Sunday May 3 2026 Forecast (7:44AM)

67 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (MAY 3-7)

Low pressure passed by to the southeast of New England overnight giving a period of rain to far southeastern MA, the last of which is exiting Cape Cod early this morning. As the low pulls away, a pool of cold air associated with an upper level low crossing the region will create a lot of stratocumulus and cumulus clouds, some of which can produce a pop-up shower, otherwise it’ll be a day of limited sun, an active breeze, and a cool feel to the air, but with mainly dry conditions. The upper low pulls out tonight and we clear up but are quite cool. High pressure building across the Mid Atlantic and off the coast Monday and Tuesday will promote fair weather and a warming trend for our region, though it will become rather breezy, especially on Tuesday, which will also be the warmest of the two days. As is usual, a southwesterly air flow will be modified by cooler ocean water and it won’t be able to warm up as much along the South Coast and especially across Cape Cod and the Islands. The midweek – Wednesday and Thursday – will feature unsettled weather as a trough of low pressure approaches and a frontal system triggers showers and possible thunderstorms on Wednesday. After the front passes by on Thursday, it will slow down while another wave of low pressure moves up along it, bringing the chance of rain that day.

TODAY: Early-morning overcast southeastern MA while rain exits Cape Cod. Otherwise, lots of clouds, limited sun, and the chance of a passing shower. Highs 54-61. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, few higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Clearing. Lows 42-49. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 58-65 South Coast, 65-72 elsewhere. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy ground fog. Lows 48-55. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 58-65 South Coast, 65-72 interior CT / RI / MA South Shore / Cape Ann MA, 72-79 elsewhere. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 51-58. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy. Showers possible, chance of thunderstorms, favoring areas west of I-95. Highs 66-73 except cooler South Coast to MA South Shore. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely, especially in the evening. Patchy fog. Lows 50-57. Wind SW to variable up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain, especially in the afternoon. Highs 58-65. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 8-12)

Cooler by the end of the week / weekend (May 8-10) with mostly fair weather except watch for a wave of low pressure passing by on May 9 with the potential for a period of rain, and possible pop-up showers May 10. Fair, milder weather later in the period.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 13-17)

Some blocking returns with odds favoring our region on the cooler side of it. However wet weather chances may be limited.

67 thoughts on “Sunday May 3 2026 Forecast (7:44AM)”

  1. Thank you TK.

    Going with a high of 56F today.

    Can’t see my town reaching 70F on Tuesday. Maybe?

    1. Temp was climbing quickly here around that time. Then leveled off at 43/45 at least for a bit

  5. 47 here
    Ocean: 47
    Wordle: 6 thought I was going to fail for sure.

    My over/under will be 60,
    I hope anyway. If it is 58 or 59,so be it.

    Too bad the Celtics lost. The last several minutes were most frustrating. I counted at least 7 successive misses. Can’t win shooting like that.
    Not sure what is wrong with the team? Too much reliance on 3’s Plays a role for sure and related to that we need to think about the coach.

      1. Sorry, I don’t consider a 6 nice. I consider it a very disappointing result. 🙂 But thanks anyway. 🙂

        1. I think of just getting it as excellent. We have six tries to guess a word out of around a million choices.

  8. In South Florida yesterday, ahead of a cold front, instead of the average deep easterly surface flow, they had one day of west and southwest surface winds.

    Under what was a 76-78 degree max sun angle, most locations hit 94-98F. I think Miami airport officially was 94F, but I saw 97F’s in Boca and Hollywood, Florida to name a few.

  10. Thanks TK. Brisk morning while walking the dog. What I will say about this spring so far is the lack of a humid feel on the south coast. While the temps are average seems like dew points are below average(whatever that is) keeping that “winter chill” in the air much like this morning

    1. Awesome spring so far. Stats support that!
      We could use more rain though.

  13. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=850th&rh=2026050312&fh=27&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=850th&rh=2026050312&fh=33&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    Tomorrow’s temps may behave like Friday’s in that, the morning rise may be slow and then take off in the mid afternoon, with a high temp closer to 4:30 pm ish, as we are under strong warm air advection and rising 850 mb temps during the day.

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=sfct-imp&rh=2026050312&fh=33&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=sfct-imp&rh=2026050312&fh=54&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    Conversely, Tuesday, with the warm 850 mb temps in place from sunrise, onward, those morning temps are likely to sharply rise, already projecting 75-80F by 18z.

    Looking forward to Monday and Tuesday’s milder/warmer weather.

  15. TK – Will I still need my winter coat this month?

    I never thought that I would still need it in late April.

    1. You’ve needed it many times in mid spring.

      It’s not like we’re setting any cold records.

      March was warmer than normal.

      April was exactly normal.

      This has not been a cold spring, at all.

    2. I’ve been involved in our town’s Historical Society for about 20 years. Over that time, I’ve noticed that the older participants wear more and more layers of clothing indoors as the years go by.

      My conclusion is that 71 degrees indoors has become colder over the past 20 years. 🙂

      1. So special. My hope is to become involved with our historical society. Once parade planning is over

        I’m the opposite. Cold doesn’t bother me but heat really takes a toll

  17. Up to 52 here. Was just out and ran into a shower.

    Totally cloudy. Not any sun at all at the moment.

  23. Looking forward to heading down to Sarasota for the month of May. Hopefully June won’t be like May when I get back to RI. It’s all good no matter what the weather is.

  24. March: Mild.
    April: Seasonable.
    May (expectation): Cool.

    Sounds like a pretty typical and well-rounded spring to me!

    However we’re still dry and could definitely use several episode of beneficial rainfall. We’ll see how that goes heading into summer.

    Too soon to really speculate much on summer but my early idea is kind of “normal”. Beware of the over-the-top gloom-and-doom super-El Nino scenarios splattered all over social media.

    Here’s the thing, ok?

    ENSO is a thing. It’s been a thing. It’ll be a thing for a long time. Sometimes we’re neutral, other times La Nina, other times El Nino. The non-neutrals have degrees of intensity, sometimes weak, sometimes moderate, sometimes strong. That is the way of it.

    The various phases have impacts, and not acting alone, but in combination with other indices. It’s far more complex than a lot of media will ever say. Too many things are spoken in absolute form like that’s a locked-in solution and there’s no other possible way it can go. How silly is that? It’s not science. It’s hype, or just plain ignorance. I won’t take part in it. I never have and I never will.

    From me you get science. That’s what you’ll always get. With science comes uncertainty. We’ll never have it 100% nailed. Ever. It’s not possible. But you’ll get the best I can do, no hype, no misleading information, no bullcrap.

    EVERYBODY should be doing that. Sadly, very few are left to do the good work. Carry on!

    1. I heard stuff on the national news about El Niño which I would describe as thoughtless and certainly not to be repeated.

      1. Yeah, it’s gotten really bad in mainstream media. This isn’t driven by meteorologists, who are probably pulling their hair out hearing some of the things spoken that then they have to answer for / explain while finding a way not to get fired over it. Ugh.

    1. Knew it would clear. Just wasn’t sure with the colder temps and wind if the chairs would dry. This’ll be a record of the three consecutive nights. Or is it 4?

        1. Just headed out. But whatever was making noise behind house was a lot bigger than bunnies. So fire and music inside

  27. Today I watched briefly the FSU-BC softball game from Chestnut Hill on tv and most fans were seen bundled up in their winter coats.

    Softball, NOT football.

    1. It’s not unusual. This is spring in New England.
      Spring is a cooler season than autumn is. It’s always been.

  28. Not too often you see an NHL hockey game won by a team that gets under 10 shots on goal for the entire game. But it just happened.

    Montreal (9 shots on net) 2 goals
    Tampa Bay (29 shots on net) 1 goal

    Montreal moves on to face Buffalo after their Game 7 win in Tampa Bay.

    1. Good old Adams Division tilt.

      That Canadians – Lightning Series was incredible, felt like a conference final.

      1. Adams Division haha that brought me back.

        And then you have Game 1 Colorado vs. Minnesota.
        15 goals. 14 different goal scorers.
        Colorado 9
        Minnesota 6

        Anyone wanna bet that Game 2 is a 1-0 final? 😉

        P.S. The Montreal victory was the first time in playoff history that a winning team in a Stanley Cup Playoff game had under 10 shots on goal.

  29. Montreal-Buffalo should be quite a series. Though my loyalty is to the Bruins, I like the sport of hockey no matter who is playing.

    On to weather. More snow atop Mt. Washington. See tweet below. It really isn’t that unusual this time of year. In fact, throughout May, the summit area often gets whacked a couple of times. It is more unusual in June and very uncommon in July. When I was up there at the end of July in 2014, daytime highs were in the 40s and nighttime in the 30s.
    https://x.com/MWObs/status/2051059084737004012

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