1. I have never been warned when my area isn’t under the warning box.

              I delete my pop ups end of day. They could have come from my radar pro. I can see I got a flood warning from them. Although we didn’t have a drop of rain

  13. Last night, the dps were 62/63F down by the CC Canal, this morning, they are 66F/67F. Quite noticeably humid, but the cloud cover and breeze are making it comfortably tropical.

    1. I think Worcester is now at 12 Saturdays in a row for measurable precipitation?

  18. Thanks, TK…

    It’s official. Middleborough High is going with an indoor/gymnasium graduation ceremony scheduled for 6 pm.
    Both our gym and auditorium are air conditioned. Each grad gets four tickets each for the gym. The overflow is the auditorium.

    Our state-of-the-art school has an incredible camera and video system. There’s a videoboard in the gym and the ceremony will be shown in the auditorium on livestream.

    I think they made a great decision based on the forecast. Even if it doesn’t rain or storm during graduation, I would bet most would be uncomfortable in the humidty with graduation gowns on. Here’s hoping the AC system works well.

    Mansfield and Norton High Schools use the xFinity Center/Great Woods as their graduation venue each year. I guess it’s part of the towns’ agreement with Great Woods. It’s “outdoors”, but the guests are under the roof. And, the Great Woods staff sets up and breaks down the ceremony.

    Mark, congratulations again to you, your son and family!!! 🙂

    1. Thanks Captain!

      When we walked out of the auditorium at 11:20 it was still dry outside then started sprinkling a few minutes later. Back home and absolutely pouring now.

      So in retrospect, they could have squeezed it in at the football field but better safe than sorry. Looking at the radar loop, we got lucky that the rain held off that long.

    2. Sounds like a perfect decision. Best wishes to all graduates and all teachers and staff! And of course parents.

  21. Pounding rain here now. We’re right under that newly-formed band which is ahead of the cold front, which is absolutely crawling.

    1. Almost like when a tropical is going by, the front waits for it to pass and then the low pulls the front offshore quicker once the low goes by us.

      1. This set-up is not all that different … just have a weak cold core low out there instead of a tropical one. But we basically have a quasi-tropical air mass in place. The dew points are super high, but we’re pretty saturated since the air itself is not that warm.

        Right now it’s like somebody is sitting above my area wringing out a REALLY wet cloth.

        1. Hope it starts to move out of your area soon. Right now it’s northwest of us and we have had a couple of sunny breaks.

          1. It’s not going anywhere anytime soon ……. I’m not in a flood prone spot here (on the western slope of a hill) but there will be and probably already is some flooding in parts of this area.

            1. Looks like the radar echos are lightening up over your area ever so slightly. My daughter and her fiancé are heading to Winchester from her for a graduation party around 430. Worried about them on 128 in the torrential rain.

            2. We have 0.99. Grandson said a couple of roads are flooded near Sutton center.

              Our flood warning was yesterday … no warning today.

              I am honestly not faulting a department I know is struggling with a low staff. I am worried that this is concerning

        2. The low passing by is the one that NHC flagged with a 10% chance for development off the Carolinas a few days ago. Obviously it did develop, since the central pressure is down to 1006mb, but not as a tropical system.

  22. It has rained a lot of Saturdays in a row but then a lot of it has been of little consequence. For the weekend beach-goer, it has been cloudy on Saturdays and today is a little tough for those graduating or playing outdoor sports. On the other hand, some of the Saturdays only recorded a trace and on others the rain was confined to early mornings or off-hours.

    The only Saturday problems I have had are trail hiking. When it rains heavily and you are climbing, the water can coming streaming down the trail, and getting over brooks can be a challenge. And then there is the mud. Oh well, one one of these Saturdays!

    1. 7 day outlook there – we tend to see higher potential over a longer period of days. I think only one of those will become “something”.

      The tropics across the entire northern hemisphere are and have been very quiet (again) this year. This has been the theme now overall for several seasons. INCLUDING the active Atlantic seasons. The Atlantic is only one basin.

      The numbers continue to be down overall.

      1. I often wonder how much climate oscillations have to do with hurricane seasons. When I say “how much” what I mean is whether ENSO or AMO or others have a small, moderate or strong effect on Atlantic tropical system development. Is a neutral ENSO a small or huge factor. I do not know enough about it.

        1. The basic rule of them starts with…

          La Nina years are active in Atlantic and less so in Pacific.
          El Nino years are the opposite.
          Neutral (La Nada) years, either way depending on other factors.

          Obviously “other factors” are in play regardless of ENSO,

          AMO is being observed to have a huge effect on a lot of things, including the temperature globally. More will be revealed about that in the years ahead thanks to scientific study.

          -AMO periods tend to be associated with quieter hurricane seasons in the Atlantic, while +AMO periods are the opposite. Again, not a guarantee as other factors come into play.

    1. according to the 18Z HRRR, it should be out of here shortly near or after 7PM, We shall see.

  26. Drove to Hull for early dinner in an absolute torrential downpour through Scituate.

    1. If only we had this moisture supply back in the winter…oh well. Another discussion for another season. ❄️

      1. The pattern is what it is. 🙂

        This moisture was GOOD. Our drought is gone.

  28. I would say that the mainstream/social media now has a “true” Saturday WASHOUT! 🙂

    The previous Saturdays have been quite variable to be fair. Regardless certainly today counts as #11 or #12. I keep seeing different #s by different tv mets. Next up 6/14?

    Let’s say this Saturday is the WETTEST of the bunch?

    1. Still not a wash-out except well north and west where the rain started this morning.

      Much of the region had a fairly rain-free morning.

      That said, it was one of the wetter ones of the stretch, in an overall sense. But no, mainstream & social media that mentioned it do not get credit for it. Needed a few more hours of rain in most of the region for that to be true.

      Example: Here in NW suburbs, where a lot of people live, we had a nice morning, yeah cloudy, but mild, a little humid, no rain. I went for a nice walk around the school grounds. A lot of people were out and about. The rain did not begin here until after noon. That does not qualify as a wash-out.

  30. Depending on the breakability of the lower clouds, we may see sun (or at least hints of it) in much of our area before it sets.

  31. At least any future Drought Maps should be completely clear going into the summer at least.

    I believe last year at this time we were heading into a fairly long term drought that continued into the fall and even much of this spring.

    1. Well I wouldn’t get that far ahead. We are BARELY adequate, and all it takes is a couple weeks of below normal precip to start building a new one.

      I’d say we’re OK for about 2 weeks. After that we’ll see.

  32. Pouring in Pembroke , sitting on the front farmers porch with a nice coffee.

  33. Considering the sun angle should be almost at its highest, I am somewhat surprised it’s been so “dark” this afternoon. I have seen winter cloudy days brighter than this.

    When I think of “dark days” I usually think of late fall and winter seasons.

  34. We’re getting consistent moderate to heavy rain now.

    My wife and I were saying ….. we wouldn’t want a full camping season of this, but a rainy day here and there on the campground is actually quite fun.

    We are sitting under the extended canopy from our campground, enjoying some beverages and just philosophizing the world 🙂 🙂 🙂

    It’s also fun to watch the water gather and flow across your campsite and yes, depending on how the campsite is, sometimes you have to dodge an unexpected stream. 🙂

  35. I am tuned into the Belmont Stakes, last of The Three. I cannot help it, but I will never forget the 1973 Belmont Stakes run of Secretariat. I am not a horse race person, but it was just surreal! He won by 31 lengths.

    BTW, race this year is being held at Saratoga where the weather looks great for a race.

  36. According to David Williams on Ch. 5, there is a 40% chance of rain for #13 next Saturday.

    Suggestion for these “rainy” Saturdays:

    “Don’t cancel any outdoor plans just yet, but don’t make any either.” 😉

    1. Home from terrific fun with my older daughter, my son and their families. Indoors.

      But I can see the moon do clouds must be breaking.

    2. Can’t put a % chance on rainfall that far in advance.

      This is exactly my point about media … why bother hyping up #13 now? It serves zero use. Zero. And it distracts from useful weather information that’s far more important in the shorter term.

  37. Pink skies now on the western horizon. We ended up with an even 1” of rain here today.

    1. Ribbit!

      I drove thru some pretty dense fog in the distant western suburbs earlier.

      1. Haha. It’s even thicker since I posted. House across the street is covered by fog

  40. WBZ radio is constantly running a recording of yesterday morning’s (Saturday) overnight AccuWeather forecast. That might actually be a new low imo,

    WBZ radio in general has certainly lost its way over the years. Overnight radio is risky as it is.

    2. It was all over once iHeart took over.

      They make the anchors act foolish – it’s kind of that MTV / TWC “dramatic entertainment” attitude that I find rather stupid, especially for a medium that was such an established and GOOD news outlet.

      1. Yep I closed the blinds and was watching a movie with the family. So annoyed with the Saturday rain when you have kids. All I saw was the QPF rising quickly

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