Monday May 4 2026 Forecast (6:50AM)

DAYS 1-5 (MAY 4-8)

A warm front goes by early today with patchy clouds, otherwise sun becomes abundant and a southwesterly air flow behind the front with high pressure over the Mid Atlantic results in a warm-up with fair weather, but also increased wind and as a result an increase in outdoor brush fire danger. This continues Tuesday as high pressure builds in the western Atlantic off the US East Coast. Clouds increase later Tuesday as a result of a cold front approaching from the west, but it will stay far enough west so that we stay rain-free. It is Wednesday when this front will make a pass across New England with showers likely, and even the chance of a few thunderstorms embedded. Timing of shower and storm chances will be fine-tuned over the next couple updates. While Wednesday is still a mild day, once the cold front goes by, Thursday will turn cooler. The frontal boundary is expected to slow offshore while a wave of low pressure travels up along it. One change from yesterday’s ideas is that the front appears it will be just far enough offshore and the low pressure wave flat enough so as to keep most of the rain passing offshore as well – maybe clipping southeastern areas – which is the scenario I’m leaning toward at this point. However, I’ll monitor any trends here and update as necessary. By Friday, cooler weather is re-established, and I cannot rule out a pop-up shower from diurnal clouds triggered by sun-heated land under cold air aloft as an upper trough of low pressure moves into the region. Most areas should remain dry, however, as we get to the end of the work week.

TODAY: Patchy clouds early, otherwise lots of sun. Highs 58-65 South Coast, 65-72 elsewhere. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy ground fog. Lows 48-55. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Sunny to partly cloudy through mid afternoon then increasing clouds mainly west of I-95 later in the day. Highs 58-65 Cape Cod / Islands, 66-73 eastern CT and RI to MA South Shore and Cape Ann, 74-81 elsewhere. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy to mostly cloudy. Lows 52-59. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy. Showers possible, chance of thunderstorms, favoring areas west of I-95. Highs 66-73 except cooler South Coast to MA South Shore. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely, especially in the evening. Patchy fog. Lows 50-57. Wind SW to variable up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain, mainly RI and southeastern MA. Highs 58-65. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 40-47. Wind N to NW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Sun / cloud mix. A pop-up shower possible. Highs 56-63. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 9-13)

Blocking pattern re-establishes. Cooler weather favored with pop-up showers underneath an upper low early in the period (May 9-10 weekend). Watching for a more widespread rain mid or late period but uncertain on that possibility this far in advance.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 14-18)

Blocking pattern holds as does the cool overall regime but looks drier over wetter at this time.

32 thoughts on “Monday May 4 2026 Forecast (6:50AM)”

  1. Thanks, TK!

    Glad to see you’re up and running again!

    71.6

    Wind Advisory hoisted started at noon tomorrow.

  2. Thanks TK !

    Of course the technology doesn’t work on a day I would enthusiastically post that is actually behaving like Spring. ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚

    Wordle: 6 I thought the word had a lot of possibilities and I definitely was wrong on guesses 4 and 5 with other variations of what I had uncovered by guess 3.

    1. Very nice.

      And I overdressed for the day cause I didnโ€™t have anyone to tell me what to wear

  3. Good afternoon,

    FINALLY!!!!

    We had a low of 41 overnight and we’re now up to 72!!
    BEAUTIFUL out there!!!!

    Ocean: 47

    Wordle: yet another disgusting FAIL!!!!!!!!!

  4. 72.4 and the temperature is still going up.
    How far past 80 do we go tomorrow? I am pretty sure Boston exceeds 80 tomorrow. We shall see.

    1. That would be wonderful !! But Iโ€™m very happy with today !!!!!!!

      Better than that ridiculousness of yesterday. I needed a winter jacket on at 2pm on May 3rd to stay warm.

      Today: spring perfection !!!

      1. well, I don’t like it to be cold like yesterday, but I was out and about in just a long sleeve jersey. I am bothered MUCH more by the heat than the cold, but at the same time I HATE cold cloudy or damp days.

  5. Thanks Tk , I thought it was my phone . Tk Iโ€™m Good Friday say from like 9-3 dry .

    1. Yes looks dry. I think any pop-up showers will be confined to the hills & mountains to the west and north.

  6. Not to be too goofy, but I missed having the best weather blog down as long as it was.

    The meteorology on this blog by TK and other Mets who chime in, is as good as it gets and all the people who blog on here are very nice.

    Just become a part of my day is what I realized today.

    1. If you are goofy, then I am as well. I also learned that whw thanks to TK and our special family is a part of my life that I look forward to every day

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