DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 22-26)
A low pressure wave will move across our region today through early Monday including an upper level low pressure area that will take until Monday night to pass through the region. This produces an extended period of unsettled weather. Some light snow / mix has already occurred, especially in northern MA and southern NH during the overnight / early morning, but this has had virtually no impact and is generally gone, leaving us just overcast early this morning. More moisture arrives during midday and afternoon and with a just-warm-enough atmospheric profile, the resultant precipitation will be mainly in the form of rain, though a little wet snow / sleet mixed in cannot be ruled out, especially north of Route 2. The trend will be for this area to move to the south as we get into tonight and Monday morning, but it will take its time, and another little low pressure wave moving the frontal boundary as it sinks southward, combined with incoming colder air, will produce some wet snow and sleet especially north of I-90 while it’s still mainly rain, maybe mixed with wet snowflakes or ice pellets before it all tapers off during the day. This area of frozen precipitation can produce a slushy coating mainly on unpaved surfaces Monday morning but should have no noticeable impact on driving. It’s scattered snow showers from the upper low in the afternoon and evening that can become heavy enough to produce a coating to 1 inch accumulation – not widespread, but in scattered locations. This can have brief impact on driving / walking on untreated surfaces, especially as darkness falls. Keep that in mind if you have late Monday travel plans. High pressure builds in with fair weather for Tuesday. The next system still looks destined to have its low pressure center travel to our north late Wednesday with a quick warm-front / cold-front combo producing a short period of unsettled weather. Brief clearing Thursday is overtaken by clouds as the next low pressure system approaches from the west later on.
TODAY: Cloudy. Any early spotty snow / sleet ends in southern NH then rain arrives west to east midday on, may be mixed with wet snow and sleet at times northern MA and southern NH. Highs 38-45 except 45-52 south of I-90. Wind variable to N 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Cloudy. Periods of rain, some wet snow / sleet possible, favoring areas south of Route 2. Lows 32-39. Wind N to NE 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Rain / sleet / snow possible especially Route 2 corridor southward first half of the day. Scattered snow showers favoring areas north of I-90 mid to late afternoon into evening with scattered accumulation of mainly under 1 inch. Highs 38-45. Wind N 10-20 MPH, higher gusts in the afternoon.
MONDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 22-29. Wind N 5-15 MPH,.
TUESDAY: Sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 38-45. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 28-35. Wind variable under 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 48-55, cooler Cape Cod. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with rain showers evening. Partly cloudy overnight. Lows 35-42. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy. Chance of mix / rain showers at night. Highs 47-54. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 27-31)
Unsettled weather chances early March 27 and again March 29. Some up and down temperatures but overall averaging somewhat below normal.
DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 1-5)
Trend is for up and down temps and a couple unsettled weather chances – typical of early spring. Many details TBD.
Thanks TK.
Thank you, TK
We are up 2 degrees from our low of 34.
Wordle 5
I know how JPD feels sometimes. I was ready to give it up last night for the first time in the five years I’ve been wordling. But only for a few minutes. Choices got me
SPOILER ALERT https://ibb.co/Vy1kXPN
Nice Vicki, 6 for me.
You got it.
Very nice Tom
Good job hanging in there! You had a lot of information on the first guess, but once it comes down to guessing like that, it can be painful. 🙂
I got into the better situation of not being able to think of any possibilities. Once I did, I had it in 4.
Nice 4.
Thank you and GREAT 4
Good guesses on 3 and 4′ just bad luck.
Thank you. Choices can be so frustrating
Thanks TK !
Good morning and thank you TK.
39 here
Ocean: 39
WORDLE: 3
Great Wordle score!!
Thanks SCarke.
Strange game. Sometimes the words come easy and other times I am clueless.
UGH……
Superb JpDave !
Thanks Tom!
Wow. Well done !!!!!
🙂
Wordle 2 (spoiler https://ibb.co/WNYJt1ff )
What is more likely to happen in the next two weeks – a 60+ degree day or some snow in boston?
More likely: snow
But a very real possibility is neither. It’s overall cool, so we don’t get 60F, but the cool enough air and meeting of moisture don’t take place.
Happy belated birthday Dr.
Ty north
Oh, brilliant on Wordle !
You’ve had a lot of low numbers lately.
I usually do really well – the first part of march I did exceptionally poor and even failed for the first time in years.
WOW!!!! Outstanding!!! We have our ENGINEER!!!
Exceptional Dr S
Thanks TK.
Thank you TK.
Standard Radar.
https://radar.weather.gov/station/KBOX/standard
It is World Water Day as it is every March 22nd. It got its start through the United Nations as part of part of a program to foster conservation and see that everyone gets sustainable and safe drinking water by 2030.
A little known water factoid: Most of the water we drink is certainly millions of years old and more likely billions of years. It probably predates Earth and the existence of the Solar System.
Mac passed just over 10 years ago. Well before that time, he was concerned that the world will face a water shortage
https://unu.edu/inweh/news/world-enters-era-of-global-water-bankruptcy
Thanks for posting!
Y-U-C-K!!! All this time I assumed that our water was “fresh” from the faucet. 😉
Considering our water is up to a billion years old, it doesn’t taste half bad.
Thanks Longshot for that factoid. 🙂
Thank you TK!
Happy Belated Birthday Dr.!
Wordle: 4
Nice
Awesome, Sue!!
Nice, Sue !
Thanks TK
I can’t think of today’s Wordle solution without also thinking of this character:
SPOILER ALERT!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FlE47GckHRA
Thanks Tk , Happy belated birthday Doc
Thinking of and praying for your wife SSK and your family.
Thank you
If it wasn’t for Wordle, the number of posts wouldn’t make double digits. This blog has been fairly silent lately. Oh well.
Thanks, TK.
SSK, praying for your wife.
Also, I tend to agree with Philip, although the weather is certainly talked about here, Wordle seems to be the most “obsessed” over. I tried Wordle and found it a bit frustrating. I also have many health issues. Back problems (can’t sit too long at computer); still waiting for a surgery and need dental work. It’s VERY hard to get a good doctor. Weather wise, it seems to be almost always cloudy, with rain and snow. As last summer had some real hot weather, though it is spring it looks like at least for awhile it is gloomy and cold. I know it’s only March. But there have been unusually big tornadoes in the midwest – weather seems a bit unusual to me. Anyway, have to go. Back is hurting.
Hi rainshine. I pray things turn around for you VERY soon
Feel better soon
Rain moving in
Thanks, TK!
Rain just started here, Vicki.
Looks to be heavier showers in two separate bands to our west.
43 raw degrees.
SSK, prayers continue for your wife’s recovery and comfort.
Hope you’re feeling better soon, Rainshine.
Jimmy B, I think you’re pulling for St. John’s in the tourney. Good luck to the Red Storm later today. My Vanderbilt Commodores men’s team lost a crushing heartbreaker to Nebraska late last night. The (beyond) half-court, game-winning shot rimmed in and out at the buzzer. All-in-all, one of the best seasons ever in Commodore mens hoops. Still, I was hoping for a Vandy game in the Sweet Sixteen.
The Vanderbilt women, a two-seed, plays Illinois tomorrow night.
That Nebraska / Vanderbilt game was INSANE.
I had those 2 teams in that game on my pool bracket, and had Nebraska winning it, so it worked in my favor, but what a crush if you’re a Vandy fan. I would have been just as happy to have seen that shot fall. It just wasn’t meant to be…
https://www.goes.noaa.gov/sector_band.php?sat=G19§or=ne&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24
Yes, as you might imagine, once you get south of that boundary and into the sun, it’s early summer.
42F, rain and raw here. Foiled yet again, for the trillionth time in New England in early spring.
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=KUNV&hours=72
For instance, in State College, PA : 81F
The last third of March and usually most of April in New England is just NOT fair.
This is the reminder that tomorrow night’s snow shower event is occurring in late March, not mid winter.
Not the same animal. You need pretty extraordinary circumstances to have mid winter impacts in the spring.
Examples: April 6 1982. March 29 1984. April 28-29 1987. March 31 – April 1 1997.
I presume this is in response to some of the 18Z runs????
For example the 18Z 3KM NAM
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam4km&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2026032212&fh=30&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
or the 18Z HRRR
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2026032212&fh=36&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
And the winner is the 18Z NAM
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2026032212&fh=36&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
It’s overcooking both the wave passage and the upper level low snow showers. The NAM is the worst of them all.
And we just don’t accumulate snow that easily on a bare ground in late March unless it’s a sustained event with plenty of cold support.
Is the HRRR overdoing the precip for today into tomorrow am? It had 1.5 for Providence on the 18z.
Just finished watching MANIFEST on Netflix. I had started watching that show on Network TV when it was first out, but I abandoned it for some reason. Anyhow I picked it up again and finished it.
I really liked it. A very different kind of show. It certainly kept me interested.
Cool. I’ll look got it.
I’m watching the first Star Wars at my granddaughters urging. Mac and I saw the first released in 1978 but it’s not the first. Not that I understand. I have surround sound set up and the music and special effects are amazing.
0.21″ in the bucket and 44 degrees.
As Tom mentioned, it’s toasty in PA. 84 degrees in Pittsburgh at last check. More than dozen counties in Pennsylvania are under a Severe Thunderstorm Watch, as well as surrounding counties in Ohio, West Virigina and Maryland.
0.28 in SE Sutton so far
Yesterday was the anniversary of the Great New England Flood in 1936.
The Connecticut River at Hartford had never reached 30 feet. It’s flood stage topped out at 37.6 feet, a record that stands today.
Was that the result of winter snowmelt?
Some, but it was mostly due to a couple weeks of excessive rainfall combined with slightly greater than average snowmelt run-off.
Top 3 river levels recorded at Hartford CT…
1) 37.6 feet on March 21 1936.
2) 31.4 feet on September 23 1938.
3) 30.7 feet on August 20 1955.
The #1 flood was the only one not associated with rain from a tropical cyclone.
The fact that the top 2 occurred only 2 years apart is pretty notable. The 1930s, 1940s, and 1950s was probably the most dynamic 3 decade period in observed weather history in the USA, especially in terms of large scale dryness, intense regional flooding, widepspread heat, and exaggerated tropical activity – especially in the 1950s.
Thanks, TK.
Winter is in full display today in Montreal, at the St. Patrick’s Day parade.
https://x.com/IrlAmbCanada/status/2035833134214709350
Their winter tends to hang on through early to mid April. Winter there begins by mid November.
How come they don’t celebrate St. Patrick’s Day on March 17?
Good question. Je ne sais pas (I don’t know).
They do celebrate it on March 17.
The parade takes place EVERY year on the Sunday before or the Sunday after March 17 (unless March 17 is a Sunday, in which the parade takes place on St. Patrick’s Day).
You do realize that Boston does the same thing, right?
Their St. Patrick’s Day parade this year was March 15. 😉
Then they should have done it on March 15 as well.
I’m on a committee for a tiny parade in Sutton. I can’t begin to tell you how many working parts there are. The work that goes Into even a tiny parade Is incredible. My guess is they may welcome volunteers no matter where they are from
100% true
My lord
Oh boy…
Raining with a few flakes thrown in here and there. Temperature is 34-35F depending on the moment.
Nasty out there, mix of rain, sleet and wet flakes. Raw at 35 degrees.
New post…