Saturday February 7 2026 Forecast (8:02AM)

269 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 7-11)

A snowy Saturday, a result of the complex evolution / redevelopment of low pressure that was initially starting to pass to our north but ends up as an ocean storm to our south and moving out to sea tonight. During this process the snow takes place with one large general synoptic area as well as some enhanced ocean-effect bands and some focused heavier convective snow areas due to an inverted trough combined with an arctic boundary. When it’s all done, a general light to moderate snowfall occurs everywhere with the exception of heavier bands of snow accumulation where ocean-effect and trough-enhanced snowfall is maximized, still seeming like it will focus on northeastern MA and parts of the MA South Shore. The final snow amounts can end up highly variable from one location to another just a few miles away, but below I’ll give you my best-guess final call on this event, which wraps up by this evening. Note: I think if one location is going to exceed even my highest forecast number, it will be somewhere in Essex County MA. Tonight we have a few lingering snow flurries early with the full-on arrival of arctic air, which will be with us through Sunday night, along with wind and pretty brutal wind chills, as well as blowing snow to add a bit of insult to injury (unless you like this kind of weather, like I do – haha). If you need to be outside for any length of time tonight through Sunday night, dress accordingly! We’ll see a gradual moderation from the coldest weather Monday and Tuesday, although overnight / early morning low temps will still be quite frigid due to deep snow cover and lessening wind. High pressure brings fair weather on Monday. Timing for our next unsettled threat is a little faster with low pressure looking like it will rocket eastward, clipper-style, and pass just north of our area late Tuesday and early Wednesday. While a few tweaks may be needed, it looks like this system’s warm front can produce some light snowfall later Tuesday and its cold front may produce a snow shower early Wednesday, but it will not be a significant weather-producer.

TODAY: Overcast with snow including heavier snow shower bands favoring the MA North Shore & eventually South Shore regions. Snowfall accumulations of 3 to 6 inches in general, with pockets of 6 to 10 inches favoring Essex County MA and the MA South Shore, including Boston, and probably another such pocket southern RI and adjacent southern MA. Highs 18-25 except 23-30 Cape Cod / South Coast, but a rapid temperature drop develops from northwest to southeast during the afternoon hours. Wind E to NE 5-15 MPH, shifting NE to N later in the day.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy early with lingering snow flurries, followed by clearing. Lows 0-7. Wind N to NW increasing to 15-25 MPH with higher gusts. Wind chill -10 to -20.

SUNDAY: Sunny. Highs 11-18. Wind NW 15-25 MPH. Wind chill often below zero.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows -5 +2 except 0-7 Cape Cod and some urban centers. Wind NW diminishing to 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 17-24. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows -3 to + 5 except 5-12 Cape Cod and urban centers. Wind NW to W under 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Increasing clouds. Good chance of light snow late-day, favoring areas north of I-90. Highs 25-32. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. A snow flurry possible. Temperatures nearly steady. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of a snow shower in the morning. Highs 30-37. Wind SW shifting to NW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 12-16)

Watching for some mid-period unsettled weather but currently no strong indications of a major event. Temperatures variable, averaging out near to slightly below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 17-21)

Up-and-down temperature pattern with one or two more unsettled weather potentials but no major storms expected.

269 thoughts on “Saturday February 7 2026 Forecast (8:02AM)”

  5. If somewhere is going to exceed the top # on my range today, it’ll be somewhere in the Lynn to Beverly / Danvers region.

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  6. Good morning and thank you TK.

    25 here, down from 27 earlier

    Snowing decently here, not quite moderate, but still quite decent. Approaching 2 inches new.

    Ocean: 39

    Wordle: 5 Thought I had it on guesses 3 and 4, but it didn’t like my reasonable word choices. Finally on guess 5, I fed it the word it wanted. 🙂 🙂 🙂

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    1. I struggled with this even having four letters in the incorrect spots with second guess.

      Permission to join you in the 5 car please

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  8. Having checked on my accumulation right here, the fluff factor is the real deal, and caused me to add an extra inch to my forecast today, so the final version is now posted above.

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    1. My yard is full of tracks like that. We have a family living under one of our porches and I am LEAVING them there. I love the bunnies.

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      1. Fun. I love the bunnies too. I have yet to see them come up front stairs. But then the majority of time there isn’t snow so I really have no idea

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  12. Well it has been quite a week.

    1) I had my first and hopefully last encounter with a wrong-way driver while coming home from a restaurant in the Andover area. Thankfully I avoided a crash but it was very close.

    2) I was called back to work which I have not done in a while.

    3) I am in the jackpot zone.

    4) I took my first shot at WORDLE and got there in 6 but if I had known what the heck I was doing and understood a little about strategy, it would have been 4. I can see where this could become addictive.

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  15. Working at the Hospital just today & nothing impressive here while it’s been snowing since I arrived at 6am . Wet roads with no accumulation

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    2. My munchies are being handled by someone else. All I have to do is pick up Chinese food tomorrow late afternoon. 🙂

      Only “out” I have to do today is shovel whatever snow falls early this evening!

      I am watching Olympics on 2 screens all day long and prime time show tonight, as always. 🙂

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        1. We have a few good places here in the Woburn area, and I often use a place called Eighty Eight Cafe in Winchester. My favorite Chinese food place currently, however, is in Acton, called Spicepepper Garden.

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    3. Already have my superbowl munchies (frozen pizza, patriots gingerbread cookie, chips, etc.) but I need ti clean the area where I’ll be watching. That’s my agenda!

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  19. This event is already very adequately displaying the “have” and “have not” areas. It should come as no surprise to anyone.

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  21. Thanks TK. Just measured 3” here in Coventry CT and snow has tapered to flurries. Looks like the inverted trough is now parking itself just east of us over the eastern quarter of CT and RI. Some heavy snow continuing to fall there for several more hours.

    Already getting windy and cold here. Down to 14.

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    1. That boundary is likely the arctic front, which is further west than the inv. trof. Either way, they act similarly.

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  24. Nice squall line over Sturbridge right now , absolutely pounding snow, with about 4” on the ground so far

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        1. Beautiful!!! I like how the snow from the arctic front meets up with Inverted trough convergence and BOOM!!!

          How far East will that translate?

          Then when/IF it hits the OES snows more to the East???
          What happens then? MEGA BOOM!!!!

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          1. Yes, lots of convergence zones today.

            Almost like on a hot, humid day when we have the sea breeze convergence, an approaching cold front’s convergence and then outflow boundary convergences (probably don’t have that last one today)

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  26. We are at 2″ here. I little while ago I got a peek at the sun through the light snow. I really like seeing that for some reason.

    I got Wordle in 4.

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  28. I think I could actually call what is falling MODERATE SNOW.
    Much bigger flakes than previously. This will accumulate rapidly!!

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    1. There’s a line of dark green with yellow echoes mixed in out in Boston harbor.

      Let’s see if that makes it to shore.

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      1. Well, it certainly “appears” to be on a bee line!!!
        We shall see.

        In the meantime, the moderate snow I was seeing had now reduced itself to light snow and the lighter side of light.
        No consistency today, for sure.

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  29. If this intensity sustains itself for the rest of the morning into late afternoon, I could see my area getting close to a foot. if it averages 1.25″ per hour, I’ll get there.

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        1. Exactly how this was described.

          It makes me think of a similar event back in the late 1970s that helped shape my weather-fascination.

          10″ in Woburn
          2″ in Winchester

          Distance between them: Less than 3 miles.

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    1. and still pounding in those areas.

      Will definitely be seeing some 12-18″ localized jackpot areas today. Impressive.

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    1. Those locations are only a few miles north of Lynn where I am and we only have a few inches. Amazing what a difference a mile or two makes.

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  36. Just catching up on the blog this morning. The snow is increasing here Hingham. We probably got around a half inch overnight.

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  38. 2 things have me surprised a bit

    1) the intensity of the snow band along the arctic front. Knew it was going to be good, but it has been ferocious.

    2) yes, the inverted trof has formed those bands on the north shore. I guess I didn’t also expect the other snow areas out over the ocean. They are moving westward but it’s not a guarantee it all makes it to the coast or very far inland.

    Separately, looks like outer Cape Ann is currently getting very, very heavy snow.

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  40. Given that Longshot is reporting heavy snow and seeing the echoes in his vicinity, It has to be an extreme whiteout on Cape Ann right now, because there are some decent yellow dots showing up in that area. My guess is 2-4” per hour IF that stays over them for a full hr.

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      1. Hope we can pickup something decent tom . Snowing decently in this area of Boston but it just isn’t sticking really .

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  43. So, trying to remember back to last night’s HRRR, I think that Cape Ann batch that’s gathering and consolidating, that might be the one the next 4-5 hrs to watch.

    It may hold in that area the next 1 hr and then, I think it may pivot southwestward and then southward. And if it holds in intensity in its southwest and southward journey, then that’s what could stack up further impressive ants first, just northeast of Boston, then in Boston and then down to the south shore and finally off the Buzzards Bay Area and parts of the cape.

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    1. Yes, it’s what TK said above.

      Tremendous localized lift in these bands and so either side of them, the air is sinking and drying.

      It went from dim sun to dark back to dim sun earlier here 🙂

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      1. Dim sum is awesome!!! I’ll have some as I am pretty hungry!!

        Oh, wait, you said Dim Sum. Ahhh, that’s a different story.

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  48. On that Cape Ann closes in radar shot above, there’s also a lot of yellow out in the ocean south of it.

    Boston can still get 14” that the HRRR simulated if that holds together in intensity and moves another 20 mins westward and then hits them for a few hrs.

    The good news is, it won’t sit there that long once it starts pivoting and I think it may ease a bit in intensity, but if that stuff moves thru Boston, it should deposit an additional 3-6” from now.

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  55. Is there snow coming to Natick later? Nothing much to report to this point. Seems like metro west is avoiding the heavy stuff. Thanks.

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  57. Still snowing lightly here in Coventry CT. It never really stopped, just not accumulating much at this point. Near ground blizzard conditions at times though when the wind picks up and blows the snow around.

    Cape Ann getting absolutely annihilated. Poster on the American Wx forum there said complete whiteout, zero visibility.

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    1. Yes, it has to be.

      Maybe 2-4” per hour is even underestimating the rate in that band. 5-6” per hour?? Lots of yellow echo returns. And it’s fluffy.

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    2. Worcester whiteout now as well.

      Vicki you should be getting crushed shortly as that band slides east, if not already.

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  64. According to Kerry Ann, the Arctic front is now passing through Worcester.

    Will there be a squeeze play when the front approaches the coast? Is that how it works?

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    1. Yes there will be one, but that frontal boundary won’t make much more progress until the entire thing is just pulled into the circulation of the offshore storm late today.

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    1. Because the precip moves away from that incredible change in winds just above. They heavy snow literally moves away from the incredible convergence that is causing it to form.

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  69. Bryce (spotter network and lead MA meteorologist) thought we’d end around 2:00 here with some possible wrap around

    We are now 2.5 so it picked up a bit

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  71. Each short range model (so far) has had at least one shortcoming, but the early #’s favor the RRFS for the event overall, having gotten all of the enhanced features generally at least in the ballpark.

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  72. I don’t think Boston is going to come in high with this but I could 100% be wrong , just can’t get it to really stick & it’s freezing out ( observation for longwood medical area

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  74. North Shore not done yet – a couple more hours.

    Boston (immediate vicinity) and South Shore are next – over the next few hours, mostly now to 4-ish.

    Arctic boundary to the west is still going, but will gradually come to a halt, merge with the in-between area that formed, and then start to be pulled southward as the offshore storm’s circulation takes over.

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  78. What’s left of the Cape Ann band is very close to getting to my location. We’ll see how intense the snow will be and how much snow will be dropped.

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  79. I hope Eric Fisher didn’t jinx the Pats by posting that it will be a decent week for a parade. 😉 HAHAHA.

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  80. Thanks, TK!

    Well, I’ve been waiting for more than four years for the phrase, “Death Bands.” Thanks, JPD! Hahahaha!

    I think “Death Bands” and “Kuchera” are returning to Mansfield’s xFinity Center this summer for the heavy metal fest!!! I will be in the moshpit!!!! 🙂

    The snow has really picked up in intensity in the last 15 minutes.

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  81. 12z GFS with multiple additional winter weather threats over the next few weeks.

    Kuchera Run Total Snow:

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2026020712&fh=384&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    Midweek system still looks week then two followup events next weekend/next week that involve snow/mix/rain.

    Models still all over the place for Presidents Weekend with solutions ranging from a miss to a cutter with snow to rain (GFS), weaker system passing to our south with light to moderate snow (CMC) and full fledged snowstorm (0z/6z Euro AI)

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  82. A High Rez look. Suggest you hit the + button and then play.

    https://radar.weather.gov/?settings=v1_eyJhZ2VuZGEiOnsiaWQiOiJsb2NhbCIsImNlbnRlciI6Wy03MS4xMzcsNDEuOTU2XSwibG9jYXRpb24iOm51bGwsInpvb20iOjgsImZpbHRlciI6IldTUi04OEQiLCJsYXllciI6InNyX2JyZWYiLCJzdGF0aW9uIjoiS0JPWCJ9LCJhbmltYXRpbmciOnRydWUsImJhc2UiOiJzdGFuZGFyZCIsImFydGNjIjpmYWxzZSwiY291bnR5IjpmYWxzZSwiY3dhIjpmYWxzZSwicmZjIjpmYWxzZSwic3RhdGUiOmZhbHNlLCJtZW51Ijp0cnVlLCJzaG9ydEZ1c2VkT25seSI6dHJ1ZSwib3BhY2l0eSI6eyJhbGVydHMiOjAuOCwibG9jYWwiOjAuNiwibG9jYWxTdGF0aW9ucyI6MC44LCJuYXRpb25hbCI6MC42fX0%3D

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  83. A very fine snowfall in Padanaram now – even at 32 degrees. Between that and higher sun angle even behind clouds snow will struggle to accumulate on pavement. It is coming down noticeably harder. And as I typed that it has suddenly started to really snow hard – this keeps up and pavement will easily be covered

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  92. Very Heavy Snow here in Hingham right now. In the 15-20 minutes I was shoveling the walkway and sidewalk (son did the driveway) we picked up an additional 1/2 inch of snow in addition to the 4 inches I measured (in 4 places) before shoveling. Visibility is probably between 1/8 and 1/16 of a mile right now

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  93. I’ve gone through my heaviest in the past hour (maybe close to 4 inches here – haven’t measured officially yet). It does not take long at all for the wind to increase as this area starts to pull southward. And the temperature plummet will not be modest either. Already 15 in Worcester and 10 or lower to the west of there.

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  94. As Tk said heavy snow now at the Hospital with everything getting covered quickly . I’m leaving at 3pm it should be fun , not !!! At least I’m home for another week after this overtime shift .

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  97. Nuts to see areas in central/northern NH still in the middle 20’s while we are down to 7F here. Frigid air is moving in fast….

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    1. I don’t mind wind and frigid temps, but I am definitely doing my shovel pass as soon as the snow quits enough. I’m thinking close to 4. By then it’ll probably already be in the teens here, but I don’t care. I got layers and great boots / gloves. 🙂 Having a hood is essential when the wind gets going!

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      1. I am about to do the same. 3″ here but my driveway is half blown bare and the other half is drifted to a foot. We’ve got some filtered sun out now but it is getting more brutal by the minute.

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        1. I love watching snow drifting sculpted by the wind, and the variations of it based on wind direction and objects on the ground.

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  98. Quincy/Braintree/Weymouth area just getting crushed. Must be 3″ in the last hour in those areas. 40 dbz on the radar!

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      1. I concur. Definitely a crush job.

        In spite of the very heavy rate, no wind as far as I can tell looking out the window.

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        1. Meaning I will verify my forecast as the South Shore of being one of 3 areas that get above the regional average for snowfall amounts. The other two being the North Shore / Cape Ann, and eastern CT to parts of RI and adjacent southern MA.There are areas of lower snowfall between all of those.

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  101. 12z Euro AI hammers the mid Atlantic on President Day but the ocean storm then passes out to sea to our south, just grazing CT.

    12z Euro op is further south and tries to add further to Charlotte’s snow total this season.

    Meanwhile, the 12z GFS cuts to the Great Lakes while the Canadian is a direct hit but weaker and delivers a light to moderate snowfall.

    Models all over the place. Still plenty of time to figure that one out…

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  103. We’re close to 4”.

    I’d guess another 2” to come.

    I’ll take a half a foot out of this.

    Then, I hope for some eventual easing of the weather. Hoping for a day in the 40s or 50s would be nice during February break the week of the 16th to the 20th. Not that I see it hinted at necessarily.

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  105. Well, that is just about it for our snow.
    Big Woof. I knew it could play out this way, but was hoping for more. 🙂

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    2. Nothing to downplay about this very impressive and “well-behaved” event. All that was left to see were some finer details.

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    1. That is what remains of the merged arctic boundary and inverted trough. Will be a running board for whatever moisture is left.

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  111. While shoveling (it didn’t take long..snow is so fluffy and I leave the driveway to my son) the sun poke through for a few minutes. With the 4.5 inches measured at the end of the last shoveling session I just measured another 1.5…looks 6 here.

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  112. Holy mackerel the snow piled up quick with this last round. My son attempted to go out and quickly returned after the car in front of him slid into a snowbank. Hearing the roads are a mess.

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  115. Down to 27 in Padanaram – measured 2.5 inches but still coming down hard. Plus I feel there may have been a touch of melting when it was 33 earlier. Snow so easy to shovel compared to two weeks ago

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  116. I went out and cleaned up and measured 4 inches. That’s all folks!!

    When I was done, it started snowing again. All that I cleared is now covered with a solid dusting and still snowing.

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    1. You still have about another 1/2 inch to go from the arctic boundary / inverted trough merger, coming through now.

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  123. It took 12 days of a lot of sun to maybe make the snow pack melt/sublimate by 20-30% of what the big storm dumped and after today, we have it all back and maybe a bit more. 🙂

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  124. Huge difference from Boston to down here . Snow covered roads down here & I just got in from snow blowing ( about 6 inches ) cruising home through Boston & Dorchester no issues & bare pavement.

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