Sunday February 8 2026 Forecast (9:36AM)

103 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 8-12)

The region is now in the deep freeze following yesterday’s chaotic snow event, that despite my description, played out very much as expected. The arctic air mass that came in at its conclusion stays with us today and eases its grip starting Monday. Before that happens, today we will see a few ocean-effect snow flurries on Outer Cape Cod, and tonight, an area of high and mid level clouds can spin back southwest to south over our sky on the back side of the upper low from the just-departed storm system. After the quieter interlude Monday, the next weather system to contend with will be a fast-moving low pressure area passing north of our region late Tuesday into Wednesday. This system will have limited moisture to work with. Its warm front will produce a light snowfall in the region Tuesday evening, while its cold front can produce a few snow showers Wednesday morning. This system is going to redevelop off the coast to our southeast Wednesday night and Thursday before moving away, and while being far enough out to avoid significant impact, it may throw an inverted trough back toward the coast enough for additional snow showers in eastern sections Thursday morning – something to watch for.

TODAY: Cape Cod clouds and snow flurries especially Mid Cape eastward, diminishing this afternoon. Elsewhere, sunshine but high and mid level clouds patches arrive from north to south late in the day. Highs 12-19. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, gusts around 30 MPH. Wind chill often near to below zero.

TONIGHT: Patchy clouds early, then clearing. Lows -3 +4 except 5-12 Cape Cod and some urban centers. Wind NW diminishing to 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 17-24. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows -3 to + 5 except 5-12 Cape Cod and urban centers. Wind NW to W under 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Increasing clouds. Good chance of light snow late-day, favoring areas north of I-90. Highs 25-32. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with snow likely in the evening, accumulating a coating to 2 inches, favoring areas north of I-90. Lows 22-29 early but may rise slightly later. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of a snow shower in the morning. Highs 30-37. Wind SW shifting to NW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 13-20. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 28-35. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 13-17)

Watching for some mid-period unsettled weather but still no strong indications of a major event. Temperatures variable, averaging out near to slightly below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 18-22)

No big changes looking ahead. Up-and-down temps but averaging not far from normal for season. Watching for a couple disturbances but no strong indications of major storminess at this time.

103 thoughts on “Sunday February 8 2026 Forecast (9:36AM)”

  3. Thanks TK !

    Wordle: 4

    At least we’ll have solar spring to help a little today. I can see that on our car windows, the ones facing into the sun, the snow is slowly melting off a bit.

    2:20+ per day and 1 degree higher in the sky every 3 days for the sun and zooming now past 5pm sunsets. Thank goodness !

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    1. At least wait unti the end of the 4th quarter when the game is tied. 🙂 🙂 Then you can be a train wreck.

      I expect a very very close hard fought game! Unless the Patriots can force Darnold to start seeing Ghosts

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  6. Good morning and thank you TK.

    4 this morning, 9 now

    Ocean: 38

    Wordle: EPIC FAIL!!!

    4.5 inches here is all we could muster.

    Go Pats!!!

    Please allow me to re-post the following as it may have been missed among all the snow posts yesterday:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=We_qOSnrS0I

    Key contributors and featured individuals in the video include:

    Celebrities & Athletes: Mark Wahlberg, David Ortiz, Triple H, Stephanie McMahon, Zdeno Chara, Charlie McAvoy, David Pastrnak, Kenny Chesney, Kofi Kingston, Julian Edelman, Rob Gronkowski, Jaylen Brown, Jayson Tatum, Randy Moss, Tedy Bruschi, Ty Law, and Willie McGinest.

    Music/Anthem: IntlShow (Roy Studmire), a Massachusetts rapper and professor, created the viral anthem.
    Organization: The phrase was driven by the team’s playoff,,, “We All We Got. We All We Need” hype, which also highlighted former players like Malcolm Butler and Stephon Gilmore.

    Context: The phrase “We all we got, we all we need,” originally associated with Stefon Diggs, became a rally cry adopted by the Patriots community

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    2. Thank you, JPD

      I had a phew 6 but had a hint from a comment I saw so consider mine a fail Also. Come on aboard the caboose. Today I have the coffee, hot chocolate and danish.

      Reply

  8. Thanks TK! At least the sun is bright. Tom I like your AP Winter reference. I am right there with you. I think I may even have to start cutting class if this “semester” continues to drag on.

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  9. This will help the Patriots !

    I haven’t picked them yet this post season. Let’s go, bring me to 0-4 Pats !!

    Seahawks: 28
    Patriots: 20

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  10. So far the wind is not a factor here. I’m not saying I’ll be strolling around outside in shorts and a T-shirt though 🙂

    I got Wordle in 5 today.

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  12. Thank you TK!

    Wordle: Super Bowl party in car 6 with Vicki and I. All are welcome! We will have the best refreshments!

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  13. Relatively speaking, they are getting the Super Bowl in on the last few days of nice, dry weather out there in Santa Clara and on the west coast in general.

    If I saw correctly, rainy Wednesday in the San Francisco area.

    Part of a pattern change.

    This isn’t to say the jet stream can’t buckle occasionally in the northeast and keep us colder from time to time, but there definitely will be a little more west to east component of the across the country as opposed to the multi week major ridge west, major trof east we’ve gone through.

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  14. Thanks TK.

    Up to 4F degrees here in Coventry after a low of -3.5F. I believe this was our coldest morning of the winter.

    Final snow totals from the NWS:

    https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=PNS&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

    Annoying how many storm reports always drop off with subsequent updates to this list. I resubmitted my snow amount later yesterday after my earlier “final” report dropped off.

    Looks like Beverly took the jackpot with just under 14″. Some impressive amounts just under a foot in southern RI as well.

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  15. 12z GFS for Tuesday evening with a burst of snow:

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=prateptype_cat-imp&rh=2026020812&fh=60&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    Would drop 1-2″ for most and 4-8″ up in the mountains…

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2026020812&fh=84&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    12z Icon not as enthused for SNE and keeps the accumulations up in NNE.

    12z Canadian splits the difference with a coating to an inch but up to 2″ NE MA.

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  18. It has been a fun season watching the Pats! Vrabel has been tremendous. He knows each player and has brought them all together to believe in themselves and he is supportive. The players appreciate it.

    At the same time, Vrabel is known for being darn tough and VERY blunt. The players appreciate it.

    A lot of teams think they have the same thing … they don’t. How many of them have players that come in on their day off to workout; have an O-line that goes out to dinner every Thursday night; and play under a blanket of unselfishness?

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    1. How true. Vrabel has been unbelievable!!! The Patriots have something special going on. Hope it delivers them the Super Bowl.

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    3. 100% agree . You & I think exactly the same way when it comes to this team . Mike is a very unique coach . All of his players are always speaking highly about him & everybody spoke highly of him as a player on this organization. Mike is the entire coaching package hands down . He’s not afraid to be sensitive when his players need it ( holding there hand when there down on the field ) and he’s not afraid to right you of your wrong , Mike is the king of discipline when it’s needed . Another thing he teaches some of these young guys is to how to be a good man off the field . For pats fans the last few yrs has been tough , but regardless of what happens tonight , the pats are back and everyone knows it !!!!!!

      Reply

  19. 12z models back on the storm train for President’s Day.

    12z GFS and CMC have an east coast storm affecting the mid Atlantic but both have it hitting the block and sliding east out to sea.

    12z UKMET and ICON also have the system at the end of their runs. ICON in particular looked like it was going to be good.

    12z GFS AI nothing like the rest with a cutter that tries to redevelop over SNE.

    Plenty of time to track this one this week.

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    1. I should note also the 0z and 6z GFS both had a direct hit with this system but it was a coastal hugger with heavy snow to heavy rain.

      Timing seems to be more focused now on next Sunday into Monday (President’s Day) if this system affects us.

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  20. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/ao.shtml

    https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/pna.gefs.sprd2.png

    https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/nao.gefs.sprd2.png

    After Tuesday morning, the intensity of winter we have had (very cold and snow) is going to take a break.

    +AO, -PNA, +AO

    Perhaps we reload for another wave of well below avg temps later in February into early March.

    I didn’t say snow just above because it can still do that the next few weeks even in a milder pattern.

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  21. Notice the AO and NAO, after a brief peak in positive territory, quickly dip back to neutral though after the 15th. PNA stays in negative territory, though slightly less so.

    Lots of ensemble spread in the long range though as you might expect so kind of a crap shoot for the second half of the month. If AO and NAO trend back neutral to negative and PNA remains slightly negative, we still can get snow chances in a pattern like that. Ideally though if we want to end this winter with a bang, need to get that PNA positive again as we head into late Feb/early March.

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    2. As I’ve noted for a while now, a “quieter” period follows this recent wintry surge, and then we go back to the next surge after February 22 that can last as long as the middle of March. I don’t think it matches the first one, but there will be chances for some notable events there.

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    1. I think it had to due with that band that came down from Cape Ann. Logan caught a bit more of it. That’ll do it. 🙂

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          1. There is a signal on both the Euro op and AI ensembles. But 8 days out, obviously it will change many times.

            12z Euro AI op has the storm as well, but it passes out to sea south of us.

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    3. Great 12z Euro run there. Pretty much every attempt to warm up is squashed and there are two additional snow threats after President’s Day. And solidly cold at the end of the run.

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      1. It has the right idea in terms of limiting any warming, but is over-aggressive with that system.

        The signal has been there for a while. The indices don’t line up for a bit Northeast hit though.

        So an alternate outcome of the same base ideas is the way to go here.

        Limited warming, but not as cold as recently.

        Still somewhat active (quieter than recently though), and unlikely for major systems for a while.

        Reply

  27. I was awake at 4am to drive a friend to work. Boy my ol’ Ford Fusion did NOT want to be woken up that early. (Thankfully it did start up) It was bitter cold.

    Just a few more hours until the action! Go pats. 🙂

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  28. Beautiful day today and it did not feel as cold as a couple of weeks ago on my run after an Arctic front passed through. Partly body adjustment, partly less wind.

    Man, I will miss this glorious stretch of weather. Nothing compares to sunshine and fresh air amid a frozen tundra. Even if someone offered me a million dollars I could not move to San Diego.

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  29. Random: We recently passed the 4-year anniversary of the HTE. I knew that it registered high up on the explosivity scale and threw megatons of water vapor into the atmosphere. I think I read that the effects might last 7-8 years and may have had a cooling effect on planet earth.

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  30. Brownies are about to come out of the oven. Yummy Super Bowl treat. Even have some vanilla ice cream to go with it despite the cold.
    Go Pats!!!!

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  31. I should have qualified my statement on San Diego. I have been there for work conferences. Loved the city and the environment as well as the people. But I sincerely couldn’t take the weather for longer than a few weeks. I need variety. I need fall foliage. I need cold and snow or at least the possibility of it happening. I even need the dreaded gray skies, rain and 40s/50s that make up part of New England’s spring.

    I remember going to San Diego once in winter when Boston was about to be hit by a ~10 inch snowstorm. It was a national 5-day long conference with attendees from all over the place. The East Coast storm was on some people’s minds. Attendees who knew where I was from – it was on my badge – would say “bet you’re glad you’re here.” I nodded politely. Didn’t want to be contrary. But when a colleague of mine, Frank, said the same thing I decided to be honest with him. I said “Frank, I’m actually disappointed. I know it sounds crazy, but I’d like to be in Boston right now experiencing the snow and cold.” Frank said, “really?” I said, “yup.” To this day, I believe Frank thinks I’m nuts. It was 76F and sunny in San Diego after all.

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    1. I’m sure the city is beautiful and the people are nice, etc.

      But I’d still never live there, even for free. 🙂

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  32. Per a met on the American Wx forum…

    “Pretty snowy 12z EPS run overall. Has more (snow) chances after the 16th too. Mean is double digits across a lot of New England. It’s not a frigid pattern but it’s just not submitting to the classic Feb Niña torch idea that has been an instinct to gravitate towards for many of us Mets.

    It’s a real struggle to get sustained large positive departures on these runs. You’ll see a run or two that starts to look like that but then it disappears the next run or even on the same run it can’t last more than a day or two. The in-situ blocking seems to dominate us locally while the plains have an easier time getting big warmth. ”

    Pretty much as we were discussing above.

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    1. Of course we kept hearing such things during the time it wasn’t that snowy. They were all trying to push the “it’s coming, it’s coming!” thing. It was always “on the way” but never here. If actual meteorology had been in practice, they’d have also known that the pattern would become more favorable after January 20, not before it.

      If meteorology was being practiced here, they’d see that no matter what “the models” say right now, the odds of it being very snowy in the next 15 days are notably lower than they were in the previous 3 weeks.

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  33. The patchy high & mid level clouds around the back side of upper low pressure are arriving now, as discussed in today’s blog post.

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  36. As a graduate student, I lived in Santa Barbara for seven years. At first, I really missed the seasonal changes I was used to. I would travel back to upstate NY once or twice a year. But visiting a season is a different experience from being there the whole time.

    Santa Barbara’s climate is more varied than San Diego’s, but the joke was still “If you have to have just one boring season, this is the one to have.” It was great for biking, camping, hiking and so on. But after a while, I realized that there was much more variety than I thought. I remember waking up and seeing the sun shining on the snow-covered coastal range and bicycling from the warm beach up to the snow at 4,000 ft. The wildflower season was amazing.

    I was there for a winter that seemed to have never-ending severe rain storms. There were places that were so flooded they were almost unrecognizable.

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  37. Quiz (no Google allowed)…

    What is the most common final score in a professional football game? (The score that has been recorded more times than any other final.)

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  45. It’s 15 now & I just got home from the market in Marshfield. Did not feel that bad at all In vest & sweatshirt with no gloves or hat . I was actually pleasantly surprised & hardly any wind

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  46. The wind did ease up today and was not quite as ferocious as I thought it might be. That came in a shorter burst last night. Still very cold, but not as brutal as it might have been.

    Reply

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